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[CICC: The Fed May Still Cut Interest Rates This Year, And The Next Rate Cut May Be In The Third Quarter] CICC Believes That The Fed's March Meeting Remained Unchanged, Which Is In Line With Market Expectations. Faced With Tariff Uncertainties, Officials Are Cautious About The Economic Outlook, And The Forecast Shows Concerns About "quasi-stagflation". Although The Dot Plot Is "hawkish", Powell Actively Reassured The Market And Hinted That No Drastic Action Would Be Taken. He Also Stated That The Balance Sheet Reduction Will Soon Slow Down To Avoid Repeating The Liquidity Shock In 2019. The Market Performed Positively Under Powell's Words, But CICC Believes That US Policy Uncertainty Still Exists, And Under The Influence Of Tariffs And Government Layoffs, The Risk Of Economic Downturn Cannot Be Ignored. CICC Maintains Its Previous Judgment That The Fed May Still Cut Interest Rates This Year, And The Next Rate Cut May Be In The Third Quarter
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