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Inflation, exchange rates, and the economy shape the policy decisions of central banks; the attitudes and words of central bank officials also influence the actions of market traders.
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Risk Warning on Trading HK Stocks
Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.
HK Stock Trading Fees and Taxation
Trading costs in the Hong Kong stock market include transaction fees, stamp duty, settlement charges, and currency conversion fees for foreign investors. Additionally, taxes may apply based on local regulations.
HK Non-Essential Consumer Goods Industry
The Hong Kong stock market encompasses non-essential consumption sectors like automotive, education, tourism, catering, and apparel. Of the 643 listed companies, 35% are mainland Chinese, making up 65% of the total market capitalization. Thus, it's heavily influenced by the Chinese economy.
HK Real Estate Industry
In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.
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【CICC: The US economy is heading for a soft landing, and the Fed does not need to cut interest rates significantly for the time being】 on October 31, CICC Research Report stated that the U.S. real GDP in the third quarter of 2024 will be 2.8% year-on-year, slightly lower than the market expectation of 3.0%, and a slight decline from the 3.0% in the second quarter, but it is still a brilliant answer. In terms of sub-items, personal consumption expenditures are strong, corporate equipment investment is expanding, and exports and government spending are accelerating, indicating that U.S. economic growth is still healthy. Relatively weak are real estate investment and construction investment, indicating that high interest rates are still having a suppressive effect. In addition, inflation further declined in the third quarter, which means that the U.S. economy is heading for a soft landing. We believe that the Federal Reserve does not need to cut interest rates significantly for the time being. It is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. Whether to skip the interest rate cut in December will depend on the progress of inflation.
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