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The broader equity markets moved northward yesterday as investors shrugged off the worries about escalating geopolitical tensions related to the Russia-Ukraine war and invested heavily in cyclical stocks poised to benefit from a booming economy. Despite Russia’s President Putin ratcheting up his war rhetoric with a veiled nuclear threat after outgoing President Biden approved the use of U.S.-made missiles against Russia, investors snapped up stocks that are perceived to be the likely beneficiaries of Trump trade. However, continued geopolitical unrest in the Middle East remains a latent threat, leading to market uncertainty and a volatility slugfest.
As investors employ a wait-and-see approach in a classic example of “backing and filling” in the market, they can benefit from “cash cow” stocks that garner higher returns. However, identifying cash-rich stocks alone does not make for a solid investment proposition unless it is backed by attractive efficiency ratios like return on equity (ROE). A high ROE ensures that the company is reinvesting cash at a high rate of return. The Walt Disney Company DIS, Leidos Holdings, Inc. LDOS and Regions Financial Corporation RF are some of the stocks with high ROE to profit from.
ROE: A Key Metric
ROE = Net Income/Shareholders’ Equity
ROE helps investors distinguish profit-generating companies from profit burners and is useful in determining the financial health of a company. In other words, this financial metric enables investors to identify companies that diligently deploy cash for higher returns.
Moreover, ROE is often used to compare the profitability of a company with other firms in the industry — the higher, the better. It measures how well a company is multiplying its profits without investing new equity capital and portrays management’s efficiency in rewarding shareholders with attractive risk-adjusted returns.
Screening Parameters
In order to shortlist stocks that are cash-rich with high ROE, we have added Cash Flow greater than $1 billion and ROE greater than X-Industry as our primary screening parameters. In addition, we have taken a few other criteria into consideration to arrive at a winning strategy.
Price/Cash Flow lesser than X-Industry: This metric measures how much investors pay for $1 of free cash flow. A lower ratio indicates that investors need to pay less for a better cash flow-generating stock.
Return on Assets (ROA) greater than X-Industry: This metric determines how much profit a company earns for every dollar of asset, which includes cash, accounts receivable, property, equipment, inventory and furniture. The higher the ROA, the better it is for the company.
5-Year EPS Historical Growth greater than X-Industry: This criterion indicates that continued earnings momentum has translated into solid cash strength.
Zacks Rank less than or equal to 2: Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) stocks are known to outperform irrespective of the market environment.
Here are three of the seven stocks that qualified the screening:
Walt Disney: Burbank, CA-based Walt Disney has assets that span movies, television shows and theme parks. This leading diversified international family entertainment and media enterprise operates through three business segments, namely Entertainment, Sports and Experiences.
The company has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 10% and delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 13.6%, on average. It has a VGM Score of A. Walt Disney carries a Zacks Rank #2. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Leidos: Delaware-based Leidos is a global science and technology leader serving the defense, intelligence, civil and health markets. Its core capabilities include providing solutions in the fields of cybersecurity, data analytics, enterprise IT modernization, operations and logistics, sensors, collection and phenomenology, software development and systems engineering.
The company has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 14.8% and delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 29.9%, on average. It has a VGM Score of A. Leidos sports a Zacks Rank #1.
Regions Financial: Birmingham, AL-based Regions Financial is a financial holding company that provides retail, commercial and mortgage banking, as well as other financial services in asset management, wealth management, securities brokerage, trust services, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) advisory services and other specialty financing.
It has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 4.6% and delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 4.4%, on average. Regions Financial carries a Zacks Rank #2.
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Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material.
Disclosure: Performance information for Zacks’ portfolios and strategies are available at: https://www.zacks.com/performance.
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Disney shares have risen over 18% in the last month, and much of that rally has come after the company released its fiscal Q4 2024 earnings earlier this month. The company not only posted better-than-expected earnings for the quarter, but also provided upbeat guidance for the next couple of years.
Despite the recent rally, Disney still trades below its 2024 highs. In this article, we’ll discuss whether DIS stock is still a buy, and whether the stock can rally further into 2025 - beginning with a snapshot of its recent earnings.
Disney Guided for Double-Digit Earnings Growth
During the fiscal Q4 earnings call, Disney forecast “high single-digit” adjusted earnings growth in the current fiscal year. For the fiscal years 2026 and 2027, it projected double-digit earnings growth.
Disney’s combined streaming business, which includes Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, generated an operating income of $321 million in the fiscal fourth quarter. The segment has come a long way, as its quarterly losses peaked at around $1.5 billion in the final quarter of its fiscal year 2022. Within two years, the streaming business has become a net contributor to Disney’s operating profits, instead of the drag it once used to be.
Disney is Targeting Double-Digit Streaming Margins
Disney expects its streaming business to eventually post double-digit margins like Netflix , and during the fiscal Q4 earnings call, it outlined the building blocks to reach that milestone. These are:
Disney Follows Netflix’s Strategy
Disney has been following in Netflix’s footsteps, and launched an ad-supported tier. During the fiscal Q4 earnings call, Disney CEO Bob Iger accidentally revealed numbers about its ad-supported tier and said that around 60% of new subscribers in the U.S. are for the plan. He also added that around 37% of the total subscribers in the country are now on the ad-supported plan, while the number is 30% globally.
According to Iger, Disney bumped up the price for its standard plan to push more people into the ad-supported plan, as the company makes higher average revenue per user (ARPU) on the tier.
Like Netflix, Disney has also started to crack down on password sharing. The strategy paid off quite well for Netflix; while it initially saw some adverse reactions from customers in the form of cancellations, its subscriber count has since risen steadily.
DIS Stock Forecast
Sell-side analysts are bullish on Disney, and the stock has received a consensus rating of “Strong Buy” from the 29 analysts in coverage. Its mean target price of $125.92 is almost 10% higher than yesterday’s closing prices, while the Street-high target price of $140 is a 22% premium.
In terms of valuation, Disney trades at a next 12-month (NTM) price-to-earnings (PE) multiple of 21.1x, which - while not being exactly mouthwatering - looks reasonable, considering where broader market valuations stand. Moreover, Disney brings the prospects of double-digit earnings growth to the table in the fiscal years 2025 and 2026.
Disney’s turnaround under Iger is showing results, which is clearly visible in the box office performance of its movies. Its “Inside Out 2” became the highest-grossing animated movie of all time, surpassing what else but its own “Frozen II.” Disney’s “Deadpool & Wolverine” also became the highest-grossing R-rated film of all time – a title previously held by Warner Bros. Discovery’s “Joker.”
The importance of Disney’s box office success cannot be understated, and goes way beyond the box office contributions to its earnings. In-house quality movies add to Disney’s streaming content slate and make the offering even more valuable for subscribers. The company has created some very iconic characters that have helped build an aura around its brand. Successful movies – especially the animated ones – also lead to more people wanting to come to Disney’s parks.
While there are concerns over its Parks segment in the short term, the company has committed to invest $60 billion over 10 years towards the segment to add new attractions, among other initiatives. Disney is also gearing up for a 2025 launch of the ESPN streaming service. Sports streaming could be among the key growth drivers for Disney going forward.
Overall, I believe Disney has several drivers to drive both the top-line and bottom-line growth over the next few years, which - coupled with reasonable valuations - make it a stock worth considering for 2025.
On the date of publication, Mohit Oberoi had a position in: DIS . All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
More news from BarchartWalt Disney Co is ramping up its efforts to capture a larger share of the Asian streaming market by investing in original Japanese anime and expanding its Korean superhero franchise.
The company’s strategic pivot aims to focus on quality over quantity in key Asian markets, contrasts with Netflix Inc’s aggressive strategy of high-volume, locally tailored content.
Prior reports indicated Netflix ramping up original programming in Southeast Asia, focusing on Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines to tap into young demographics.
Also Read: Comcast’s Spin-Off to Boost Broadband and Streaming Growth: Goldman Sachs
Netflix Vice President Minyoung Kim highlighted plans to globalize local stories, aiming to expand beyond domestic audiences. The reports indicated Thailand’s plans to release ten original titles in 2024, while Indonesia noted increased budgets and productions, including its first zombie horror series.
Speaking at its APAC content showcase in Singapore in a Bloomberg interview, Luke Kang, president of Disney Asia-Pacific, emphasized a selective approach to content creation. “We’re not a volume player,” Kang said, highlighting the company’s goal of producing fewer high-impact projects.
According to Bloomberg, Disney+ renewed its hit Korean superhero drama Moving for a second season. Based on a webtoon by artist Kangfull, the series became a global sensation, earning over ten industry awards. Kangfull will also collaborate with Disney on the upcoming horror mystery series Light Shop.
Disney+ continues to bet on Japanese anime, with exclusive distribution rights to Kodansha titles, including the second season of Go! Go! Loser Ranger!, the report said.
Additionally, Disney is adapting its successful mobile game Twisted Wonderland into an animation series.
Walt Disney stock surged over 26% year-to-date. Disney’s fiscal fourth-quarter 2024 revenue rose 6% to $22.57 billion, surpassing analysts’ estimate of $22.35 billion.
The company closed the quarter with 174 million Disney+ Core and Hulu subscriptions, including over 120 million paid Disney+ Core users, a 4.4 million sequential increase.
Disney’s direct-to-consumer streaming segment boosted profitability, reporting $321 million in operating income on $6.3 billion in revenue, a 13% year-over-year rise.
Price Actions: DIS stock is down 0.30% at $114.38 premarket at the last check on Friday.
Also Read:
Photo via Shutterstock
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
Valued at a market cap of almost $22 billion, Leidos Holdings, Inc. provides services and solutions in the defense, intelligence, civil, and health markets. The Reston, Virginia-based company’s core capabilities include providing solutions in the fields of cybersecurity, data analytics, enterprise IT modernization, operations and logistics, software development, and systems engineering.
Shares of this national security and health company have significantly outperformed the broader market over the past 52 weeks. LDOS has rallied nearly 55.9% over this time frame, while the broader S&P 500 Index ($SPX) has gained 31.1%. Moreover, the stock is up 52.2% in 2024, compared to SPX’s 24.7% gain on a YTD basis.
Zooming in further, LDOS’ outperformance becomes more evident when compared to the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund’s 26.9% gain over the past 52 weeks and 21.3% return on a YTD basis.
On Oct. 29, shares of LDOS soared 9.5% after its robust Q3 earnings release. The company’s revenue increased 6.9% year-over-year to $4.19 billion and surpassed the Wall Street estimates of $4.04 billion. Its adjusted EPS of $2.93 also outpaced the consensus estimates of $1.96 per share and improved 44.3% on a yearly basis. The better-than-expected performance can be primarily attributed to Leidos’ efficient cost management coupled with growth in demand across all of its customer segments, especially managed health services. The company also raised its full-year 2024 earnings and revenue guidance, which might have further bolstered investor sentiment toward the stock.
For the current fiscal year, ending in December, analysts expect LDOS’ EPS to grow 37.5% year over year to $10.04. The company’s earnings surprise history is promising. It beat the consensus estimates in each of the last four quarters.
Among the 13 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a “Strong Buy,” which is based on 11 “Strong Buy” and two “Hold” ratings.
The configuration is slightly less bullish than three months ago, with 12 analysts suggesting a “Strong Buy.”
On Nov. 4, Barclays maintained an “Overweight” rating on LDOS and raised its price target to $210, which indicates a 27.5% potential upside from the current levels.
The mean price target of $207.42 represents a 25.9% upside from LDOS’ current price levels. The Street-high price target of $230 suggests an upside potential of 39.6%.
On the date of publication, Neharika Jain did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
More news from BarchartThe Zacks Media Conglomerates industry is flourishing, driven by the consumer shift toward over-the-top (OTT) content. Major players like Disney DIS, Reservoir Media RSVR and Paramount Global PARA are aggressively investing in developing original music, shows and fresh content to captivate and retain Gen Z and millennial subscribers. Moreover, the industry's prospects are bolstered by the availability of cost-effective alternative packages, such as skinny bundles, designed to entice consumers with lower prices compared to traditional offerings. Conversely, the industry grapples with waning broadcast television ratings and diminishing demand for home entertainment sales of theatrical content. Furthermore, advertisers' tepid spending amid rampant inflation and elevated interest rates pose a formidable concern for industry players.
Industry Description
The Zacks Media Conglomerates industry encompasses companies engaged in creating and distributing various content forms, from entertainment to educational materials. These firms also offer travel and consumer products. The industry is adapting to the shift toward OTT content, both subscription-based and ad-supported. Advertising remains a key revenue source, while the metaverse presents new opportunities. Subscription price increases, driven by growing subscriber numbers, offer potential revenue growth. However, the industry faces challenges that include declining broadcast TV ratings, reduced demand for home entertainment versions of theatrical releases, and increasing cord-cutting trends. Despite these obstacles, media conglomerates continue to evolve, leveraging new technologies and consumer preferences to maintain their market position.
3 Trends Shaping the Future of the Media Industry
Original Content Driving Growth: Media companies' capacity to generate advertising revenues beyond traditional TV platforms, such as websites and other digitally consumed channels, unlocks increased opportunities for targeted advertising. The growing consumer preference for subscription services over linear pay-TV and rental or outright purchases has compelled industry players to adapt their business models. Media companies are innovating with original content to attract and retain subscribers.
High-Speed Internet Demand Acting as a Key Catalyst: The burgeoning demand for high-speed Internet, including broadband, has benefited media industry participants. Improving Internet speed has fueled the demand for high-quality videos and the trend of binge-watching. Furthermore, a strengthening broadband ecosystem in international markets, coupled with the proliferation of smart TVs, is expected to drive growth.
Cord-Cutting and Matured PayTV Industry Hurting Prospects: The media television industry is undergoing a rapid evolution of distribution platforms, embracing new players and advanced technologies. The declining profitability of residential video services due to rising programming costs and retransmission fees has made survival challenging for traditional companies. Additionally, the heightened demand for on-demand content has led to the mushrooming of streaming service providers, making it increasingly difficult for traditional media television companies to maintain their viewer base.
Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Bright Prospects
The Zacks Media Conglomerates industry is housed within the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector. It carries a Zacks Industry Rank #72, which places it in the top 29% of more than 250 Zacks industries.
The group’s Zacks Industry Rank, which is basically the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates continued outperformance in the near term. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
The industry’s position in the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries is a result of a positive earnings outlook for the constituent companies in aggregate. Looking at the aggregate earnings estimate revisions, it appears that analysts are optimistic about this group’s earnings growth potential. Since Nov. 30, 2023, the industry’s earnings estimates for 2024 have moved north by 11.9%.
Before we present a few stocks that you may want to consider for your portfolio, let’s take a look at the industry’s recent stock-market performance and valuation picture.
Industry Underperforms the Sector, Lags the S&P 500
The Zacks Media Conglomerates industry has underperformed the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the S&P 500 composite over the past year.
The industry has returned 15.4% in the abovementioned period compared with the broader sector’s growth of 18%. The S&P 500 has risen 30% during the same time frame.
One-Year Price Performance
Industry's Current Valuation
On the basis of the trailing 12-month P/S, a commonly used multiple for valuing media companies, we see that the industry is currently trading at 1.13X compared with the S&P 500’s 5.66X and the sector’s 2.28X.
Over the past three years, the industry has traded as high as 1.85X and as low as 0.86X, with a median of 1.09X, as the charts below show.
Trailing 12-Month Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio
3 Media Stocks to Watch
Disney: This Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s assets include movies, television shows and theme parks. Disney is benefiting from a solid revival in its international theme park and resort businesses. Recent attractions like the Frozen theme land at Hong Kong Disneyland and Walt Disney Park in Paris, as well as the Zootopia theme land at Shanghai Disney, are expected to boost the prospects of the theme park business. Disney’s iconic California theme park is poised for a magical transformation with significant investment amounting to at least $1.9 billion over the next decade. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Disney’s focus on sports streaming, particularly Live Sports on ESPN+, is expected to attract more subscribers. The renewal of the MLB sports rights deal through 2028 and the agreement with Spanish club football’s first division, La Liga, further strengthened the portfolio of the company’s sports content.
Strong international growth, particularly in Asia, promises to unlock new revenue streams. The company's robust guidance through 2027, strategic ESPN integration, and $3 billion share buyback demonstrate management's confidence.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company’s fiscal 2025 earnings has moved north by 5.3% to $5.38 per share over the past 30 days. DIS shares have risen 20.7% year to date.
Price and Consensus: DIS
Reservoir Media: This Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company shines as a compelling player in the music rights industry, boasting a premium catalog of more than 140,000 copyrights across multiple genres. The company's strategic acquisitions of iconic catalogs, coupled with streaming's explosive growth, positions it perfectly for sustained revenue expansion. Its diversified portfolio, including works from artists like Sheryl Crow and Alabama, provides stable and recurring cash flows. Management's proven track record of accretive acquisitions and value-enhancing catalog management drives consistent growth. The rising adoption of music in social media, gaming and new technologies creates additional monetization opportunities.
The company has announced plans to raise up to $100 million through an offering of various securities. The move signals Reservoir’s ambition to fuel further growth through acquisitions while reducing its debt. In addition to acquisitions, Reservoir also plans to use a portion of the proceeds to reduce its debt burden, potentially improving its financial flexibility and creditworthiness.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company’s fiscal 2025 earnings has moved south by 22.25 to 7 cents per share over the past 30 days. RSVR shares have risen 49.1% year to date.
Price and Consensus: RSVR
Paramount Global: This Zacks Rank #3 company stands as an undervalued entertainment powerhouse, boasting an exceptional content library and growing streaming presence through Paramount+. The company's diverse revenue streams — including the CBS broadcast network, popular cable channels like Nickelodeon and a valuable film studio — provide strong cash flow generation.
Paramount+ is gaining impressive momentum, leveraging must-watch sports content, hit shows and blockbuster movies to drive subscriber growth. The company's strategic focus on premium content creation and international expansion presents significant upside potential. The integration of Showtime with Paramount+ will further drive the subscriber base. Partnerships with Walmart and Verizon bode well for Paramount+.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company’s 2024 earnings has moved north by 22.4% to $1.86 per share over the past 30 days. PARA shares have lost 21.6% year to date.
Price and Consensus: PARA
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