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For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL –September 18, 2024 – Zacks Equity Research shares Erie Indemnity ERIE, as the Bull of the Day and Dollar Tree DLTR, as the Bear of the Day. In addition, Zacks Equity Research provides analysis on Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce CM, Barclays PLC BCS and Arch Capital Group Ltd. ACGL.
Here is a synopsis of all five stocks:
Bull of the Day:
Erie Indemnity, a current Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), issues, renews, and underwrites insurance products for personal liability, property, boat, recreational vehicles, home, flood, and auto. The company’s earnings outlook is notably bullish across all timeframes.
In addition to favorable earnings estimate revisions, the stock resides in the Zacks Insurance – Brokerage industry, currently ranked in the top 4% of all Zacks industries. Let’s take a closer look at how the company currently stacks up.
ERIE Reports Strong Growth
Since becoming a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) on July 30th, ERIE shares have gained nearly 20%, widely outperforming relative to the S&P 500. Favorable quarterly results have helped the stock all year long in general, up 60% on a YTD basis.
Income-focused investors could find ERIE shares attractive, with the company currently sporting a shareholder-friendly 7.4% five-year annualized dividend growth rate paired with a sustainable payout ratio sitting at 50% of its earnings.
While the current yield has been pushed down by strong share performance, the company’s dividend growth can’t be overlooked.
Shares got a nice boost following its latest set of quarterly results, with the company posting 40% earnings growth on 18% higher sales. Earnings results have regularly exceeded our expectations, with the company beating the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate by an average of 12% across its last four releases.
Bottom Line
Investors can implement a stellar strategy to find expected winners by taking advantage of the Zacks Rank – one of the most powerful market tools that provides a massive edge.
The top 5% of all stocks receive the highly coveted Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). These stocks should outperform the market more than any other rank.
Erie Indemnity would be an excellent stock for investors to consider, as displayed by its Zack Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
Bear of the Day:
Dollar Tree, a discount retailer, offers a wide range of quality everyday general merchandise in many categories, including housewares, seasonal goods, candy, food, toys, health and beauty care, and many other consumer items.
Analysts have taken a bearish stance on the stock’s outlook, lowering their earnings expectations across the board and pushing it into an unfavorable Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
In addition, the company is in the Zacks Retail – Discount Stores industry, which is currently ranked in the bottom 25% of all Zacks industries. Let’s take a closer look at the company.
DLTR Faces Post-Earnings Pressure
DLTR’s recent quarterly results haven’t been positive, with the company falling short of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate by an average of 11% across its last four releases. Concerning its latest print, Dollar Tree fell short of both consensus earnings and revenue expectations, with EPS falling nearly 30% alongside a modest 0.7% sales increase.
Down nearly 50% in 2024, shares have regularly faced post-earnings selling pressure.
The company trimmed its current-year sales guidance following its latest release, helping explain the post-earnings share plunge. Analysts have revised their sales expectations accordingly as well, with the $30.1 billion expected for its current fiscal year (FY24) down 4% over the last year and reflecting a marginal 0.3% Y/Y climb.
A key piece of the Dollar Tree story lies in their consumer demographics. As a discount retailer, the company attracts many lower-income consumers looking for value, but the company is also more susceptible to economic slowdowns when these types of consumers get pinched the most.
Bottom Line
Narrowed guidance and weak quarterly results paint a challenging picture for the discount retailer’s shares in the near term.
Dollar Tree is a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), indicating that analysts have taken a bearish stance on the company’s earnings outlook.
For those seeking strong stocks, a great idea would be to focus on stocks carrying a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) – these stocks sport a notably stronger earnings outlook paired with the potential to deliver explosive gains in the near term.
Additional content:
3 Financial Stocks to Buy in the Current Environment
To control inflation, the Fed raised interest rates for 10 straight policy meetings before finally opting for a rate pause in June 2023. It barely raised rates till the end of 2023 and promised at least three rate cuts in 2024. However, it is only in September of this year that we are finally going to see the first slashing of rates.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has continued to suggest that he is fairly certain of rate cuts this year, but the Fed would embark on that journey only after reviewing further data. From his recent remarks, as well as comments made by other Fed officials, it is now amply evident that the inflation level is at the mark that the Fed wants it to be at. That also indicates that we are going to witness the much awaited rate cuts from September itself. In fact, it is the extent of the rate cuts that is currently being debated.
While a September rate cut is almost a certainty, the Fed has resisted committing to further cuts as of now. Yet, with both consumer and producer-side inflation coming in line with expectations, investor mood has been upbeat about the Fed bringing down rates more than expected earlier. Per CME’s FedWatch tool, there is a 69% likelihood that the Fed would announce a 50 basis point cut from its meeting.
This, however, does not indicate that interest rates are not going to come down rapidly. It merely addresses the problem of immediate relief needed by consumers. In reality, if rates fall by 50 basis points and are held at a target rate of 475-500, it is still pretty high. When interest rates are high, banks and other financial institutions generally see higher profitability due to increased lending rates. The gap between such lending rates is considered a long-term asset for banks. Also, short-term liabilities such as deposits increase and boost net interest margins.
Stocks of banks, insurance companies and other financial institutions go up with continuous interest rate hikes. This is because financial services companies can earn more on the money they have and on the credit they issue to their customers. As a result, the S&P 500 Financials Select Sector SPDR (XLF) soared 10.1% year to date as of June 30.
Also, financial stocks are very popular investments on their own. Most companies within the sector issue dividends and are judged on the overall strength of their financial health. It is thus prudent that one adds a few to their portfolio.
Our Choices
The stocks below flaunt a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or Rank #2 (Buy). The search was also narrowed down with a VGM Score of A or B. Here, V stands for Value, G for Growth and M for Momentum. The score is a weighted combination of these three metrics. Such a score allows you to eliminate the negative aspects of stocks and select winners. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce is a diversified financial institution that provides various financial products and services. CM’s expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 7.6%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current-year earnings has improved 6.1% over the past 60 days. This Zacks Rank #1 company has a VGM Score of B.
Barclays PLC is a global financial services company. BCS’ expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 21.7%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current-year earnings has improved 4.4% over the past 60 days. This Zacks Rank #2 company has a VGM Score of B.
Arch Capital Group Ltd. is a global insurance, reinsurance and mortgage insurance products company. ACGL’s expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 6.6%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current-year earnings has improved 5% over the past 60 days. This Zacks Rank #2 company has a VGM Score of B.
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Media Contact
Zacks Investment Research
800-767-3771 ext. 9339
https://www.zacks.com
Zacks.com provides investment resources and informs you of these resources, which you may choose to use in making your own investment decisions. Zacks is providing information on this resource to you subject to the Zacks "Terms and Conditions of Service" disclaimer. www.zacks.com/disclaimer.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss.This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
Zacks Investment Research
For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – September 18, 2024 – Today, Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights lululemon LULU, Dollar Tree DLTR, Caterpillar CAT.
CEO Makes Huge Purchase of This Beaten-Down Stock
Investors closely monitor insider buys, as they can give hints surrounding the long-term picture.
An insider is an officer, director, 10% stockholder, or anyone who possesses internal information because of their relationship with the company. It’s critical to note that insiders have a longer holding period than most, and many strict rules apply to their transactions.
Several companies –lululemon, Dollar Tree and Caterpillar – have all seen recent insider activity. Let’s take a closer look at the transactions for those interested in trading like the insiders.
LULU CEO Invests $1 Million
Lululemon shares have been hit hard in 2024, down nearly 50% and unable to find any meaningful traction. Post-earnings reactions haven’t been great despite exceeding quarterly expectations.
The CEO must’ve seen some value, recently scooping up 4k shares at an overall transaction of roughly $1 million. The transaction was relatively large, bringing his total stake to nearly 90k shares overall.
Still, the company’s earnings outlook has been lowered across the board, not boding well for near-term share performance. The insider transaction appears to be more reflective of a longer-term outlook, and investors seeking short-term gains would likely be better off staying on the sidelines until positive earnings estimate revisions hit the tape.
The valuation picture has become more reasonable amid the poor performance, with the current 18.2X forward 12-month earnings multiple sitting well beneath the steep 35.2X five-year median. The stock traded at a premium for years thanks to its explosive growth.
The current PEG works out to 1.4X, near the low end of the five-year range.
Margins have also continued to recover nicely on a trailing twelve-month basis, as shown below. The company’s gross margin improved 80-basis points year-over-year throughout its latest quarter.
Other Recent Insider Buys
LULU hasn’t been the only stock seeing insider activity as of late, as construction heavyweight Caterpillar and retail player Dollar Tree have also seen buyers step up.
A director of Caterpillar recently made a small splash, acquiring 100 CAT shares at a total transaction value of just under $35k. Caterpillar shares have modestly outperformed the S&P 500 in 2024, gaining nearly 20%.
A director of Dollar Tree made a purchase in early September, scooping up 2.2k DLTR shares at a total transaction value of $150k. The stock’s outlook has been slashed across the board, landing it into an unfavorable Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
While the insider transaction is overall positive, the current outlook suggests near-term underperformance.
Bottom Line
Many investors closely monitor insider buys, looking to receive insights into the longer-term picture. The transactions shouldn’t be relied on for near-term performance, as insiders’ holding periods are longer than most and many strict rules apply.
Rather, investors can see insider buys as an overall net positive concerning the longer-term outlook.
All stocks above have seen recent insider activity.
Why Haven't You Looked at Zacks' Top Stocks?
Since 2000, our top stock-picking strategies have blown away the S&P's +7.0 average gain per year. Amazingly, they soared with average gains of +44.9%, +48.4% and +55.2% per year.
Today you can access their live picks without cost or obligation.
See Stocks Free >>
Media Contact
Zacks Investment Research
800-767-3771 ext. 9339
support@zacks.com
https://www.zacks.com
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
Zacks Investment Research
Investors closely monitor insider buys, as they can give hints surrounding the long-term picture.
An insider is an officer, director, 10% stockholder, or anyone who possesses internal information because of their relationship with the company. It’s critical to note that insiders have a longer holding period than most, and many strict rules apply to their transactions.
Several companies – lululemon LULU, Dollar Tree DLTR, and Caterpillar CAT – have all seen recent insider activity. Let’s take a closer look at the transactions for those interested in trading like the insiders.
LULU CEO Invests $1 Million
Lululemon shares have been hit hard in 2024, down nearly 50% and unable to find any meaningful traction. Post-earnings reactions haven’t been great despite exceeding quarterly expectations, as shown below.
The CEO must’ve seen some value, recently scooping up 4k shares at an overall transaction of roughly $1 million. The transaction was relatively large, bringing his total stake to nearly 90k shares overall.
Still, the company’s earnings outlook has been lowered across the board, not boding well for near-term share performance. The insider transaction appears to be more reflective of a longer-term outlook, and investors seeking short-term gains would likely be better off staying on the sidelines until positive earnings estimate revisions hit the tape.
The valuation picture has become more reasonable amid the poor performance, with the current 18.2X forward 12-month earnings multiple sitting well beneath the steep 35.2X five-year median. The stock traded at a premium for years thanks to its explosive growth.
The current PEG works out to 1.4X, near the low end of the five-year range.
Margins have also continued to recover nicely on a trailing twelve-month basis, as shown below. The company’s gross margin improved 80-basis points year-over-year throughout its latest quarter.
Other Recent Insider Buys
LULU hasn’t been the only stock seeing insider activity as of late, as construction heavyweight Caterpillar CAT and retail player Dollar Tree DLTR have also seen buyers step up.
A director of Caterpillar recently made a small splash, acquiring 100 CAT shares at a total transaction value of just under $35k. Caterpillar shares have modestly outperformed the S&P 500 in 2024, gaining nearly 20%.
A director of Dollar Tree made a purchase in early September, scooping up 2.2k DLTR shares at a total transaction value of $150k. The stock’s outlook has been slashed across the board, landing it into an unfavorable Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
While the insider transaction is overall positive, the current outlook suggests near-term underperformance.
Bottom Line
Many investors closely monitor insider buys, looking to receive insights into the longer-term picture. The transactions shouldn’t be relied on for near-term performance, as insiders’ holding periods are longer than most and many strict rules apply.
Rather, investors can see insider buys as an overall net positive concerning the longer-term outlook.
All stocks above – lululemon LULU, Dollar Tree DLTR, and Caterpillar CAT – have seen recent insider activity.
Zacks Investment Research
Investors interested in stocks from the Banks - Foreign sector have probably already heard of Barclays (BCS) and Nordea Bank AB (NRDBY). But which of these two stocks is more attractive to value investors? We'll need to take a closer look to find out.
There are plenty of strategies for discovering value stocks, but we have found that pairing a strong Zacks Rank with an impressive grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system produces the best returns. The Zacks Rank is a proven strategy that targets companies with positive earnings estimate revision trends, while our Style Scores work to grade companies based on specific traits.
Currently, Barclays has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), while Nordea Bank AB has a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell). This system places an emphasis on companies that have seen positive earnings estimate revisions, so investors should feel comfortable knowing that BCS is likely seeing its earnings outlook improve to a greater extent. But this is just one factor that value investors are interested in.
Value investors analyze a variety of traditional, tried-and-true metrics to help find companies that they believe are undervalued at their current share price levels.
The Value category of the Style Scores system identifies undervalued companies by looking at a number of key metrics. These include the long-favored P/E ratio, P/S ratio, earnings yield, cash flow per share, and a variety of other fundamentals that help us determine a company's fair value.
BCS currently has a forward P/E ratio of 7.07, while NRDBY has a forward P/E of 7.68. We also note that BCS has a PEG ratio of 0.65. This figure is similar to the commonly-used P/E ratio, with the PEG ratio also factoring in a company's expected earnings growth rate. NRDBY currently has a PEG ratio of 0.74.
Another notable valuation metric for BCS is its P/B ratio of 0.48. The P/B is a method of comparing a stock's market value to its book value, which is defined as total assets minus total liabilities. By comparison, NRDBY has a P/B of 1.30.
These are just a few of the metrics contributing to BCS's Value grade of A and NRDBY's Value grade of D.
BCS has seen stronger estimate revision activity and sports more attractive valuation metrics than NRDBY, so it seems like value investors will conclude that BCS is the superior option right now.
Zacks Investment Research
Here are three stocks with buy rank and strong momentum characteristics for investors to consider today, September 17th:
The Progressive PGR: This company which is a leading independent agency writer of private passenger auto coverage, and the market share leader for the motorcycle products since 1998, has a Zacks Rank #1(Strong Buy), and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 5.8% over the last 60 days.
The Progressive Corporation Price and Consensus
The Progressive Corporation price-consensus-chart | The Progressive Corporation Quote
The Progressive’s shares gained 23.2% over the last three month compared with the S&P 500’s gain of 3.3%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of A.
The Progressive Corporation Price
The Progressive Corporation price | The Progressive Corporation Quote
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce CM: This leading North American financial institution that offers a full range of products and services through its comprehensive electronic banking network, branches and offices across Canada, in the United States and around the world, has a Zacks Rank #1, and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 6.1% over the last 60 days.
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Price and Consensus
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce price-consensus-chart | Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Quote
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce’s shares gained 31.4% over the last three month compared with the S&P 500’s gain of 3.3%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of A.
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Price
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce price | Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Quote
Axis Capital Holdings AXS: This company which provides a broad range of specialty insurance and reinsurance solutions to its clients on a worldwide basis, has a Zacks Rank #1, and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 6.7% over the last 60 days.
Axis Capital Holdings Limited Price and Consensus
Axis Capital Holdings Limited price-consensus-chart | Axis Capital Holdings Limited Quote
Axis Capital Holdings’ shares gained 15.1% over the last three month compared with the S&P 500’s gain of 3.3%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of A.
Axis Capital Holdings Limited Price
Axis Capital Holdings Limited price | Axis Capital Holdings Limited Quote
See the full list of top ranked stocks here
Learn more about the Momentum score and how it is calculated here.
Zacks Investment Research
The proven Zacks Rank system focuses on earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find winning stocks. Nevertheless, we know that our readers all have their own perspectives, so we are always looking at the latest trends in value, growth, and momentum to find strong picks.
Considering these trends, value investing is clearly one of the most preferred ways to find strong stocks in any type of market. Value investors rely on traditional forms of analysis on key valuation metrics to find stocks that they believe are undervalued, leaving room for profits.
In addition to the Zacks Rank, investors looking for stocks with specific traits can utilize our Style Scores system. Of course, value investors will be most interested in the system's "Value" category. Stocks with "A" grades for Value and high Zacks Ranks are among the best value stocks available at any given moment.
One company value investors might notice is Barclays (BCS). BCS is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), as well as an A grade for Value. The stock is trading with a P/E ratio of 6.04, which compares to its industry's average of 8.80. Over the past 52 weeks, BCS's Forward P/E has been as high as 6.64 and as low as 3.67, with a median of 5.47.
BCS is also sporting a PEG ratio of 0.55. This figure is similar to the commonly-used P/E ratio, with the PEG ratio also factoring in a company's expected earnings growth rate. BCS's PEG compares to its industry's average PEG of 0.67. Within the past year, BCS's PEG has been as high as 3 and as low as 0.32, with a median of 0.57.
Finally, investors will want to recognize that BCS has a P/CF ratio of 4.90. This metric focuses on a firm's operating cash flow and is often used to find stocks that are undervalued based on the strength of their cash outlook. This stock's P/CF looks attractive against its industry's average P/CF of 14.83. Over the past year, BCS's P/CF has been as high as 5.20 and as low as 2.37, with a median of 3.85.
These figures are just a handful of the metrics value investors tend to look at, but they help show that Barclays is likely being undervalued right now. Considering this, as well as the strength of its earnings outlook, BCS feels like a great value stock at the moment.
Zacks Investment Research
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