Finance Minister Choi Sang-mok said Thursday the government will take active steps, if necessary, to address excessive volatility in the foreign exchange (FX) market.

Since Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election last week, the local currency has been fluctuating around the psychologically significant level of 1,400 won against the U.S. dollar.

In a meeting with other economic policymakers in Seoul, Choi said that if there is excessive volatility in the financial and FX markets, the government will promptly and effectively implement market stabilization measures.

The minister had previously issued a similar message in mid-April, when the exchange rate surged to around 1,400 won against the greenback due to escalating tensions in the Middle East.

The finance minister also emphasized the importance of maintaining strong cooperation and a response system as part of the government's contingency plans.

Attendees at the meeting expressed a shared view that uncertainties surrounding policy changes during the transition period before the new U.S. administration takes office are also contributing to market instability, the ministry said.

Trump has vowed to impose high tariffs on imported goods, implement protectionist measures and introduce tax cuts, which experts believe could lead to an increase in the U.S. budget deficit, higher inflationary pressure and a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting actions. (Yonhap)

Source: Koreatimes

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[News Details]

[Today's Focus]

SAN FRANCISCO – Donald Trump’s US election victory – and Elon Musk’s role in helping to get him elected – has sent many users of Musk’s social networking service X, formerly known as Twitter, leaving for alternatives.

One of the key beneficiaries of the exodus has been Bluesky, which rocketed to the No. 1 spot on the Apple App Store’s US chart this week.

Bluesky’s user base has doubled in the past 90 days. On Nov 13, the company said it had gained 1 million new sign-ups in the past week alone, bringing it to more than 15 million total users.

What is Bluesky and how does it work?

Bluesky is a social media service with a lot of the same features you might find on X, Facebook and Instagram. Users can create a profile, follow other accounts, like and re-share posts, and send private messages. Bluesky users have the option to see several different feeds based on their interests. They can see traditional feeds made up of posts from the people they choose to follow, for example, or scroll through feeds focused on certain topics, such as science, gardening or “cat pics.”

How many people are on Bluesky?

Bluesky has more 15 million total users and has added more than 1.25 million new sign-ups since the US election on Nov 5. It’s still relatively small compared to competitors such as X and Meta’s Threads, but it’s growing quickly; Bluesky had only 10 million total users in September. One week after the election, it was the top ranked “free” app in Apple’s App Store.

Who is behind Bluesky?

Bluesky started as more of a project than a company. In late 2019, then-Twitter chief executive officer Jack Dorsey announced Bluesky, which was funded by Twitter, as an independent effort to build a new social networking protocol. Dorsey didn’t like that the major social networks – including his own – were all owned and controlled by private companies. A social networking protocol, by contrast, would serve as a technology layer that anyone could build a network on top of, theoretically creating more competition and user freedom. Email is an example of an internet protocol – anyone can make an email service, and send emails that can be received by people who use other providers.

That project morphed into a formal company called Bluesky in 2021. Dorsey left the Bluesky board last year. He has since criticized Bluesky for becoming a more traditional company instead of just creating a technology protocol.

Twitter stopped financing Bluesky once Musk bought the company in late 2022, but Bluesky raised a US$15 million ($20 million) funding round in October.

How do users sign-up?

Bluesky is available to download on both Apple’s App Store and the Google Play store for Android users. Bluesky was initially invite-only when it first launched – executives said that was to keep the service from crashing or experiencing technical glitches, not to be exclusive – but it has since opened the network to anybody and you no longer need a code to join.

So is Bluesky the next Twitter?

It’s too soon to say, but it has a long way to go. Not only is Bluesky significantly smaller than X, which is having its own usage spike, Musk says, but other competitors have also emerged. Threads, another X clone from Meta Platforms, has 275 million monthly users in less than 18 months, and may soon start running ads. Other social networking services like Mastodon have also had brief moments of popularity before falling out of the conversation. Bluesky is having a moment, but it’s unclear if the company will be able to sustain it. 

Source: Straitstimes

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month (m/m) in October, in line with the consensus forecast. On a twelve-month basis, CPI ticked up to 2.6% (from 2.4% in September).

Energy prices were flat last month, as a pullback in gasoline prices (-0.9% m/m) was offset by an uptick in electricity costs (+1.0% m/m). Food prices rose 0.2% m/m, following a sharp 0.4% m/m gain in September.

Excluding food and energy, core prices rose 0.3% m/m, matching the two prior-months’ gains. The twelve-month change held steady at 3.3%, while the three-month annualized shot higher to 3.6% (from 3.1% in September).

Price growth on core services were up 0.35% m/m, in line with September’s gain. On a year-ago basis, services prices are up 4.8% or roughly two percentage points above its pre-pandemic pace of growth when inflation was running closer to 2%.

Primary shelter costs rose 0.4% m/m, following a gain of 0.3% m/m in September. While well off its 2023 highs of over 8%, primary shelter costs remain elevated at 5.1% y/y.

Price growth of non-housing services inflation (aka “supercore”) remained firm, rising 0.3% m/m – roughly in line with the average gain recorded over the past three months. The continued strength was primarily driven by another strong gain in airline fares (+3.2% m/m), recreational services (+0.7% m/m) and to a lesser extent, medical care services (+0.4% m/m).

Core goods prices were flat in October, after registering a gain the month prior. A pullback in apparel (-1.5% m/m) and education & communication goods (-1.1% m/m) helped to offset a sharp gain in used vehicle prices (+2.7% m/m).

Key Implications

Progress on the inflation front has slowed to a snail’s pace in recent months as services inflation is looking increasingly sticky, while much of the disinflationary pressure from fallings goods prices is now in the rear-view mirror. All of this suggests that the last leg lower on returning inflation to the Fed’s 2% target is going to occur much more gradually.

From the Fed’s standpoint, there was little in this morning’s data to get excited about. The three-month annualized rate of change on core inflation jumped to a six-month high, while the six-and-twelve-month rates of change held steady at 2.6 and 3.3% respectively. With inflation progress stalling but the economy still holding up, November’s employment report will carry added significance for whether the FOMC continues cutting at its next meeting in December or opts to pause. Following this morning’s release, markets are pricing a 70% probability that the Fed cuts next month.

Source: Ronsco

Market Picture

The crypto market cap fell to $2.88 trillion, down 5% over the day. It appears that the market has started to take profits after a week of rallying. The first target for such a pullback appears to be the March-June resistance area around $2.70 trillion. However, we are optimistic that the market may well pick up cryptocurrencies at higher levels and trigger FOMO.

Bitcoin kept things interesting on Tuesday, starting the day by testing the $90K level, then dropping to $85K before testing $90K again. On Wednesday morning, the price pulled back to $87K, the first significant daily decline in eight days. Technically, a pullback to $84K or even $81K would fit within the correction pattern of the last impulse. In that case, a broader correction could begin. For now, however, we believe the market has stumbled and could quickly return to growth.

News Background

Amid the rapid rise of cryptocurrencies, tech analyst Ali Martinez noted an ‘explosion of institutional FOMO’, citing Bernstein’s recent positive report. ‘We are literally starting the dot-com cycle for cryptocurrencies,’ said Michael van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading.

On 11 November, MicroStrategy shares hit a new all-time high of $351.7, taking its YTD growth rate to 438%. Coinbase shares have been at their highest since November 2021. The exchange’s shares have jumped 75% in the last five days.

Arkham Intelligence notes that 2,500 BTC ($222m) were sent to two unknown addresses from the wallets of the former Mt.Gox. This is the fifth Bitcoin transaction in the last two weeks, totalling more than $2 billion.

Polymarket users are betting that bitcoin will reach $100K by the end of November. The proportion of such bets has reached 57%.

Tesla’s Bitcoin value has exceeded $1 billion. The company holds 11,509 BTC. According to Arkham data, El Salvador’s Bitcoin assets exceeded $500 million. The country holds 5,932 BTC.