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Zoom Video Communications ZM has seen its stock price surge 21.2% over the past three months against the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s decline of 4.4%. This impressive rally comes after a challenging period for the video conferencing giant, which experienced a significant slowdown in growth following the pandemic-driven boom.
The recent uptick in Zoom's stock price can be attributed to several factors raising questions among investors about whether now is the time to buy or hold onto existing positions. First, the company has been making strides in diversifying its product offerings beyond its core video conferencing platform. Zoom's expansion into areas such as contact centers, phone systems and AI-powered meeting assistants has begun to resonate with enterprise customers, potentially opening up new revenue streams.
3-Month Performance
ZM’s Innovation and Market Strength Fuel Growth Outlook
Zoom Video continues to maintain a strong market position in the video conferencing industry, providing a solid foundation for future growth. Despite increased competition, the company's reputation for user-friendly and reliable services has enabled it to retain and attract customers consistently. This established user base creates a network effect, making it challenging for competitors to displace Zoom in many organizations.
The company's impressive customer metrics underscore its market strength. In the second quarter of fiscal 2025, customers contributing over $100,000 in trailing 12-month revenues grew 7% to 3,933, accounting for 31% of total revenues, up from 29% in the previous year. This growth in high-value customers demonstrates Zoom's ability to capture and retain enterprise clients, a crucial factor for long-term success.
For fiscal 2025, Zoom expects revenues in the range of $4.63-$4.64 billion. Non-GAAP earnings per share are expected in the band of $5.29-$5.32. While the Zacks Consensus Estimate projects 2.42% year-over-year revenue growth to $4.64 billion for fiscal 2025, earnings estimates of $5.31 per share indicate 1.9% growth year over year.
Zoom's product diversification strategy is proving effective in expanding its market reach. By broadening its offerings to include Zoom Phone, Zoom Rooms and Zoom Contact Center, the company is positioning itself as a comprehensive communications platform. This expansion not only opens new revenue streams but also increases cross-selling opportunities, potentially driving higher average revenue per user.
In the second quarter of fiscal 2025, Zoom saw amazing traction with Workvivo as it reached 69 customers with more than $100,000 in ARR, roughly doubling year over year. Workvivo was named Meta Platform’s META only preferred migration partner for its customers as it retires Workplace from Meta. ZM witnessed additional traction in Zoom Contact Center as it surpassed 1,100 Zoom Contact Center customers, representing more than 100% year-over-year growth. This was driven by its recently launched higher pricing tiers as well as its success in larger deals. The company now has five customers with 100,000 or more Zoom Phone seats.
The company's innovation in AI-powered features, such as Zoom AI Companion, has seen significant adoption, with over 1.2 million customer accounts enabled. This commitment to cutting-edge technology enhances user experience and productivity, giving Zoom a competitive edge in the enterprise market.
Zoom's financial health remains robust, with $7.5 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of July 31, 2024. This strong balance sheet provides the company with the flexibility to invest in growth initiatives, weather economic uncertainties and pursue strategic acquisitions.
The ongoing trend toward remote and hybrid work models continues to benefit Zoom, as companies adopt flexible arrangements requiring robust video conferencing and collaboration tools. This shift in work culture provides a tailwind for Zoom's services in the long term.
Can ZM Stock Justify Its Premium in a Competitive Market?
Potential investors should approach Zoom stock with caution. The company still faces significant challenges, including intense competition from tech giants like Microsoft MSFT and Cisco CSCO, who have been aggressively pushing their own collaboration tools.
Moreover, Zoom's valuation remains relatively high compared to some of its peers, suggesting that much of its future growth potential may already be priced into the stock. Zoom's premium valuation is reflected in its forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 4.4, higher than the Zacks Internet - Software industry average of 2.58, which suggests high growth expectations but also implies elevated risk. Zoom will need to maintain its technological edge and continue delivering value to its customers to stay ahead of the curve.
ZM’s P/S F-12M Ratio Depicts Stretched Valuation
Conclusion
Zoom's market dominance, product diversification, financial strength and commitment to innovation position the company well for future growth. As it continues to adapt to changing market demands and leverage its strong customer base, Zoom remains a formidable player in the evolving landscape of digital communication and collaboration tools.
While the recent stock price increase is encouraging, it's important to consider whether this momentum is sustainable. Waiting for further evidence of Zoom's ability to execute on its diversification strategy and maintain growth in a competitive market could provide a clearer picture of the stock's true value. For current shareholders, holding onto Zoom stock may be a prudent strategy. Potential buyers, however, may want to exercise patience. Zoom currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Zacks Investment Research
Courtesy of a software-driven, data-centric approach that helps customers build their cloud architecture, Arista Networks, Inc. ANET has surged 95.3% over the past year compared with the industry’s growth of 69.5%. It has also outperformed its peers like Juniper Networks, Inc. JNPR and Cisco Systems, Inc. CSCO over this period.
Arista continues to benefit from strong momentum and diversification across its top verticals and product lines with an improved market demand supported by a flexible business model and solid cash flow. As more and more business enterprises transition to the cloud, the company is well-poised for growth in data-driven cloud networking business with proactive platforms and predictive operations.
One-Year Price Performance
ANET Solutions Gaining Solid Market Traction
Arista holds a leadership position in 100-gigabit Ethernet switching share in port for the high-speed data center segment. It is increasingly gaining market traction in 200-and-400-gig high-performance switching products.
Additionally, Arista offers one of the broadest product lines of data center and campus Ethernet switches and routers in the industry. It provides routing and switching platforms with industry-leading capacity, low latency, port density and power efficiency. The company also innovates in areas such as deep packet buffers, embedded optics and reversible cooling.
Arista is witnessing solid demand trends among enterprise customers backed by its multi-domain modern software approach, which is built upon its unique and differentiating foundation, the single EOS (Extensible Operating System) and CloudVision stack. The versatility of Arista’s unified software stack across various use cases, including WAN routing and campus and data center infrastructure, sets it apart from other competitors in the industry. This, in turn, has translated into solid revenue growth for the company over the years.
Cloud-Native Cognitive Software: ANET’s Key Focus
Arista continues benefiting from the expanding cloud networking market, driven by strong demand for scalable infrastructure. In addition to high capacity and easy availability, its cloud networking solutions promise predictable performance and programmability, enabling integration with third-party applications for network management, automation and orchestration.
With customers deploying transformative cloud networking solutions, the company has announced several additions to its multi-cloud and cloud-native software product family with CloudEOS Edge. It has introduced cognitive Wi-Fi software that delivers intelligent application identification, automated troubleshooting and location services. This supports video conferencing applications like Microsoft Teams and Zoom.
ANET Launches EOS Smart AI Suite
Arista recently launched Etherlink AI platforms for optimal network performance across the most demanding AI workloads, including training and inferencing. Powered by new AI-optimized Arista EOS features, the new product portfolio can support more than 100,000 XPUs with 2-tier network topologies. This delivers superior application performance compared to more complex multi-tier networks while offering advanced monitoring capabilities, including flow-level visibility.
In addition, the company aims to provide the ideal accelerator-agnostic solution for AI clusters of any shape or size, providing flexible options for fixed, modular and distributed switching platforms. The EOS Smart AI suite will enable customers to have a single 800G end-to-end technology platform across front-end, training, inference and storage networks with AI-grade robustness and protection to high-value AI clusters and workloads.
In collaboration with NVIDIA Corporation NVDA, Arista aims to build optimal generative AI networks with lower job completion times that customers can easily configure and manage. The Arista EOS-based agent enables the network and the host to communicate with each other, facilitating a single point of control and visibility across an AI Data Center. This remote AI agent, hosted directly on an NVIDIA BlueField-3 SuperNIC or running on the server and collecting telemetry from the SuperNIC, allows EOS to configure, monitor and debug network problems on the server, ensuring end-to-end AI communication and optimization.
Estimate Revision Trend of ANET
Earnings estimates for Arista for 2024 have moved up 23.4% to $8.24 over the past year, while the same for 2025 has increased 22.4% to $9.24. The positive estimate revision depicts optimism about the stock’s growth potential.
End Note
With solid fundamentals and healthy revenue-generating potential driven by robust demand trends, Arista appears to be a solid investment proposition. Further, a strong emphasis on quality, diligent execution of operational plans and continuous portfolio enhancements are driving more value for customers. Steady improvement in lead times and easing of supply-chain woes are major tailwinds.
The stock delivered a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 15%. Arista currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Riding on a robust earnings surprise history and favorable Zacks Rank, it appears primed for further stock price appreciation. Consequently, investors are likely to profit if they bet on this high-flying stock now.
Zacks Investment Research
Texas-based Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company is a global edge-to-cloud company that provides solutions allowing customers to capture, analyze, and act upon data seamlessly worldwide. With a market cap of $22.3 billion, Hewlett Packard Enterprise operates through Compute, HPC & AI, Storage, Intelligent Edge, Financial Services, and Corporate Investments and Other segments.
Companies worth $10 billion or more are generally described as "large-cap stocks," Hewlett Packard Enterprise fits right into that category, with its market cap exceeding this threshold, reflecting its substantial size and influence in the technology sector.
HPE touched its all-time high of $22.82 on Jun. 18 and is currently trading 32.4% below that peak. HPE has declined 20.2% over the past three months, lagging behind the Nasdaq Composite’s ($NASX) marginal decline during the same time frame.
Over the longer term, HPE has substantially underperformed NASX. HPE experienced marginal gains over the past year and is up 1.5% in 2024 compared to NASX’s 28.3% gains over the past 52 weeks and 17.2% returns on a YTD basis.
To confirm the recent bearish trend, HPE stock has traded below its 200-day moving average since early September and below its 50-day moving average since late July.
Shares of Hewlett Packard Enterprise dipped 6% in the trading session after the release of its Q3 earnings on Sep. 4. Despite reporting a 10.1% annual revenue growth to $7.7 billion and a 10.3% rise in net earnings to $512 million, its gross margin shrunk by 4.2% to 31.6%, falling short of Wall Street expectations. However, its EPS of $0.45 surpassed the consensus estimates by 15.4%.
HPE stock fell further 8.5% on Sep 10, following the announcement of the pricing for its previously disclosed public offering of $1.35 billion in convertible preferred stock, intended primarily to finance the acquisition of Juniper Networks.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s competitor, Cisco Systems, Inc. , has underperformed HPE over the past year. CSCO declined 8.9% over the past year and gained 1% on a YTD basis.
Among the 13 analysts covering the HPE stock, the consensus rating is a “Hold.” The mean price target of $20.64 represents a potential upside of 19.8% from current price levels.
On the date of publication, Aditya Sarawgi did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
Cisco Systems CSCO shares have returned 11% in the past three months, underperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector’s drop of 4.4%.
The outperformance can be attributed to CSCO’s improving near-term prospects, with strong AI-related order growth.
Cisco shares are also trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend.
For fiscal 2025, revenues are expected between $55 billion and $56.2 billion. Cisco reported revenues of $53.8 billion in fiscal 2024.
CSCO’s 3-Month Price Performance
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $55.61 billion, suggesting 3.36% year-over-year growth.
CSCO Shares Trade Above 50-Day & 200-Day SMA
Cisco’s FY25 Earnings Outlook Disappoints
CSCO’s earnings outlook is disappointing. Non-GAAP earnings are anticipated between $3.52 and $3.58 per share. CSCO reported non-GAAP earnings of $3.73 per share for fiscal 2024.
The consensus mark for earnings is pegged at $3.71 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating a 4.63% year-over-year decline.
Cisco Systems, Inc. Price and Consensus
Cisco Systems, Inc. price-consensus-chart | Cisco Systems, Inc. Quote
Its prospects are further challenged in the AI-driven networking space due to stiffening competition aggravated by Hewlett Packard’s HPE pending deal to acquire Juniper.
How should investors play the networking giant? Are a strong portfolio post the Splunk acquisition and robust AI-related orders enough to jump into the stock or should they worry about the company’s lower earnings growth potential in fiscal 2025?
Let us dig deeper to find out.
Cisco’s Long-Term Prospects Ride on Innovation
The increase in AI-related workload presents a strong long-term opportunity for Cisco, thanks to an innovative portfolio. Total growth opportunity is expected to be $950 billion, with current markets expected to witness a CAGR of 6% and expansion markets likely to see a CAGR of 16% between 2025 and 2027 timeframe.
Cisco’s aggressive investments in AI, cloud and cyber security are noteworthy. It currently has more than $1 billion in AI orders from hyperscalers, with more than $1 billion in orders in the pipeline for fiscal 2025.
The Security segment is particularly noteworthy, with solutions like XDR, Secure Access and Multicloud Defense suites that are winning customers. Current markets are expected to witness a CAGR of 8% and expansion markets are likely to see a CAGR of 14% between the 2025 and 2027 timeframe. The Splunk acquisition is expected to further boost CSCO’s prospects in the domain, with addressable markets worth $118 billion.
In the infrastructure domain, Cisco’s addressable market is expected to be $221 billion. CSCO has been benefiting from the growing use of AI and cloud with the ongoing digital transformation happening at enterprises.
Recovery in Networking demand bodes well for Cisco. Its switching, routing, security and observability are enabling customers to automate network operations with cutting-edge innovations like AI-powered robotics and unmatched supply-chain visibility. Investment in AI operations and autonomous networks by service providers is helping customers monetize B2B offerings.
Strong Partner Base Drives CSCO’s Prospects
Cisco’s expanding partner base, including the likes of Microsoft, NVIDIA NVDA, Lenovo and AT&T T, deserves attention.
The Cisco-NVIDIA partnership has introduced the Cisco Nexus HyperFabric AI cluster solution, a new end-to-end infrastructure designed to scale generative AI workloads efficiently.
Cisco is collaborating with AT&T to introduce a seamless digital buying experience for businesses, offering 5G Fixed Wireless Access through the Meraki MG52 and MG52E gateways.
Cisco Stock Overvalued Right Now
The Cisco stock is not so cheap, as the Value Score of C suggests a stretched valuation at this moment. Its modest growth prospect does not justify this premium.
CSCO is trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month P/S of 3.64X compared with the Zacks Computer Network industry’s 3.18X, reflecting a stretched valuation.
Price/Sales Ratio (F12M)
Cisco Shares – Buy, Sell or Hold
Cisco’s expanding portfolio, a growing footprint in the cybersecurity domain and a strong partner base are the key catalysts despite a stretched valuation.
A strong liquidity position is expected to help Cisco maintain its dividend and share repurchase. In fiscal 2024, the company returned $3.6 billion to shareholders, including share repurchases worth $2 billion. It paid out dividends worth $6.38 billion.
Cisco currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), which implies that investors should wait for a better entry point into the stock. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Zacks Investment Research
Key Takeaways:
By Lee Shih Ta
Entrepreneur Tian Suning, better known in Western circles as Edward Tian, was dubbed “Mr. Internet” when he helped to co-found AsiaInfo in 1993. Now, more than three decades later, this early trailblazer in China’s private telecoms software sector is trying to breathe new life into his mature corporate offspring through a restructuring of two publicly listed companies both bearing the original AsiaInfo name.
Under the restructuring, major shareholders of AsiaInfo Technologies A, a telecoms software provider, are selling their equity to Tian. That deal is seeing Tian-controlled AsiaInfo Security purchase the roughly 20% of AsiaInfo Technologies’ shares held by an investment vehicle controlled by Citic Capital.
Big Premium
AsiaInfo Security has about 9.6% voting rights in AsiaInfo Technologies via holdings by Tian. Thus, completion of the share transfer will give AsiaInfo Security about 29% of AsiaInfo Technologies’ voting rights, effectively making the former a holding company for the latter. But recent pressure on AsiaInfo Technologies shares, including a 42% decline in the stock price this year alone, led the parties to sign a supplemental agreement with an adjusted purchase price.
According to an announcement from AsiaInfo Technologies earlier this month, the two sides agreed to adjust the sale price down from an original HK$9.45 to HK$7.70 per share. They further lowered the price to HK$7.29 in light of AsiaInfo Technologies’ payment of a final dividend of HK$0.41 per share late last year. That brings the total value of the deal to between HK$1.3 billion ($167 million) and HK$1.4 billion.
Even after the big downward adjustment, the new purchase price still represents a premium of more than 40% to the stock’s latest price of about HK$5 per share.
AsiaInfo Security mainly engages in the information security business, and its establishment traces its roots to AsiaInfo’s desire to list its shares in China’s A-share market.
AsiaInfo Holdings was previously listed on the Nasdaq until being taken private in 2013 by Citic Capital, CBC Capital and other institutional investors. At that time, Tian returned to the company as its chairman. A year later, the company split off its information security business as AsiaInfo Security, which was based in Nanjing. The rest of the company, AsiaInfo Technologies, listed in Hong Kong in 2018, while AsiaInfo Security listed four years later in Shanghai.
But AsiaInfo Security has consistently come under pressure since its IPO. In 2023, the company’s revenue fell 6.6% year-on-year to 1.61 billion yuan, and it recorded a loss of 290 million yuan. Its gross margin also gradually slipped from 59.7% in 2019 to 47.8% last year.
AsiaInfo Security’s size pales compared with AsiaInfo Technologies, whose revenue reached 7.94 billion yuan last year, or nearly four times that of its smaller sibling. AsiaInfo Technologies’ total assets at the end of last year stood at 11.48 billion yuan, more than triple the 3.4 billion yuan for AsiaInfo Security.
To facilitate its swallowing of its larger sibling, AsiaInfo Security will set up a new joint venture with a company under the Tianjin branch of China’s State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, the owner of most national state-run companies. The venture will then take out bank loans to set up an overseas company, which will acquire AsiaInfo Technologies. By that time, Citic Capital will have divested itself from AsiaInfo Technologies.
Coordinated Development And Cross-Selling
A pairing between these two sister companies could take some financial and operating pressure off AsiaInfo Security, giving it more resources from its larger sibling. AsiaInfo Technologies currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 8 times, slightly higher than ZTE’s (0763.HK; 000063.SZ) 7 times, but far less than the 19 times for global networking equipment and software giant Cisco .
AsiaInfo Technologies is facing its own pressures as its traditional telecoms customers wind down their spending following a rapid build-up in China’s early 5G era. That has led AsiaInfo Technologies to look for new business lines as replacements. According to its interim report, the company recorded 1.2 billion yuan ($169 million) in revenue from its three new business operations, namely digital intelligence, vertical industries digitalization and operations support systems (OSS), in the first six months of the year. That figure was up 10% year-on-year, accounting for 40% of total revenue, even as AsiaInfo Technologies’ overall revenue fell 8.8% year-on-year during the six-month period.
Progress in its new businesses seems to have eased some investor concerns. On Aug. 15, the day after the official release of the interim report, the company’s shares rose 12% to HK$5.22, marking a notable rebound after plummeting in mid-July when the company warned it would post a loss for the first half of the year.
New businesses the company is cultivating include development of information infrastructure in key areas such as energy, transportation and government affairs, fields where AsiaInfo Security has expertise and a robust customer base from years of working in the field. Thus, the pair of AsiaInfo companies could take advantage of each other’s strengths to gain ground in multiple key information infrastructure sectors by sharing business opportunities and cross-selling each other’s products.
Tian pointed out in an internal speech that “the two companies are at a critical moment of their development” and vowed to “build a system that enables integration of the company’s network, cloud and security” capabilities.” He said the company would use products and services supporting such an integrated system to “promote infrastructure development for China’s digital economy.”
With such proclamations, Tian appears ready to launch a new era of AsiaInfo 2.0. In his 1.0 version, he was a “Mr. Internet” who was among the first of a new generation of entrepreneurs seeking to bring the internet to China. In his 2.0 version, he hopes to reshape his large business empire and steer it in a new direction away from its traditional telecoms carrier customers.
This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga's reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
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