Markets
News
Analysis
User
24/7
Economic Calendar
Education
Data
- Names
- Latest
- Prev
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
A:--
F: --
A:--
F: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
A:--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
--
F: --
P: --
No matching data
Latest Views
Latest Views
Trending Topics
To quickly learn market dynamics and follow market focuses in 15 min.
In the world of mankind, there will not be a statement without any position, nor a remark without any purpose.
Inflation, exchange rates, and the economy shape the policy decisions of central banks; the attitudes and words of central bank officials also influence the actions of market traders.
Money makes the world go round and currency is a permanent commodity. The forex market is full of surprises and expectations.
Top Columnists
Enjoy exciting activities, right here at FastBull.
The latest breaking news and the global financial events.
I have 5 years of experience in financial analysis, especially in aspects of macro developments and medium and long-term trend judgment. My focus is maily on the developments of the Middle East, emerging markets, coal, wheat and other agricultural products.
BeingTrader chief Trading Coach & Speaker, 8+ years of experience in the forex market trading mainly XAUUSD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Crude Oil. A confident trader and analyst who aims to explore various opportunities and guide investors in the market. As an analyst I am looking to enhance the trader’s experience by supporting them with sufficient data and signals.
Latest Update
Risk Warning on Trading HK Stocks
Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.
HK Stock Trading Fees and Taxation
Trading costs in the Hong Kong stock market include transaction fees, stamp duty, settlement charges, and currency conversion fees for foreign investors. Additionally, taxes may apply based on local regulations.
HK Non-Essential Consumer Goods Industry
The Hong Kong stock market encompasses non-essential consumption sectors like automotive, education, tourism, catering, and apparel. Of the 643 listed companies, 35% are mainland Chinese, making up 65% of the total market capitalization. Thus, it's heavily influenced by the Chinese economy.
HK Real Estate Industry
In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.
Hongkong, China
Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam
Dubai, UAE
Lagos, Nigeria
Cairo, Egypt
White Label
Data API
Web Plug-ins
Affiliate Program
View All
No data
Not Logged In
Log in to access more features
FastBull Membership
Not yet
Purchase
Log In
Sign Up
Hongkong, China
Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam
Dubai, UAE
Lagos, Nigeria
Cairo, Egypt
White Label
Data API
Web Plug-ins
Affiliate Program
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. EL exhibited a volatile stock trajectory in recent months, driven by weak consumer sentiment amid high inflation and rising interest rates. The company is also grappling with issues such as market instability in mainland China and Asia travel retail, lower conversion rates, and negative foreign currency impacts.
As a result, shares of this New York-based provider of skincare, makeup, fragrance and hair care products have plunged 42.4% year to date compared with a 37.7% drop in the broader industry. In contrast, the Consumer Staple sector and the S&P 500 have posted increases of 9.4% and 16.3%, respectively, during the same period. Closing the trading session at $84.20 on Thursday, shares of EL stand close to its recently reached 52-week low of $82.39.
EL is trading below its 50 and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish outlook and challenges in sustaining the recent performance levels.
EL Stock Trades Below 50 and 200-Day Moving Average
Decoding Challenges Faced by EL
In the fiscal 2024, The Estee Lauder Companies faced significant challenges in the Asia-Pacific region, particularly in mainland China, due to a broader slowdown in the prestige beauty sector. Sales in the Asia-Pacific region fell 7% to $1,205 million during the fiscal fourth quarter. The downtick was largely caused by weakness in mainland China. Consumer confidence remained low and cautious spending behavior contributed to a decline in prestige beauty retail sales, which worsened from mid-single digits in the third quarter to low-double digits. The Asia travel retail market also struggled, with sales in Hainan plunging more than 40% in the fiscal fourth quarter. Weaker consumer sentiment, smaller basket sizes and a shift toward spending on experiences played a key role in these declines. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2025, the recovery in China and Asia travel retail is expected to be slow, which might limit sales growth and profitability in these key markets.
Another concerning point is the contraction in adjusted operating margins, which contracted 120 basis points to 10.2% in the fiscal 2024. While there was a modest recovery in the later part of the fiscal 2024, the outlook for fiscal 2025 indicates a slower-than-expected pace of margin expansion. This delay is partially attributed to continued pressure from high-margin categories like skin care, which are still facing declines in sales.
The company is losing market share in channels that are growing more slowly, such as traditional retail, despite some gains in high-growth platforms like Amazon AMZN. However, these gains are not enough to offset losses in brick-and-mortar stores, particularly in North America, where competition is fierce.
The Estee Lauder Companies faces significant financial pressure due to unfavorable currency rates. Currency fluctuations, particularly in regions like Israel and the Middle East, compounded by business disruptions, further impacted the company's profitability in the fiscal 2024. These currency headwinds are expected to continue affecting earnings, potentially reducing earnings per share (EPS) by approximately 3 cents in the fiscal 2025.
What to Expect From The Estee Lauder Companies in FY25?
The company continues to face a challenging macroeconomic environment, with ongoing volatility in the global prestige beauty market, especially in mainland China and Asia travel retail. For fiscal year 2025, management expects a more modest performance compared to industry averages, primarily due to its strong presence in these regions. Weak consumer sentiment and changing traveler behavior, with more spending on experiences over products, are impacting Asia travel retail. Additionally, risks such as retailer destocking and intense competition, particularly in North America, are further complicating the company’s outlook.
In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, the company anticipates continued pressure from these challenges, projecting a 3-5% year-over-year decline in reported and organic net sales. Adjusted EPS are expected to fall sharply, ranging between 1 and 9 cents and suggesting a decline of 17-89% on a constant-currency basis.
Analysts Downgrade EL’s Earnings Estimates
EL appears to be in a troubled spot. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current and next fiscal year EPS has moved downward by 2.9% and 4.3% to $2.97 and $4.03, respectively, in the past seven days. This downward adjustment reflects a negative sentiment among analysts and suggests potential challenges in achieving projected profitability.
EL’s Valuation Premium Raises Questions
The Estee Lauder Companies valuation remains a point of contention. Despite the pullback in the stock price, EL is trading at a premium relative to industry peers like Coty Inc. COTY and Inter Parfums, Inc. IPAR, which seems increasingly difficult to justify. EL is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E of 25.99, higher than the industry’s 21.89. This valuation discrepancy indicates that while investors have high expectations for the company’s future growth, the stock's current performance and the broader market challenges could pose risks.
Can Growth Strategies Turn the Tide?
Despite several challenges, The Estee Lauder Companies is making significant strides with its Profit Recovery and Growth Plan (PRGP). This initiative focuses on three core areas — accelerating margin expansion, targeted growth investments, and simplifying processes for greater agility. For the fiscal 2025, the PRGP is expected to deliver substantial benefits, with around 80% of gains improving gross profit through optimized pricing, reduced discounts and enhanced precision marketing. The remaining 20% aims to cut operating expenses by streamlining operations and expanding shared services. These efforts are projected to generate $1.1-$1.4 billion in net savings by the fiscal 2026.
The company is also leveraging its strengths in high-growth areas, including its global prestige skin care portfolio and luxury fragrance brands such as Jo Malone London, TOM FORD and Le Labo. Its focus on digital transformation is another key growth driver, with strong online sales growth across nearly 50 markets. Digital initiatives, combined with precision marketing using AI and consumer profiles, position the company for sustained growth and future market leadership.
While EL is resorting to restructuring, the fiscal 2025 forecast reveals more conservative sales growth and profitability improvements than originally anticipated. This suggests that the company’s recovery will take longer than planned, leaving investors wary of future profitability in the near term.
What’s Next for Investors?
The Estee Lauder Companies is facing significant challenges, including weak consumer sentiment, declining sales in key markets like China, and currency headwinds. Its reliance on Asia travel retail and luxury beauty has led to pressure on margins and overall profitability. The stock is trading below key moving averages, signaling a bearish trend. While the profit recovery plan aims to improve margins and streamline operations, the road to recovery might be longer than anticipated. With a lofty valuation and analysts downgrading earnings estimates, investors should approach EL stock with caution. EL currently carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 (Strong Buy) Rank stocks here.
Zacks Investment Research
Reporter Name | Gabai-Pinsky Veronique |
Relationship | Director |
Type | Sell |
Amount | $188,941 |
SEC Filing | Form 4 |
Veronique Gabai-Pinsky, a Director at INTER PARFUMS, sold 1,500 shares of Common Stock on August 19, 2024, for a total sale amount of $188,941. The selling price per share was $125.9609. Following this transaction, Gabai-Pinsky no longer directly owns any shares of INTER PARFUMS.
SEC Filing: INTER PARFUMS INC [ IPAR ] - Form 4 - Aug. 21, 2024
Have you assessed how the international operations of Inter Parfums performed in the quarter ended June 2024? For this perfume maker, possessing an expansive global footprint, parsing the trends of international revenues could be critical to gauge its financial resilience and growth prospects.
In today's increasingly interconnected global economy, a company's ability to tap into international markets can be a pivotal factor in shaping its overall financial health and growth trajectory. For investors, understanding a company's reliance on overseas markets has become increasingly crucial, as it offers insights into the company's sustainability of earnings, ability to tap into diverse economic cycles and overall growth potential.
Being present in foreign markets serves as protection against local economic declines and helps benefit from more rapidly expanding economies. Yet, such expansion also introduces challenges related to currency fluctuations, geopolitical uncertainties and varied market behaviors.
While delving into IPAR's performance for the past quarter, we observed some fascinating trends in the revenue from its foreign segments that are commonly modeled and observed by analysts on Wall Street.
For the quarter, the company's total revenue amounted to $342.23 million, experiencing an increase of 10.7% year over year. Next, we'll explore the breakdown of IPAR's international revenue to understand the importance of its overseas business operations.
Unveiling Trends in IPAR's International Revenues
Western Europe accounted for 25.0% of the company's total revenue during the quarter, translating to $85.5 million. Revenues from this region represented a surprise of +13.69%, with Wall Street analysts collectively expecting $75.21 million. When compared to the preceding quarter and the same quarter in the previous year, Western Europe contributed $85.1 million (26.3%) and $76.7 million (24.8%) to the total revenue, respectively.
Eastern Europe generated $22.8 million in revenues for the company in the last quarter, constituting 6.7% of the total. This represented a surprise of +18.32% compared to the $19.27 million projected by Wall Street analysts. Comparatively, in the previous quarter, Eastern Europe accounted for $17.5 million (5.4%), and in the year-ago quarter, it contributed $23.1 million (7.5%) to the total revenue.
Projected Revenues in Foreign Markets
The current fiscal quarter's total revenue for Inter Parfums, as projected by Wall Street analysts, is expected to reach $417.39 million, reflecting an increase of 13.4% from the same quarter last year. The breakdown of this revenue by foreign region is as follows: Western Europe is anticipated to contribute 22.2% or $92.76 million and Eastern Europe 6.3% or $26.18 million.
For the full year, the company is expected to generate $1.45 billion in total revenue, up 10.3% from the previous year. Revenues from Western Europe and Eastern Europe are expected to constitute 22.9% ($332.75 million) and 5.9% ($86.06 million) of the total, respectively.
Key Takeaways
Inter Parfums' reliance on international markets for revenues offers both opportunities and risks. Hence, keeping an eye on its international revenue trends could significantly help forecast the company's prospects.
With the increasing intricacies of global interdependence and geopolitical strife, Wall Street analysts meticulously observe these patterns, especially for companies with an international footprint, to tweak their forecasts of earnings. Importantly, several additional factors, such as a company's domestic market status, also impact these earnings forecasts.
Here at Zacks, we put a great deal of emphasis on a company's changing earnings outlook, as empirical research has shown that's a powerful force driving a stock's near-term price performance. Quite naturally, the correlation is positive here -- an upward revision in earnings estimates drives the stock price higher.
Boasting a remarkable track record that's been externally verified, the Zacks Rank, our unique stock rating system, leverages changes in earnings projections to function as a reliable gauge for predicting short-term stock price movements.
Inter Parfums currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here
Inter Parfums' Recent Stock Market Performance
Zacks Investment Research
White Label
Data API
Web Plug-ins
Poster Maker
Affiliate Program
The risk of loss in trading financial instruments such as stocks, FX, commodities, futures, bonds, ETFs and crypto can be substantial. You may sustain a total loss of the funds that you deposit with your broker. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.
No decision to invest should be made without thoroughly conducting due diligence by yourself or consulting with your financial advisors. Our web content might not suit you since we don't know your financial conditions and investment needs. Our financial information might have latency or contain inaccuracy, so you should be fully responsible for any of your trading and investment decisions. The company will not be responsible for your capital loss.
Without getting permission from the website, you are not allowed to copy the website's graphics, texts, or trademarks. Intellectual property rights in the content or data incorporated into this website belong to its providers and exchange merchants.