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Remarks of Officials
In the world of mankind, there will not be a statement without any position, nor a remark without any purpose.
Central Bank
Inflation, exchange rates, and the economy shape the policy decisions of central banks; the attitudes and words of central bank officials also influence the actions of market traders.
Forex
Money makes the world go round and currency is a permanent commodity. The forex market is full of surprises and expectations.
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Risk Warning on Trading HK Stocks
Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.
HK Stock Trading Fees and Taxation
Trading costs in the Hong Kong stock market include transaction fees, stamp duty, settlement charges, and currency conversion fees for foreign investors. Additionally, taxes may apply based on local regulations.
HK Non-Essential Consumer Goods Industry
The Hong Kong stock market encompasses non-essential consumption sectors like automotive, education, tourism, catering, and apparel. Of the 643 listed companies, 35% are mainland Chinese, making up 65% of the total market capitalization. Thus, it's heavily influenced by the Chinese economy.
HK Real Estate Industry
In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.
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[Arthur Hayes Self-assessed That The Accuracy Of Market Predictions Is Only 25%] Arthur Hayes, Co-founder Of BitMEX, Recently Revealed That His Market Prediction Success Rate Is Only 25%, And He Was Correct Only 2 Out Of 8 Predictions In The Past Year. In His New Article, He Said That Despite The Poor Performance Of Short-term Predictions, He Remained Profitable By Paying Attention To Macroeconomic Trends. Hayes Used A Baseball Analogy To Describe The Accuracy Of His Predictions In His Blog, Admitting That "a Batting Average Of 25%" Is Very Bad For Ordinary People. His Self-report Covers Key Market Forecasts From November 2023 To September 2024, Including Treasury Issuance, Banking Crises, Cryptocurrency Price Trends, And Central Bank Policies. Despite Acknowledging The Challenges Of Short-term Predictions, Hayes Reiterated His Belief In The "volatility Super Cycle" Theory, Believing That This Theory Will Support His Long-term Optimistic Expectations For The Future Market
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