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Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.
Even though momentum is a popular stock characteristic, it can be tough to define. Debate surrounding which are the best and worst metrics to focus on is lengthy, but the Zacks Momentum Style Score, part of the Zacks Style Scores, helps address this issue for us.
Below, we take a look at Heartland Financial (HTLF), a company that currently holds a Momentum Style Score of A. We also talk about price change and earnings estimate revisions, two of the main aspects of the Momentum Style Score.
It's also important to note that Style Scores work as a complement to the Zacks Rank, our stock rating system that has an impressive track record of outperformance. Heartland Financial currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy). Our research shows that stocks rated Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and #2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B outperform the market over the following one-month period.
You can see the current list of Zacks #1 Rank Stocks here
Set to Beat the Market?
In order to see if HTLF is a promising momentum pick, let's examine some Momentum Style elements to see if this multibank holding company holds up.
Looking at a stock's short-term price activity is a great way to gauge if it has momentum, since this can reflect both the current interest in a stock and if buyers or sellers have the upper hand at the moment. It's also helpful to compare a security to its industry; this can show investors the best companies in a particular area.
For HTLF, shares are up 5.82% over the past week while the Zacks Banks - Midwest industry is up 1.57% over the same time period. Shares are looking quite well from a longer time frame too, as the monthly price change of 8.47% compares favorably with the industry's 4.78% performance as well.
While any stock can see a spike in price, it takes a real winner to consistently outperform the market. Over the past quarter, shares of Heartland Financial have risen 31.58%, and are up 90.8% in the last year. On the other hand, the S&P 500 has only moved 3.26% and 28.26%, respectively.
Investors should also pay attention to HTLF's average 20-day trading volume. Volume is a useful item in many ways, and the 20-day average establishes a good price-to-volume baseline; a rising stock with above average volume is generally a bullish sign, whereas a declining stock on above average volume is typically bearish. HTLF is currently averaging 165,310 shares for the last 20 days.
Earnings Outlook
The Zacks Momentum Style Score also takes into account trends in estimate revisions, in addition to price changes. Please note that estimate revision trends remain at the core of Zacks Rank as well. A nice path here can help show promise, and we have recently been seeing that with HTLF.
Over the past two months, 3 earnings estimates moved higher compared to none lower for the full year. These revisions helped boost HTLF's consensus estimate, increasing from $4.50 to $4.73 in the past 60 days. Looking at the next fiscal year, 2 estimates have moved upwards while there have been no downward revisions in the same time period.
Bottom Line
Given these factors, it shouldn't be surprising that HTLF is a #2 (Buy) stock and boasts a Momentum Score of A. If you're looking for a fresh pick that's set to soar in the near-term, make sure to keep Heartland Financial on your short list.
Zacks Investment Research
Reporter Name | Hylen Christopher |
Relationship | Director |
Type | Sell |
Amount | $217,620 |
SEC Filing | Form 4 |
On September 10, 2024, Christopher Hylen, a Director at Heartland Financial USA, sold 4,000 shares of Common Stock at a weighted average price of $54.405 per share, totaling $217,620. Following the transaction, Hylen directly owns 4,883 shares of Common Stock and 3,500 Depository Shares.
SEC Filing: HEARTLAND FINANCIAL USA INC [ HTLF ] - Form 4 - Sep. 10, 2024
Aug 19 (Reuters) - U.S. regional bank mergers have ticked up this year and are expected to remain robust as the lenders seek stronger balance sheets to compete better against larger rivals.
There have been 38 regional bank deals this year, compared with 29 during the same period in 2023, according to Dealogic data.
Here is an overview of the biggest deals in the space this year:
Target | Acquirer | Deal value | Date |
---|---|---|---|
Independent Bank Group IBTX.O | SouthState Corp SSB.N | $2 billion | May 20 |
UMB Financial Corp UMBF.O | $2 billion | April 29 | |
Renasant Corp RNST.N | $1.2 billion | July 29 | |
WesBanco WSBC.O | $959 million | July 26 | |
Macatawa Bank Corp MCBC.O | Wintrust Financial WTFC.O | $510.3 million | April 15 |
German American Bancorp GABC.O | $330.2 million | July 29 | |
United Bankshares UBSI.O | $267 million | May 10 | |
Southern California Bancorp BCAL.O* | $233.6 million | Jan 30 |
* Merger of equals
Source: Dealogic
Note: Data as of Aug 2.
(Reporting by Manya Saini and Niket Nishant in Bengaluru; Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila)
(( Manya.Saini@thomsonreuters.com ; X: manya__saini;))
Keywords: USA-REGIONAL BANKS/CONSOLIDATION (FACTBOX)
Reporter Name | Nestman Lo B. |
Relationship | EVP, Head of Retail, Mktg & PB |
Type | Sell |
Amount | $220,070 |
SEC Filing | Form 4 |
Nestman Lo B., EVP, Head of Retail, Mktg & PB at Heartland Financial USA, sold 4,389 shares of Common Stock on August 9, 2024, at a weighted average price of $50.1414 per share, totaling $220,070. Following the transaction, Nestman Lo B. no longer directly owns shares in the company.
SEC Filing: HEARTLAND FINANCIAL USA INC [ HTLF ] - Form 4 - Aug. 12, 2024
Reporter Name | Relationship | Type | Amount | SEC Filing |
---|---|---|---|---|
Unger Kathryn G | Director | Sell | $69,661 | Form 4 |
Hopkins Jennifer K | Director | Sell | $250,280 | Form 4 |
Kathryn G Unger, a Director at Heartland Financial USA, completed a sale of 1,396 shares of Common Stock on August 2, 2024, at a weighted average price of $49.9008 per share, resulting in a total sale amount of $69,661. Post-transaction, Unger's direct ownership stands at 4,805 shares.
Jennifer K Hopkins, another Director at Heartland Financial USA, sold 5,000 shares of Common Stock on the same date, at a price of $50.0562 per share, totaling $250,280. Following her transaction, Hopkins directly owns 13,963 shares of the company.
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