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Affirm Holdings, Inc. AFRM recently announced that its payment services are now available to Apple Pay users in the United States on the iPhone and iPad. Investors have been eagerly waiting for this news since June. This integration will allow eligible U.S. users to split their purchases into biweekly or monthly payments, leveraging Affirm's buy now, pay later (BNPL) services.
This move provides Apple Pay users the ability to check out online or in-app with flexible payment plans, including 0% APR options for some purchases. Affirm's services will initially be available to users with devices running iOS 18 and iPadOS 18 or later. The move enhances AFRM's reach by offering flexibility while maintaining the security and privacy features of Apple Pay.
The rollout of its partnership with Apple, done in a controlled manner to reduce risks, is expected to boost AFRM’s addressable market size. Impacts on its profits from this move are expected to be gradual.
The BNPL sector is experiencing rapid growth, and Affirm is quickly expanding its market share to capitalize on this trend. It has already crossed the 300,000 active merchant milestone and is expected to continue the momentum in the coming days.
Unlocking the repeat customer transaction barrier is expected to drive Affirm's transaction growth, helping it meet its goals. Affirm aims to achieve profitability in operating income on a GAAP basis by the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, with transaction momentum playing a key role in reaching this target. It expects a GMV of more than $33.5 billion in fiscal 2025, up from $26.6 billion in fiscal 2024. The adjusted operating margin is estimated to be higher than 18.4%, up from 16% in fiscal 2024.
AFRM’s Stock Price Performance
AFRM shares have rallied 44.3% in the past three months, outperforming the industry average of 7.6%.
Affirm’s Zacks Rank & Other Key Picks
AFRM currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). Investors can look at some other top-ranked stocks from the broader Business Services space like Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. FIS, Paysign, Inc. PAYS and Remitly Global, Inc. RELY.While Fidelity National currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), Paysign and Remitly Global each carry a Zacks Rank #2. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Fidelity National’s current-year earnings indicates a 50.7% year-over-year jump. FIS beat earnings estimates in two of the trailing four quarters and missed twice. The consensus estimate for current-year revenues is pegged at $10.2 billion.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Paysign’s current-year bottom line indicates 75% year-over-year growth. The consensus estimate for PAYS’ current-year top line is pegged at $58 million, suggesting 22.6% year-over-year growth.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Remitly Global’s current-year earnings indicates a 53.9% year-over-year improvement. RELY beat earnings estimates in two of the trailing four quarters and missed twice, with an average surprise of 8%. The consensus estimate for current-year revenues calls for 31.8% year-over-year growth.
Zacks Investment Research
The Business Services group has plenty of great stocks, but investors should always be looking for companies that are outperforming their peers. Paysign, Inc. (PAYS) is a stock that can certainly grab the attention of many investors, but do its recent returns compare favorably to the sector as a whole? A quick glance at the company's year-to-date performance in comparison to the rest of the Business Services sector should help us answer this question.
Paysign, Inc. is one of 317 individual stocks in the Business Services sector. Collectively, these companies sit at #6 in the Zacks Sector Rank. The Zacks Sector Rank includes 16 different groups and is listed in order from best to worst in terms of the average Zacks Rank of the individual companies within each of these sectors.
The Zacks Rank is a proven system that emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions, highlighting a variety of stocks that are displaying the right characteristics to beat the market over the next one to three months. Paysign, Inc. is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy).
Over the past 90 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for PAYS' full-year earnings has moved 10.5% higher. This shows that analyst sentiment has improved and the company's earnings outlook is stronger.
According to our latest data, PAYS has moved about 54.6% on a year-to-date basis. Meanwhile, the Business Services sector has returned an average of 14.2% on a year-to-date basis. This shows that Paysign, Inc. is outperforming its peers so far this year.
Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. (RCRRF) is another Business Services stock that has outperformed the sector so far this year. Since the beginning of the year, the stock has returned 45.8%.
For Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. the consensus EPS estimate for the current year has increased 16.2% over the past three months. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
To break things down more, Paysign, Inc. belongs to the Financial Transaction Services industry, a group that includes 42 individual companies and currently sits at #66 in the Zacks Industry Rank. On average, stocks in this group have gained 12.3% this year, meaning that PAYS is performing better in terms of year-to-date returns.
In contrast, Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. falls under the Business - Information Services industry. Currently, this industry has 10 stocks and is ranked #89. Since the beginning of the year, the industry has moved +16.5%.
Investors with an interest in Business Services stocks should continue to track Paysign, Inc. and Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. These stocks will be looking to continue their solid performance.
Zacks Investment Research
Reporter Name | Watson Noel Bertram |
Relationship | Director |
Type | Sell |
Amount | $106,100 |
SEC Filing | Form 4 |
Noel Bertram Watson, a Director at Affirm Holdings, sold 2,500 shares of Class A Common Stock on September 13, 2024, at a price of $42.44 per share, totaling $106,100. Following the transaction, Watson directly owns 40,982 shares of the company. The sale was conducted under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted on June 14, 2024.
SEC Filing: Affirm Holdings, Inc. [ AFRM ] - Form 4 - Sep. 16, 2024
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY), one of the world’s largest pharmaceutical companies, boasts a diversified product profile. Lilly has consistently reported strong revenues and profits. It has seen unparalleled success with its GLP-1 drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound. Despite a short time on the market, they have become key top-line drivers for Lilly, with demand rising rapidly. In the past couple of years, Lilly has received approvals for several new drugs like Kisunla, Omvoh and Jaypirca and witnessed pipeline and regulatory success. Its new drugs have been contributing significantly to its top-line growth in 2024. Lilly is also making rapid pipeline progress in areas like obesity, diabetes and Alzheimer’s.Estimates for Eli Lilly’s 2024 earnings have risen from $15.77 to $16.49 per share over the past 30 days. For 2025, the bottom-line estimate has risen from $22.19 to $23.97 over the same time frame. Year to date, Lilly’s shares have risen 60.3%. The stock has outperformed the industry so far this year.
Affirm Holdings (AFRM) is an emerging growth company. They are building the next generation platform for digital and mobile-first commerce.In late August, AFRM reported a 69% EPS beat for Q4 and the company raised Q1, as well as FY25 revenue guidance. Since reporting earnings, analysts have been lifting their earnings estimates and price targets. Affirm has shown strong growth potential, with management's focus on achieving profitability and expanding its market presence. In the past six months, shares of Affirm have gained 24.9% compared with 0.5% growth of the industry it belongs to. Shares have surged in the past year compared with the industry’s growth. It has also outperformed the broader Zacks Business Services sector’s rise and the S&P 500’s increase in the said time frame. The company has been benefiting on the back of an expanding buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) market, advanced risk assessment technology and merchant partnership growth. It has a market cap of $12.5 billion.
Zacks Investment Research
Market volatility cratered last week as stocks bounced back from one of their worst weeks of the year. With the Fed rates decision looming, we could see volatility pick up this week.
That could mean it’s a good time to look for stock with a low implied volatility percentile.
A lot of stock are showing a low implied volatility percentile.
Pfizer for example, is showing implied volatility of 21% compared to a twelve-month low of 18% and a twelve-month high of 34%.
Implied volatility percentile is one of the most common metrics used when trading options.
IV Percentile is a measure of implied volatility where current implied volatility is compared to the range of implied volatilities in this past.
This comparison is made on the same stock.
For example, Palantir’s IV percentile takes the current implied volatility and compares it to the past implied volatilities Palantir has had.
This is then made into a percentage ranging from 0-100%.
A percentage of zero would depict a stock is currently at the lowest level of implied volatility it has been during the lookback period.
In contrast, an IV percentile of 100% illustrates that the stock is trading at its highest level of implied volatility.
To get a true picture of stocks with a low implied volatility percentile, we can use the Stock Screener.
Using the Stock Screener to Find Low Volatility Stocks
Using the Stock Screener, we can set the following filters to find stocks with low implied volatility percentile.
This screener gives us the following stocks ranked from lowest IV Percentile to highest:
Fidelity National Information Services
Here is the full list:
How To Use IV Percentile
As a general rule, when implied volatility percentile is low, it’s better to focus on long volatility trades such as debit spreads, long straddles and long strangles.
It also makes sense to compare a stock’s current IV Percentile to the market in general. If all stocks are showing low IV Percentile, then there might not be much of an edge in buying volatility on a specific stock. But, if general market implied volatility is high, that could be a good time to buy cheap volatility in some of the names above.
It’s also a good idea to keep an eye on the upcoming earnings dates as stocks can make big moves following earnings announcements.
Please remember that options are risky, and investors can lose 100% of their investment. This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
On the date of publication, Gavin McMaster had a position in: BABA . All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
Reporter Name | Quarles Christa S |
Relationship | Director |
Type | Sell |
Amount | $576,288 |
SEC Filing | Form 4 |
Affirm Holdings Director, Quarles Christa S, sold 14,400 shares of Class A Common Stock on September 12, 2024, at a price of $40.02 per share, totaling $576,288. Following the transaction, Quarles directly owns 141,903 shares of Affirm Holdings.
SEC Filing: Affirm Holdings, Inc. [ AFRM ] - Form 4 - Sep. 13, 2024
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