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Last Friday, all of the three most widely followed indexes closed out a winning week. The tech-focused Nasdaq Composite, the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 6%, 4% and 2.6%, respectively. These are approximately two-week highs for all three benchmark indexes.
With both consumer and producer-side inflation coming in line with expectations, investor mood was upbeat about the Fed bringing down rates more than expected earlier. The labor market was modestly up. Backed up by a positive consumer sentiment report released late in the week, currently there is a raging debate on the extent of the rate cut that would be announced by the Fed.
Per CME’s FedWatch tool, while a 25 bps rate cut still edges ahead with a 51% probability, a 50 bps cut has soared to 49%. Trade throughout the week will be dominated by the Fed’s signals and how the market interprets them.
Regardless of market conditions, we, here at Zacks, provide investors with unbiased guidance on how to beat the market.
As usual, Zacks Research guided investors over the past three months with its time-tested methodologies. Given the prevailing market uncertainty, you may want to look at our feats to prepare better for your next action.
Here are some of our key achievements:
IAMGOLD and Sierra Surge Following Zacks Rank Upgrade
Shares of IAMGOLD Corporation IAG have surged 31.2% (versus the S&P 500’s 0.9% increase) since it was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) on July 18.
Another stock, Sierra Bancorp BSRR, was also upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 on July 18 and has returned 7.9% since then.
Zacks Rank, our short-term rating system, has earnings estimate revisions at its core. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
A hypothetical portfolio of Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks returned +20.63% in the year-to-date period through April 1st, 2024, vs. +11.3% for the S&P 500 index and +7.7% for the equal-weight S&P 500 index. This hypothetical portfolio returned +20.63% in 2023 vs. +24.83% for the S&P 500 index and +15% for the equal-weight S&P 500 index. The portfolio of Zacks Rank #1 stocks is an equal-weight portfolio, while the S&P 500 index is a market-cap-weighted index that has been notably distorted by the concentrated performance of mega-cap stocks since October 2022.
The Zacks Model Portfolio - consisting of Zacks Rank #1 stocks – has outperformed the S&P index by more than 16 percentage points since 1988 (Through April 1st, 2024, the Zacks # 1 Rank stocks generated an annualized return of +27.6% since 1988 vs. +11.1% for the S&P 500 index).You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks Rank #1 stocks here >>>
Check IAMGOLD’ historical EPS and Sales here>>>
Check Sierra’s historical EPS and Sales here>>>
Zacks Recommendation Upgrades Financial Institutions and First United Higher
Shares of Financial Institutions, Inc. FISI and First United Corporation FUNC have advanced 8.9% (versus the S&P 500’s 3.8% rise) and 4.7% (versus the S&P 500’s 4.4% rise), since their Zacks Recommendation was upgraded to Outperform on July 25 and July 26, respectively.
While the Zacks Rank is our short-term rating system that is most effective over the one- to three-month holding horizon, the Zacks Recommendation aims to predict performance over the next 6 to 12 months. However, just like the Zacks Rank, the foundation for the Zacks Recommendation is trends in earnings estimate revisions.
The Zacks Recommendation classifies stocks into three groups — Outperform, Neutral and Underperform. While these recommendations are determined quantitatively, our analysts have the flexibility to override them for the 1100+ stocks they closely follow based on their better judgment of factors such as valuation, industry conditions and management effectiveness than the quantitative model.
To access our research reports with Zacks Recommendations for the 1100+ stocks we cover, click here>>>
Zacks Focus List Stocks Palantir, Virtu Shoot Up
Shares of Palantir Technologies Inc. PLTR, which belongs to the Zacks Focus List, have gained 49.3% over the past 12 weeks. The stock was added to the Focus List on March 26, 2024. Another Focus-List holding, Virtu Financial, Inc. VIRT, which was added to the portfolio on July 31, 2023, has returned 39.2% over the past 12 weeks. The S&P 500 has advanced 3.1% over this period.
The Focus List portfolio returned +10.23% in 2024 Q1 vs. +10.56% for the S&P 500 index and +7.9% for the equal-weight S&P 500 index.
The 50-stock Zacks Focus List model portfolio returned +31.44% in 2023 vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index and +13.61% for the equal-weight S&P 500 index. In 2022, the portfolio produced -15.2% vs. the S&P 500 index’s -17.96%.
Since 2004, the Focus List portfolio has produced an annualized return of +11.91% (through March 31st, 2024). This compares to a +10.25% annualized return for the S&P 500 index in the same time period.
Unlock all of our powerful research, tools and analysis, including the Focus List, Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research Reports, Zacks Earnings ESP Filter, Premium Screener and more, as part of Zacks Premium. Gain full access now >>
Zacks ECAP Stocks Fair Isaac and UnitedHealth Make Significant Gains
Fair Isaac Corporation FICO, a component of our Earnings Certain Admiral Portfolio (ECAP), has jumped 30.1% over the past 12 weeks. UnitedHealth Group Incorporated UNH has followed Fair Isaac with 23.2% returns.
The Zacks Earnings Certain Admiral Portfolio (ECAP), which consists of 30 concentrated, ultra-defensive, long-term Buy-and-Hold stocks, returned +9.08% in the year-to-date period (through March 31st, 2024) vs. +10.42%. In 2023, the portfolio returned +12.17% vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index. The portfolio returned -4.7% in 2022 vs. the S&P 500 index’s -17.96%.
With little to no turnover and annual rebalance periodicity, the ECAP seeks to minimize capital loss by holding shares of companies whose earnings streams exhibit a proven 20+ year track record of surviving recessionary periods with minimal impact on aggregate earnings growth relative to the overall S&P 500.
The ECAP and many other model portfolios are available as part of Zacks Advisor Tools, a cloud-based solution to access Zacks award-winning stock, mutual fund and ETF research. Click here to schedule a demo.
Zacks ECDP Stocks 3M and Starbucks Outshine Peers
3M Company MMM, which is part of our Earnings Certain Dividend Portfolio (ECDP), has returned 30.1% over the past 12 weeks. Another ECDP stock, Starbucks Corporation SBUX, has climbed 23.4% over the same time frame. Of course, the inclination of investors toward quality dividend stocks to secure an income stream amid heightened market volatility contributed to this performance.
Check 3M’s dividend history here>>>
Check Starbucks’ dividend history here>>>
With an extremely low Beta and a history of minimum earnings variability over the last 20+ years, this 25-stock portfolio helps significantly mitigate risk.
The Zacks Earnings Certain Dividend Portfolio (ECDP) returned +4.47% in the year-to-date period (through March 31st, 2024) vs. +10.42% for the S&P 500 index (IVV) and +6.9% for the Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL).
The portfolio returned -0.9% in 2023 vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index and +8.11% for NOBL. The portfolio returned -2.3% in 2022 vs. -17.96% for the S&P 500 index and -8.34% for NOBL.
Click here to access this portfolio on Zacks Advisor Tools.
Zacks Top 10 Stocks — Badger Meter Delivers Solid Returns
Badger Meter, Inc. BMI, from the Zacks Top 10 Stocks for 2024, has jumped 35.4% year to date compared with an 18.3% increase for the S&P 500 Index.
The Top 10 portfolio returned +19.56% in 2024 Q1 vs. +10.56% for the S&P 500 index and +7.9% for the equal-weight version of the index.
The Top 10 portfolio returned +25.15% in 2023 vs. +26.28% for the S&P 500 index. Since 2012, the Top 10 portfolio has produced a cumulative return of +1,060.9% through the end of 2023 vs. +360.1% for the S&P 500 index.
Since 2012, the Zacks Top 10 portfolio has produced an annualized return of +25.02% through the end of 2024 Q1 vs. +14.1% for the S&P 500 index and +12.7% for the equal-weight version of the index. The portfolio has produced a cumulative return of +1,442.3% vs. +403.03% for the S&P 500 index and +331.29% for the equal-weight index.
Zacks Investment Research
On Sept. 13, 2024, Wall Street surged, marking strong weekly gains as Wall Street raised its expectations for a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 gained 0.5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite increased 0.7%, both logging their fifth successive day of gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.5%, or about 300 points.
For the week, the Nasdaq rose more than 5%, marking its best performance of the year. U.S. semiconductor stocks logged a rally last week.The S&P 500 gained 4%, and the Dow increased by 2%. These gains came amid a volatile market, but the rapid recovery coincided with intensifying debate over interest rate policy.
Interest Rate Cut Expectations Rise
The market’s upward momentum was aided by increasing anticipation of a half-point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which was previously viewed as unlikely. Traders are now assigning a 49% probability to a 50-basis point cut next week, up from just 15% on Sept. 12, 2024.
This shift in expectations was aided by reports from the Financial Times and The Wall Street Journal, suggesting the Fed's decision on Sept. 18 will be closely contested. Former New York Fed President Bill Dudley added to the speculation, stating there is a "strong case" for a deeper rate cut.
Treasury Yields Fall Amid Rate Cut Debate
The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury declined to 3.66% on Sept. 13, 2024 from 3.70% recorded on Sept. 9, 2024. The recent fluctuations in Treasury yields reflect ongoing market uncertainty over whether the Fed will opt for a 0.25% or 0.5% rate cut, as concerns over a labor market weakness and recession risks continue to cause volatility.
Best-Performing Leveraged ETFs of Last Week
Against this backdrop, below we highlight a few winning leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETF)s of last week.
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long AVGO ETF AVGX – Up 48.03%
Broadcom Inc (AVGO) jumped 20.8% last week, paving the way for a rally for AVGX. The Defiance Daily Target 2x Long AVGO ETF seeks daily leveraged investment results of two times the daily percentage change in the share price of Broadcom Inc.
Defiance Daily Target 1.75x Long MSTR ETF MSTX – Up 42.2%
MicroStrategy Inc MSTR gained about 18% last week, benefitting MSTX ETF. The Defiance Daily Target 1.75X Long MSTR ETF seeks daily leveraged investment results of 1.75 the daily percentage change in the share price of MicroStrategy Incorporated.
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SMCI ETF SMCX – Up 38.1%
Super Micro Computer Inc SMCI advanced 16.4% last week. The Defiance Daily Target 2x Long SMCI ETF seeks daily leveraged investment results of two times the daily percentage change in the share price of Super Micro Computer, Inc.
MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETN GDXU – Up 36.3%
Gold bullion ETF SPDR Gold Trust GLD gained 3.2% last week. Hence, leveraged gold mining RTF GDXU jumped as mining stocks often benefit more than the underlying metal. The underlying S-Network MicroSectors Gold Miners Index seeks to provide exposure to the performance of the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF and the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF.
GraniteShares 2x Long PLTR Daily ETF PTIR – Up 35.0%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR gained 8.8% last week. The GraniteShares 2x Long PLTR Daily ETF seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 2 times the daily percentage change of the common stock of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Zacks Investment Research
Efficiency level measures a company’s capability to transform available input into output and is often considered an important parameter for gauging its potential to make profits. A company with a high efficiency level is expected to provide stellar returns as it is believed to be positively correlated with price performance.
However, at times, it becomes difficult to measure the efficiency level of a company. This is why one must consider the popular efficiency ratios listed below while selecting stocks.
To that end, TransMedics Group TMDX, Iamgold IAG, Graham GHM and GIII Apparel Group GIII made it through the screening process:
These efficiency ratios are:
Receivables Turnover: This is the ratio of 12-month sales to four-quarter average receivables. It shows a company’s potential to extend its credit and collect debt in terms of that credit. A high receivables turnover ratio or the “accounts receivable turnover ratio” or “debtor’s turnover ratio” is desirable as it shows that the company is capable of collecting its accounts receivables or that it has quality customers.
Asset Utilization: This ratio indicates a company’s capability to convert assets into output and is thus a widely known measure of efficiency level. It is calculated by dividing total sales over the past 12 months by the last four-quarter average of total assets. Like the above ratios, high asset utilization may indicate that a company is efficient.
Inventory Turnover: The ratio of the 12-month cost of goods sold (COGS) to a four-quarter average inventory is considered one of the most popular efficiency ratios. It indicates a company’s ability to maintain a suitable inventory position. While a high value indicates that the company has a relatively low level of inventory compared to COGS, a low value indicates that the company is facing declining sales, which has resulted in excess inventory.
Operating Margin: This efficiency measure is the ratio of operating income over the past 12 months to sales over the same period. It measures a company’s ability to control operating expenses. Hence, a high value of the ratio may indicate that the company manages its operating expenses more efficiently than its peers.
Screening Criteria
In addition to the above-mentioned ratios, we have added a favorable Zacks Rank — Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) — to the screen to make this strategy more profitable. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Inventory Turnover, Receivables Turnover, Asset Utilization, and Operating Margin greater than the industry average
(Values of these ratios higher than industry averages may indicate that the efficiency level of the company is higher than its peers.)
The use of these few criteria narrowed down the universe of over 7,906 stocks to 13.
Here are the top four stocks that made it through the screen:
TransMedics Group
TransMedics Group is a commercial-stage medical technology company. TMDX has an average four-quarter earnings surprise of 287.5%.
Iamgold
Iamgold is an international gold exploration and mining company based in Canada. IAG has an average four-quarter earnings surprise of 200%.
Graham
Graham designs and builds vacuum and heat transfer equipment for process industries and energy markets worldwide. GHM has an average four-quarter earnings surprise of nearly 133.3%.
GIII Apparel Group
GIII Apparel Group is a manufacturer, designer and distributor of apparel and accessories under licensed brands, owned brands and private label brands. GIII has an average four-quarter earnings surprise of 118.2%.
You can get the rest of the stocks on this list by signing up now for your 2-week free trial to the Research Wizard and start using this screen in your own trading. Further, you can also create your own strategies and test them first before taking the investment plunge.
The Research Wizard is a great place to begin. It's easy to use. Everything is in plain language. And it's very intuitive. Start your Research Wizard trial today. And the next time you read an economic report, open up the Research Wizard, plug your finds in, and see what gems come out.
Click here to sign up for a free trial to the Research Wizard today.
Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material.
Disclosure: Performance information for Zacks’ portfolios and strategies are available at: https://www.zacks.com/performance
Zacks Investment Research
A short straddle is an advanced options strategy used when a trader is seeking to profit from an underlying stock trading in a narrow range.
To execute the strategy, a trader would sell a call and a put with the following conditions:
Since it involves having to sell both a call and a put, the trader gets to collect two premiums up-front, which also happens to be the maximum gain possible.
Due to the two premiums collected upfront, beginners are often attracted to this strategy without realizing the risks they face.
A short straddle can result in unlimited loss potential whenever a substantial move occurs so it should be used with caution, particularly around significant market events like an earnings announcement.
The opening position of this strategy means that you will start with a net credit and you will profit if the stock trades between the lower break-even point and the upper break-even point.
Let’s take a look at Barchart’s Short Straddle Screener for September 16th.
I have added a filter to only include stocks with a market capitalization greater than $40b and total call volume greater than 2,000.
The screener shows some interesting short straddle trades on popular stocks such as , , , , , , , and .
Let’s walk through a couple of examples.
WFC Stock Short Straddle Example
Let’s take a look at the first line item – a short straddle on Wells Fargo.
Using the October 18 expiry, the trade would involve selling the $52.50 strike call and the $52.50 strike put. The premium received for the trade would be $398 which is also the maximum profit.
The maximum loss is theoretically unlimited. The lower breakeven price is $48.52 and the upper breakeven price is $56.48. The premium received is equal to 7.54% of the stock price.
The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.
PYPL Short Straddle Example
Let’s take a look at the fourth line item – a short straddle on PayPal.
Using the October 18 expiry, the trade would involve selling the $70 strike call and the $70 strike put. The premium received for the trade would be $516 which is also the maximum profit.
The maximum loss is theoretically unlimited. The lower breakeven price is $64.84 and the upper breakeven price is $75.16. The premium received is equal to 7.36% of the stock price.
The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is an 88% Buy with a Strongest short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.
Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.
TSLA Short Straddle Example
Let’s take a look at one final straddle using Tesla.
Using the October 18 expiry, the trade would involve selling the $230 strike call and the $230 strike put. The premium received for the trade would be $3,515 which is also the maximum profit.
The maximum loss is theoretically unlimited. The lower breakeven price is $194.85 and the upper breakeven price is $265.15. The premium received is equal to 15.26%.
The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 72% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.
Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.
The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.
Mitigating Risk
Short straddles involve naked options and are highly risky. They should not be used by beginner traders.
Position sizing is important so that a large loss does not cause more than a 1-2% loss in total portfolio value.
Short straddles can also contain early assignment risk, so be mindful of as it gets close to the expiration date. Also, watch out for earnings dates as stocks can make big moves following their announcement.
Please remember that options are risky, and investors can lose 100% of their investment.
This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
On the date of publication, Gavin McMaster did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policyhere.
SAN DIEGO, Sept. 16, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP announces that purchasers or acquirers of Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) securities between November 2, 2023 and April 30, 2024, inclusive (the “Class Period”), have until October 28, 2024 to seek appointment as lead plaintiff of the Starbucks class action lawsuit. Captioned Garbaccio v. Starbucks Corporation, No. 24-cv-01362 (W.D. Wash.), the Starbucks class action lawsuit charges Starbucks as well as certain of Starbucks’ top executives with violations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
If you suffered substantial losses and wish to serve as lead plaintiff of the Starbucks class action lawsuit, please provide your information here:
https://www.rgrdlaw.com/cases-starbucks-corporation-class-action-lawsuit-sbux.html
You can also contact attorneys J.C. Sanchez or Jennifer N. Caringal of Robbins Geller by calling 800/449-4900 or via e-mail at info@rgrdlaw.com.
CASE ALLEGATIONS: Starbucks, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee worldwide.
The Starbucks class action lawsuit alleges that defendants throughout the Class Period made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (i) defendants created the false impression that they possessed reliable information pertaining to Starbucks’ projected outlook and anticipated growth while also minimizing risk from seasonality and growth in foreign markets, particularly China; (ii) Starbucks’ Reinvention platform, which Starbucks claimed would prioritize business growth globally, failed to meet Starbucks’ stated measures; and (iii) Starbucks’ plan was ill equipped to handle the existing macro uncertainty and competition, particularly in the Chinese market.
The Starbucks class action lawsuit further alleges that on April 30, 2024, Starbucks announced disappointing second quarter 2024 results, stating that store sales declined globally 4%, with traffic falling 7%, and further disclosed a 2% decline in new revenues to $8.6 billion. Starbucks also lowered its guidance for fiscal year 2024, citing global declines in store sales, net revenues, and both GAAP and non-GAAP earnings, according to the complaint. The Starbucks class action lawsuit alleges that on this news, the price of Starbucks stock fell more than 15%.
THE LEAD PLAINTIFF PROCESS: The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 permits any investor who purchased or acquired Starbucks securities during the Class Period to seek appointment as lead plaintiff in the Starbucks class action lawsuit. A lead plaintiff is generally the movant with the greatest financial interest in the relief sought by the putative class who is also typical and adequate of the putative class. A lead plaintiff acts on behalf of all other class members in directing the Starbucks class action lawsuit. The lead plaintiff can select a law firm of its choice to litigate the Starbucks class action lawsuit. An investor’s ability to share in any potential future recovery is not dependent upon serving as lead plaintiff of the Starbucks class action lawsuit.
ABOUT ROBBINS GELLER: Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP is one of the world’s leading law firms representing investors in securities fraud cases. Our Firm has been #1 in the ISS Securities Class Action Services rankings for six out of the last ten years for securing the most monetary relief for investors. We recovered $6.6 billion for investors in securities-related class action cases – over $2.2 billion more than any other law firm in the last four years. With 200 lawyers in 10 offices, Robbins Geller is one of the largest plaintiffs’ firms in the world and the Firm’s attorneys have obtained many of the largest securities class action recoveries in history, including the largest securities class action recovery ever – $7.2 billion – in In re Enron Corp. Sec. Litig. Please visit the following page for more information:
https://www.rgrdlaw.com/services-litigation-securities-fraud.html
Attorney advertising. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes. Services may be performed by attorneys in any of our offices.
Contact: Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP J.C. Sanchez, Jennifer N. Caringal 655 W. Broadway, Suite 1900, San Diego, CA 92101 800-449-4900 info@rgrdlaw.com
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