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Welcome to my ChartWatch Daily ASX Scans series. Here I present scan lists based on my trend following technical analysis methodology. My goal is to alert you to the best uptrends and downtrends on the ASX.
Uptrends Scan List
Company | Code | Last Price | 1mo % | 1yr % |
AI-Media Technologies | AIM | $0.885 | +11.3% | +210.5% |
Aml3d | AL3 | $0.220 | +22.2% | +198.9% |
Aristocrat Leisure | ALL | $65.61 | +12.1% | +63.0% |
Altech Batteries | ATC | $0.079 | +97.5% | +8.5% |
BetaShares S&P/ASX Australian Technology ETF | ATEC | $29.35 | +6.0% | +52.2% |
Brainchip | BRN | $0.295 | -4.8% | +63.9% |
Brightstar Resources | BTR | $0.027 | +54.3% | +145.5% |
Brambles | BXB | $19.39 | +1.1% | +43.4% |
Capitol Health | CAJ | $0.390 | +2.6% | +100.0% |
Car Group | CAR | $39.92 | +5.7% | +38.9% |
Credit Corp Group | CCP | $18.42 | +8.0% | +45.8% |
BetaShares Crypto Innovators ETF | CRYP | $7.33 | +53.7% | +141.1% |
Dimensional Global Core EQ AUD HGD ETF | DFND | $24.51 | +15.3% | 0% |
Dropsuite | DSE | $4.07 | +13.1% | +69.6% |
BetaShares Geared US Equity Fund Currency Hedged ETF | GGUS | $46.44 | +8.1% | +85.8% |
BetaShares Global Cybersecurity ETF | HACK | $13.20 | +5.4% | +35.2% |
HMC Capital | HMC | $10.80 | +23.1% | +133.3% |
Hub24 | HUB | $72.14 | +13.1% | +115.7% |
iShares S&P MID-Cap ETF | IJH | $50.37 | +9.3% | +32.8% |
iShares S&P Small-Cap ETF | IJR | $190.60 | +12.1% | +32.3% |
Iperionx | IPX | $4.15 | +20.3% | +209.7% |
Munro Global Growth Fund ETF | MAET | $6.67 | +5.4% | +39.2% |
Macquarie Technology Group | MAQ | $90.15 | +6.1% | +40.5% |
Vaneck Australian Banks ETF | MVB | $39.89 | +5.5% | +39.2% |
National Australia Bank | NAB | $39.99 | +7.3% | +37.1% |
Nanoveu | NVU | $0.065 | +242.1% | +400.0% |
Netwealth Group | NWL | $29.87 | +8.6% | +121.8% |
News Corporation | NWS | $49.32 | +20.0% | +42.5% |
Pinnacle Investment Management Group | PNI | $21.51 | +13.0% | +155.5% |
Qantas Airways | QAN | $8.53 | +19.0% | +60.3% |
QBE Insurance Group | QBE | $18.49 | +11.3% | +20.0% |
REA Group | REA | $239.14 | +9.7% | +50.2% |
Regal Asian Investments | RG8 | $2.30 | +8.0% | +21.1% |
Silex Systems | SLX | $5.73 | +28.5% | +67.1% |
SRG Global | SRG | $1.200 | +3.0% | +90.5% |
Technology One | TNE | $26.22 | +6.0% | +68.7% |
Tryptamine Therapeutics | TYP | $0.045 | +125.0% | -21.7% |
Vaneck Bitcoin ETF | VBTC | $25.25 | +37.9% | 0% |
Vulcan Energy Resources | VUL | $5.19 | +17.7% | +109.3% |
WCM Quality Global Growth Fund ETF | WCMQ | $10.18 | +11.0% | +39.1% |
XRF Scientific | XRF | $1.765 | +1.1% | +76.5% |
Xero | XRO | $159.62 | +6.6% | +39.1% |
Today's Uptrends Scan List
Feature Charts from today's Uptrends List 🔎📈
The stocks that I feel are showing the strongest excess demand from today's Uptrends List are: Aristocrat Leisure , Altech Batteries , BetaShares S&P/ASX Australian Technology ETF , Brightstar Resources B, BetaShares Crypto Innovators ETF , HMC Capital , Hub24 , Iperionx , Munro Global Growth Fund ETF M, National Australia Bank , Nanoveu N, Pinnacle Investment Management Group , SRG Global , Technology One , WCM Quality Global Growth Fund ETF , XRF Scientific , Xero .
Charts of each below:
Downtrends Scan List
Company | Code | Last Price | 1mo % | 1yr % |
The A2 Milk Company | A2M | $4.92 | -23.7% | +24.9% |
AGL Energy | AGL | $10.55 | -10.1% | -0.5% |
APA Group | APA | $6.67 | -12.8% | -20.4% |
BHP Group | BHP | $41.63 | -4.1% | -6.9% |
Boss Energy | BOE | $3.12 | -8.8% | -27.8% |
Challenger | CGF | $6.16 | -8.3% | +5.3% |
Centuria Industrial Reit | CIP | $3.01 | -5.6% | +1.0% |
Centuria Office Reit | COF | $1.180 | -7.1% | -2.9% |
Coronado Global Resources | CRN | $0.980 | -14.8% | -41.0% |
Droneshield | DRO | $0.815 | -32.9% | +186.0% |
Deterra Royalties | DRR | $3.56 | -7.3% | -24.6% |
Dexus Industria Reit. | DXI | $2.61 | -5.1% | +2.4% |
Endeavour Group | EDV | $4.50 | -8.7% | -8.7% |
Fortescue | FMG | $18.12 | -6.9% | -21.6% |
Infomedia | IFM | $1.295 | -16.2% | -16.5% |
Iluka Resources | ILU | $5.37 | -18.1% | -25.8% |
IPH | IPH | $5.35 | -5.5% | -22.5% |
Karoon Energy | KAR | $1.375 | -12.4% | -42.1% |
Lotus Resources | LOT | $0.240 | -12.7% | +9.1% |
Lovisa | LOV | $29.99 | -15.5% | +51.6% |
Mineral Resources | MIN | $36.95 | -27.5% | -37.6% |
Monadelphous Group | MND | $12.44 | -3.9% | -13.8% |
Metcash | MTS | $3.04 | -13.6% | -18.7% |
Monash IVF Group | MVF | $1.160 | -4.1% | -12.1% |
Nick Scali | NCK | $14.01 | -13.0% | +22.4% |
Nufarm | NUF | $3.77 | 0% | -15.5% |
Patriot Battery Metals | PMT | $0.340 | -23.6% | -70.6% |
Ramsay Health Care | RHC | $38.43 | -9.9% | -27.9% |
Spark New Zealand | SPK | $2.69 | -3.2% | -42.3% |
Super Retail Group | SUL | $14.50 | -19.8% | +11.3% |
Treasury Wine Estates | TWE | $11.01 | -9.1% | -4.0% |
Viva Energy Group | VEA | $2.56 | -13.5% | -11.4% |
Woolworths Group | WOW | $29.51 | -10.7% | -15.8% |
Today's Downtrends Scan List
Feature Charts from today's Downtrends List 🔎📉
The stocks that I feel are showing the strongest excess supply from today's Downtrends List are: The A2 Milk Company , APA Group , BHP Group , Boss Energy , Coronado Global Resources , Droneshield , Deterra Royalties , Endeavour Group , Fortescue , Infomedia I, Iluka Resources , Monadelphous Group , Metcash , Monash IVF Group M, Patriot Battery Metals , Treasury Wine Estates , Viva Energy Group , Woolworths Group .
Charts of each below:
ChartWatch Primer
For a detailed explanation of Carl's technical analysis methodology, be sure to check out this ChartWatch Primer.
Important considerations when using the ChartWatch Daily ASX Scans:
1. The future is unknown. Anything can happen to change the trends in the lists above. A stock in a perfect uptrend or downtrend may not remain that way by the close of trading today. 2. These lists are not exhaustive, they are curated by Carl. You will find that certain stocks might not appear in a particular list on consecutive days but might reappear when Carl feels it deserves to return to the list. 3. This is not a recommendation service, merely an aid to help you better understand the workings of Carl’s technical analysis model in a practical way. Carl will not alert you to stocks that have dropped off a list because their trend has changed – it is up to you to apply the criteria to determine why a particular stock might not still be included. 4. This is general, educational information only – always do your own research.
European equities traded in the US as American depositary receipts were moving higher late Monday morning, rising 0.35% to 1,339.76 on the S&P Europe Select ADR Index.
From continental Europe, the gainers were led by internet browser company Opera and pharmaceutical company Ascendis Pharma , which rose 4.8% and 3.3% respectively. They were followed by pharmaceutical company Novo Nordisk and internet advertising firm Criteo , which were up 2.9% and 2% respectively.
The decliners from continental Europe were led by accommodations booking company trivago and biotech firm Evaxion Biotech , which fell 2.4% and 1.8% respectively. They were followed by medical device maker Edap and telecommunications operator Telefonica , which were down 1.7% and 1.6% respectively.
From the UK and Ireland, the gainers were led by biopharmaceutical companies NuCana and Akari Therapeutics , which climbed 6.3% and 5.2% respectively. They were followed by financial services company Barclays and software firm Endava , which increased 3.6% and 2.7% respectively.
The decliners from the UK and Ireland were led by biopharmaceutical company TC Biopharm and biotech firm Trinity Biotech , which lost 5.9% and 3.7% respectively. They were followed by mining company BHP Group and biopharmaceutical company Amarin , which were off 2.8% and 2.1% respectively.
The S&P/ASX 200 closed 28.9 points lower, down 0.35%.
It was another day of very clearly delineated haves and have nots. “Have” sectors included those still basking in the warm afterglow of last week’s Trump + Red Sweep, plus those enjoying a continued but very modest dip in market yields in the USA on Friday.
“Have Not” sectors were generally those more exposed to Chinese economic growth as investors lamented China’s National People’s Congress Standing Committee's failure to wield a bazooka of fresh fiscal stimulus measures at their meeting over the weekend.
Click/scroll through for the usual reporting of the major sector and stock-specific moves, the broker responses to them, as well as all of the key upcoming economic data in tonight's Evening Wrap.
Let's dive in!
Today in Review
Mon 11 Nov 24, 5:07pm (AEDT)
Name | Value | % Chg |
---|---|---|
Major Indices | ||
ASX 200 | 8,266.2 | -0.35% |
All Ords | 8,518.9 | -0.39% |
Small Ords | 3,155.6 | -0.44% |
All Tech | 3,707.9 | +0.81% |
Emerging Companies | 2,297.0 | +0.19% |
Currency | ||
AUD/USD | 0.6595 | +0.18% |
US Futures | ||
S&P 500 | 6,036.25 | +0.18% |
Dow Jones | 44,169.0 | +0.06% |
Nasdaq | 21,289.0 | +0.27% |
Name | Value | % Chg |
---|---|---|
Sector | ||
Information Technology | 2,774.7 | +1.39% |
Real Estate | 3,913.4 | +1.24% |
Health Care | 45,322.8 | +0.70% |
Consumer Discretionary | 3,788.4 | +0.41% |
Financials | 8,731.8 | +0.22% |
Industrials | 7,506.4 | +0.21% |
Communication Services | 1,640.5 | +0.10% |
Energy | 8,640.0 | -0.67% |
Utilities | 8,365.5 | -0.70% |
Consumer Staples | 11,406.0 | -1.84% |
Materials | 16,989.7 | -2.80% |
Markets
ASX 200 Session Chart
The S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) finished 28.9 points lower at 8,266.2, 0.35% from its session high and 0.24% from its low. In the broader-based S&P/ASX 300 (XKO), advancers lagged decliners by a disappointing 111 to 166.
It was another day of very clearly delineated haves and have nots. “Have” sectors included those still basking in the warm afterglow of last week’s Trump + Red Sweep (US earners and other strong US dollar beneficiaries), plus those enjoying a continued but very modest dip in market yields in the USA on Friday (high-PE / long duration earnings and consumer-related).
Information Technology (XIJ) (+1.4%), Real Estate Investment Trusts (XPJ) (+1.4%), Health Care (XHJ) (+0.70%), and Consumer Discretionary (XDJ) (+0.41%) topped the Have winners list.
Company | Last Price | Change $ | Change % | 1mo % | 1yr % |
Weebit Nano (WBT) | $2.73 | +$0.35 | +14.7% | +32.5% | -38.1% |
Novonix (NVX) | $0.810 | +$0.09 | +12.5% | -4.1% | +6.6% |
Pointsbet (PBH) | $0.975 | +$0.09 | +10.2% | +43.4% | +129.9% |
Appen (APX) | $2.59 | +$0.15 | +6.1% | +19.4% | +175.1% |
Findi (FND) | $6.90 | +$0.33 | +5.0% | +38.8% | +961.5% |
Mesoblast (MSB) | $1.460 | +$0.065 | +4.7% | +0.7% | +316.2% |
HMC Capital (HMC) | $10.80 | +$0.42 | +4.0% | +23.1% | +133.3% |
Megaport (MP1) | $7.69 | +$0.29 | +3.9% | +1.5% | -26.6% |
Clarity Pharmaceuticals (CU6) | $7.48 | +$0.28 | +3.9% | +7.3% | +564.0% |
LTR Pharma (LTP) | $1.535 | +$0.055 | +3.7% | -20.5% | 0% |
Light & Wonder (LNW) | $157.29 | +$4.37 | +2.9% | +12.3% | +26.0% |
Cettire (CTT) | $1.475 | +$0.04 | +2.8% | -35.0% | -49.5% |
Cochlear (COH) | $300.93 | +$8.01 | +2.7% | +3.0% | +19.2% |
Goodman Group (GMG) | $36.60 | +$0.9 | +2.5% | +0.4% | +63.9% |
Macquarie Technology Group (MAQ) | $90.15 | +$2.15 | +2.4% | +6.1% | +40.5% |
Wisetech Global (WTC) | $129.90 | +$2.81 | +2.2% | -2.1% | +104.1% |
Stockland (SGP) | $5.15 | +$0.11 | +2.2% | -3.4% | +33.4% |
Mayne Pharma Group (MYX) | $5.20 | +$0.1 | +2.0% | +15.0% | +30.7% |
Aristocrat Leisure (ALL) | $65.61 | +$1.2 | +1.9% | +12.1% | +63.0% |
Resmed Inc (RMD) | $38.08 | +$0.69 | +1.8% | +8.2% | +59.8% |
The best performing stocks from the best performing ASX sectors today
“Have Not” sectors were generally those more exposed to Chinese economic growth, like Resources (XJR) (-2.8%) and Energy (XEJ) (-0.67%), and Gold (XGD) (-0.53%). China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) Standing Committee meeting over the weekend did not produce the bazooka of fresh fiscal stimulus measures investors had built into Friday’s gains in these sectors. Who would have thunk it!? 🤔
This excerpt from a Citi note on the meeting says it all:
The RMB12trn implicit local-debt resolution is more decisive than expected, but its direct growth impact could be quite limited, saving local governments’ interest expenses <0.1% of GDP a year. We think the lack of pro-growth measures, especially consumer stimulus, was a disappointment to markets
– Citi, From: “China Economics: Fiscal Details Appear to Fall Short of Market Expectations Despite High Headline Number”, 10 November 2024
If there is a silver lining, Citi do go on to say about the disappointing NPC meeting it was not enough “to dismiss the ‘policy pivot’”. This suggests the broker still feels there exists the possibility the bazooka (or cap gun) could still be unleashed.
Iron ore stocks like BHP Group (-4.1%), Champion Iron (-9.8%), Fortescue (-7.3%), and Rio Tinto (-3.1%) came in for some special attention today, but falls were also otherwise democratically distributed across base and precious metals, uranium, energy and lithium – the prices of each were generally lower (to sharply lower) on Friday.
Elsewhere, a profit downgrade from Endeavour Group (-4.9%) surprised investors (or at least those investors who don’t read my ChartWatch ASX Daily Scans where it has been one of the most featured in the Downtrends lists for several months now). This dragged on Consumer Staples (XSJ) (-1.8%), making it the second worst performing major sector index.
Company | Last Price | Change $ | Change % | 1mo % | 1yr % |
Resolute Mining (RSG) | $0.450 | -$0.22 | -32.8% | -38.8% | +16.9% |
Champion Iron (CIA) | $5.64 | -$0.61 | -9.8% | -15.8% | -26.0% |
Pantoro (PNR) | $0.100 | -$0.01 | -9.1% | -16.7% | +156.4% |
Develop Global (DVP) | $2.21 | -$0.21 | -8.7% | -8.3% | -32.2% |
Iluka Resources (ILU) | $5.37 | -$0.46 | -7.9% | -18.1% | -25.8% |
Fortescue (FMG) | $18.12 | -$1.43 | -7.3% | -6.9% | -21.6% |
The A2 Milk Company (A2M) | $4.92 | -$0.36 | -6.8% | -23.7% | +24.9% |
Lotus Resources (LOT) | $0.240 | -$0.015 | -5.9% | -12.7% | +9.1% |
Endeavour Group (EDV) | $4.50 | -$0.23 | -4.9% | -8.7% | -8.7% |
Ora Banda Mining (OBM) | $0.805 | -$0.04 | -4.7% | +27.8% | +403.1% |
Deterra Royalties (DRR) | $3.56 | -$0.16 | -4.3% | -7.3% | -24.6% |
Treasury Wine Estates (TWE) | $11.01 | -$0.47 | -4.1% | -9.1% | -4.0% |
BHP Group (BHP) | $41.63 | -$1.77 | -4.1% | -4.1% | -6.9% |
Mineral Resources (MIN) | $36.95 | -$1.52 | -4.0% | -27.5% | -37.6% |
Coronado Global Resources (CRN) | $0.980 | -$0.04 | -3.9% | -14.8% | -41.0% |
Elders (ELD) | $8.65 | -$0.32 | -3.6% | +0.2% | +39.5% |
Bannerman Energy (BMN) | $2.85 | -$0.1 | -3.4% | -13.1% | +15.9% |
Nickel Industries (NIC) | $0.900 | -$0.03 | -3.2% | -2.2% | +10.4% |
Chalice Mining (CHN) | $1.520 | -$0.05 | -3.2% | -1.3% | -20.4% |
Rio Tinto (RIO) | $119.47 | -$3.84 | -3.1% | -0.1% | +0.1% |
The worst performing stocks from the worst performing ASX sectors today
Economy
Today
There weren't any major data releases in our time zone today
Later this week
Tuesday
10:30 AUS Westpac Consumer Sentiment October (6.2% September)
10:30 AUS NAB Business Confidence October (-2 September)
Wednesday
11:30 AUS Wage Price Index September quarter (+0.9% q/q forecast vs +0.8% q/q in June quarter)
Thursday
00:30 USA Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) October (+0.3% m/m and +3.3% p.a. forecast vs +0.3% m/m and +3.3% p.a. in September)
10:00 AUS RBA Governor Michelle Bullock speaks
11:30 AUS Employment change October (+25,200 jobs forecast vs +64,100 jobs in September), Unemployment rate forecast steady at 4.1% in September)
Friday
00:30 USA Core Producer Price Index October (PPI) (+0.2% m/m and +2.0% p.a. forecast vs +0.2% m/m and +2.0% p.a. in September)
07:00 USA Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks
12:30 CHN Data Dump:
New Home Prices m/m (-0.7% m/m previous)
Industrial Production y/y (+5.5% y/y forecast vs +5.4% y/y previous)
Retail Sales y/y (+3.8% y/y forecast vs +3.2% y/y previous)
Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y (+3.5% ytd/y forecast vs +3.4% ytd/y previous)
Unemployment Rate (steady at 5.1%)
Saturday
00:30 USA Core Retail Sales October (+0.2% m/m forecast vs +0.5% m/m in September)
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Mon 11 Nov 24, 8:41am (AEDT)
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Technical Analysis amp anz
ChartWatch ASX Scans: Credit Corp, Computershare, Helia, Hansen Technologies, QBE, Titomic, Tryptamine Therapeutics, Xero, Droneshield
Fri 08 Nov 24, 9:00am (AEDT)
More News
Interesting Movers
Trading higher
+14.7% Weebit Nano (WBT) - No news, probably started as Trump-Red Sweep tech rally, add in
The Australian article on Friday, equals a combination of speculative buying and at least some short covering in what was a horrific downtrend
+12.5% Novonix (NVX) - NOVONIX and Stellantis Sign Binding Offtake Agreement
+10.2% Pointsbet (PBH) - Response to Media Speculation, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends lists for a few months now 🔎📈
+9.8% Iperionx (IPX) - No news, but this AFR article from Nov 7 likely helped spark this latest rally (paywall), rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends lists for a few months now 🔎📈
+6.1% Appen (APX) - Change of Director's Interest Notice - Mr Stuart Davis and Change of Director's Interest Notice - Ms Robin Low (participation in Share Purchase Plan), but also some Trump-Red Sweep tech rally, plus US earnings, plus rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends lists for a few months now 🔎📈
+5.3% Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL) - No news since 8 Nov First lithium hydroxide production at downstream plant, solid gain in benchmark lithium carbonate futures contract in China today, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends lists for a few months now 🔎📈
+4.7% Mesoblast (MSB) - No news, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends lists for a few months now 🔎📈
+4.0% HMC Capital (HMC) - Acquisition of iseek and DigiCo Platform Update and Acquisition of iseek Data Centre Platform, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends lists for a few months now 🔎📈
+3.9% Clarity Pharmaceuticals (CU6) - Clarity and Nucleus RadioPharma sign MSA
+3.4% SRG Global (SRG) - No news, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends lists for a few months now 🔎📈
+3.1% Zip Co. (ZIP) - No news, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends lists for a few months now 🔎📈
Trading lower
-32.8% Resolute Mining (RSG) - Company Statement regarding Mali (another sovereign risk casualty - Bullish on Gold? The case for bullion and gold ETFs over ASX gold stocks!)
-11.3% Infomedia (IFM) - Revised Revenue Guidance Range, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Downtrends lists for a few months now 🔎📉
-10.0% Kingsgate Consolidated (KCN) - No news, generally tough day for ASX gold stocks even without foreign government intervention in projects!
-9.8% Champion Iron (CIA) - No news, generally tough day for ASX iron ore stocks on disappointment over lack of meaningful stimulus measures announced at weekend's China NPC meeting, lower iron ore price today, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Downtrends lists for a few months now 🔎📉
-9.1% Pantoro (PNR) - November 2024 Investor Presentation, but ditto tough day for gold stocks generally
-8.7% Develop Global (DVP) - No news, ditto resources stocks struggling in general today on China stimulus disappointment, also LME metals prices generally sharply lower on Friday
-7.9% Iluka Resources (ILU) - No news, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends, one of the most featured charts in ChartWatch Daily Scans Downtrends lists 🔎📉
-7.6% Clearview Wealth (CVW) - Continued negative response to Friday's 2024 AGM Addresses to Shareholders and proceedings and Thursday's Response to ASX Price Query, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends
-7.3% Fortescue (FMG) - Ditto lousy day for ASX iron ore stocks, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Downtrends lists for a few months now 🔎📉
-6.8% The A2 Milk Company (A2M) - No news, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Downtrends lists for a few months now 🔎📉
-5.9% Lotus Resources (LOT) - No news, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Downtrends lists for a few months now 🔎📉
-4.9% Endeavour Group (EDV) - F25 First Quarter Trading Update, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends, one of the most featured charts in ChartWatch Daily Scans Downtrends lists 🔎📉
-4.3% Deterra Royalties (DRR) - Ceasing to be a substantial holder, ditto lousy day for ASX iron ore stocks, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Downtrends lists for a few months now 🔎📉
-4.1% Droneshield (DRO) - No news, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrends, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Downtrends lists for a few months now 🔎📉
Broker Notes
Amaero International (3DA)
Retained at buy at Shaw and Partners; Price Target: $0.60
The A2 Milk Company (A2M)
Retained at buy at Citi; Price Target: $7.04
Aristocrat Leisure (ALL)
Retained at buy at Citi; Price Target: $74.00 from $59.00
ANZ Group (ANZ)
Retained at sell at Citi; Price Target: $25.25 from $25.00
Retained at underweight at Macquarie; Price Target: $26.50
Retained at underweight at Morgan Stanley; Price Target: $27.80 from $27.50
Downgraded to reduce from hold at Morgans; Price Target: $25.29 from $26.13
Retained at hold at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $27.50
Downgraded to neutral from buy at UBS; Price Target: $32.00
APA Group (APA)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $8.13 from $8.23
Avita Medical (AVH)
Retained at buy at Bell Potter; Price Target: $4.60 from $3.60
Retained at add at Morgans; Price Target: $4.56
Credit Corp Group (CCP)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $19.62 from $18.01
Cochlear (COH)
Upgraded to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital Markets; Price Target: $332.00 from $280.00
CSL (CSL)
Retained at buy at Citi; Price Target: $345.00
Retained at accumulate at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $320.00
Domain Australia (DHG)
Upgraded to buy from overweight at Jarden; Price Target: $3.35 from $3.45
Domino's Pizza Enterprises (DMP)
Retained at hold at Morgans; Price Target: $30.70 from $33.20
Endeavour Group (EDV)
Retained at neutral at Citi; Price Target: $5.18
Fortescue (FMG)
Initiated at neutral at CICC; Price Target: $18.10
GQG Partners (GQG)
Retained at buy at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $3.35
IPH (IPH)
Initiated at buy at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $6.40
Incitec Pivot (IPL)
Retained at neutral at Citi; Price Target: $3.10
Jumbo Interactive (JIN)
Retained at buy at Citi; Price Target: $14.70
Retained at overweight at Morgan Stanley; Price Target: $19.50
Lindsay Australia (LAU)
Retained at add at Morgans; Price Target: $1.15
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC)
Retained at sell at Citi; Price Target: $5.50
News Corporation (NWS)
Retained at buy at Goldman Sachs; Price Target: $52.00
Retained at hold at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $50.00
Orica (ORI)
Retained at overweight at Morgan Stanley; Price Target: $21.50
Propel Funeral Partners (PFP)
Retained at buy at Bell Potter; Price Target: $6.80 from $6.40
REA Group (REA)
Retained at buy at Bell Potter; Price Target: $258.00 from $239.00
Retained at buy at Goldman Sachs; Price Target: $249.00 from $245.00
Upgraded to underweight from sell at Jarden; Price Target: $181.00 from $177.00
Retained at hold at Morgans; Price Target: $210.00 from $204.00
Retained at hold at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $240.00 from $225.00
Retained at buy at UBS; Price Target: $268.00 from $263.00
Ramsay Health Care (RHC)
Retained at hold at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $42.40
Stockland (SGP)
Retained at buy at Citi; Price Target: $6.00
Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL)
Retained at buy at Canaccord Genuity; Price Target: $11.50
Woodside Energy Group (WDS)
Retained at neutral at Goldman Sachs; Price Target: $26.90 from $27.20
Retained at hold at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $25.50 from $26.50
WEB Travel Group (WEB)
Downgraded to underweight from equal-weight at Morgan Stanley; Price Target: $3.70 from $7.00
Scans
Top Gainers
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
SLH | Silk Logistics Ho... | $2.07 | +40.82% |
NAG | Nagambie Resource... | $0.02 | +33.33% |
EQN | Equinox Resources... | $0.21 | +27.27% |
OLL | Openlearning Ltd | $0.02 | +25.00% |
FG1 | FLYNN Gold Ltd | $0.037 | +23.33% |
View all top gainers
Top Fallers
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
FCG | Freedom Care Grou... | $0.037 | -36.21% |
RSG | Resolute Mining Ltd | $0.45 | -32.84% |
CSX | Cleanspace Holdin... | $0.37 | -24.49% |
MKR | Manuka Resources Ltd | $0.03 | -21.05% |
MNC | Merino & Co. Ltd | $0.83 | -20.95% |
View all top fallers
52 Week Highs
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
SLH | Silk Logistics Ho... | $2.07 | +40.82% |
AD1DB | AD1 Holdings Ltd | $0.056 | +12.00% |
TZN | Terramin Australi... | $0.10 | +11.11% |
BTR | Brightstar Resour... | $0.027 | +10.20% |
PBH | Pointsbet Holding... | $0.975 | +10.17% |
View all 52 week highs
52 Week Lows
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
FCG | Freedom Care Grou... | $0.037 | -36.21% |
FTZ | Fertoz Ltd | $0.016 | -15.79% |
CDR | Codrus Minerals Ltd | $0.017 | -15.00% |
TKM | Trek Metals Ltd | $0.026 | -13.33% |
CCM | Cadoux Ltd | $0.042 | -12.50% |
View all 52 week lows
Near Highs
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
PCI | Perpetual Credit ... | $1.155 | -0.86% |
WVOL | Ishares MSCI Worl... | $41.81 | +1.21% |
IPX | Iperionx Ltd | $4.15 | +9.79% |
GCI | Gryphon Capital I... | $2.04 | 0.00% |
VVLU | Vanguard Global V... | $73.58 | +0.66% |
View all near highs
Relative Strength Index (RSI) Oversold
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
VEA | Viva Energy Group... | $2.56 | -2.66% |
RSG | Resolute Mining Ltd | $0.45 | -32.84% |
SMP | Smartpay Holdings... | $0.615 | 0.00% |
DMP | Domino's PIZZA En... | $30.02 | -1.57% |
CPV | Clearvue Technolo... | $0.27 | -1.82% |
View all RSI oversold
Welcome to my ChartWatch Daily ASX Scans series. Here I present scan lists based on my trend following technical analysis methodology. My goal is to alert you to the best uptrends and downtrends on the ASX.
Uptrends Scan List
Company | Code | Last Price | 1mo % | 1yr % |
Life360 | 360 | $23.79 | +14.8% | +197.4% |
Arovella Therapeutics | ALA | $0.190 | +18.8% | +100.0% |
Aristocrat Leisure | ALL | $64.41 | +9.4% | +62.1% |
ANZ Group | ANZ | $32.13 | +6.0% | +26.1% |
Appen | APX | $2.44 | +20.2% | +173.8% |
Altech Batteries | ATC | $0.065 | +58.5% | -6.9% |
Bendigo and Adelaide Bank | BEN | $12.54 | +7.4% | +37.8% |
Commonwealth Bank | CBA | $149.32 | +9.6% | +49.3% |
BetaShares Crypto Innovators ETF | CRYP | $6.66 | +38.8% | +119.8% |
Global X Fang+ ETF | FANG | $29.11 | +8.3% | +50.1% |
Findi | FND | $6.57 | +41.9% | +880.6% |
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare | FPH | $34.17 | +3.2% | +63.1% |
Generation Development | GDG | $3.59 | +19.7% | +138.0% |
Hearts and Minds Investments | HM1 | $3.04 | +4.1% | +39.5% |
Hub24 | HUB | $71.35 | +12.3% | +115.4% |
Iperionx | IPX | $3.78 | +7.4% | +170.0% |
JB HI-FI | JBH | $85.00 | +4.8% | +83.6% |
MA Financial Group | MAF | $6.95 | +15.8% | +51.4% |
Macquarie Technology Group | MAQ | $88.00 | +3.5% | +36.6% |
Munro Climate Change Leaders ETF | MCCL | $16.92 | +3.8% | +78.9% |
Magellan High Conviction ETF | MHHT | $1.970 | +4.5% | +25.5% |
Metals X | MLX | $0.500 | +11.1% | +75.4% |
Vaneck Australian Banks ETF | MVB | $39.89 | +5.6% | +40.0% |
Objective Corporation | OCL | $16.86 | +8.8% | +49.3% |
Ovanti | OVT | $0.033 | +1000.0% | -47.6% |
Pointsbet | PBH | $0.885 | +30.1% | +114.0% |
Pro Medicus | PME | $203.99 | +9.0% | +142.6% |
Polymetals Resources | POL | $0.810 | +97.6% | +174.6% |
Praemium | PPS | $0.655 | +13.9% | +12.9% |
PYC Therapeutics | PYC | $0.200 | +14.3% | +261.4% |
Ridley Corporation | RIC | $2.68 | +5.5% | +21.3% |
Silex Systems | SLX | $5.65 | +24.7% | +65.7% |
Seven Group | SVW | $44.51 | +2.2% | +54.9% |
Tasmea | TEA | $3.11 | +31.8% | 0% |
Titomic | TTT | $0.250 | +108.3% | +1566.7% |
Today's Uptrends Scan List
Feature Charts from today's Uptrends List 🔎📈
The stocks that I feel are showing the strongest excess demand from today's Uptrends List are: Life360 , Aristocrat Leisure , ANZ Group , Appen , Altech Batteries , Commonwealth Bank of Australia , BetaShares Crypto Innovators ETF , Global X Fang+ ETF , Findi F, Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Corporation , Generation Development Group G, Hub24 , Iperionx , JB HI-FI , MA Financial Group M, Vaneck Australian Banks ETF , Objective Corporation O, Pointsbet , Pro Medicus , Polymetals Resources P, Silex Systems , Tasmea T, Titomic T.
Charts of each below:
Downtrends Scan List
Company | Code | Last Price | 1mo % | 1yr % |
Arafura Rare Earths | ARU | $0.135 | -25.0% | -34.1% |
Domain Australia | DHG | $2.68 | -18.5% | -27.0% |
Iluka Resources | ILU | $5.83 | -10.6% | -21.0% |
IPH | IPH | $5.38 | -4.9% | -22.6% |
Kelsian Group | KLS | $3.82 | -11.4% | -38.9% |
New Hope Corporation | NHC | $4.70 | -7.1% | -10.3% |
Paladin Energy | PDN | $9.72 | -18.0% | +1.8% |
Patriot Battery Metals | PMT | $0.360 | -22.6% | -67.6% |
TPG Telecom | TPG | $4.42 | -12.6% | -18.8% |
Today's Downtrends Scan List
Feature Charts from today's Downtrends List 🔎📉
The stocks that I feel are showing the strongest excess supply from today's Downtrends List are: Domain Australia , Iluka Resources , IPH , Kelsian Group K, TPG Telecom .
Charts of each below:
ChartWatch Primer
For a detailed explanation of Carl's technical analysis methodology, be sure to check out this ChartWatch Primer.
Important considerations when using the ChartWatch Daily ASX Scans:
1. The future is unknown. Anything can happen to change the trends in the lists above. A stock in a perfect uptrend or downtrend may not remain that way by the close of trading today. 2. These lists are not exhaustive, they are curated by Carl. You will find that certain stocks might not appear in a particular list on consecutive days but might reappear when Carl feels it deserves to return to the list. 3. This is not a recommendation service, merely an aid to help you better understand the workings of Carl’s technical analysis model in a practical way. Carl will not alert you to stocks that have dropped off a list because their trend has changed – it is up to you to apply the criteria to determine why a particular stock might not still be included. 4. This is general, educational information only – always do your own research.
European equities traded in the US as American depositary receipts were moving sharply lower late Friday morning, falling 1.5% to 1,333.73 on the S&P Europe Select ADR Index, which is down about 2.5% for the week.
From continental Europe, the gainers were led by 3D printer company Materialise and biotech firm BioNTech (BNTX), which rose 7.5% and 5.8% respectively. They were followed by biopharmaceutical companies Grifols and Cellectis (CLLS), which were up 1.1% each.
The decliners from continental Europe were led by medical device maker EDAP TMS (EDAP) and semiconductor company Sequans Communications , which dropped 6.6% and 4.3% respectively. They were followed by conglomerate Philips and biopharmaceutical company DBV Technologies , which were down 3.6% and 1.2% respectively.
From the UK and Ireland, the gainers were led by biopharmaceutical company Akari Therapeutics and hospitality company InterContinental Hotels Group , which advanced 3.6% and 2.1% respectively. They were followed by cruise line operator Carnival and biopharmaceutical company Mereo BioPharma Group , which increased 1.7% and 0.6% respectively.
The decliners from the UK and Ireland were led by biotech firm Autolus Therapeutics and biopharmaceutical company TC Biopharm , which dropped 6.1% and 6% respectively. They were followed by insurance company Prudential and mining company BHP Group , which lost 5% and 4.9% respectively.
The S&P/ASX 200 closed 26.8 points higher, up 0.33%.
Sometimes it's a fine line between agony and ecstasy in financial markets. Either you were on the right side of the Trump trade today or you weren't – it really was that simple.
If you've already checked your portfolio prior to reading this, you'll know which of your stocks were lavished with love and money, and which were downright torched!
Click/scroll through for the usual reporting of the major sector and stock-specific moves, the broker responses to them, as well as all of the key upcoming economic data in tonight's Evening Wrap.
Let's dive in!
Today in Review
Thu 07 Nov 24, 5:22pm (AEDT)
Name | Value | % Chg |
---|---|---|
Major Indices | ||
ASX 200 | 8,226.3 | +0.33% |
All Ords | 8,481.6 | +0.30% |
Small Ords | 3,131.6 | -0.58% |
All Tech | 3,641.2 | +0.87% |
Emerging Companies | 2,237.1 | -1.48% |
Currency | ||
AUD/USD | 0.6618 | +0.73% |
US Futures | ||
S&P 500 | 5,968.5 | +0.17% |
Dow Jones | 43,988.0 | +0.20% |
Nasdaq | 20,946.5 | +0.25% |
Name | Value | % Chg |
---|---|---|
Sector | ||
Energy | 8,740.2 | +2.29% |
Industrials | 7,469.5 | +1.01% |
Financials | 8,631.5 | +0.78% |
Information Technology | 2,689.3 | +0.75% |
Materials | 17,359.3 | +0.42% |
Communication Services | 1,631.9 | -0.06% |
Consumer Staples | 11,519.9 | -0.13% |
Consumer Discretionary | 3,724.7 | -0.25% |
Health Care | 44,545.5 | -0.27% |
Utilities | 8,363.7 | -0.64% |
Real Estate | 3,821.7 | -2.11% |
Markets
ASX 200 Session Chart
The S&P/ASX 200 (+6.1%), Alcoa Corporation (+5.6%), Bluescope Steel (+5.5%), Sims (+4.3%), Block (+3.5%),and News Corporation (+2.4%) etc...)
You also got showered in cash if your business model prefers higher rather than lower market yields – given market yields have rocketed in anticipation of President-elect Trump's expansionary fiscal policies (so CPU again, but insurers like QBE Insurance Group (+4.8%), Insurance Australia Group (+2.8%), and Suncorp Group (+2.1%) also love higher market yields, and so too do debt collectors like Credit Corp Group (+4.9%)!).
Interestingly, several lithium stocks also bounced back today (IGO (+4.3%), Liontown Resources (+3.8%), Pilbara Minerals (+3.4%), and Mineral Resources (+3.4%)), bucking the idea that a Trump win is bad for the EV industry and renewables in general.
Other areas of the China EV/China tariffs/renewables story still got belted today, so go figure on lithium’s strength (lithium minerals prices were very modestly higher in China today, up around 1% – but I don’t think that’s it).
There was a theory doing the rounds that lithium and other resources including iron ore and energy stocks were rising on hopes of further China stimulus measures would be announced during tomorrow's standing committee of the National People’s Congress (NPC).
This is vaguely plausible given BHP Group (+%), Fortescue (+%), and Rio Tinto's (+%)) gains in iron ore and Woodside Energy (+3.2%) and Santos’s (+2.4%) recovery in energy.
Company | Last Price | Change $ | Change % | 1mo % | 1yr % |
Computershare (CPU) | $29.22 | +$1.68 | +6.1% | +10.9% | +19.7% |
Johns Lyng Group (JLG) | $4.13 | +$0.22 | +5.6% | +14.1% | -35.8% |
Alcoa Corporation (AAI) | $68.47 | +$3.63 | +5.6% | +22.9% | 0% |
Bluescope Steel (BSL) | $22.93 | +$1.2 | +5.5% | +4.9% | +17.7% |
Worley (WOR) | $15.18 | +$0.78 | +5.4% | +4.2% | -9.4% |
Latin Resources (LRS) | $0.200 | +$0.01 | +5.3% | +2.6% | -25.9% |
Tabcorp (TAH) | $0.510 | +$0.025 | +5.2% | +6.3% | -37.8% |
Credit Corp Group (CCP) | $18.20 | +$0.85 | +4.9% | +7.9% | +48.8% |
QBE Insurance Group (QBE) | $18.47 | +$0.85 | +4.8% | +14.9% | +19.1% |
Fletcher Building (FBU) | $2.89 | +$0.13 | +4.7% | +0.3% | -26.0% |
Karoon Energy (KAR) | $1.430 | +$0.06 | +4.4% | -6.5% | -42.7% |
IGO (IGO) | $5.28 | +$0.22 | +4.3% | -1.5% | -45.3% |
Bravura Solutions (BVS) | $1.460 | +$0.06 | +4.3% | -4.9% | +82.5% |
Sims (SGM) | $13.66 | +$0.56 | +4.3% | +6.6% | +7.7% |
GQG Partners (GQG) | $2.71 | +$0.11 | +4.2% | +2.3% | +97.1% |
Magellan Financial Group (MFG) | $10.59 | +$0.42 | +4.1% | +3.0% | +53.0% |
Liontown Resources (LTR) | $0.815 | +$0.03 | +3.8% | +3.2% | -50.5% |
Metals Acquisition (MAC) | $19.94 | +$0.72 | +3.7% | -3.7% | 0% |
Block (SQ2) | $118.96 | +$4.06 | +3.5% | +17.3% | +56.3% |
Pilbara Minerals (PLS) | $3.01 | +$0.1 | +3.4% | +5.6% | -20.8% |
Today's best performing ASX stocks
Anything else renewables related (especially copper) got belted, but the biggest beltings were reserved for gold stocks. It was a total shambles in that sector, as can be seen in the table below and in the Interesting Moves section further down.
Company | Last Price | Change $ | Change % | 1mo % | 1yr % |
Spartan Resources (SPR) | $1.240 | -$0.26 | -17.3% | -4.2% | +220.0% |
Droneshield (DRO) | $0.850 | -$0.105 | -11.0% | -34.9% | +203.6% |
Chalice Mining (CHN) | $1.585 | -$0.195 | -11.0% | +8.6% | -14.3% |
Resolute Mining (RSG) | $0.670 | -$0.075 | -10.1% | -2.2% | +76.3% |
Westgold Resources (WGX) | $2.84 | -$0.26 | -8.4% | +12.3% | +34.0% |
Bellevue Gold (BGL) | $1.385 | -$0.115 | -7.7% | +9.5% | +1.5% |
Predictive Discovery (PDI) | $0.250 | -$0.02 | -7.4% | 0% | +8.7% |
Domino's Pizza Enterprises (DMP) | $30.10 | -$2.28 | -7.0% | -16.2% | -42.9% |
Perseus Mining (PRU) | $2.55 | -$0.19 | -6.9% | -1.2% | +44.1% |
Firefly Metals (FFM) | $1.215 | -$0.09 | -6.9% | +22.1% | +161.3% |
Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL) | $4.70 | -$0.34 | -6.7% | +8.0% | +86.5% |
Vault Minerals (VAU) | $0.350 | -$0.025 | -6.7% | +11.1% | +6.1% |
Emerald Resources (EMR) | $3.79 | -$0.27 | -6.7% | 0% | +43.6% |
Evolution Mining (EVN) | $4.78 | -$0.33 | -6.5% | +6.5% | +36.2% |
Ora Banda Mining (OBM) | $0.810 | -$0.055 | -6.4% | +33.9% | +422.6% |
Northern Star Resources (NST) | $16.50 | -$1.11 | -6.3% | +4.4% | +37.6% |
Gold Road Resources (GOR) | $1.785 | -$0.12 | -6.3% | +2.9% | -4.3% |
Ramelius Resources (RMS) | $2.12 | -$0.13 | -5.8% | -1.4% | +27.7% |
De Grey Mining (DEG) | $1.360 | -$0.075 | -5.2% | -0.7% | +19.0% |
Regis Resources (RRL) | $2.48 | -$0.13 | -5.0% | +24.6% | +41.7% |
Today's worst performing ASX stocks
ChartWatch
No ChartWatch today given I pretty much covered everything in this article: How Trump’s win has impacted markets in 10 incredible charts
Economy
Today
CNY Trade Balance October RMB 679 billion vs RMB 560 billion forecast and RMB 583 billion in September
Strong export growth, +12.7% y/y vs +5.0% forecast and +2.4% y/y in September indicates strong global demand for China's goods and services
But, imports -2.3% was worse than expected (vs -1.5% y/y forecast and +0.3% y/y in September indicates still sluggish domestic economic activity
Later this week
Thursday
23:00 UK Bank of England (BOE) Official Bank Rate announcement and Monetary Policy Summary
Friday
06:00 USA FOMC Meeting and Federal Fund Rate announcement (-0.25% forecast to 4.50-4.75%)
06:30 USA Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell press conference
Saturday
02:00 USA University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (70.6 forecast vs 70.5 previous)
12:30 CHN Consumer Price Index (CPI) October y/y (+0.3% p.a. vs +0.4% p.a. in September)
12:30 CHN Producer Price Index (PPI) October y/y (-2.5% p.a. vs -2.8% p.a. in September)
Latest News
Markets 360 all
How Trump’s win has impacted markets in 10 incredible charts
Thu 07 Nov 24, 2:13pm (AEDT)
Markets cvw dhg
Stocks making the biggest moves at noon: Sigma Healthcare, Gold Miners, Lithium and more
Thu 07 Nov 24, 12:32pm (AEDT)
Markets a2m aai
Which ASX 200 stocks benefited the most from Trump's election win?
Thu 07 Nov 24, 11:39am (AEDT)
Technical Analysis 360 all
ChartWatch ASX Scans: AMP, Austal, Global Cybersecurity ETF, Block, MA Financial, Nuix, Xero, Dexus, Iluka, Santos, Woodside Energy
Thu 07 Nov 24, 9:00am (AEDT)
Market Wraps
Morning Wrap: ASX 200 to rise + S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq soar to record levels on Trump win
Thu 07 Nov 24, 8:37am (AEDT)
Market Wraps apx brn
Evening Wrap: ASX 200 cheers likely Trump win (except mining, especially battery metals stocks which got belted!)
Wed 06 Nov 24, 5:45pm (AEDT)
More News
Interesting Movers
Trading higher
+24.9% Sigma Healthcare (SIG) - Sigma & Chemist Warehouse deal not opposed and Sigma welcomes the ACCC's decision, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrend, has been a regular in ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends lists 🔎📈
+8.5% Neuren Pharmaceuticals (NEU) - Continued positive response to yesterday's PRV sold for US$150m - Neuren to receive one third, but also today's Q3 2024 update
+6.2% Weebit Nano (WBT) - No news, generally positive two days for ASX technology sector
+6.1% Computershare (CPU) - No news, CPU's profitability increases when market yields rise - market yields have spiked on Trump win
+5.6% Alcoa Corporation (AAI) - No news, large US dollar earnings, beneficiary of Trump win and associated appreciation of US stocks and the US dollar
+5.5% Bluescope Steel (BSL) - No news, ditto US earnings beneficiary post Trump win
+5.4% Worley (WOR) - No news, general view is that Trump win is positive for energy development, broad strength in ASX Energy sector today
+4.9% Credit Corp Group (CCP) - No news, beneficiary of higher market yields, rise is consistent with prevailing short term uptrend, long term trend is transitioning from down to up, will be in tomorrow's ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends list! 🔎📈
+4.8% QBE Insurance Group (QBE) - No news, ditto insurance stocks also love higher market yields, rise is consistent with prevailing short and long term uptrend, will be in tomorrow's ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends list! 🔎📈
Trading lower
-30.8% Clearview Wealth (CVW) - 2024 Annual General Meeting Addresses to Shareholders and Response to ASX Price Query, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrend 🔎📈
-17.3% Spartan Resources (SPR) - New Position South of Pepper Gold Deposit and ASX gold sector belted today on drop in gold price post-Trump win (see this article Chart 7 for more details as to why)
-11.0% Droneshield (DRO) - No news, but general view is that a Trump win is less favourable for defense stocks given proclivity to de-escalate conflicts / withdrawal of US intervention in conflicts
-10.8% Chalice Mining (CHN) - Presentation - 2024 Macquarie Western Australia Forum
-10.1% Resolute Mining (RSG) - No news, ditto gold sector belted today…
-8.7% Ioneer (INR) - No news, fears Trump win threatens US Department of Energy’s Loan Programs Office loan for Rhyolite Ridge Project
-8.6% Silver Mines (SVL) - No news, ditto gold sector belted today… (silver also got belted)
-8.4% Westgold Resources (WGX) - No news, ditto gold sector belted today…
-8.3% Syrah Resources (SYR) - No new, but also likely related to Trump win, general view is unfavorable for renewables/EV industry/China EV production (via punitive tariffs) and therefore EV materials explorers, developers, and producers
-7.7% Bellevue Gold (BGL) - No news, ditto gold sector belted today…
-7.0% Domino's Pizza Enterprises (DMP) - AGM Address and Presentation 2024 but also continued negative response to 5 Nov Announcement regarding CEO, fall is consistent with prevailing short and long term downtrend, one of the most Featured stocks in ChartWatch Daily Scans Downtrends lists 🔎📈
-6.9% Perseus Mining (PRU) - No news, ditto gold sector belted today…
-6.9% Firefly Metals (FFM) - Restricted shares to be released from escrow, but ditto gold/renewables (copper)/battery materials/China exposure etc…
-6.7% Vulcan Energy Resources (VUL) - No news, ditto battery materials/China exposure…
-6.7% Vault Minerals (VAU) - No news, ditto gold sector belted today…
-6.7% Emerald Resources (EMR) - No news, ditto gold sector belted today…
-6.5% Evolution Mining (EVN) - No news, ditto gold sector belted today…
-6.4% Ora Banda Mining (OBM) - Investor Presentation, but ditto gold sector belted today…
-6.3% Northern Star Resources (NST) - No news, ditto gold sector belted today…
-6.3% Gold Road Resources (GOR) - Investor Presentation - Macquarie WA Forum, but ditto gold sector belted today…
-5.8% Ramelius Resources (RMS) - No news, ditto gold sector belted today…
-5.2% De Grey Mining (DEG) - No news, ditto gold sector belted today…
-5.0% Regis Resources (RRL) - Legal Proceedings Commenced for Review of McPhillamys , but ditto gold sector belted today…
-4.9% Wildcat Resources (WC8) - No news, ditto battery materials/China exposure…
Broker Notes
Amotiv (AOV)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $13.64
Eagers Automotive (APE)
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $10.50
ARB Corporation (ARB)
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $43.80
Retained at buy at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $47.00
Autosports Group (ASG)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $2.80
Australian Vanadium (AVL)
Retained at buy at Shaw and Partners; Price Target: $0.08
Breville Group (BRG)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $35.10
Brightstar Resources (BTR)
Retained at buy at Shaw and Partners; Price Target: $0.04
Capitol Health (CAJ)
Retained at hold at Bell Potter; Price Target: $0.33
Collins Foods (CKF)
Retained at neutral at Citi; Price Target: $7.88
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $8.30
Coles Group (COL)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $19.50
Domain Australia (DHG)
Retained at hold at Bell Potter; Price Target: $3.20 from $3.50
Downgraded to neutral from buy at Citi; Price Target: $3.20 from $3.65
Retained at neutral at Goldman Sachs; Price Target: $3.20 from $3.40
Retained at neutral at Goldman Sachs; Price Target: $3.10 from $3.50
Retained at hold at Goldman Sachs; Price Target: $3.00 from $3.40
Retained at underweight at Goldman Sachs; Price Target: $2.70 from $2.90
Domino's Pizza Enterprises (DMP)
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $32.20
Endeavour Group (EDV)
Retained at neutral at Citi; Price Target: $5.18
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $5.40
Flight Centre Travel Group (FLT)
Retained at neutral at Goldman Sachs; Price Target: $17.50 from $20.30
Fleetpartners Group (FPR)
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $3.46
Goodman Group (GMG)
Retained at buy at Citi; Price Target: $40.00
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $36.47
Retained at overweight at Morgan Stanley; Price Target: $42.40
Retained at accumulate at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $35.00
Harvey Norman (HVN)
Downgraded to sell from neutral at Goldman Sachs; Price Target: $4.00 from $4.50
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $5.00
Inghams Group (ING)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $3.50
JB HI-FI (JBH)
Retained at sell at Goldman Sachs; Price Target: $66.90 from $54.40
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $77.00
James Hardie Industries (JHX)
Retained at neutral at Citi; Price Target: $50.90
Upgraded to overweight from neutral at JP Morgan; Price Target: $55.00 from $52.00
KMD Brands (KMD)
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $0.45
Maas Group (MGH)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $5.06 from $4.95
McMillan Shakespeare (MMS)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $20.78
Metcash (MTS)
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $3.45
Monash IVF Group (MVF)
Retained at buy at Bell Potter; Price Target: $1.85
National Australia Bank (NAB)
Retained at sell at Citi; Price Target: $26.50
Retained at sell at UBS; Price Target: $35.00
Nick Scali (NCK)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $15.60
Pro Medicus (PME)
Downgraded to neutral from outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $180.50 from $152.50
Premier Investments (PMV)
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $34.20
Prospect Resources (PSC)
Retained at buy at Canaccord Genuity; Price Target: $0.30
Redox (RDX)
Downgraded to hold from accumulate at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $3.15 from $3.08
REA Group (REA)
Retained at buy at Citi; Price Target: $230.00
Scentre Group (SCG)
Retained at neutral at Citi; Price Target: $3.60
SG Fleet Group (SGF)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $3.18
Sigma Healthcare (SIG)
Retained at underperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $1.00
Smartgroup Corporation (SIQ)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $9.60
Super Retail Group (SUL)
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $16.90
Suncorp Group (SUN)
Retained at neutral at Citi; Price Target: $18.55 from $17.70
Retained at buy at Goldman Sachs; Price Target: $19.20 from $18.50
Retained at overweight at Morgan Stanley; Price Target: $20.50
Retained at accumulate at Ord Minnett; Price Target: $19.65
Temple & Webster Group (TPW)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $13.55
Treasury Wine Estates (TWE)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $13.90
Universal Store (UNI)
Retained at outperform at Macquarie; Price Target: $8.40
Wesfarmers (WES)
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $75.30
Woolworths Group (WOW)
Retained at neutral at Macquarie; Price Target: $32.50
Zip Co. (ZIP)
Upgraded to neutral from underperform at Bank of America; Price Target: $3.20 from $1.50
Scans
Top Gainers
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
QHL | Quickstep Holding... | $0.38 | +94.87% |
PHL | Propell Holdings Ltd | $0.032 | +77.78% |
HPC | The Hydration Pha... | $0.017 | +30.77% |
FFF | Forbidden Foods Ltd | $0.013 | +30.00% |
AIV | Activex Ltd | $0.018 | +28.57% |
View all top gainers
Top Fallers
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
MNC | Merino & Co. Ltd | $0.68 | -53.10% |
CVW | Clearview Wealth Ltd | $0.36 | -30.77% |
CMX | CHEMX Materials Ltd | $0.026 | -27.78% |
NME | NEX Metals Explor... | $0.028 | -22.22% |
HCT | Holista Colltech Ltd | $0.015 | -21.05% |
View all top fallers
52 Week Highs
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
PHL | Propell Holdings Ltd | $0.032 | +77.78% |
AIV | Activex Ltd | $0.018 | +28.57% |
SIG | Sigma Healthcare Ltd | $2.43 | +24.94% |
ESR | Estrella Resource... | $0.017 | +13.33% |
CDX | Cardiex Ltd | $0.135 | +12.50% |
View all 52 week highs
52 Week Lows
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
CVW | Clearview Wealth Ltd | $0.36 | -30.77% |
CMX | CHEMX Materials Ltd | $0.026 | -27.78% |
CCM | Cadoux Ltd | $0.045 | -18.18% |
CUS | Copper Search Ltd | $0.03 | -14.29% |
HTG | Harvest Technolog... | $0.012 | -14.29% |
View all 52 week lows
Near Highs
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
PCI | Perpetual Credit ... | $1.15 | -0.43% |
WVOL | Ishares MSCI Worl... | $41.31 | -0.89% |
GCI | Gryphon Capital I... | $2.04 | -0.25% |
VVLU | Vanguard Global V... | $73.94 | +1.68% |
IHD | Ishares S&P/ASX D... | $14.40 | +0.49% |
View all near highs
Relative Strength Index (RSI) Oversold
Code | Company | Last | % Chg |
---|---|---|---|
VGB | Vanguard Australi... | $45.58 | -0.11% |
RSG | Resolute Mining Ltd | $0.67 | -10.07% |
XGOV | Vaneck 10+ Year A... | $49.79 | -0.16% |
IMB | Intelligent Monit... | $0.455 | -9.00% |
SMP | Smartpay Holdings... | $0.62 | +5.08% |
View all RSI oversold
It appears the US election result surprised at least 49% of the US population, but it also appears to have been a major surprise for many parts of the world’s financial markets. Perhaps the biggest surprise was that President-elect Donald Trump’s win would be so emphatic, with Republicans now looking very likely to control both chambers of US Congress.
Whilst stopping short of a filibuster-proof two-thirds majority in the Senate (filibuster rules allow legislation in the US Senate to pass despite any procedural hurdles the other side may throw at it) - Trump will likely have a strong platform to implement his agenda.
A Trump-Republican controlled Congress was widely seen as the most bullish outcome for stock markets, as policies flagged by Trump before the election were seen as the most beneficial for US economic growth. Certainly, the massive gains in US stocks we’ve seen in the last 24 hours appear to reflect this.
However, the outcome doesn’t necessarily benefit all financial instruments and all financial markets around the world. Many markets, indeed potentially economies, stand to come out big losers from events likely to unfold in Washington over the next four years.
Some would argue that when it comes to markets, talk is cheap – it’s what the money does that matters. So, rather than provide you with a 5,000-word essay on the intricacies of how a Trump win will impact various parts of the global financial markets, let’s instead see what the money did in the last 24 hours. In pictures – in charts.
Here are the 10 most incredible charts in financial markets from the last 24 hours:
Charts 1, 2, & 3: US stocks are big Trump winners 🏆
Chart 1: S&P 500 ( for full size image)
Note, I will use charts displaying my technical model in this article. For more details on how my technical model works, please read this Technical Analysis and ChartWatch Primer.
The benchmark US stock index, that is, the most widely referenced by financial professionals and the media, is the Standard and Poor’s 500 (“S&P 500”). The S&P 500 contains 500 of America’s largest stocks by market capitalisation (i.e., the value of all their outstanding shares).
It’s clear from the chart above that investors believe US stocks are likely to benefit from a Trump-Republican win, or a “Red Sweep” as it has been more commonly referred to.
The S&P 500 “gapped” higher on Wednesday (i.e., there is a difference between the candle’s low and the preceding candle’s high), and then continued to rise to close very near its high of the session. This is called a “gap and run” in technical analysis parlance, and it’s considered to be indicative of very strong excess demand in a market.
Basically, there was a great deal of cash seeking stock, but stockholders (i.e., the “supply side”) were reluctant to part with their shares unless compensated by higher prices. Cash holders (i.e. the “demand side”) were only too eager to pay those higher prices.
A gap represents a sudden and substantial increase in the market’s perception of S&P 500 earnings in the future, but also likely how investors are choosing to value those earnings.
When markets are fearful, they tend to be more conservative in how they discount (i.e., punitively mark down) uncertain future earnings. This is often called a “risk-off” market. Markets on Wednesday swung decidedly “risk-on”.
Finally, consider the substantially elevated volume on Wednesday. It represents a wall of cash seeking shares in S&P 500 stocks. There were just as many sellers happy to part with their shares too – that’s how volume works – it represents each share bought and sold. But when we consider the elevated volume with the price action (i.e., the gap and run), it suggests the supply side was in retreat, and it must also correspond with agreat deal of supply removal.
This means many previous stockholders who were incapable of perceiving higher prices are now sitting on a pile of cash – in a rising market – when sentiment is very bullish. In these scenarios, that cash often simply equates to a pool of latent demand (as these investors begin to regret their decision to sell), and this is generally supportive of higher prices.
Chart 2: S&P MidCap 400 ( for full size image)
A Red Sweep is anticipated to boost US economic growth and, therefore, US corporate profits, but not all companies are expected to share in these profits in the same way. The S&P 500 is dominated by massive multinational corporations that, in many cases, earn a large portion of their profits from ex-US operations. This is less likely to be the case the smaller down the market capitalisation scale you go.
For this reason the S&P MidCap 400, and the next chart, the Russell 2000, deserve places in my Top 10 list today. The S&P 500 rose an impressive 2.53% on Wednesday, but the MidCap 400 popped 4.2%. As I intimated at the start of this article: Follow the money! 💰
Chart 3: Russell 2000 (click here for full size image)
The Russell 2000 contains 2,000 smaller capitalisation US stocks making it a proxy for the heart of corporate America. This is the base likely to benefit the most from a newly elected President Trump’s “Make America great again” mantra. The Russell 2000 gained an impressive 5.8% on Wednesday – more than any other major US stock index.
Putting aside Wednesday’s heroics, I’ll leave US stocks here with the observation that a bull market in US stocks was very much in place prior to the events of 6 November. Moving forward, I suggest you continue to monitor my trend ribbons – presently both indicating short and long term excess demand – as well as price action (I prefer rising peaks and rising troughs) and candles (I prefer a predominance of demand-side candles).
It's also important that the prices of the three indices mentioned above continue to trade above their respective short and long term uptrend ribbons. If any of these factors change (i.e., trend, price action, candles, and dynamic demand), then the bull market in US stocks may be losing momentum.
Note that I regularly update the charts on US stock indices in the ChartWatch section of the Market Index daily Evening Wrap.
Chart 4: Bring on Bitcoin 🏆
Bitcoin vs US Dollar (BTCUSD) (click here for full size image)
President-elect Trump has taken a well-publicised pro-Bitcoin-pro-crypto stance in the lead-up to the presidential election and his win is very likely to give Bitcoin greater prominence going forward.
Wednesday’s long white candle and high close suggests a strong demand side response to news of the Red Sweep. As with US stocks, the gain occurs in a general bull market for Bitcoin as evidenced by the rising long term uptrend ribbon.
Significantly above-average volume also indicates a great deal of interest and and a great deal of supply removal – both are consistent with continued demand-side control.
The key positive for me in this chart (apart from the accompanying strong short term uptrend, good price action and predominance of demand-side candles), is that Wednesday’s candle closed above the top of the well-defined trading range that was capped by the 14 March high of 73,758.
If one zooms out to the weekly chart (not shown), one will see that Bitcoin is now trading at all-time highs and without any clear static points of supply to contend with. In these scenarios, I defer to major round numbers as potential short and long term upside targets. For me, this puts 80,000 and then 100,000 as the most likely next key points of potential supply.
Chart 5: All hail King Dollar 🏆
US Dollar Index (DXY) (click here for full size image)
The most logical winner from a perceived impending resurgence of the US economy is the US dollar. If you’re an international fund manager, and you want a piece of the “Trump trade”, you better get your hands on some greenbacks to buy into assets leveraged to US economic growth.
The US dollar index (DXY) compares the performance of the US dollar against a basket of foreign currencies. If the chart above is rising, it means the US dollar is generally appreciating against other global currencies, and vice-versa.
The DXY is also showing a gap and run, commensurate with the stock indices charts where it's quite likely many of the greenbacks being purchased are heading. I also note a strong short term uptrend heading into the election, but more broadly, a relatively flat long term trend compared to the charts we’ve seen so far.
This is because the DXY has been trading in a range between 99.20 and 105.56 for over a year. If one zooms out to the weekly chart (not shown), one will see that the DXY can close above 105.56 it will be trading at 2-year highs and with little overhead static supply points until the September 2022 major peak of 111.80.
A stronger US dollar will benefit those companies that earn a portion of their profits in US dollars – particularly if their local currency weakens against the US dollar. On the ASX, this includes companies like Life360 , Aristocrat Leisure , Resmed Inc , Block , and News Corporation – each regulars in my ChartWatch Daily Scans Uptrends lists.
Chart 6: Bond market Trumped! 📉
US 10-year T-Bond Yield (BTCUSD) (click here for full size image)
Those were the Top 5 winners from Trump’s election success. The next 5 were the biggest losers over the last 24 hours, and quite possibly could continue to be so moving forward too.
First up is the bond market. Bonds are a fixed interest asset. If interest rates are expected to rise, the fixed yield on a particular bond doesn’t look as attractive. This means investors will generally want to pay less for that bond, likely causing the bond’s price to decline. As a bond’s price declines, its yield to a new owner therefore increases.
The chart above shows the yield for US 10-year Treasury Bonds or “T-Bonds”. We can see that yields have spiked in the wake of the election result, meaning that bond prices have fallen.
Investors have been selling their bonds in anticipation that President-elect Trump’s expansionary fiscal policies will lead to stronger growth in the US economy and less need for the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
Bond yields rose 0.16% or 16 basis points (“bp”) on Wednesday – which doesn’t sound like very much – but it is, in fact, massively substantial when one considers the Fed usually deals in increments or decrements of 25bp. Markets effectively applied more than half a typical interest rate hike upon Trump’s win.
This will have ramifications for mortgage holders, whose interest repayments are pegged to longer duration T-Bonds, as well as a potentially negative impact company profits via higher borrowing costs. It also increases the discount rate that analysts punitively discount future company earnings.
Overall, higher bond yields are usually considered a bearish factor for the stock market.
For now, rising bond yields aren’t hurting the stock market because they are associated with greater economic growth. However, there is a chance that this chart will be viewed far more negatively soon – particularly if the Federal Reserve begins to dial back its recently begun interest rate cutting cycle.
Chart 7: Gold loses its lustre 📉
Gold Futures (Front month, back-adjusted) COMEX (click here for full size image)
Gold is the age-old hedge against uncertainty and it potentially has the most to gain or lose following the resolution of such a major global risk event. This potentially explains why it underperformed over the last 24 hours – in many ways, a Red Sweep is the worst of the possible election outcomes for gold.
Firstly, a Red Sweep outcome removes a great deal of uncertainty in terms of the new US government’s policy agenda and the ability to implement it. Secondly, as noted above, this scenario is bullish for the US dollar and at the same time supportive of bond yields – both acutely bearish for gold.
On the last point, note that gold is typically benchmarked in US dollars, so all things being equal, a stronger US dollar generally translates into a weaker gold price. Also note, gold does not have a yield, so there is an opportunity cost to holding it. The higher the prevailing risk-free yield (i.e., the T-Bond yield), the greater the opportunity cost of holding gold.
The only positive for gold in all of this, and it may help gold resume its previous strong short and long term uptrends – is that a Red Sweep increases the likelihood of a bigger US deficit. Also, should a major tariff war break out because of Trump’s anti-imports policy stance, it may create greater uncertainty down the track. Both factors support the acceleration of prevailing de-dollarisation trends.
Again, I cover gold regularly in my Evening Wraps, but for now, note that the gold chart has suffered a major setback here. The long black candle on Wednesday is indicative of an influx of excess supply.
The price has closed below the short term trend ribbon, and the ribbon has transitioned to neutral. The long term uptrend remains intact and robust, however.
I’ll be watching closely at how the gold price responds at the recent 2618 point of demand. A strong demand-side response there or earlier would be positive for gold, but only a quick resumption of demand-side candles and price action will stave off a more likely “sideways at best for some time ” scenario here.
Chart 8, 9 & 10: China tariff terror! 📉
High Grade Copper Futures (Front month, back-adjusted) COMEX (click here for full size image)
Clearly, the biggest losers from President-elect Trump’s big win are commodities consumed in large quantities by China and, by extension, those companies focussed on supplying them.
In a speech at a rally in Michigan last Thursday, President-elect Trump said China could face tariffs of up to 200% on its auto industry. Tariffs on other Chinese industries of around 60% have also been flagged.
China is a major consumer of raw materials, the most important for Australian commodity producers being iron ore (chart below), copper (chart above) and many others not shown in charts here (the prices of nickel, lead, tin, zinc, coal, oil, lithium, and other major Australian commodity exports have also fallen sharply in the last 24-hours).
The chart of high-grade copper futures above shows a massive black candle with low close wiping out what was a promising rally from the long term uptrend ribbon. The close below the long term trend ribbon and also below the 4.29 October low has neutralised both short and long term trends.
The 5 November peak of 4.493 now stands as a critical point of supply. The copper price must at least reclaim this point to resume its long term uptrend. More likely now, is the probing of lower points of demand, for example, the 4 September trough at 4.043.
Iron Ore 62% Spot (click here for full size image)
So far, we’ve only seen a modest dip in the iron ore price after the US election results – but short and long term trends were hardly inspiring here beforehand.
I note the short term trend here is still up, though, and as long as the price remains above the short term uptrend ribbon this will continue to be the case.
Given the long term downtrend, the broader path of least resistance remains to the downside for iron ore, with only a close above the 7 October peak of 112.39 likely to change this.
FTSE China A50 Index Futures (click here for full size image)
There’s plenty of talk about the impact on Chinese exporters and, more broadly, on the Chinese economy, but so far, the impact on the Chinese stock market has been relatively muted compared to some of the other moves we’ve reviewed here.
China A Shares did dip on Wednesday as news of President-elect Trump’s success reverberated through Asia, but it’s rallying back in Thursday trade. This suggests investors don’t appear to be too fussed about the potential impact of President-elect Trump’s tariffs. At least, not yet!
From a technical perspective, this chart appears to be digesting the massive stimulus news-led rally in September. The long term trend ribbon is rising again, and the short term uptrend ribbon appears to be supporting the price nicely.
Price action and candles are somewhat mixed, however, and really we’re waiting for the next definitive move here. Demand-side candles (i.e., those with white bodies and or downward pointing shadows) would likely kick off a next leg up scenario, while supply-side candles (i.e., those with black bodies and or upward pointing shadows) plus a close below the short term uptrend ribbon would likely kick off a next leg down scenario.
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