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Lincoln National Corporation LNC has been benefiting from a strong Group Protection segment, improved fee income, changes in the business mix, cost-curbing efforts and a robust financial position.
LNC’s Zacks Rank & Price Performance
Lincoln National carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) at present.
The stock has gained 14.1% in the past year.
Robust Growth Prospects of LNC Stock
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lincoln National’s 2024 earnings is pegged at $5.74 per share, which indicates an improvement of 10% from the 2023 figure. The consensus mark for revenues is $18.4 billion, implying a rise of 15% from the 2023 figure.
The consensus mark for 2025 earnings is pegged at $7.54 per share, indicating an improvement of 31.3% from the 2024 estimate. The estimate for revenues is $19.1 billion, implying a 3.5% increase from the 2024 estimate.
Solid Return on Equity of LNC
Return on equity in the trailing 12 months is currently 17.1%, which is higher than the industry’s average of 15.5%. This substantiates the company’s efficiency in utilizing shareholders’ funds.
Lincoln National’s Business Tailwinds
Lincoln National's revenues are likely to be bolstered by the strong performance of its Annuities and Group Protection segments, along with higher fee income from variable annuities in the days ahead.
Increased account values and a well-performing alternative investment portfolio have been driving growth in the Annuities segment, which includes a range of variable and fixed annuities as well as indexed products. Key offerings such as the Lincoln Investor Advantage, Lincoln Level Advantage indexed variable annuity and Lincoln ChoicePlus have contributed to this success. Meanwhile, increased scale, broader distribution channels and acquisitions are expected to boost sales in the Group Protection unit. Operating income in the segment grew 16.7% year over year in the first half of 2024.
With expertise in retirement, insurance and wealth protection, Lincoln National serves around 17 million customers, positioning it well for future sales growth.
Lincoln National is also focused on shifting its business mix toward products without long-term guarantees, which are less sensitive to interest rates. Expense management efforts have further supported margin expansion while the adoption of advanced technologies has enhanced operational scale and improved the customer experience.
The company’s financial position remains strong, supported by a steady rise in cash balance. This financial strength allows Lincoln National to pursue growth initiatives and strategically allocate capital through share repurchases and dividend hikes.
Headwinds for LNC
The Life Insurance segment has faced challenges from elevated mortality and morbidity claims linked to the COVID pandemic, which weighed on earnings. While pandemic-related claims have eased, the segment remains pressured by higher reinsurance costs and margin compression. Life Insurance sales dropped 22.1% year over year in the first half of 2024.
Lincoln National has a debt-laden balance sheet, which induces an increase in interest expenses. Its total debt-to-capital ratio of 43.7% at the second-quarter end was significantly higher than the industry average of 14.5%.
Stocks to Consider
Some better-ranked stocks in the insurance space are Assurant, Inc. AIZ, Brighthouse Financial, Inc. BHF and Primerica, Inc. PRI. Assurant sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), and Brighthouse Financial and Primerica carry a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Assurant’s earnings surpassed estimates in each of the last four quarters, the average surprise being 33.56%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AIZ’s 2024 earnings indicates an improvement of 6.8% from the year-ago figure while the estimate for revenues implies growth of 4.9%. The consensus mark for 2024 earnings has moved 0.6% north in the past 30 days.
The bottom line of Brighthouse Financial outpaced earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters and missed once, the average surprise being 3.76%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BHF’s 2024 earnings indicates an improvement of 29.8% from the year-ago figure while the estimate for revenues implies growth of 3.8%. The consensus mark for 2024 earnings has moved 1.7% north in the past 30 days.
Primerica’s earnings surpassed estimates in two of the trailing four quarters and missed the mark twice, the average surprise being 1.74%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PRI’s 2024 earnings indicates a rise of 11.7% year over year while the estimate for revenues implies an improvement of 5.7%. The consensus mark for 2024 earnings has moved 0.2% north in the past 30 days.
Shares of Assurant, Brighthouse Financial and Primerica have gained 43.7%, 36.5% and 5.3%, respectively, in the past year.
Zacks Investment Research
Shares of Sun Life Financial Inc. SLF closed at $56.08 on Friday, near its 52-week high of $56.16. This proximity underscores investor confidence. It has the ingredients for further price appreciation. The stock is trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of $51.38 and $51.58, respectively, indicating solid upward momentum. SMA is a widely used technical analysis tool to predict future price trends by analyzing historical price data.
Earnings of Sun Life grew 5.4% in the last five years, better than the industry average of 4.6%. SLF has a solid surprise history. The life insurer has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters while missing in one, the average being 1.76%.
Shares of this third-largest insurer in Canada have gained 8.2% year to date compared with the industry and the Zacks S&P 500 composite’s return of 17.8% each.
SLF YTD Price Performance
Mixed Analyst Sentiment for SLF
Four of the six analysts covering the stock have raised estimates for 2025 over the past 60 days. Two analysts have lowered estimates for 2025.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has moved up 0.5% in the past 60 days, reflecting analysts’ optimism.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2024 implies a 3.1% year-over-year increase, while the same for 2025 suggests a rise of 10.3% year over year.
Sun Life’s Favorable Return on Capital
Return on equity in the trailing 12 months was 17.4%, better than the industry average of 15.5%. This highlights the company’s efficiency in utilizing shareholders’ funds.
Also, the return on invested capital (ROIC) has been increasing over the last few quarters as the company raised its capital investment over the same time frame, reflecting SLF’s efficiency in utilizing funds to generate income. ROIC in the trailing 12 months was 0.7%, better than the industry average of 0.6%.
Key Points to Note for SLF
Sun Life’s focus on the emerging economies of Asia that are expected to provide higher returns and the North American markets bodes well for long-term growth. SLF has a strong presence in China, the Philippines, India, Hong Kong and Indonesia and also forayed into Malaysia and Vietnam. Contribution from Asia business to Sun Life’s earnings has increased to 21% over the last few years.
Sun Life looks to be one of the top five players and remains focused on growing its voluntary benefits business. The life insurer is also improving its business mix and is thus shifting its growth focus toward products that block lower capital and offer more predictable earnings.
Sun Life Investment Management makes investments in private fixed-income mortgages and real estate. It invests in pension plans and other institutional investors. These are indicative of SLF’s efforts to strengthen Asset Management, which provides a higher return on equity, requires lower capital, sees lesser volatility and has the potential for an earnings upside.
Operational efficiency has been aiding Sun Life in building a strong capital position. The life insurer’s capital outlay includes a 40-50% dividend payout over the medium term.
Risks for SLF
Expenses have increased at Sun Life over the past few years due to high employee expenses, premises and equipment, service fees, amortization of intangible assets and other expenses. These, in turn, weigh on margin expansion. The life insurer remains committed toward balancing both metrics, failing which, the bottom line might suffer. The life insurer estimates integration activities to drive run-rate cost savings of $60 million by 2024.
SLF’s Expensive Valuation
The stock is overvalued compared to its industry. It is currently trading at a price-to-earnings multiple of 10.74, higher than the industry average of 8.33.
Shares of other insurers like Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated RGA and Manulife Financial Corp MFC are also trading at a multiple higher than the industry average.
However, shares of Brighthouse Financial, Inc. BHF are trading at a multiple lower than the industry average.
Wrapping Up: Keep on Holding
Sun Life Financial's favorable growth estimates, financial stability and favorable return on capital make it an attractive stock to retain for current investors.
Despite its expensive valuation, SLF should benefit from its focus on Asia operations, growing asset management businesses and the scale-up and integration of U.S. operations. It is, therefore, wise to hold on to this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Zacks Investment Research
Shares of Voya Financial, Inc. VOYA gained 0.5% in the last trading session after the insurer agreed to buy OneAmerica Financial, Inc.’s full-service retirement plan business for an upfront purchase price of $50 million. The transaction, upon materialization, will strengthen the acquirer’s full-service retirement business within Wealth Solutions. This segment accounted for about 41% of total adjusted operating revenues in 2023.
OneAmerica Financial is a diversified mutual insurance organization. Its full-service retirement plan business comprises 401(k), 403(b), 457, non-qualified deferred compensation plans and employee stock ownership plans.
Pending regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions, the transaction is expected to be completed by Jan. 1, 2025.
Financial Considerations for VOYA
Apart from the upfront payment, Voya will have to pay a deferred consideration of up to $160 million, payable in the second quarter of 2026, depending on plan persistency and transition incentives.
Voya will fund the upfront price, transaction expenses of about $200 million with the existing excess capital of $0.4 billion as of June 30, 2024.
Voya Financial will use the earnings and cash flows of the acquired business to pay the maximum portion of the deferred component of the purchase price.
Acquisition Rationale Favoring VOYA
The addition of OneAmerica Financial’s full-service retirement plan business to VOYA’s portfolio will enhance the latter’s full-service retirement business by adding a broader set of capabilities as well as creating new opportunities for distribution partnerships. It will also help it serve workplace benefits and savings plans in a better way. It will also increase Voya’s Defined Contribution client assets to $580 billion from $519 billion currently, as well as total plan and participant count to 0.06 million and 7.9 million, respectively.
The acquisition will add $47 billion of assets in the emerging and mid-market and expand Voya’s general account to nearly $38 billion by adding about $4 billion of spread-based assets under management. Also, it will extend its top positions in large markets by adding about $15 billion of recordkeeping assets.
This Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) insurer expects to generate not less than $75 million of pre-tax adjusted operating earnings and more than $200 million of net revenues in the first year post-closing.
On the other hand, OneAmerica stands to benefit from gaining access to Voya’s market-leading customer digital experience and core recordkeeping services.
Voya’s Inorganic Growth
Voya Financial has pursued strategic acquisitions that have helped gain new product and distribution capabilities. In January 2023, Voya acquired Benefitfocus, Inc. The deal has expanded Voya’s ability to deliver innovative solutions for employers and better health plans to improve the financial, physical and emotional well-being of their employees. Benefitfocus provides Voya with new capabilities, access to new employer markets and a platform to advance a strategic vision for workplace benefits and savings.
Voya Financial and Allianz Global Investors’ (AllianzGI) long-term strategic partnership has added scale and diversification to Voya Investment Management and continues to deliver outstanding financial results.
Strategic acquisitions bode well for long-term growth.
Voya’s Price Performance
Shares of Voya Financial have gained 3.2% year to date, lagging the industry’s increase of 15.5%.
VOYA shares are trading well above the 50-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend.
VOYA Price Movement vs. 50-Day Moving Average
Voya Financial’s core businesses are higher-growth, higher-return and capital-light businesses and boast a solid presence. Expansion of the distribution network and achievement of efficiencies through automation are expected to drive performance. It boasts a solid capital position supporting effective capital deployment. Consistent cash flow and sufficient cash balances continue to boost liquidity. All these together should help VOYA shares trend higher.
Stocks to Consider
Some top-ranked stocks from the insurance space are Brighthouse Financial BHF, Unum Group UNM and Primerica PRI. Each stock presently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Brighthouse Financial’s earnings surpassed estimates in three of the last four quarters and missed in one, the average earnings surprise being 3.76%.
Year to date, BHF’s stock has lost 20%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BHF’s 2024 and 2025 earnings indicates 29.8% and 9.4% year-over-year growth, respectively.
Unum Group delivered a four-quarter average earnings surprise of 2.96%. The stock has gained 20.5% year to date.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UNM’s 2024 and 2025 earnings implies a 10.4% and 5.4% year-over-year increase, respectively.
Primerica earnings surpassed estimates in two of the last four quarters and missed in the other two, the average surprise being 1.74%.
Year to date, PRI’s stock has gained 23.1%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PRI’s 2024 and 2025 earnings implies 11.7% and 11.6% year-over-year growth, respectively.
Zacks Investment Research
Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and momentum trends to underscore strong picks.
Considering these trends, value investing is clearly one of the most preferred ways to find strong stocks in any type of market. Value investors use fundamental analysis and traditional valuation metrics to find stocks that they believe are being undervalued by the market at large.
Zacks has developed the innovative Style Scores system to highlight stocks with specific traits. For example, value investors will be interested in stocks with great grades in the "Value" category. When paired with a high Zacks Rank, "A" grades in the Value category are among the strongest value stocks on the market today.
One stock to keep an eye on is Assurant (AIZ). AIZ is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), as well as a Value grade of A.
Another notable valuation metric for AIZ is its P/B ratio of 1.97. The P/B is a method of comparing a stock's market value to its book value, which is defined as total assets minus total liabilities. This stock's P/B looks solid versus its industry's average P/B of 2.54. Within the past 52 weeks, AIZ's P/B has been as high as 2.06 and as low as 1.64, with a median of 1.85.
Value investors also love the P/S ratio, which is calculated by simply dividing a stock's price with the company's sales. Some people prefer this metric because sales are harder to manipulate on an income statement. This means it could be a truer performance indicator. AIZ has a P/S ratio of 0.86. This compares to its industry's average P/S of 0.95.
These are only a few of the key metrics included in Assurant's strong Value grade, but they help show that the stock is likely undervalued right now. When factoring in the strength of its earnings outlook, AIZ looks like an impressive value stock at the moment.
Zacks Investment Research
For new and old investors, taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals. Zacks Premium provides lots of different ways to do both.
The popular research service can help you become a smarter, more self-assured investor, giving you access to daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens.
Zacks Premium includes access to the Zacks Style Scores as well.
What are the Zacks Style Scores?
The Zacks Style Scores, developed alongside the Zacks Rank, are complementary indicators that rate stocks based on three widely-followed investing methodologies; they also help investors pick stocks with the best chances of beating the market over the next 30 days.
Each stock is assigned a rating of A, B, C, D, or F based on their value, growth, and momentum characteristics. Just like in school, an A is better than a B, a B is better than a C, and so on -- that means the better the score, the better chance the stock will outperform.
The Style Scores are broken down into four categories:
Value Score
Finding good stocks at good prices, and discovering which companies are trading under their true value, are what value investors like to focus on. So, the Value Style Score takes into account ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, Price/Cash Flow, and a host of other multiples to highlight the most attractive and discounted stocks.
Growth Score
Growth investors, on the other hand, are more concerned with a company's financial strength and health, and its future outlook. The Growth Style Score examines things like projected and historic earnings, sales, and cash flow to find stocks that will experience sustainable growth over time.
Momentum Score
Momentum investors, who live by the saying "the trend is your friend," are most interested in taking advantage of upward or downward trends in a stock's price or earnings outlook. Utilizing one-week price change and the monthly percentage change in earnings estimates, among other factors, the Momentum Style Score can help determine favorable times to buy high-momentum stocks.
VGM Score
If you want a combination of all three Style Scores, then the VGM Score will be your friend. It rates each stock on their combined weighted styles, helping you find the companies with the most attractive value, best growth forecast, and most promising momentum. It's also one of the best indicators to use with the Zacks Rank.
How Style Scores Work with the Zacks Rank
The Zacks Rank, which is a proprietary stock-rating model, employs earnings estimate revisions, or changes to a company's earnings expectations, to make building a winning portfolio easier.
It's highly successful, with #1 (Strong Buy) stocks producing an unmatched +25.41% average annual return since 1988. That's more than double the S&P 500. But because of the large number of stocks we rate, there are over 200 companies with a Strong Buy rank, plus another 600 with a #2 (Buy) rank, on any given day.
But it can feel overwhelming to pick the right stocks for you and your investing goals with over 800 top-rated stocks to choose from.
That's where the Style Scores come in.
You want to make sure you're buying stocks with the highest likelihood of success, and to do that, you'll need to pick stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 that also have Style Scores of A or B. If you like a stock that only as a #3 (Hold) rank, it should also have Scores of A or B to guarantee as much upside potential as possible.
The direction of a stock's earnings estimate revisions should always be a key factor when choosing which stocks to buy, since the Scores were created to work together with the Zacks Rank.
For instance, a stock with a #4 (Sell) or #5 (Strong Sell) rating, even one that boasts Scores of A and B, still has a downward-trending earnings forecast, and a much greater likelihood its share price will decline as well.
Thus, the more stocks you own with a #1 or #2 Rank and Scores of A or B, the better.
Stock to Watch: Assurant (AIZ)
Founded in 1969 and headquartered in New York, Assurant Inc. is a global provider of risk management solutions in the housing and lifestyle markets, protecting where people live and the goods they buy. The company operates in North America, Latin America, Europe and Asia Pacific. Assurant was incorporated as a Delaware corporation in 2004.
AIZ is a #2 (Buy) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B.
It also boasts a Value Style Score of A thanks to attractive valuation metrics like a forward P/E ratio of 11.56; value investors should take notice.
Four analysts revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days for fiscal 2024. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.34 to $16.54 per share. AIZ boasts an average earnings surprise of 33.6%.
With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Value and VGM Style Scores, AIZ should be on investors' short list.
Zacks Investment Research
Oscar Health, Inc. (OSCR) shares rallied 18.7% in the last trading session to close at $20.67. This move can be attributable to notable volume with a higher number of shares being traded than in a typical session. This compares to the stock's 4.7% loss over the past four weeks.
Oscar noted about 11.6% of household income is spent on employer plans. Thus, there remains a sea of opportunities for Oscar to address consumers’ expectations for affordable healthcare. By leveraging deep ACA marketplace expertise, OSCR is well-poised to address this healthcare trend.
Its growth strategy encompasses having a market-leading, sustainable, scalable operations, build on superior member experience, accelerate technology developments and innovate market offerings to expand the individual market should drive performance.
OSCR targets at least 20% revenue CAGR and 5% operating margin by 2027 with upside if enhanced subsidies are extended. It expects pricing discipline and administrative cost efficiencies to drive margin expansion.
This company is expected to post quarterly loss of $0.20 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +31%. Revenues are expected to be $2.32 billion, up 61.4% from the year-ago quarter.
While earnings and revenue growth expectations are important in evaluating the potential strength in a stock, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
For Oscar Health, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 3.4% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. And a negative trend in earnings estimate revisions doesn't usually translate into price appreciation. So, make sure to keep an eye on OSCR going forward to see if this recent jump can turn into more strength down the road.
The stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
Oscar Health is a member of the Zacks Insurance - Multi line industry. One other stock in the same industry, Assurant (AIZ), finished the last trading session 1.3% lower at $189.32. AIZ has returned 4% over the past month.
Assurant's consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming report has changed +2.9% over the past month to $3.29. Compared to the company's year-ago EPS, this represents a change of -23.3%. Assurant currently boasts a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy).
Zacks Investment Research
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