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【Apollo: The Probability That The US Tariffs Will Be Imposed Next Year And That Nvidia'S Earnings Report Will Fall Short Of Expectations Is As High As 90%】Torsten Slok, Chief Economist And Partner At Apollo Global Management, Listed 12 Risks The Global Market May Face In 2025, And How Likely Each Risk Is To Occur. Slok Predicts That The Probability That The US Will Impose Tariffs And That The Earnings Report Of Ai Chip Leader Nvidia Will Fall Short Of Expectations Is As High As 90%. The Possibility That The US Economy Will Fall Into Recession Is Considered Zero, While A Serious Budget Crisis Is Considered A 10% Low Chance. Slok Believes There Is A 40% Chance That The Yield On 10-Year US Treasury Bonds Will Rise Above 5% In Mid-2025. This Is Bad News For The Economy, As Mortgages, Credit Cards, And Other Consumer Interest Rates All Follow 10-Year Interest Rates. Slok Anticipates A 40% Chance That Inflation Will Accelerate In The First Quarter. A Sharp Rise In Inflation May Cause The Federal Reserve To Shift Its Attitude Towards Raising Interest Rates Rather Than Cutting Interest Rates, And Slok Believes There Is A 40% Chance That This Will Happen
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