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Zoom Video Communications ZM has seen its stock price surge 21.2% over the past three months against the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s decline of 4.4%. This impressive rally comes after a challenging period for the video conferencing giant, which experienced a significant slowdown in growth following the pandemic-driven boom.
The recent uptick in Zoom's stock price can be attributed to several factors raising questions among investors about whether now is the time to buy or hold onto existing positions. First, the company has been making strides in diversifying its product offerings beyond its core video conferencing platform. Zoom's expansion into areas such as contact centers, phone systems and AI-powered meeting assistants has begun to resonate with enterprise customers, potentially opening up new revenue streams.
3-Month Performance
ZM’s Innovation and Market Strength Fuel Growth Outlook
Zoom Video continues to maintain a strong market position in the video conferencing industry, providing a solid foundation for future growth. Despite increased competition, the company's reputation for user-friendly and reliable services has enabled it to retain and attract customers consistently. This established user base creates a network effect, making it challenging for competitors to displace Zoom in many organizations.
The company's impressive customer metrics underscore its market strength. In the second quarter of fiscal 2025, customers contributing over $100,000 in trailing 12-month revenues grew 7% to 3,933, accounting for 31% of total revenues, up from 29% in the previous year. This growth in high-value customers demonstrates Zoom's ability to capture and retain enterprise clients, a crucial factor for long-term success.
For fiscal 2025, Zoom expects revenues in the range of $4.63-$4.64 billion. Non-GAAP earnings per share are expected in the band of $5.29-$5.32. While the Zacks Consensus Estimate projects 2.42% year-over-year revenue growth to $4.64 billion for fiscal 2025, earnings estimates of $5.31 per share indicate 1.9% growth year over year.
Zoom's product diversification strategy is proving effective in expanding its market reach. By broadening its offerings to include Zoom Phone, Zoom Rooms and Zoom Contact Center, the company is positioning itself as a comprehensive communications platform. This expansion not only opens new revenue streams but also increases cross-selling opportunities, potentially driving higher average revenue per user.
In the second quarter of fiscal 2025, Zoom saw amazing traction with Workvivo as it reached 69 customers with more than $100,000 in ARR, roughly doubling year over year. Workvivo was named Meta Platform’s META only preferred migration partner for its customers as it retires Workplace from Meta. ZM witnessed additional traction in Zoom Contact Center as it surpassed 1,100 Zoom Contact Center customers, representing more than 100% year-over-year growth. This was driven by its recently launched higher pricing tiers as well as its success in larger deals. The company now has five customers with 100,000 or more Zoom Phone seats.
The company's innovation in AI-powered features, such as Zoom AI Companion, has seen significant adoption, with over 1.2 million customer accounts enabled. This commitment to cutting-edge technology enhances user experience and productivity, giving Zoom a competitive edge in the enterprise market.
Zoom's financial health remains robust, with $7.5 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of July 31, 2024. This strong balance sheet provides the company with the flexibility to invest in growth initiatives, weather economic uncertainties and pursue strategic acquisitions.
The ongoing trend toward remote and hybrid work models continues to benefit Zoom, as companies adopt flexible arrangements requiring robust video conferencing and collaboration tools. This shift in work culture provides a tailwind for Zoom's services in the long term.
Can ZM Stock Justify Its Premium in a Competitive Market?
Potential investors should approach Zoom stock with caution. The company still faces significant challenges, including intense competition from tech giants like Microsoft MSFT and Cisco CSCO, who have been aggressively pushing their own collaboration tools.
Moreover, Zoom's valuation remains relatively high compared to some of its peers, suggesting that much of its future growth potential may already be priced into the stock. Zoom's premium valuation is reflected in its forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 4.4, higher than the Zacks Internet - Software industry average of 2.58, which suggests high growth expectations but also implies elevated risk. Zoom will need to maintain its technological edge and continue delivering value to its customers to stay ahead of the curve.
ZM’s P/S F-12M Ratio Depicts Stretched Valuation
Conclusion
Zoom's market dominance, product diversification, financial strength and commitment to innovation position the company well for future growth. As it continues to adapt to changing market demands and leverage its strong customer base, Zoom remains a formidable player in the evolving landscape of digital communication and collaboration tools.
While the recent stock price increase is encouraging, it's important to consider whether this momentum is sustainable. Waiting for further evidence of Zoom's ability to execute on its diversification strategy and maintain growth in a competitive market could provide a clearer picture of the stock's true value. For current shareholders, holding onto Zoom stock may be a prudent strategy. Potential buyers, however, may want to exercise patience. Zoom currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Zacks Investment Research
ServiceNow NOW shares have returned 6.4% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Computers – IT Services industry. While the sector has dropped 2.6%, the industry has returned 5.4% over the same time frame.
ServiceNow has been benefiting from strong expansion in clientele as enterprises undergoing digital transformation continue to adopt its workflow solutions. NOW’s growing Generative AI prowess and strong partner base are driving prospects.
Year to date, ServiceNow shares have returned 25.4%, and the momentum is expected to continue in the second half of 2024.
NOW shares are trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend.
NOW Trades Above 50-day and 200-day SMA
Let’s dig deeper to find out the factors driving NOW’s prospects.
Year-to-Date Performance
NOW’s Q3 & 2024 Guidance Encouraging
ServiceNow expects third-quarter 2024 subscription revenues between $2.66 billion and $2.67 billion, suggesting an improvement in the range of 20-20.5% year over year on a GAAP basis. At constant currency, subscription revenues are expected to grow 20.5%.
ServiceNow expects the non-GAAP operating margin to be 29.5% in the current quarter.
For 2024, NOW expects subscription revenues to be $10.575-$10.585 billion, which suggests a rise of 22% from 2023, both on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis.
ServiceNow expects the non-GAAP subscription gross margin to be 84.5% and the non-GAAP operating margin to be 29.5% (up from the previous guidance of 29%).
NOW’s Earnings Estimate Revision Shows Upward Movement
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2024 earnings is pegged at $13.75 per share, up 1.8% over the past 60 days, indicating a 27.55% year-over-year increase.
The consensus mark for third-quarter 2024 earnings is pegged at $3.46 per share, up a couple of cents over the past 60 days, indicating an 18.49% year-over-year increase.
ServiceNow, Inc. Price and Consensus
ServiceNow, Inc. price-consensus-chart | ServiceNow, Inc. Quote
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is pegged at $2.74 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of 19.78%. The consensus mark for 2024 revenues is pegged at $10.9 billion, suggesting growth of 21.51% over the 2023 reported figure.
Strong Portfolio & Partner Base Aids NOW’s Prospects
ServiceNow is extensively leveraging AI and machine learning technologies to boost the potency of its solutions. NOW’s expanding GenAI capabilities are noteworthy, as its total addressable market is expected to hit $275 billion in 2026.
ServiceNow’s latest update, Xanadu, offers AI-powered, purpose-built industry solutions for domains including telecom, media, and technology, financial services and the public sector.
The Xanadu update adds new AI capabilities to boost customer agility, enhance productivity and improve employee experiences. It expands the GenAI portfolio to enterprise functions, including Security as well as Sourcing & Procurement Operations.
NOW plans to integrate Agentic AI into the ServiceNow platform and unlock 24/7 productivity at a massive scale. This service will be available this November for Customer Service Management AI Agents and IT Service Management AI Agents. It is expected to reduce the time taken to resolve an issue and make live agents more productive.
A strong partner base that includes the likes of Visa, Microsoft MSFT, NVIDIA NVDA, International Business Machines IBM, Genesys, Fujitsu, Equinix, Boomi and Infosys is strengthening NOW’s AI capabilities.
The much anticipated Now Assist integration with Microsoft Copilot for Microsoft 365 is now generally available.
Strong Liquidity Makes NOW Stock Attractive
A strong liquidity position with a cash balance of $5.41 billion as of June 30, 2024, is noteworthy. ServiceNow generated a free cash flow of $359 million in the second quarter of 2024.
NOW expects the free cash flow margin to be 31% for 2024.
The strong liquidity position allows NOW to pursue various growth opportunities, including acquisitions. ServiceNow completed the acquisition of Raytion to enhance GenAI-powered search and knowledge management capabilities on the Now Platform.
NOW’s Strong Prospects Justifies Premium Valuation
However, NOW stock is not so cheap, as the Value Score of D suggests a stretched valuation at this moment.
In terms of the forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio, NOW is trading at 14.61X, higher than its median of 13.34X and the Zacks Computer & Technology sector’s 6.14X.
Price/Sales Ratio (F12M)
Nevertheless, we believe the strong growth prospect justifies ServiceNow’s premium valuation.
Conclusion
ServiceNow’s robust GenAI portfolio and strong partner base are expected to drive its clientele, thereby boosting subscription revenues. The Growth Score of B makes the stock attractive for growth-oriented investors.
ServiceNow currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Zacks Investment Research
Courtesy of a software-driven, data-centric approach that helps customers build their cloud architecture, Arista Networks, Inc. ANET has surged 95.3% over the past year compared with the industry’s growth of 69.5%. It has also outperformed its peers like Juniper Networks, Inc. JNPR and Cisco Systems, Inc. CSCO over this period.
Arista continues to benefit from strong momentum and diversification across its top verticals and product lines with an improved market demand supported by a flexible business model and solid cash flow. As more and more business enterprises transition to the cloud, the company is well-poised for growth in data-driven cloud networking business with proactive platforms and predictive operations.
One-Year Price Performance
ANET Solutions Gaining Solid Market Traction
Arista holds a leadership position in 100-gigabit Ethernet switching share in port for the high-speed data center segment. It is increasingly gaining market traction in 200-and-400-gig high-performance switching products.
Additionally, Arista offers one of the broadest product lines of data center and campus Ethernet switches and routers in the industry. It provides routing and switching platforms with industry-leading capacity, low latency, port density and power efficiency. The company also innovates in areas such as deep packet buffers, embedded optics and reversible cooling.
Arista is witnessing solid demand trends among enterprise customers backed by its multi-domain modern software approach, which is built upon its unique and differentiating foundation, the single EOS (Extensible Operating System) and CloudVision stack. The versatility of Arista’s unified software stack across various use cases, including WAN routing and campus and data center infrastructure, sets it apart from other competitors in the industry. This, in turn, has translated into solid revenue growth for the company over the years.
Cloud-Native Cognitive Software: ANET’s Key Focus
Arista continues benefiting from the expanding cloud networking market, driven by strong demand for scalable infrastructure. In addition to high capacity and easy availability, its cloud networking solutions promise predictable performance and programmability, enabling integration with third-party applications for network management, automation and orchestration.
With customers deploying transformative cloud networking solutions, the company has announced several additions to its multi-cloud and cloud-native software product family with CloudEOS Edge. It has introduced cognitive Wi-Fi software that delivers intelligent application identification, automated troubleshooting and location services. This supports video conferencing applications like Microsoft Teams and Zoom.
ANET Launches EOS Smart AI Suite
Arista recently launched Etherlink AI platforms for optimal network performance across the most demanding AI workloads, including training and inferencing. Powered by new AI-optimized Arista EOS features, the new product portfolio can support more than 100,000 XPUs with 2-tier network topologies. This delivers superior application performance compared to more complex multi-tier networks while offering advanced monitoring capabilities, including flow-level visibility.
In addition, the company aims to provide the ideal accelerator-agnostic solution for AI clusters of any shape or size, providing flexible options for fixed, modular and distributed switching platforms. The EOS Smart AI suite will enable customers to have a single 800G end-to-end technology platform across front-end, training, inference and storage networks with AI-grade robustness and protection to high-value AI clusters and workloads.
In collaboration with NVIDIA Corporation NVDA, Arista aims to build optimal generative AI networks with lower job completion times that customers can easily configure and manage. The Arista EOS-based agent enables the network and the host to communicate with each other, facilitating a single point of control and visibility across an AI Data Center. This remote AI agent, hosted directly on an NVIDIA BlueField-3 SuperNIC or running on the server and collecting telemetry from the SuperNIC, allows EOS to configure, monitor and debug network problems on the server, ensuring end-to-end AI communication and optimization.
Estimate Revision Trend of ANET
Earnings estimates for Arista for 2024 have moved up 23.4% to $8.24 over the past year, while the same for 2025 has increased 22.4% to $9.24. The positive estimate revision depicts optimism about the stock’s growth potential.
End Note
With solid fundamentals and healthy revenue-generating potential driven by robust demand trends, Arista appears to be a solid investment proposition. Further, a strong emphasis on quality, diligent execution of operational plans and continuous portfolio enhancements are driving more value for customers. Steady improvement in lead times and easing of supply-chain woes are major tailwinds.
The stock delivered a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 15%. Arista currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Riding on a robust earnings surprise history and favorable Zacks Rank, it appears primed for further stock price appreciation. Consequently, investors are likely to profit if they bet on this high-flying stock now.
Zacks Investment Research
Microsoft and BlackRock are two of the most mentioned companies in the U.S. across all news items in the past 12 hours, according to Factiva data. The companies are launching an artificial intelligence fund worth around $30 billion to build data centers and energy projects. Dow Jones & Co. owns Factiva. (colin.kellaher@wsj.com)
By Jonathan Stempel
Sept 18 (Reuters) - Meta Platforms META.O won the dismissal of a lawsuit claiming it defrauded shareholders by concealing how changes to Apple's AAPL.O privacy settings would make Facebook and Instagram less desirable for advertisers.
In a decision on Tuesday, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers also rejected claims that Meta concealed former Chief Operating Officer Sheryl Sandberg's use of company resources on personal matters, including her wedding and her best-selling book "Lean In."
The Oakland, California-based judge also turned aside claims that Meta knew its transition to Reels, which copied TikTok's short-form video format, would hurt revenue because it offered fewer ads per hour than older formats.
Shareholders led by four Israeli insurers and pension funds challenged 17 allegedly false and misleading statements that Meta made in 2021 and 2022.
They said Meta's stock price fell 53% in less than a year as the truth came out, wiping out well over $500 billion of the Menlo Park, California-based company's market value.
But in her 34-page decision, Rogers said Meta's eventual admission that Apple's iOS privacy changes could pose a $10 billion "headwind" in 2022 did not demonstrate that its earlier disclosures were false.
She also said the claims about Sandberg came "entirely from press reports" and were unproven, and found no proof that the transition to Reels hurt Meta's financial performance.
"The court determines plaintiffs have not plausibly alleged violations of federal securities law," Rogers wrote.
She dismissed the lawsuit with prejudice, meaning it cannot be brought again.
Other defendants included Sandberg, Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg, Chief Financial Officer Susan Li and her predecessor David Wehner.
Lawyers for the plaintiffs did not immediately respond to requests for comment on Wednesday. Meta had no immediate comment.
The case, which has a different named plaintiff, is Plumbers and Steamfitters Local 60 Pension Trust v Meta Platforms Inc et al, U.S. District Court, Northern District of California, No. 22-01470.
(Reporting by Jonathan Stempel in New York; editing by Jonathan Oatis)
(( jon.stempel@thomsonreuters.com ; +1 646 223 6317; Reuters Messaging: jon.stempel.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net ))
Keywords: META PLATFORMS-LAWSUIT/ (PIX)
Chegg investors are bound to be disappointed with the stock’s roughly 84% YTD fall, which places it among the worst-performing Russell 2000 Index (RUT) stocks this year. Chegg stock just keeps getting cheaper, and has been falling to new lows this month. In this article, we’ll look at Chegg’s 2025 forecast and analyze whether the stock will keep falling to new lows, or if it CHGG can recover from its troughs. Let’s begin by looking at why Chegg stock has been falling.
Why Does Chegg Stock Keep Falling to New Lows?
The COVID-19 lockdowns helped to drive revenues of companies like Zoom Video Communications , Teladoc Health , and Chegg. However, the entire group has since crashed - and to put it bluntly, their services now no longer appear as “critical” and irreplaceable as they were during the lockdowns.
All of the former pandemic darlings are either growing at a slow pace or worse, contracting. However, Chegg’s woes are much deeper than many of the other former “stay-at-home” companies, and it's facing a tough challenge from artificial intelligence (AI) companies like ChatGPT.
Chegg’s revenues have fallen YoY for nine consecutive quarters and the slowdown has only worsened. Its revenue fell by double digits in Q2, even as the decline was better than what the company forecasted. Its Q3 guidance implies a YoY fall of over 15%, which is even wider than the 10.8% that it witnessed in Q2.
With Chegg’s revenues falling so rapidly, it's not surprising that the stock has also been in a freefall. However, the question that needs to be asked is - has the stock fallen a bit too hard, and is the risk-reward now favorable, despite Chegg’s woes?
Chegg’s Valuations Are Quite Depressed
Chegg trades at a next 12-month (NTM) price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of a mere 2.22x, while the market cap to free cash flow multiple is below 2. While value investors might ordinarily pounce on a stock with such low valuations – especially if it is a company with negative net debt (more cash than debt) on its balance sheet – CHGG's valuations are low for a reason.
Chegg’s revenue decline is not expected to improve anytime soon, and analysts expect its revenues to fall by 5.8% in 2025. While it's not exactly a rosy forecast, that would still be a lot better than the 11.7% YoY revenue decline that Chegg is expected to post this year.
Chegg Stock 2025 Forecast
Chegg elevated its chief operating officer Nathan Schultz to the position of CEO in April. Schultz was leading the company’s AI efforts, whose success will eventually determine the company’s future as it battles competition from the likes of ChatGPT, which is eating into Chegg’s membership numbers, and by extension its revenues and profits.
Chegg has set itself a target of achieving adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margin of over 30% with at least $100 million in free cash flows. The company's current market cap is under $200 million, so the kind of free cash flows it is targeting could potentially enable it to repurchase half of its shares. That said, Chegg has already been spending generously on repurchases, but these haven’t yet stemmed the slide in its stock price, with CHGG touching a new low of $1.78 on Sept. 10.
Analysts Rate CHGG as a Hold, but See Massive Upside
Of the 14 analysts covering Chegg, 12 rate it as a “Hold,” while one each rates it as a “Moderate Sell” and “Strong Sell.” However, the stock’s mean target price of $3.91 is over twice the current price levels, and Chegg even trades below its Street-low target price of $2.
In July, Morgan Stanley upgraded Chegg from “underweight” to “equal weight,” even as analyst Josh Baer cut Chegg’s earnings estimates and trimmed his target price by half to $3.25. Morgan Stanley’s investment thesis was also based on the company’s low valuations and the resultant “balanced risk/reward.”
Will Chegg Go the Way of Kodak?
Given the existential threat that Chegg faces from AI companies, a section of the market worries that the edtech company might fade from relevance in the same manner as Eastman Kodak , which failed to evolve. To be sure, Chegg has also pivoted to AI - but the challenge remains to get more people to pay for its services and lure them away from platforms like ChatGPT.
GenAI platforms are far from perfect and often provide incorrect answers, whereas Chegg believes it can do better. The company is also expanding internationally and providing localized experiences. However, international pricing is much lower than what Chegg charges in the U.S., so its average revenue per user (ARPU) might come down as it adds more international users. Even within the U.S., the company might need to do more promotions to increase its user base.
All of that said, I find Chegg’s risk-reward to be favorable at these prices. Given the low valuations and expectations of a more stable revenue environment in 2025, the stock could bounce back next year, even as it remains a high-risk proposition.
On the date of publication, Mohit Oberoi had a position in: CHGG , TDOC . All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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