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Data Interpretation

In-depth analysis of global economic data, discerning the economic trends behind every figure.
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[U.S.] April New Residential Construction: Housing Inflation Expected to Slow

The multifamily market will see additional declines in construction volume, while the pace of completions remains elevated. April marked the fifth consecutive month for which the seasonally adjusted rate of multifamily completions was above 500,000.
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[U.S.] Initial Jobless Claims: Labor Market Remains Tight

U.S. initial jobless claims fell last week partly due to a decline in the number of jobless claims in New York; easing labor market conditions and declining inflation have raised the likelihood of a rate cut in September.
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[Japan] Q1 GDP: Sluggish Economic Conditions Cast Doubt on Policy Normalization

Private consumption and capital spending both retreated, while net exports also dragged down economic growth.
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[U.S.] April Retail Sales: Lower-Than-Expected Growth Shows Signs of Weaker Economy

U.S. retail sales data were slightly lower than expected. The "control group" figure, which feeds into GDP, was down 0.3%.
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[France] April CPI: Steady Fall in Inflation Boosts Rate-Cut Expectations

Inflationary pressures have eased, and the steady fall in inflation has boosted expectations for a rate cut in June.
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[US] April PPI: Data Dampen Rate Cuts Expectations

The US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose more than expected in April, suggesting that the process of disinflation has a long way to go.
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[UK] ILO Unemployment Rate Hits a New High Since July 2023

In January to March 2024, those unemployed for up to 6 months increased and remained above levels a year ago.
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[U.S.] University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May: Short-Term Inflation Expectations Surge

People are starting to have a negative outlook on the economy, fearing that inflation, unemployment, and interest rates may develop in an unfavorable direction in the year ahead. The one-year ahead inflation expectations rose to 3.5%, the highest level in six months, significantly higher than the previous reading of 3.2%.
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[US] Initial Jobless Claims: The Surge Is Related to Seasonal Factors

US initial jobless claims jumped to the highest level since last August, in line with signals of the softening labor market. Several economists said that the latest rise in initial jobless claims may be related to seasonal factors.
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[U.S.] April Nonfarm Payrolls: Rate-cut Expectations Are Boosted as Labor Market Cools

The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 3.9%, and wages increased by 3.9% year-on-year, lower than expected data and the previous reading, favoring inflation decline.
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