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Dillard’s (DDS) is a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) that is a department store chain in the United States. It offers a wide range of products, including clothing, footwear, accessories, beauty products, home goods, and furniture. They focus on selling mid- to high-end brands and operate both physical stores and an online platform.
The stock continues to trend lower in 2024 and recently accelerated to the downside after reporting earnings.
Investors might be tempted to buy the dip, but analysts have been lowering estimates and the chart has a bearish look to it.
About the Company
Dillard’s was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Little Rock, Arkansas. The company employs about 30,000 employees and the stock market cap of $5.4 billion.
The company manages 273 Dillard’s locations, including 28 clearance stores, across 30 states. Additionally, it offers its merchandise online. The majority of its stores are situated in the Southwest, Southeast, and Midwest regions of the United States.
The stock holds Zacks Style Scores of “A” in Value, but “D” in both Growth and Momentum.
Q2 Earnings
In August, Dilliard's reported a 22% EPS miss for Q2. This was the first miss since 2020 when COVID was at its peak.
Revenue missed and same-store sales were down 5% y/y. Margins were also down y/y and inventory was unchanged.
Management expressed disappointment with the weak performance in the second quarter, citing a challenging consumer environment and rising expenses that impacted profitability. They are actively working to address these issues but noted that they ended the quarter with over $1 billion in cash and short-term investments.
Estimates Fall
Since earnings, analysts have cut earnings estimates sharply.
For the current quarter, the estimates have fallen from $7.35 to $6.47, or 12%.
The next quarter saw a similar drop, with numbers falling from $10.12 to $9.05, or 11%.
Looking at next year, analysts have dropped estimates by 11%, falling from $32.25 to $28.81.
With the falling estimates, analysts have been lowering price targets as well. UBS reiterated its sell rating and lowered its PT to $194. That is about 40% lower than current levels.
Technical Take
The stock is trading below all major moving averages. The 21-day is $347, the 50-day is $382 and the 200-day is $405. After the earnings report, the 50-day moved below the 200-day, a signal known as the “Death Cross”.
The stock has recently broken a Fibonacci support level just under $350. This breaks the long-term trend so investors should shy away from the name until the chart situation improves.
In Summary
Dillard’s recent struggles highlight serious challenges ahead, with disappointing earnings results and a bearish technical outlook.
The substantial cut in earnings estimates and the technical "Death Cross" signal suggest that the stock could face further declines. Investors should exercise caution and consider waiting for a clearer turnaround before reassessing the stock's potential.
For those interested in the space, a better option might be Khol’s (KSS). The stock is a Zacks Rank #3 (HOLD) that is coming off a 28% earnings beat.
Zacks Investment Research
For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – September 13, 2024 – Zacks Equity Research shares Affirm AFRM as the Bull of the Day and Dillard’s DDS as the Bear of the Day. In addition, Zacks Equity Research provides analysis on Chevron CVX, APA Corp. APA and ConocoPhillips COP.
Here is a synopsis of all five stocks.
Bull of the Day:
Affirm is a Zack Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and is a financial services company that offers "buy now, pay later" solutions, allowing customers to make purchases and pay over time.
The company provides flexible payment plans, including interest-free options, across various merchants.
The stock returned from the dead after a 68% EPS beat in late August. The former triple-digit high-flying stock started flying again as of late, moving from $32 to $45 in a few days.
Since the post-earnings up move the stock has pulled back as much as 20%. So, the question for investors is whether the momentum can continue and take out the recent highs.
About the Company
Affirm was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. The stock is valued at $12 billion, and the company employs 2,000.
Affirm offers point-of-sale payment solutions, merchant commerce tools, and a consumer app. Its platform, supported by bank and capital market partnerships, allows customers to pay over time.
The company serves a wide range of merchants, including small businesses, large enterprises, and omnichannel brands across industries like sporting goods, home, travel, electronics, fashion, and general merchandise.
The stock has a Zacks Style Score of “A” in Momentum and “B” in Growth. However, the stock has a “F” in Value, which certainly keeps value investors away.
Q4 Earnings
In late August, AFRM reported a 69% EPS beat for Q4. Revenues came in at $659M v the $599M and the company raised Q1, as well as FY25 revenue guidance.
GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume) came in at $7.2B up 31% y/y. Both total active merchants and consumers were higher quarter over quarter.
Affirm's management reflected on achieving their goal of adjusted operating income profitability by the end of FY23, reporting $15 million in Q4 and $381 million for FY24, with $150 million earned in the fourth quarter. Looking ahead, they set a new goal of achieving GAAP profitability by the fourth quarter of FY25 and maintaining it moving forward.
Despite GMV being just over 2% of U.S. and Canadian e-commerce, they see significant growth opportunities. Their focus for FY25 includes scaling the Affirm Card, enhancing consumer engagement with personalized incentives, expanding into the UK, and rolling out new integrations.
Estimates Rising
Since reporting earnings, analysts have been lifting their earnings estimates and price targets.
For the current quarter, estimates went from -$0.53 to -$0.38. For the next quarter, they improved from -$0.41 to -$0.36
For the current year, numbers have gone from -$1.46 a month ago to -$0.82
While estimates remain negative for this year, next year we see that analysts are looking for $0.39, up from negative $0.95 just 30 days ago.
Affirm Holdings, Inc. price-consensus-chart | Affirm Holdings, Inc. Quote
Since earnings, the stock has received several upgrades, including Barclays, which reiterated its Overweight rating and raised its price target from $41 to $50.
The Technical Take
When the stock IPO’s back in 2021, there was much excitement about the company. The stock IPO’d at $49 but opened significantly higher at $90.90. From there the stock climbed to $176.65.
However, a series of disappointing earnings reports, along with market weakness took the stock down in 2022. And in early 2023 the stock bottomed at $8.62.
Since that bottom, the stock made multiple attempts to return to its glory days. The rally in late 2023 helped the stock get to $50, but it fell back into the $20s again until the recent earnings report took AFRM back to $45.
This is a very volatile name, so an investor entry price is critical so let's go over some support areas.
The 200-day moving average is at $35.35.
The 21-day MA is $34.90.
The 50-day is $31.
The gap fill is $32.50.
Looking at Fibonacci levels can give us an upside target. The 61.8% level above $39, which can be found by drawing from February highs to August lows, has been broken by the bulls. The target is the 161.8% extension which is $66, or 60% above current trading levels.
In Summary
Affirm has shown strong growth potential, with management's focus on achieving profitability and expanding its market presence. With analysts raising estimates and multiple upgrades, Affirm's stock remains a high risk/reward play.
Strategic entry points and long-term vision could reward investors, but caution is needed given its past volatility and rapid price swings.
Bear of the Day:
Dillard’s is a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) that is a department store chain in the United States. It offers a wide range of products, including clothing, footwear, accessories, beauty products, home goods, and furniture. They focus on selling mid- to high-end brands and operate both physical stores and an online platform.
The stock continues to trend lower in 2024 and recently accelerated to the downside after reporting earnings.
Investors might be tempted to buy the dip, but analysts have been lowering estimates and the chart has a bearish look to it.
About the Company
Dillard’s was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Little Rock, Arkansas. The company employs about 30,000 employees and the stock market cap of $5.4 billion.
The company manages 273 Dillard’s locations, including 28 clearance stores, across 30 states. Additionally, it offers its merchandise online. The majority of its stores are situated in the Southwest, Southeast, and Midwest regions of the United States.
The stock holds Zacks Style Scores of “A” in Value, but “D” in both Growth and Momentum.
Q2 Earnings
In August, Dilliard's reported a 22% EPS miss for Q2. This was the first miss since 2020 when COVID was at its peak.
Revenue missed and same-store sales were down 5% y/y. Margins were also down y/y and inventory was unchanged.
Management expressed disappointment with the weak performance in the second quarter, citing a challenging consumer environment and rising expenses that impacted profitability. They are actively working to address these issues but noted that they ended the quarter with over $1 billion in cash and short-term investments.
Estimates Fall
Since earnings, analysts have cut earnings estimates sharply.
For the current quarter, the estimates have fallen from $7.35 to $6.47, or 12%.
The next quarter saw a similar drop, with numbers falling from $10.12 to $9.05, or 11%.
Looking at next year, analysts have dropped estimates by 11%, falling from $32.25 to $28.81.
With the falling estimates, analysts have been lowering price targets as well. UBS reiterated its sell rating and lowered its PT to $194. That is about 40% lower than current levels.
Technical Take
The stock is trading below all major moving averages. The 21-day is $347, the 50-day is $382 and the 200-day is $405. After the earnings report, the 50-day moved below the 200-day, a signal known as the “Death Cross”.
The stock has recently broken a Fibonacci support level just under $350. This breaks the long-term trend so investors should shy away from the name until the chart situation improves.
In Summary
Dillard’s recent struggles highlight serious challenges ahead, with disappointing earnings results and a bearish technical outlook.
The substantial cut in earnings estimates and the technical "Death Cross" signal suggest that the stock could face further declines. Investors should exercise caution and consider waiting for a clearer turnaround before reassessing the stock's potential.
Additional content:
CVX, APA, COP Stocks Hit 52-Week Lows as Oil Market Slides
The Oil/Energy market has been roiled by concerns over a slowdown in global economic activity, particularly the decline in fuel demand in China. The space has seen a brutal sell-off, with the Energy Select Sector SPDR — a key indicator of the largest U.S. energy companies — dropping 5.7% over the past month. Alongside the decline in crude oil prices, shares of major energy companies have plunged, with the likes of Chevron, APA Corp. and ConocoPhillips, among others, hitting new 52-week lows.
Giving some respite to the battered fuel, the latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) of the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts a recovery in oil prices despite the prevailing market challenges. The EIA forecasts that Brent crude prices will rise above $80 per barrel by the end of the month, up from the recent low of under $70 per barrel.
This forecast is driven by a widening supply deficit, with global oil demand expected to average a record 103.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, some 200,000 bpd higher than the previous estimates. Meanwhile, global production is anticipated to lag at 102.2 million bpd due to delayed output increases by OPEC and its allies.
Factors Behind EIA's Projections
EIA's projections reflect a complex demand and supply dynamic. The agency expects that oil consumption will continue to outpace production due to OPEC+'s decision to delay production increases until December. This supply shortfall is anticipated to reduce global oil inventories, creating an upward pressure on prices. However, the forecast is not without risks. Persistent economic concerns, including slowing growth in China and reduced fuel demand, have weighed heavily on market sentiment, limiting upward price momentum.
A Comparative Study of EIA, OPEC, IEA
In contrast, OPEC has a slightly different view, cutting its growth forecast for global oil demand for the second consecutive month. OPEC now expects demand to grow by 2.03 million bpd in 2024, down from its previous estimate of 2.11 million bpd but above EIA's one million bpd estimate. The forecast for 2025 was also reduced to 1.74 million bpd, down from 1.78 million bpd.
Despite expectations of healthy demand from sectors like air travel and non-OECD countries, concerns about sluggish growth in China and increasing competition from alternative energy sources weighed on the projections. The disparity between EIA and OPEC forecasts highlights the uncertainty surrounding future oil demand, with OPEC suggesting a slower recovery in key markets.
Comparing EIA's outlook with the International Energy Agency (IEA), the latter forecasts global consumption to grow by just under 1% in the coming years, aligning more closely with EIA's conservative view. Both EIA and IEA emphasize the impact of OPEC+ production cuts in maintaining market tightness. EIA’s forecast, however, is more optimistic about a near-term price recovery, driven by expected inventory drawdowns and strategic supply management by OPEC+.
Implications of Oil’s Bearish Run for Energy Stocks
Should oil prices fail to recover as anticipated, energy stocks like Chevron, APA and ConocoPhillips could face further downside. Lower oil prices would directly impact their revenue streams, potentially forcing reductions in capital expenditures and triggering a reevaluation of production targets. This environment poses a significant challenge for these Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) companies, as sustained low prices could erode profit margins and investor confidence. The commodity is currently trading at around $70 a barrel and recently fell to its lowest since December 2021.
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Way Forward for Oil Stocks
Despite the current market turbulence, there remains a cautiously optimistic outlook for oil prices. The possibility of stronger economic growth in non-OECD nations, combined with strategic supply adjustments by OPEC+, could support a gradual recovery in prices. Investors should keep an eye on evolving market dynamics, as potential policy interventions and changes in global demand patterns may provide some relief. While the path forward is fraught with challenges, the underlying fundamentals suggest that the oil market may stabilize in the medium term, offering hope for a rebound in energy stocks.
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Zacks Investment Research
800-767-3771 ext. 9339
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Zacks.com provides investment resources and informs you of these resources, which you may choose to use in making your own investment decisions. Zacks is providing information on this resource to you subject to the Zacks "Terms and Conditions of Service" disclaimer. www.zacks.com/disclaimer.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss.This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index.Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
Zacks Investment Research
Global logistics company DHL is reportedly taking legal action against MyPillow for nearly $800,000 in unpaid bills.
What Happened: The lawsuit, lodged in Hennepin County District Court in Minneapolis, alleges that MyPillow violated a contract requiring payment for all parcel delivery services within 15 days of invoicing. Court documents indicate that a settlement was agreed upon in May 2023, obligating MyPillow to pay $775,000 in 24 monthly installments beginning in April 2024, reported AP News.
DHL asserts that MyPillow has only partially fulfilled the settlement, contributing $64,583.34, with the last payment received on June 6. DHL informed MyPillow of its default on July 2. The lawsuit demands $799,925.59, plus interest and attorney fees.
Mike Lindell, MyPillow’s founder, told AP News that he was not fully aware of the lawsuit’s details, but noted that his company ceased using DHL over a year ago due to a dispute over shipments, which he blames on DHL.
This lawsuit adds to a string of legal issues for Lindell and MyPillow, who are currently facing defamation lawsuits from two voting machine companies.
Benzinga has contacted MyPillow for a statement regarding this development. The story will be updated as and when a response is received from the company.
Why It Matters: MyPillow has been grappling with financial difficulties and controversies for some time. In July 2023, CEO Lindell reported a “massive, massive cancellation” of orders due to backlash from his continued claims that the 2020 presidential election was stolen from Donald Trump, leading several retailers, including Walmart and Kohl’s Corporation to remove MyPillow products from their shelves.
Further financial woes forced the company to pull its TV ads in October 2023. In March 2024, MyPillow was evicted from its Minnesota warehouse, although Lindell denied that this was a sign of financial instability.
Image via Shutterstock
Check This Out:
This story was generated using Benzinga Neuro and edited by Shivdeep Dhaliwal
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
Company Acquires Key AR "Try-On" Technology
TORONTO, ON / ACCESSWIRE / September 11, 2024 /Nextech3D.AI (OTCQX:NEXCF)(CSE:NTAR)(FSE:EP2), a leading Generative AI-powered 3D model content provider for major e-commerce giants including Amazon, P&G, and Kohl's, is thrilled to announce the acquisition of augmented reality (AR) try-on technology from Designhubz in a all stock deal fo 500,000 shares at a deemed price of .10/share. Designhubz is renowned for its All-in-One Solution that creates, collaborates, and shares immersive eCommerce experiences, allowing online shoppers to virtually try products before they buy. With the addition of Designhubz's technology, Nextech3D.ai is set to deliver immersive experiences, setting a new standard in the world of digital commerce.
According to Designhubz-Immersive Virtual Try-On Experience and preferences.
AI Powered Style and Size Suggestions
From eyewear to shoes, Designhubz 3D and AR web viewer tracks key information such as your shoppers':
Facial and feet dimensions
Facial and feet features
Eye, skin and hair color
Age, gender and ethnicity feet dimensionAge, gender and ethnicity
Based on the above, the AI personalization engine is equipped to recommend the size that's right for them and suggest styles that shoppers similar to them have bought in the past.
Nextech3D.ai CEO Evan Gappelberg commented, "We are excited about adding this technology into our Nextech3D.ai platform which is already quite robust. However with this acquisition I believe we have completed our goal of becoming the end-end one stop shop for ecommerce retailers and have dramatically expanded our market into the wearables AR 3D growth segments. He continues "We have been investing heavily in our technology over the past five years which is evidenced by our portfolio of five patents for 2D-3D technology as well as sour recognition from Amazon as their external 3D model supplier. We are continuously looking to strengthen our position in the market and platform in 3D and AR technologies and this acquisition complements our existing tech perfectly."
This strategic acquisition positions Nextech3D.ai's AI-driven 3D modeling capabilities, by offering a virtual shopping experience that includes try on jewelry, try on clothing, try on sneakers and try on glasses which aligns with the growing consumer demand for interactive and personalized product visualizations. The integration of Designhubz's advanced AR technology will allow Nextech3D.ai's customers to not only visualize with 3D models but also to provide the consumer with a seamless "try-on" experience, enhancing product engagement and boosting purchase confidence.
Unifying 3D Modeling and AR Try-On for a Seamless Shopping Experience
With the integration of Designhubz's AR technology, Nextech3D.ai is positioned to maximize the way consumers interact with products online. From fashion and beauty to automotive and real estate, our unified platform will deliver highly realistic and interactive product visualizations, empowering users to explore and try on any product in the ecommerce landscape giving Nextech a competitive advantage over companies that only offer limited services.
Nextech3D.ai's platform will now offer a comprehensive suite of tools including texture modeling, a marketplace for 3D assets, AI-driven photo renderings, and immersive AR visualizations. This powerful combination not only streamlines workflows but elevates the user experience, creating an all-encompassing hub for everything 3D and AR.
In the fashion and beauty sectors, AR try-ons are redefining the customer experience by allowing users to experiment with virtual accessories and makeup. With the addition of Designhubz's technology, Nextech3D.ai is set to deliver immersive experiences, setting a new standard in the world of digital commerce.
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About Nextech3D.ai
Nextech3D.ai or the "Company," (OTCQX:NEXCF)(CSE:NTAR)(FSE:EP2), is a versatile augmented reality and AI technology company that utilizes its proprietary artificial intelligence (AI) to craft immersive 3D experiences at scale for E-COMMERCE. The Company's primary focus lies in creating high-quality 3D WebAR photorealistic models for Amazon and various other online retailers. Nextech3D.ai has adopted a unique approach to creating shareholder value beyond its operating business of creating 3D models.
The Company also develops or acquires disruptive AI-technologies, which are subsequently spun out to shareholders as standalone public companies. This spin-out strategy allows Nextech3D.ai to issue stock dividends to its shareholders while maintaining significant ownership in the public spin-out, without dilution to the parent company Nextech3D.ai.
To learn more, please follow us on Twitter, YouTube, Instagram, LinkedIn, and Facebook, or visit our website: https://www.Nextechar.com.
For further information, please contact:
Nextech3D.ai Evan Gappelberg CEO and Director 866-ARITIZE (274-8493)
Forward-looking Statements
The CSE has not reviewed and does not accept responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
Certain information contained herein may constitute "forward-looking information" under Canadian securities legislation. Generally, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as, "will be" or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results "will" occur. Forward-looking statements regarding the completion of the transaction are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, as future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and forward-looking information. Nextech will not update any forward-looking statements or forward-looking information that are incorporated by reference herein, except as required by applicable securities laws.
SOURCE: Nextech3D.ai
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