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WINNIPEG, Manitoba--The ICE Futures canola market rose sharply on Monday, correcting itself from contract lows on Friday and after the release of new data from Statistics Canada.
One analyst expected StatCan's new production figure for canola was lifting prices, but he also raised the possibility of increased buying from China.
StatCan cut its 2024-25 canola production estimate by 520,000 tons at 18.98 million, down 1.1% on the year but still above the five-year average of 18.34 million tons.
Chicago soyoil and European rapeseed were up while Malaysian palm oil was down. Meanwhile, crude oil gained more than US$1 per barrel.
Chart-based positioning on ideas Friday's losses were overdone contributed to the gains, as canola was said to be looking cheap compared to other oilseeds.
At mid-afternoon, the Canadian dollar was down less than one-tenth of a U.S. cent compared to Friday's close.
There were 58,100 canola contracts traded on Monday, which compares with Friday when 59,100 contracts changed hands. Spreading accounted for 31,162 of the contracts traded.
Settlement prices are in Canadian dollars per metric ton.
Canola Price Change
Nov 564.70 up 22.90
Jan 578.30 up 22.40
Mar 590.70 up 21.40
May 599.80 up 20.10
Spread trade prices are in Canadian dollars and the volume represents the number of spreads:
Nov/Jan 13.30 under to 14.90 under 7,313
Nov/Mar 25.70 under to 28.10 under 701
Nov/May 34.50 under to 36.90 under 170
Nov/Jul 42.80 under to 43.60 under 68
Nov/Nov 37.50 under to 41.00 under 500
Jan/Mar 12.10 under to 13.50 under 3,375
Jan/May 20.70 under to 22.40 under 291
Jan/Jul 30.80 under 23
Mar/May 8.40 under to 10.70 under 2,036
May/Jul 6.70 under to 8.90 under 703
Jul/Nov 6.20 over to 2.00 under 397
Nov/Jan 1.50 under to 2.30 under 4
Source: Commodity News Service Canada, news@marketsfarm.com
Energy stocks rose late Monday afternoon with the NYSE Energy Sector Index advancing 1% and the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) gaining 0.9%.
The Philadelphia Oil Service Sector index increased 2%, and the Dow Jones US Utilities index climbed 0.7%.
Front-month West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 2.4% to $70.30 a barrel while global benchmark Brent advanced 1.7% to $72.82 a barrel. Henry Hub natural gas futures jumped 3.1% to $2.38 per 1 million BTU.
In corporate news, Exxon Mobil and Chevron were among the oil majors getting a legal victory after a federal appeals court dismissed a case brought by consumers alleging the companies colluded with foreign nations and former President Donald Trump to cut production and raise prices. Exxon shares rose 1.3% and Chevron climbed 0.9%.
Front Month Nymex Natural Gas for Oct. delivery gained 6.80 cents per million British thermal units, or 2.95% to $2.3730 per million British thermal units today
All prices are calculated based on the settlement price of the current front month contract.
Source: Dow Jones Market Data
Front Month Nymex Crude for Oct. delivery gained $1.44 per barrel, or 2.10% to $70.09 today
All prices are calculated based on the settlement price of the current front month contract.
Source: Dow Jones Market Data
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