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Brent crude oil price drops further amid expected restrained Israeli response to Iran’s missile attack as silver, US wheat prices soften amid strengthening US dollar.
Foreign direct investment (FDI) into Indonesia rose 18.55% in the third quarter from a year earlier to 232.65 trillion rupiah (US$14.94 billion or RM64.4 billion), the investment ministry said on Tuesday.
That compares with a 16.6% annual increase in the second quarter. The data excludes investment in the financial and oil and gas sectors.
FDI has been rising in Southeast Asia's biggest economy, particularly in the mining and metal refining sectors, since it banned exports of nickel ore in 2020 as part of the government's efforts to attract investors in the electric vehicle (EV) supply chain.
In the July-September quarter, the base metal industry received US$3.03 billion of investment, transportation, warehousing and telecommunication received US$2.02 billion, and mining recorded US$1.56 billion of investment.
"The main contributors of FDI came from the downstreaming programme," said Investment Minister Rosan Roeslani, referring to the government's efforts to attract investment in the processing of Indonesia's rich natural resources.
Singapore, Hong Kong and China were the biggest sources of FDI.
With investment from domestic sources, there was a total of 431.48 trillion rupiah of direct investment in the third quarter.
Examples of large investment in the period include the completion of copper smelters operated by Freeport-McMoran's Indonesian unit and local miner Amman Mineral Internasional, the minister said.
FDI launches by a South Korean firm and a Chinese company in EV battery making are expected, said Rosan, who was appointed as investment minister in August, without naming the companies.
His predecessor, Bahlil Lahadalia, said in July that South Korea's LG Energy Solution would launch its cathode factory in Central Java later this year, and China's Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt would start producing battery precursor in north Maluku next year.
Carmakers BYD an Stellantis have also each secured a tax break for their planned investment to produce EVs in Indonesia, Rosan said, without providing a timeline.
Palm oil prices are expected to remain stable above RM4,000 per metric tonne in October despite ongoing uncertainty in the market, state agency Malaysian Palm Oil Council (MPOC) said on Tuesday.
The MPOC said a sharp decline in palm oil inventories in Malaysia would keep prices high, however, weak energy prices, a supply surplus of soybean oil and palm oil's price premium over soft oils may cap the rally.
"Key factors influencing palm oil's supply and demand as we head into the final quarter of 2024 include India's palm oil inventory levels, Indonesia's B40 biodiesel policy and the global production and consumption trends of the four major vegetable oils in 2025," the MPOC said in a statement.
Malaysia's benchmark crude palm oil futures are currently trading at six-month highs.
The MPOC said from January to September this year, Malaysia's palm oil production rose 8.7% to 1.15 million tonnes, while exports increased 12.9% to 1.41 million tonnes.
"The growth in exports outpaced production by 260,000 tonnes in the first nine months of 2024, resulting in a year-on-year decline in palm oil inventory, which stood at 2.01 million tonnes as of September 2024."
Lower palm oil stocks at Indian ports suggest that India, the world's biggest importer of edible oils, will likely increase palm oil imports ahead of the festive season, with an estimated 700,000 tonnes in October, the MPOC said.
Meanwhile, Indonesia's decision to raise its biodiesel mandate will further tighten available palm oil supplies for export, it added.
Starlink boss Elon Musk said a move by India to auction satellite broadband spectrum, and not allocate it, would be "unprecedented", reacting to a Reuters story that rival billionaire Mukesh Ambani was lobbying for the auction route.
In what is seen as a battle between the two billionaires, Starlink argues administrative allotment of licences is in line with a global trend, while Ambani's Reliance says an auction is needed for a level playing field as foreign players could offer voice and data services and compete with traditional telecom players.
On Sunday, Reuters reported Ambani's Reliance has argued India's telecom regulator has incorrectly concluded that home satellite broadband spectrum should be allocated and not auctioned, without seeking industry feedback, and the consultation process must start afresh.
Reacting to the news, Musk wrote on X that any such decision to auction as Reliance is lobbying for "would be unprecedented."
"This spectrum was long designated by the ITU as shared spectrum for satellites," he wrote late on Monday on X, referring to the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), a specialised UN agency for digital technology.
India is a member of the ITU and signatory to its treaty that regulates satellite spectrum and advocates that allocation must be done "rationally, efficiently and economically" as it's a "limited natural resource."
Reliance did not respond to a request for comment on Tuesday. It has previously told Reuters it is "imperative" upon the Indian regulator to consult on the methodology of spectrum assignment.
The methodology of giving out spectrum for satellite services in India — a market set to grow 36% a year to reach US$1.9 billion (RM8.2 billion) by 2030 — has been a contentious issue since last year.
Musk's Starlink and global peers like Amazon's Project Kuiper back an administrative allocation, saying it is a natural resource that should be shared by companies. Ambani, Asia's wealthiest man, is arguing for an auction process.
Reliance's latest lobbying move in India has intensified a face-off with Musk who wants to launch Starlink services in India but has voted for the spectrum allocation route, in which the government simply assigns spectrum to the companies.
An Indian government source told Reuters on Sunday the regulator was following due process of consultation.
The likelihood of a La Nina weather event in coming months has decreased, Australia's weather bureau said on Tuesday, adding that if the phenomenon did appear, it would be weak and short-lived.
The development of La Nina and its opposite, El Nino, are of huge importance to global agriculture, with La Nina typically increasing rainfall in eastern Australia, Southeast Asia and India and reducing rainfall in the Americas.
"The chance of a La Nina event developing in the coming months has decreased," the Australian Bureau of Meteorology said in a two-weekly update.
The bureau said its in-house climate model suggests La Nina will not develop and four of the six other climate models it surveys now agree.
La Nina and El Nino are caused by the cooling and warming of sea surface temperatures off western South America.
"If a La Nina were to develop, it is forecast to be relatively weak (in terms of the strength of the sea surface temperature anomaly) and short-lived, with all models forecasting neutral values in February," the bureau said.
Other meteorologists have also become less confident that a La Nina will appear.
A US government forecaster said last week there was a 60% chance of a La Nina emerging by the end of November that would persist through January-March 2025. A month earlier, it said there was a 71% chance of a La Nina forming.
India’s power ministry unveiled a plan to revamp its power grid to accommodate a large renewable expansion through 2032.
The project, estimated to cost 9.15 trillion rupees (US$109 billion or RM469.26 billion), will help integrate 500GW of renewable power by the end of the decade, a more than two-fold increase from now, the ministry said in a statement on Monday.
Transmission constraints have emerged as a key obstacle for the growth of renewable energy the world over, with a spurt in demand causing delayed deliveries and surging prices of grid equipment.
To help buffer supply and price shocks, India should foster local manufacturing of critical transmission equipment, Federal Power Secretary Pankaj Agarwal said at a conference in New Delhi on Monday (Oct 14). The cost of equipment is set to rise more than 14% a year from now, he said.
Post 2030, the country expects to add another 100GW of clean capacity to the mix in the following two years, reaching 600 gigawatts by 2032. The plan aims to increase India’s transmission capacity by 35% by the same year, according to a statement from the ministry of power.
Renewables are not the only energy source in need of more transmission lines in India. The country is also planning to add coal and nuclear power plants, all of which will put further pressure on the grid.
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