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Americans receiving Social Security payments may see less of an increase next year, according to a nonprofit group that represents senior citizens.
The Social Security Administration is poised to announce its yearly cost of living adjustment (COLA) for payments to 71 million Americans in the middle of next month, effective in January 2025. The government agency handed out a 3.2% increase for this year last October.
The Senior Citizens League expects a 2.5% increase for next year, based on inflation falling from 2.9% in July to 2.5% in August.
By law, the annual inflation adjustment is based on the average inflation during July, August, and September as measured by the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W).
Read Also: Report Warns of $16,500 Annual Social Security Benefit Cut for Dual-Income Couples by 2033
The Bureau of Labor Statistics averages the CPI-W for these three months and then compares it with the same time frame from the previous year. The percentage difference between the two is the COLA, payable for checks received in January 2025.
The league says the expected 2.5% increase will not be enough for seniors to meet the higher cost of living.
Nearly 80% of senior households report that their monthly budget for essential items like food, housing, and prescription drugs had increased over the last 12 months, according to a 2024 survey taken by the organization. Almost two-thirds — 63% — say they’re worried that their income won’t be enough to cover these basic costs in the coming months.
“Ensuring that seniors have enough to feed and house themselves with dignity is a major reason why we advocate for a minimum COLA of 3%,” said Shannon Benton, the league’s executive director.
She said about two-thirds of seniors rely on Social Security for more than half of their monthly income, and 28% depend on it entirely.
Retirement Stocks
Dividend-yielding, retirement-oriented stocks, typically selected for their risk-averse nature, experienced mixed performance by midday trading on Monday.
Retirement ETFs
Exchange-traded funds that are well suited for retirement trended upward on Monday.
Retirement Plan Stocks
Financial service firms that offer retirement plans were also on the upswing on Monday.
Read Now:
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© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
Nancy Pelosi, the former Speaker of the House, has been known for making high-profile stock trades that have garnered significant attention. While some of her investments have sparked controversy, others have led to impressive returns. One notable trade is her investment in Nvidia , a leading player in the semiconductor and artificial intelligence space.
Pelosi's Nvidia Trade: A Look at the Details
On June 3, 2021, Nancy Pelosi purchased 50 call options on Nvidia, with a strike price of $400. According to the disclosure filed on July 2, 2021, the total value of the trade was between $1 million and $5 million. At the time of Pelosi's trade, Nvidia's stock was experiencing strong momentum, driven by demand in gaming, artificial intelligence, and data centers.
The price of Nvidia stock on the day of her trade was around $16.9 (adjusted for stock splits). Fast forward to the present, and Nvidia has experienced explosive growth. As of 6th September 2024, Nvidia stock is trading at over $102 per share, a significant increase since Pelosi's trade.
The Returns: From $1,000 to a Potential Fortune
If you had invested $1,000 in Nvidia on the same day Pelosi made her call option purchase, your investment would have appreciated substantially. Let's break down the math:
Here's how your $1,000 investment would have fared:
Thus, a $1,000 investment in Nvidia on June 3, 2021, would be worth approximately $6,018 today, reflecting a 503% return on investment. This outpaces the broader market by a significant margin, as the S&P 500 increased by just 29% during the same period.
Pelosi's Other High-Profile Trades
Nancy Pelosi's Nvidia trade may be well-known, but it is far from her only high-profile investment. Over the years, Pelosi has frequently traded major tech stocks, including Apple , Tesla , Alphabet , and Microsoft . Notably, her December 2020 Tesla call options purchase came just before the stock's inclusion in the S&P 500, leading to significant gains. Despite accusations that her trades benefit from non-public information, Pelosi has maintained that her investments are managed by a third-party, deflecting concerns about potential conflicts of interest.
The Impact of Pelosi's Trades on Public Perception
Nancy Pelosi's stock trading has raised concerns about the potential for conflicts of interest among lawmakers. While it's legal for members of Congress to trade stocks, critics argue that they may have access to information that gives them an unfair advantage over ordinary investors. In fact, Pelosi's trades—along with those of other high-profile politicians—have inspired discussions about whether stricter rules should be put in place to regulate stock trading by lawmakers.
Conclusion: Should You Follow in Pelosi's Footsteps?
If you had followed Nancy Pelosi's investment in Nvidia in June 2021, you would have seen substantial returns. Pelosi's high-profile stock trades have sparked debates about ethics and fairness, but for those who followed her Nvidia trade, the results have been undeniably lucrative.
On the date of publication, Caleb Naysmith did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
The S&P 500 Index today is down by -0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index is up by +0.40%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index is down by -0.92%.
Stocks today are mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrials posting a new record high. Apple is down more than -3% today to weigh on the overall market on signs of weak demand for the new iPhone. Also, the weakness in chip makers today is a drag on the broader market. However, Intel is up more than +4% to lift the Dow Jones Industrials after the chipmaker officially qualified for as much as $3.5 billion in federal grants to make semiconductors for the Pentagon.
Today’s US economic news was hawkish for Fed policy after the Sep Empire manufacturing survey general business conditions index rose +16.2 to a 2-1/3 year high of 11.5, stronger than expectations of -4.0.
Corporate news today is mixed for stocks. On the negative side, Apple is down more than -2% after TF International said weekend pre-order sales show demand for the company’s iPhone 16 Pro series is weaker than expected. On the positive side, Oracle is up more than +4% after Melius Research upgraded the stock to buy.
This week, the market will focus on Tuesday’s US Aug retail sales report to see if consumer spending is holding up. The consensus is that Aug retail sales will fall by -0.2% m/m but that Aug retail sales ex-autos will increase by +0.2% m/m. The markets will also look to the 2-day FOMC meeting that begins Tuesday and whether policymakers will decide that a -25 bp cut in the fed funds target range would be adequate for a US economy that has shown signs of losing momentum or whether they will decide for a larger -50 bp rate cut instead. Post-meeting comments from Fed Chair Powell on Wednesday will also be scrutinized regarding the Fed’s future policy intentions.
The markets are discounting the chances at 100% for a -25 bp rate cut for the September 17-18 FOMC meeting and at 63% for a -50 bp rate cut at that meeting.
Signs of weakness in China’s economy are negative for global growth prospects. China Aug industrial production rose +4.5% y/y, weaker than expectations of +4.7% y/y. Also, China Aug retail sales rose +2.1% y/y, weaker than expectations of +2.5% y/y. In addition, China Aug new home prices fell -0.73% m/m, the largest decline in 9-3/4 years.
Overseas stock markets today are lower. The Euro Stoxx 50 is down -0.37%. China's Shanghai Composite was closed for the Mid-autumn Festival holiday. Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 was closed for the Respect-for-the-Aged Day holiday.
Interest Rates
December 10-year T-notes (ZNZ24) today are up +2 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is down -1.5 bp at 3.636%. Dec T-notes today are slightly higher on heightened speculation the Fed will cut interest rates by -50 bp at this week’s 2-day FOMC meeting. Swap markets showed the chances of a -50 bp rate cut rose to 63% today from 52% last Friday. T-notes fell back from their best levels today after the US Sep Empire manufacturing survey general business conditions index rose more than expected to a 2-1/3 year high. Also, rising inflation expectations are negative for T-notes after the 10-year breakeven inflation rate rose to a 1-1/2 week high today of 2.100%.
European government bond yields today are moving lower. The 10-year German bund yield is down -2.7 bp at 2.121%. The 10-year UK gilt yield is down -1.0 bp at 3.758%.
ECB Governing Council member Kazaks said, "There's still more risk inflation will be higher over the medium term than we expect," and the ECB "will almost surely need to wait until December for a clearer picture before making its next move" on interest rates.
Swaps are discounting the chances of a -25 bp rate cut by the ECB at 31% for the October 17 meeting.
US Stock Movers
Apple is down more than -3% to lead losers in the Dow Jones Industrials after TF International said demand for the company’s iPhone 16 Pro series is weak, with first-weekend pre-order sales of about 37 million units, down about -12.7% y/y from last year’s iPhone 15 series first-weekend sales. Apple suppliers are falling as well, with Qorvo down more than -6% to lead losers in the S&P 500. Also, Skyworks Solutions is down more than -6%.
Chip makers are under pressure today and are weighing on the broader market. ARM Holdings Plc is down more than -6% to lead losers in the Nasdaq 100. Also, Micron Technology is down more than -4%, and Broadcom is down more than -3%. In addition, KLA Corp , Lam Research , and ASML Holding NV are down more than -2%. Finally, Nvidia , Marvell Technology , GlobalFoundries , Applied Materials , Microchip Technology , and Texas Instruments are down more than -1%.
Intel is up more than +4% to lead gainers in the Dow Jones Industrials and Nasdaq 100 after the chipmaker officially qualified for as much as $3.5 billion in federal grants to make semiconductors for the Pentagon.
Oracle is up more than +4% after Melius Research upgraded the stock to buy from hold with a price target of $210.
Charles Schwab is up more than +3% after it reported new brokerage account in August rose +4% y/y to 324,000 and that it expects Q3 revenue will climb as much as 3% from Q2.
Elf Beauty is down more than -3% after Piper Sandler cut its price target on the stock to $162 from $260.
MKS Instruments is down more than -3% after Citigroup downgraded the stock to neutral from buy.
Nova Ltd is down more than -5% after Citigroup downgraded the stock to neutral from buy.
Yelp Inc is down more than -2% after Bank of America Global Research initiated coverage on the stock with a recommendation of underperform with a price target of $30.
Exact Sciences is up more than +5% after releasing data from a study of its blood-based colon cancer screening that showed sensitivities of 88% for colorectal cancer and 31% for advanced precancerous lesions at 90% specificity.
Nuvalent is up more than +23% after presenting updated data from two early-stage trials of its lead cancer programs that impressed analysts.
Builders FirstSource is up more than +3% after Truist Securities upgraded the stock to buy from hold with a price target of $220.
Zillow is up more than +4% after Wedbush upgraded the stock to outperform from neutral with a price target of $80.
Earnings Reports (9/16/2024)
None.
On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policyhere.
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