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In the world of mankind, there will not be a statement without any position, nor a remark without any purpose.
Inflation, exchange rates, and the economy shape the policy decisions of central banks; the attitudes and words of central bank officials also influence the actions of market traders.
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I have 5 years of experience in financial analysis, especially in aspects of macro developments and medium and long-term trend judgment. My focus is maily on the developments of the Middle East, emerging markets, coal, wheat and other agricultural products.
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Risk Warning on Trading HK Stocks
Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.
HK Stock Trading Fees and Taxation
Trading costs in the Hong Kong stock market include transaction fees, stamp duty, settlement charges, and currency conversion fees for foreign investors. Additionally, taxes may apply based on local regulations.
HK Non-Essential Consumer Goods Industry
The Hong Kong stock market encompasses non-essential consumption sectors like automotive, education, tourism, catering, and apparel. Of the 643 listed companies, 35% are mainland Chinese, making up 65% of the total market capitalization. Thus, it's heavily influenced by the Chinese economy.
HK Real Estate Industry
In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.
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U.S. second-hand home sales fell for the sixth straight month in July, suggesting that high borrowing costs and weak demand are driving a rapid decline in the housing market. Second-hand home sales have fallen nearly 26% since January, the largest six-month drop since 1999, underscoring the housing market's impact on rising mortgage rates and home prices. In addition, A slowdown in the construction industry and more buyers pulling out of deals are also weighing on the market. On the other hand, aggressive interest rate hikes by the Fed have left stocks facing some headwinds, but Bank of America said that the Fed's shrinking of its balance sheet also poses a risk to stock prices. Quantitative tightening has undoubtedly given way to more pressing issues such as inflation and recession anxiety, but as economic growth continues to slow, the impact of the Fed's asset reduction may come to the fore.
28980.00
Entry Price
28810.00
TP
29145.00
SL
--
Pips
EXPIRED
28810.00
TP
31847.15
Exit Price
28980.00
Entry Price
29145.00
SL
The dollar has regained the support of market interest rate hike expectations, while Europe is at risk of falling into economic recession and inflation de-anchoring. At present, the basis of the euro is a typical European weakness and the strong US.
1.01229
Entry Price
1.00000
TP
1.04634
SL
--
Pips
EXPIRED
1.00000
TP
0.99506
Exit Price
1.01229
Entry Price
1.04634
SL
Four Fed officials delivered speeches one after the other, during which they overrode the market's previous interpretation of the minutes of the Fed's July meeting, raising expectations of interest rate hikes. The USD is again supported by the expectation of raising interest rates until after the next important economic data is released, by which the market will reinterpret it for brand new expectations.
107.254
Entry Price
108.564
TP
106.500
SL
--
Pips
EXPIRED
106.500
SL
108.810
Exit Price
107.254
Entry Price
108.564
TP
Since Japan entered the "seventh wave" of the pandemic in mid-July, the number of confirmed infections has repeatedly hit new highs. The WHO's statistics show that from July 8th to August 14th, Japan's newly confirmed COVID-19 cases have ranked first in the world for four consecutive weeks. In addition, the high number of infections has overwhelmed the Japanese medical system, and medical resources are currently under strain in many places. Some experts believe that under the current pandemic prevention policy, this pandemic wave in Japan is far from its peak and will continue for a long time.
28980.00
Entry Price
28810.00
TP
29145.00
SL
--
Pips
EXPIRED
28810.00
TP
27977.50
Exit Price
28980.00
Entry Price
29145.00
SL
The US dollar (USD) has strengthened again due to hawkish speeches from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. This has suppressed gold prices significantly, with the strong strength of the bears in the short term. Therefore, a further fall below 1750 cannot be ruled out.
1759.50
Entry Price
1732.00
TP
1776.00
SL
41.2
Pips
Profit
1732.00
TP
1755.38
Exit Price
1759.50
Entry Price
1776.00
SL
BRENT continued to fluctuate in a downward trend. Although the decline has weakened with rebounds and consolidation, the overall trend is still bearish.
96.000
Entry Price
90.000
TP
100.200
SL
420.0
Pips
Loss
90.000
TP
100.204
Exit Price
96.000
Entry Price
100.200
SL
The minutes of the July 26-27, 2022 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting showed that "curbing inflation remains critical to the Federal Reserve." Gold market signals suggest that the downside is strengthening, which conflicts with market expectations that the Fed will turn as inflation cools.
1757.64
Entry Price
1720.00
TP
1774.00
SL
191.3
Pips
Profit
1720.00
TP
1738.51
Exit Price
1757.64
Entry Price
1774.00
SL
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