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[ECB Rate Cut And Revised Guidance Impacted By German Fiscal Policy And Trade Uncertainty] The ECB Cut Interest Rates By 25 Basis Points To 2.50%, But Revised Its Guidance To "meaningfully Less Restrictive." Following This, Traders Reduced Bets On Further ECB Rate Cuts After Germany Announced A €500 Billion Infrastructure Fund And Overhaul Of Borrowing Restrictions. The Market Now Prices In Around A 60% Chance Of Two More Rate Cuts By Year-end, While Also Factoring In A Roughly 40% Chance Of A Rate Hike By September 2026 Due To Potential Inflation From Germany's Fiscal Boost. Uncertainty Remains Regarding U.S. Tariffs, Further Complicating The ECB's Monetary Policy Outlook.
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