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Bank of America sees a coming "Agentic AI wave," which it thinks could benefit a small group of large-cap companies.
A small group of stocks could capture the next burst of AI development, BofA said.
The firm sees a coming "Agentic AI wave," which includes developments like AI-powered apps and robots.
Strategists highlighted six large-cap stocks that represent its top picks for the next wave.
A new wave of AI development is about to take shape — and Wall Street is starting to divert its attention from the market's largest companies to a different group of stocks, according to Bank of America.
In a recent note, the bank's strategists said they foresaw a coming "Agentic AI wave," referring to the second phase of artificial intelligence development. Possible beneficiaries include companies that are beginning to deploy AI through apps, or industrial and commercial robots.
There are some signs AI innovation is already headed in that direction, the bank added, pointing to new features added to AI software, like Google's Gemini, and robotic security dogs being deployed at Trump's Florida Mar-a-Lago.
Meanwhile, Bank of America clients are already beginning to shift their focus from the market's top AI names, like Nvidia, to what the bank believes to be the "second phase of AI beneficiaries," the note said.
"We urge investors not to diminish AI's near-term disruption potential in this early stage. Upside is unlikely to be fully priced in across the AI investment stack and, specifically, across our software coverage, in our view," strategists wrote.
"We expect AI monetization across our coverage to begin in 2025 as software's AI moment arrives and monetization to become meaningful in 2026 as enterprise adoption accelerates," they continued.
The bank reiterated its focus on six large-cap stocks, which it said were among its top picks as the Agentic AI theme plays out.
In an early November note, the bank pointed to Microsoft's plans to supplement Copilot with more AI agents, which could help automate tasks related to sales, services, finances, and managing supply chains.
Strategists issued a price target of $510 a share, implying 23% upside from current levels.
Salesforce plans on integrating AI agents into its range of products, which can help automate tasks in areas like customer service and marketing, the bank said.
The firm also finalized a partnership with Nvidia to create avatars that can automate tasks in customer service, crisis management, and other areas.
Strategists issued a price target of $390 a share, implying 14% upside from current levels.
Adobe is planning to work AI tools into its product suite, including its Creative Cloud and Experience Cloud platforms. That can help automate tasks related to data analysis and creating new content, strategists said.
Bank of America issued a price target of $640 a share, implying 20% upside from current levels.
The company is planning to deploy AI agents on its Now Platform, which can help in areas like IT management and customer service.
Strategists issued a price target of $1,075 a share, implying 1% upside from current levels.
Intuit is also planning to integrate its AI agent across its range of products, which includes TurboTax, Credit Karma, and QuickBooks. That can automate tasks for users and businesses, like creating new bills or processing invoices.
Strategists issued a price target of $780 a share, implying 21% upside from current levels.
The firm is planning to deploy an AI agent into its Marketing and Content Hub, which will help automate tasks in areas like marketing and sales.
Strategists issued a price target of $780 a share, implying 6% upside from current levels.
Read the original article on Business Insider
The S&P 500 added 0.4% on Friday, Nov. 22, 2024, wrapping up a strong week for stocks highlighted by earnings from chipmaker Nvidia and major retailers.
Super Micro Computer shares wrapped up a week of massive gains with an 11.6% advance on Friday, notching the top daily performance in the S&P 500 for the fourth time this week.
Although Intuit posted strong sales and profit results, the financial software firm issued a lackluster outlook for the current quarter, and its shares moved lower.
Major U.S. equities indexes rose Friday to close out a strong week for stocks highlighted by earnings from chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) and major retailers.
The S&P 500 closed the day 0.4% higher, while the Dow gained 1%, boosted by a surge in shares of aircraft manufacturer Boeing (BA). The Nasdaq fluctuated near the flatline for most of Friday's session, but ended with an uptick of 0.2%.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares wrapped up a week of massive gains with an 11.6% advance on Friday, notching the top daily performance in the S&P 500 for the fourth time this week. The gains came after the server maker filed a compliance plan earlier this week to avoid delisting and received a shoutout from partner Nvidia in the chipmaker's earnings call.
Copart (CPRT) shares surged 10.2% after the online vehicle auction provider reported fiscal first-quarter sales that exceeded expectations. Copart operates remarketing services for damaged and totaled cars, and this part of its business benefitted from a higher volume of salvaged vehicles.
Moderna (MRNA) shares jumped 7.5% after a senior executive made bullish comments at a healthcare conference Thursday, with the stock's late-week bounce reclaiming some of the losses earlier this month in the wake of the cabinet appointment of vaccine skeptic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Moderna's management said this week that it does not expect vaccines to be pulled from the market under the Trump administration.
Shares of TurboTax parent Intuit (INTU) fell 5.7%, marking the biggest loss of any S&P 500 stock on Friday, after the company's current-quarter outlook missed estimates. Intuit shares had already tumbled earlier this week following reports the incoming Trump administration is considering launching a competing free tax-filing app.
After initially rising on stronger-than-expected quarterly results and a series of price target boosts by investment analysts, NetApp (NTAP) shares reversed direction to end Friday's session with a loss of 3.4%. Analysts praised the performance of NetApp's flash portfolio, but expressed concerns about persistent macroeconomic pressures and the sustainability of the company's gross margins.
The S&P 500 Index Friday closed up +0.35%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index closed up +0.97%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index closed up +0.17%.
Stocks on Friday settled moderately higher, with the S&P 500 posting a 1-week high and the Dow Jones Industrials posting a 1-1/2 week high. Stocks continue to garner support on the prospects that the incoming Trump administration’s looser regulations and a business-friendly stance will be favorable for corporate earnings.
Positive corporate news on Friday also boosted stocks. Super Micro Computer closed up more than +11% to lead gainers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after it said it believes it can file its delayed 10-K and 10-Q reports in the period available under Nasdaq rules. Also, Copart closed up more than +10% after reporting stronger-than-expected Q1 revenue. However, the weakness in Nvidia and Alphabet weighed on technology stocks and limited gains in the Nasdaq 100 Stock Index.
Friday’s US economic news was mixed for stocks after the Nov S&P manufacturing and service PMIs increased, but the University of Michigan US Nov consumer sentiment index unexpectedly declined.
The US Nov S&P manufacturing PMI rose +0.3 to a 4-month high of 48.8, slightly weaker than expectations of 48.9. The Nov S&P services PMI rose +2.0 to a 2-1/2 year high of 57.0, better than expectations of no change at 55.0.
The University of Michigan US Nov consumer sentiment index unexpectedly fell -1.2 to 71.8, weaker than expectations of an increase to 73.9.
Friday’s rally in global government bond prices supported equity markets after 10-year German bunds climbed to a 1-month high, providing carryover support to T-note prices. T-notes are also climbing after the Wall Street Journal reported that President-elect Trump supports Kevin Warsh as the next Treasury Secretary, who is seen as a bond-friendly pick as Warsh has previously spoken out against high deficits.
Concern about weakness in the Eurozone economy limited gains in stocks after the Eurozone Nov S&P PMI unexpectedly contracted and Germany’s Q3 GDP was revised lower. Also, the recent escalation of the Ukraine-Russia conflict is weighing on stocks.
Bitcoin Friday closed up +4.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield fell -1.4 bp to 4.408%. Dec T-notes Friday settled moderately higher on carryover support from a rally in European government bonds. T-notes also gained support from a Wall Street Journal report that said President-elect Trump is seen as supporting Kevin Warsh as the next Treasury Secretary. The appointment of Warsh, a former Fed governor known as a hawk who has warned about surging debt burdens, would be seen as a sign of stability and someone who would push back against some of the most extreme policy scenarios Trump has discussed. However, T-notes fell back from their best levels Friday after the US Nov S&P manufacturing and service PMIs increased, signaling economic strength that is hawkish for Fed policy.
European government bond yields Friday moved lower. The 10-year German bund yield fell to a 1-month low of 2.235% and finished down -7.6 bp to 2.242%. The 10-year UK gilt yield dropped to a 3-week low of 4.363% and finished down -5.7 bp to 4.386%.
The Eurozone Nov S&P manufacturing PMI fell -0.8 to 45.2, weaker than expectations of no change at 46.0. Also, the Eurozone Nov S&P composite PMI fell -1.9 to 48.1, weaker than expectations of no change at 50.0 and the steepest pace of contraction in 10 months.
German Q3 GDP was revised downward to +0.1% q/q and -0.3% y/y from the previously reported +0.2% q/q and -0.2% y/y.
Swaps are discounting the chances at 100% for a -25 bp rate cut by the ECB at its December 12 policy meeting and at 48% for a -50 bp rate cut at the same meeting.
US Stock Movers
Super Micro Computer closed up more than +11% to lead gainers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after it said it believes it can file its delayed 10-K and 10-Q reports in the period available under Nasdaq rules.
Copart closed up more than +10% after reporting Q1 revenue of $1.15 billion, stronger than the consensus for $1.10 billion.
The Gap closed up more than +12% after reporting a Q3 operating margin of 9.13%, better than the consensus of 8.17%, and raising its 2025 gross margin estimate to about +220 bps from a previous estimate of about +200 bps.
Elastic NV closed up more than +14% after reporting Q2 adjusted EPS of 59 cents, well above the consensus of 38 cents, and raising its 2025 adjusted EPS forecast to $1.68-$1.72 from a previous estimate of $152.$1.56, stronger than the consensus of $1.53.
Deckers Outdoor closed up more than +6% after Needham & Co. initiated coverage on the stock with a buy recommendation and a price target of $218.
Ross Stores closed up more than +2% after reporting Q3 EPS of $1.48, stronger than the consensus of $1.40, and raising its 2025 EPS forecast to $6.10-$6.17 from a previous forecast of $6.00-$6.13, the midpoint above the consensus of $6.13.
Nike closed up more than +2% after Needham & Co. initiated coverage on the stock with a buy recommendation and a price target of $84.
Viking Therapeutics closed up more than +1% after B Riley Securities initiated coverage of the stock with a recommendation of buy and a price target of $109.
Intuit closed down more than -5% to lead losers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 after forecasting Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.55-$2.61, well below the consensus of $3.23.
Nvidia closed down more than -3% to lead losers in the Dow Jones Industrials after the company’s forecast for Q4 revenue exceeded estimates by only $400 million, the second consecutive quarter that revenue didn’t exceed estimates by $1 billion or more, suggesting the recent hyper-growth of the stock is fading.
Palo Alto Networks closed down more than -3% after HSBC downgraded the stock to reduce from hold with a price target of $291.
Alphabet closed down more than -1%, adding to Thursday’s -4% loss after the US Justice Department proposed major changes to Google, including a forced sale of its Chrome web browser, saying the browser “fortified” the company’s dominance.
Reddit closed down more than -7% after Downdetector reported that users are having problems connecting to Reddit’s website.
Tenet Healthcare closed down more than -2% after Raymond James downgraded the stock to outperform from a strong buy.
HCA Healthcare closed down more than -2% after Raymond James downgraded the stock to market perform from outperform.
Earnings Reports (11/25/2024)
Agilent Technologies Inc (A), Bath & Body Works Inc (BBWI), Blue Bird Corp (BLBD), Central Garden & Pet Co (CENT), Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc (ENTA), Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC), Leslie's Inc (LESL), New Jersey Resources Corp (NJR), Semtech Corp (SMTC), Woodward Inc (WWD), Zoom Video Communications Inc (ZM).
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policyhere.
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