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In Tuesday’s trading, 239 stocks hit 52-week highs, eight of which were asset managers. That was four times the number of U.S.-listed stocks that hit 52-week lows.
Stocktwits shows that of the eight asset managers hitting 52-week highs, four have less than 1,000 Stocktwit followers, which suggests that not enough of the retail crowd has caught on to these stocks despite hitting 52-week highs.
Of the four with less than 1,000 Stocktwit followers, these three are excellent long-term buys. Here’s why.
Cohen & Steers
Cohen & Steers is a global investment manager specializing in real assets and alternative income investments. It offers open-end funds, institutional accounts and closed-end funds.
One of its most popular ETFs is the iShares Cohen & Steers REIT ETF, which has $2.31 billion in net assets. It invests in large real estate REITs such as Prologis and Equinix . The ETF tracks the performance of the Cohen & Steers Realty Majors Index, a collection of approximately 30 real estate companies.
As of Aug. 31, it had $88.1 billion in AUM (assets under management), up $3.5 billion from the end of July. After several years of net outflows—$3.6 billion in net outflows in 2022 and 2023—it managed to generate net inflows of $8 million, a sign the commercial real estate market might be bottoming.
In the second quarter ended June 30, its revenue fell 0.8% to $121.7 million, while its adjusted net income decreased by 0.3% to $34.5 million.
Thanks to a 49% gain over the past year, Cohen & Steers stock is now within $7.12 of its Nov. 8, 2021, all-time high of $101.22. The company has hit a 52-week high on 23 occasions in the past year, yesterday being the latest.
Only 131 people follow Cohen & Steers at Stocktwits, compared to 12,382 for Blackstone , the world’s largest alternative asset manager.
If you believe in real estate, CNS is an excellent long-term play.
Victory Capital Holdings
Victory Capital Holdings is a global asset manager with $172.1 billion in AUM as of July 31. The company does a little of everything, acting as a boutique asset manager and providing a fully integrated, centralized operating and distribution platform.
Since going public in 2018, it’s grown tremendously through organic revenue and four strategic acquisitions: USAA Asset Management Company, THB Asset Management, New Energy Capital, and WestEnd Advisors.
As a result, its AUM has increased by over $100 billion. Its scale has pushed operating margins 12 percentage points higher over the five years. The additional cash flow has allowed it to increase its investments in its business, generating even more profits in the process.
Since Q1 2022, it’s been busy buying back its shares. At the end of Q1 2022, it had 74 million shares outstanding. At the end of Q2 2024, it was 66 million, 11% lower in just nine quarters.
As of June 30, its adjusted EBITDA margin was 53.0%, 210 basis points higher than a year ago. So, even if it grows quarterly revenues by less than double digits, it’s still been able to boost its profitability.
Ten analysts cover its stock, with five rating it a Buy and a $57 target price, higher than where it currently trades.
It has slightly more Stocktwit followers at 246. It has hit a 52-week high 48 times over the past year, with 45 in 2024. Unsurprisingly, its shares are up 61% year-to-date.
Brookfield Corporation
Brookfield Corporation is one of my favorite financial services companies. CEO Bruce Flatt has worked at Brookfield for a long time -- he joined the company in 1990 and became CEO in 2002. When he became CEO, it was still called Brascan Corporation, a company whose history dates back to 1899.
It became Brookfield Corporation in December 2022 when it spun off its asset management business into an independent, publicly traded company, Brookfield Asset Management . It continues to own 75% of this business. It also owns a percentage of four other spinoffs: Brookfield Infrastructure Partners , Brookfield Renewable Partners , Brookfield Business Partners , and Brookfield Reinsurance.
Brookfield is currently in discussions with Canada’s largest pension funds and the Canadian federal government to create a $50-billion fund that it would manage to invest in Canadian assets.
The pensions would commit $36 billion, the federal government $10 billion, and Brookfield the other $4 billion. While it’s still early in discussions, the fund would enable the Canadian pension funds to increase their participation in the domestic market, something critics have pointed out as a flaw in an otherwise excellent investing model that’s served Canadian pensioners well.
Even though the company has offices all over the world and Bruce Flatt spends much of his time in New York and London, Brookfield remains surprisingly unknown. Despite its $83 billion market cap, it has just 755 Stocktwit followers.
If I could only buy one, Brookfield would be it without question.
On the date of publication, Will Ashworth did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
Friday, September 13, 2024
The Zacks Research Daily presents the best research output of our analyst team. Today's Research Daily features new research reports on 16 major stocks, including Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ), Prologis, Inc. (PLD) and Medtronic plc (MDT), as well as a micro-cap stock Crimson Wine Group, Ltd. (CWGL). The Zacks microcap research is unique as our research content on these small and under-the-radar companies is the only research of its type in the country.
These research reports have been hand-picked from the roughly 70 reports published by our analyst team today.
You can see all of today’s research reports here >>>
Shares of Verizon have gained +22.2% over the year-to-date period against the Zacks Wireless National industry’s gain of +27.7%. The company is likely to benefit from the deployment of a cloud-native, container-based, virtualized architecture for higher flexibility, scalability and cost efficiency across its network.
Customer-focused planning, disciplined engineering and steady infrastructure investments are tailwinds. Various mix-and-match pricing plans in both wireless and home broadband divisions have led to solid client additions.
However, lower wireline and wireless equipment revenues are major concerns. Huge promotional expenses and lucrative discounts to expand customer base are weighing on margins. High capital expenditure for continuous network upgrade and fiber deployment is a headwind. A muted guidance for 2024 is worrisome.
(You can read the full research report on Verizon here >>>)
Prologis’ shares have gained +7.9% over the past year period against the Zacks REIT and Equity Trust - Other industry’s gain of +25.7%. The company is well-poised to gain from its portfolio of strategically located industrial facilities in some of the world’s busiest distribution markets. Strategic buyouts and development activities appear promising.
For 2024, we project rental revenues to rise 10.4% year over year. Its scale drives efficiency and a solid balance sheet strength aids its growth endeavors. Industrial real estate market demand is healthy and this trend is expected to continue in the near term. Also, the shrink in the construction pipeline augurs well.
However, amid a volatile environment and geopolitical issues, customers remain focused on cost controls and delaying their leasing decisions. As such, net absorptions are likely to be affected. High interest rates remain a concern. Our estimate indicates a 12.2% year-over-year rise in interest expenses in 2024.t
(You can read the full research report on Prologis here >>>)
Shares of Medtronic have gained +13.6% over the past year against the Zacks Medical - Products industry’s gain of +20.2%. The company is strategically expanding its global presence to address the unmet demand for advanced medical devices. Within Cardiovascular, Medtronic is gaining market share, banking on product launches in CRM and Structural Heart.
Hypertension has brought up multibillion-dollar opportunities for MDT. In MedSurg, Medtronic is scaling the production of Hugo RAS. The Surgical and Neuroscience portfolios continues to contribute positively. Further, the company’s Pacing business continued to drive strong growth banking on strong global growth of its Micra leadless pacemaker.
Innovations and market expansion efforts are helping it offset the impact of the inflation and supply disruptions. Medtronic’s strong liquidity position should allow it to meet its near-term debt obligations. All these factors support our bullish stance on the stock.
(You can read the full research report on Medtronic here >>>)
Crimson Wine’s shares have outperformed the Zacks Beverages - Alcohol industry over the year-to-date period (+0.9% vs. -6.2%). This microcap company with market capitalization of $123.36 million presents a compelling case for investment with its strong portfolio of premium wine estates, including brands like Pine Ridge and Archery Summit, which benefit from sustained demand in the luxury segment.
Crimson Wine boasts a robust balance sheet, with $16.86 million in cash and low debt. Effective cost management, reduced inventory write-downs and a focus on high-margin direct-to-consumer sales bolster the investment thesis.
However, risks include declining sales in both wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels, which fell 5% and 4% year over year, respectively, in second-quarter 2024. Rising operating expenses, increased share repurchases amid falling cash reserves, and exposure to climate risks also weigh on the outlook. Lastly, Crimson is vulnerable to inflation, market conditions and fluctuations in consumer demand for premium wines.
(You can read the full research report on Crimson Wine here >>>)
Other noteworthy reports we are featuring today include Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), The Boeing Co. (BA) and Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM).
Mark Vickery
Senior Editor
Note: Sheraz Mian heads the Zacks Equity Research department and is a well-regarded expert of aggregate earnings. He is frequently quoted in the print and electronic media and publishes the weekly Earnings Trends and Earnings Preview reports. If you want an email notification each time Sheraz publishes a new article, please click here>>>
Today's Must Read
Verizon (VZ) Rides on Solid Nationwide Connectivity Landscape
Healthy Demand to Help Prologis (PLD) Amid E-commerce Growth
Medtronic (MDT) Core Wings Expand, Cardiovascular Sales Rise
Featured Reports
Prime Momentum & Growing AWS Adoption Benefit Amazon (AMZN)
Per the Zacks analyst, Amazon is benefiting from Prime enabled fast delivery services and robust content portfolio. Further, its strengthening cloud offerings are aiding the adoption rate of AWS.
Rising Air Traffic Aids Boeing (BA), Labor Shortage Woes
Per the Zacks analyst, improving air passenger traffic as well as increasing fiscal defense budget are expected to boost Boeing's growth. Yet shortage of skilled labor remains a concern.
Strategic Plans Aid Yum! Brands (YUM), High Expenses Hurt
Per the Zacks analyst, Yum! Brands is benefiting from its focus on digitalization, increased unit growth, menu innovation and loyalty program. However, increased expenses mar prospects.
Pricing Actions Aid Avery Dennison (AVY) Amid High Costs
Per the Zacks analyst, pricing actions, productivity initiatives and cost-saving actions bode well for Avery Dennison despite elevated raw material costs.
Southwestern's (SWN) Focus on Appalachia & Haynesville Aids
Southwestern's merger with Chesapeake should boost its production by combining large, high-quality acreage in Appalachia and Haynesville. However, its high debt exposure concerns the Zacks analyst.
Rezdiffra Sales Boosts Madrigal (MDGL), Narrow Pipeline a Woe
Per the Zacks Analyst, the approval of Rezdiffra for NASH is a huge boost for Madrigal ensuring a regular revenue stream. However, the lack of a deep pipeline is a woe.
Motive Power Segment Drives EnerSys (ENS) Amid Forex Woes
Per the Zacks analyst, EnerSys is benefiting from strength in Motive Power unit, driven by robust demand in automation and electrification markets. Forex woes remain concerning for the company.
New Upgrades
Energizer (ENR) Project Momentum Initiative Seems Promising
Per the Zacks analyst, Energizer's Project Momentum has significantly contributed to operational efficiencies, delivering substantial cost savings and margin improvements in third-quarter fiscal 2024.
Abercrombie's (ANF) Brands & Other Efforts Look Robust
Per the Zacks analyst, continued momentum across Abercrombie's both brands bolstered sales in second-quarter fiscal 2024. Sales improved 26% year over year at Abercrombie brand and 17% at Hollister.
AXIS Capital (AXS) Set to Grow on Improved Portfolio Mix
Per the Zacks analyst, AXIS Capital continues to build on Specialty Insurance, Reinsurance plus Accident and Health. Improved portfolio mix and effective capital deployment should pave way for growth.
New Downgrades
Competition and Operational Weakness Hurt Robert Half (RHI)
Per the Zacks analyst, Robert Half faces tough competition in terms of price and reliability of service. Weak operational performance is an overhang.
Stiff Regulatory Rules for CONMED (CNMD) Products Worrying
Per the Zacks analyst, substantially all of CONMED's products are classified as class II medical devices subject to strict regulations, which can lead to sudden restrictions thereby hampering sales.
Werner (WERN) Continues to Grapple With Weak Freight Market
The Zacks Analyst believes that as a result of the weakness in the freight market, management gave a bearish 2024 guidance regarding the Truckload Transportation Services segment.
Zacks Investment Research
NEW YORK, Sep 13 (LPC) - Healthcare software company Netsmart Technologies has obtained US$2.375bn in debt financing from a group of direct lenders, according to two sources.
Golub Capital led the transaction. Blackstone also participated.
The transaction involved a dividend, according to a source.
In October 2020, Netsmart obtained a US$915m term loan B and a US$100m revolver to repay existing debt and fund an acquisition. The term loan, led by Goldman Sachs, finalized at 400bp over Libor with a 0.75% floor and an original issue discount of 99.5 cents on the dollar.
((April Joyner: +1 973 714 8647, april.joyner@lseg.com, Twitter: @aprjoy, @LPCLoans ))
(c) Copyright Refinitiv
Prologis PLD is well-poised to benefit from its portfolio of strategically located modern logistics facilities in some of the world’s busiest distribution markets and substantial scale. Strategic buyouts and development activities appear promising. A solid balance sheet aids its growth endeavors.
However, the choppiness in the industrial real estate market and subdued demand remain a concern for Prologis. High borrowing expenses amid elevated interest rates add to its woes.
What’s Aiding Prologis?
Prologis provides logistics real estate in some of the busiest distribution markets across the globe. The properties of the company are typically located in large, supply-constrained infill markets near airports, seaports and ground transportation facilities, which facilitates rapid distribution of customers’ products. The solid demand for Prologis’ strategically located facilities is a key driving force for its healthy operating performance.
Despite the slowdown in the industrial real estate market, the average occupancy level in Prologis’ owned and managed portfolio was 96.1% in the second quarter. For 2024, management has maintained its previous guidance range for average occupancy in the band of 95.75-96.75%. We estimate occupancy to be 96.3%.
Prologis continues to bolster its presence in high-barrier, high-growth markets through strategic acquisitions and development activities. Its investments over the years comprise a wide array, including the largest M&A transactions in the real estate sector and individual off-market deals below $5 million. For 2024, the company anticipates acquisitions at Prologis share between $1.0 and $1.5 billion and development starts in the range of $2.5-$3.0 billion.
Prologis maintains a healthy balance sheet position with ample flexibility. As of June 30, 2024, this industrial REIT had a total available liquidity of $6.45 billion. The company's weighted average interest rate on its share of the total debt was 3.1%, with a weighted average term of 9.3 years. The company’s credit ratings as of June 30, 2024 were A3 (Outlook Positive) from Moody’s and A (Outlook Stable) from Standard & Poor’s, enabling PLD to borrow at an advantageous rate. Given its balance sheet strength and prudent financial management, the company is well-poised to capitalize on long-term growth opportunities.
Solid dividend payouts are arguably the biggest enticements for REIT shareholders, and Prologis is committed to that. In the last five years, Prologis has increased its dividend five times, and its five-year annualized dividend growth rate is 14.31%. Given the company’s solid operating platform, opportunities for growth, a decent financial position compared with the industry, this dividend rate is expected to be sustainable over the near term. Check Prologis’ dividend history here.
What’s Hurting Prologis?
In a volatile and persistently high interest rate environment and geopolitical concerns, customers remain focused on cost controls and delaying their decisions concerning decision-making for leasing. As such, demand remains subdued, and this trend is expected to continue in the near term.
Recovery in the industrial market has continued for long, and the growth of e-commerce sales is likely to stabilize to some extent in the upcoming quarters. Any robust performance is unlikely in the near term.
A high interest rate environment implies high borrowing costs for the company, affecting its ability to purchase or develop real estate. PLD’s consolidated debt as of June 30, 2024 was $29.9 billion. For 2024, our estimate indicates a 12.2% year-over-year increase in the company’s interest expenses.
Shares of Prologis have rallied 16% over the past three months, underperforming the industry’s growth of 18.8%. PLD currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
Stocks to Consider
Some better-ranked stocks from the REIT sector are Cousins Properties CUZ and Lamar Advertising LAMR, each carrying a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cousins Properties’ 2024 FFO per share has been raised marginally over the past two months to $2.66.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lamar Advertising’s current-year FFO per share has moved marginally north in the past two months to $8.09.
Note: Anything related to earnings presented in this write-up represents funds from operations (FFO) — a widely used metric to gauge the performance of REITs.
Zacks Investment Research
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. TROW announced its preliminary assets under management (AUM) of $1.61 trillion for August 2024. The figure reflected a sequential increase of 1.6%.
TROW experienced net outflows of $5.3 billion in August 2024.
Breakdown of TROW’s AUM Performance
At the end of August, TROW’s equity products aggregated $825 billion, which increased 1.4% from the previous month’s level. Fixed income (including money market) rose marginally to $183 billion. Further, multi-asset products were $553 billion, which increased 2.2% from the previous month.
Alternative products of $51 billion increased 2% from the prior month’s level.
T. Rowe Price registered $474 billion in target date retirement portfolios in August 2024, which increased 2.2% from the prior month.
Our Take on TROW
The company’s solid AUM balance, broadening distribution reach and efforts to diversify business through acquisitions are likely to support its top-line growth in the long term. However, the company’s overdependence on investment advisory fees is concerning. Also, T. Rowe Price’s bottom-line growth continues to be under pressure due to high costs.
Over the past three months, shares of T. Rowe Price have lost 8.7% against the industry’s 6.9% growth.
Currently, TROW carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Performance of Other Asset Managers
Franklin Resources, Inc. BEN reported its preliminary AUM of $1.68 trillion as of Aug. 31, 2024. This reflected an increase of 1.1% from the prior month’s level.
The improvement in BEN’s AUM balance was due to the impact of positive markets, partially offset by long-term net outflows.
Cohen & Steers, Inc. CNS reported a preliminary AUM of $88.1 billion as of Aug. 31, 2024. This reflected a rise of 4.1% from the prior month's level.
The increase in CNS’ AUM balance was driven by the market appreciation of $3.7 billion and net inflows of $8 billion, partially offset by distributions of $152 million.
Zacks Investment Research
Equinix, Inc. , headquartered in Redwood City, California, operates as a real estate investment trust and is the world's digital infrastructure company. With a market cap of $82.3 billion, the company invests in interconnected data centers. Equinix focuses on developing network and cloud-neutral data center platforms for cloud and information technology, enterprises, network, and mobile services providers, as well as for financial companies.
Companies worth $10 billion or more are generally described as “large-cap stocks.” EQIX effortlessly fits that bill, with its market cap exceeding this mark, underscoring its size, influence, and dominance within the Specialty REIT industry. Equinix's vast global network of 250+ data centers in 71 markets creates a powerful "network effect," where each new customer adds value for existing ones, fostering a thriving digital marketplace. This expansive platform, spanning 33 countries and a vibrant partner ecosystem, drives customer growth and bookings, giving Equinix a significant competitive edge.
Despite its notable strengths, EQIX slipped 5% from its 17.2% gains during the same time frame.
In the longer term, shares of EQIX rose 7.9% on a YTD basis and climbed 12.4% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming XLRE’s YTD gains of 12.1% and 22.5% returns over the last year.
However, EQIX has traded above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages since early August.
On Aug. 7, EQIX shares closed down marginally after reporting its Q2 earnings results. Its funds from operations of $9.22 topped Wall Street estimates of $8.82. Its net income per share increased 43% year over year to $3.16. The company’s revenue was $2.2 billion, meeting Wall Street forecasts. EQIX expects full-year funds from operations to be between $34.67 and $35.30 and revenue to be between $8.7 billion and $8.8 billion.
In the competitive arena of Specialty REIT, Digital Realty Trust, Inc. has taken the lead over EQIX, showing resilience with a 19.3% uptick on a YTD basis and solid 22.6% gains over the past 52 weeks.
Wall Street analysts are highly bullish on EQIX’s prospects. The stock has a consensus “Strong Buy” rating from the 25 analysts covering it, and the mean price target of $907.48 suggests a potential upside of 4.5% from current price levels.
On the date of publication, Neha Panjwani did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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