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Shares of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. NCLH have rallied 75.7% in the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry’s growth of 14%.
The company’s impressive third-quarter 2024 results anchored by resilient demand, elevated onboard offerings and targeted growth strategies have positioned it ahead of competitors. In the same time frame, stocks like Carnival Corporation & plc CCL, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. RCL and OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited OSW have gained 69%, 66.8% and 30.9%, respectively.
NCLH Price Performance
But, with such a strong run, is now the right time to buy in? Let’s explore what’s fueling NCLH’s momentum and whether it’s time to add this stock to your portfolio.
Riding High: What’s Driving NCLH's Growth?
NCLH’s success has been powered by strong quarterly performance fueled by resilient consumer demand and enhanced onboard offerings. Investors are taking notice of this steady upward trajectory, especially as the company continues to outperform on key metrics while maintaining cost efficiency. In fact, Norwegian’s “Charting the Course” strategy — which focuses on people, products, growth platforms, and performance — appears to be keeping the company on track for sustained success. The cruise line operator exceeded its guidance across all key metrics for the third straight quarter, resulting in an increase in its full-year guidance for the fourth time this year.
In the third quarter of 2024, NCLH achieved its highest quarterly revenue and adjusted EBITDA in history. Earnings per share climbed 31% year over year, reaching 99 cents, outpacing guidance even after a small hit from foreign exchange fluctuations. Norwegian Cruise also made strides with its net leverage ratio, down to 5.58 from 2023’s year-end levels, indicating strong financial stability. The company expects its adjusted EBITDA margin to reach 35.3% in 2024, with a goal of hitting 39% by 2026.
The Demand Surge Keeps NCLH Sailing Smooth
Strong demand has continued to drive NCLH’s bookings and pricing, with net yield growing 9% year over year in the third quarter of 2024. The increase has been primarily fueled by solid demand across all geographies, particularly in Alaska, Canada and New England. Norwegian Cruise also reported a significant rise in onboard revenues, boosted by shore excursions and improved communication offerings via Starlink high-speed Internet. The company reported strong bookings for 2025, with pricing and occupancy rates in line with or above current levels. Advanced ticket sales have also increased 6% year over year, outpacing capacity growth and reflecting the strong consumer confidence in cruising as a desirable vacation option.
Partnerships and Branding Boost NCLH’s Market Appeal
NCLH’s partnership and brand-building initiatives further strengthen its appeal. The company recently launched the "Experience More at Sea" positioning for its Norwegian Cruise Line brand, which adds value through upgraded onboard amenities and exclusive partnerships. The positioning is complemented by a new partnership with the National Hockey League, which connects the company with hockey fans and expands its visibility within the sports community. Oceania Cruises also enhanced its brand promise, offering guests additional inclusions, such as gourmet dining, prepaid gratuities, and Starlink WiFi. These brand upgrades reflect NCLH’s focus on delivering superior experiences that align with evolving consumer preferences.
NCLH’s Fleet Expansion to Drive Long-Term Growth
A significant aspect of NCLH’s growth plan is its expanding fleet. Norwegian Luna, a new ship equipped with high-end amenities, is set to join the fleet in 2026. Other brands under NCLH’s umbrella, such as Oceania and Regent Seven Seas, are also set to launch new vessels, each aiming to provide an exceptional experience. This continuous growth in capacity reflects the company’s commitment to staying ahead of the curve in the cruise market.
NCLH Earnings Estimates Show Upward Movement
NCLH expects its 2024 earnings per share (EPS) to be nearly $1.65, up from the prior expectation of about $1.53. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NCLH’s 2024 and 2025 EPS has moved up 1.9% and 3.7%, respectively, in the past 60 days. The upward revision in earnings estimates indicates analysts’ increasing confidence in the stock.
Attractive Valuation and High Returns Make NCLH Appealing
NCLH has shown impressive profitability, with a trailing 12-month return on equity of 113.7%, significantly higher than the industry average of 25.2%. This metric suggests that the company is efficiently using shareholders’ funds to generate returns, which can be a positive sign for long-term investors.
Additionally, NCLH trades at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 14.67X, below the industry average of 21.26X, presenting a potentially attractive valuation for investors.
Technical Indicators Point to Potential Upside
From a technical perspective, NCLH's stock performance is showing upward momentum, with shares currently trading above both their 50-day and 200-day moving averages. This trend indicates that the stock has established strong support levels, suggesting potential resilience and further upside in the near term.
NCLH Stock Trades Above 50 and 200-Day Moving Average
Conclusion
Norwegian Cruise presents a compelling investment opportunity, driven by its impressive operational performance, strategic partnerships, and expanding fleet. The company’s strong booking volumes, improved net yield, and substantial return on equity underscore its capacity to capitalize on rising demand in the travel and leisure sector. With a favorable valuation relative to its industry peers and upwardly revised earnings projections, NCLH is well-positioned to deliver sustained growth and enhance shareholder value. We believe that this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) stock is an ideal candidate for investors’ portfolio addition.
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Zacks Investment Research
Markets rallied strongly this week as investors got a clear outcome in the presidential election and an expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Is this a relief rally, the continuation of a Trump trade, or the beginning of a longer bull market? That question will be answered over time, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see some profit-taking as investors start rebalancing their portfolios for 2025.
For now, money is coming into the market based on the expectation of public policy, which will mean lower taxes and less regulation, which is historically bullish for stocks. However, the market’s momentum may be tested next week when the next readings of the consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) are released. The trend has been inflationary, and if that trend continues, it may temper expectations for the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025.
A key takeaway for investors is that now is the time to be in the market, and MarketBeat would love to help you. Whether you’re a short-term trader or a long-term investor, our team of analysts will stay on top of the stocks and stories moving the market. Here are some of our most popular stories from this week.
Articles by Jea Yu
The cruise line industry has seen a strong recovery in 2024, with many carriers reporting demand levels exceeding 2019 levels. This week, Jea Yu analyzed Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. and Carnival Co. & plc . The two cruise lines have different business models, and Yu explained how that affects the upside for each stock.
Investing in biotech companies, particularly clinical-stage companies, carries risk as long-term investments. But Yu explained why nimble traders may want to watch Summit Therapeutics Inc. closely. The stock is up over 700% in 2024 but may have room to move higher as its lead candidate shows signs of performing better than industry-leading Keytruda in lung cancer treatment.
It’s been a rough year for battery companies, as the market is oversupplied. But Yu explained why this may be a good time to look at Enovix Co. . The company is on track to ramp up production of its next-generation silicon-anode lithium-ion batteries, which can meet the enhanced power demands of AI-powered devices.
Articles by Thomas Hughes
Many investors are betting on how the stock market will perform in 2025 after Donald Trump's election. This week, Thomas Hughes explained Trump’s proposed policies and their potential impact on stocks in the coming year.
Whatever policies Trump implements shouldn’t affect the outlook for gold. That’s because the tailwind for gold has been government spending and lower interest rates. Both conditions are expected to be in place in 2025, and Hughes explained why that means gold prices should continue to rise in 2025.
Weight loss drugs have been one of the best-performing categories of stocks in 2024. Eli Lilly & Co. is one of the leading names. However, as that trade gets more crowded, Hughes explained there are other reasons analysts are raising their outlook for LLY stock in 2025.
Articles by Sam Quirke
Intel Corp. has been one of the worst-performing stocks in 2024 as the company can’t seem to keep up with its competitors. However, Sam Quirke explained why a solid earnings report and improving analyst sentiment are reasons to believe it may be time to be greedy while others are fearful.
Turning his attention to the chip sector, Quirke was looking at another turnaround story. The bottom fell out on Qualcomm Inc. after the stock hit an all-time high in June. Quirke explained why a strong earnings report is starting to create a bullish setup for QCOM stock in 2025.
Could Trump be ushering in the crypto presidency? The surge in Bitcoin and Ethereum since the election would seem to suggest it is. Coinbase Global Inc. is a way to get exposure to this market without direct speculation in digital assets. Quirke gave readers two reasons to consider COIN stock and one reason they may want to stay on the sideline.
Articles by Chris Markoch
Palantir Technologies Inc. led the week with another blowout earnings report. While questions remain about the stock’s valuation, Chris Markoch explained why the stock crossing $50 isn’t surprising and why there may still be time for investors to get on board.
Investors looking for a lower price tag (at least on paper) may want to look at one of the three stocks under $20 that Markoch highlighted because they carry Strong Buy ratings from analysts.
Markoch also wrote about the recent earnings reports for Merck & Co. Inc. and Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. . The reports were similar, but analysts have different views on each stock.
Articles by Ryan Hasson
The last two months of 2024 may turn out to be a fantastic opportunity for momentum traders. This week, Ryan Hasson wrote about two opportunities for traders to consider. First, there’s the Trump trade. Hasson explained which three sectors have been posting the largest gains since the election and why investors may want to wait for a pullback before getting involved.
The other area for momentum traders may come from “riding the hot hand.” In this case, Hasson looks at the five best-performing S&P stocks in 2024 and why they may have room to run higher.
If we’re entering a bull market, there are plenty of stocks for buy-and-hold investors to consider. Hasson wrote about three food and beverage names among consumer staples stocks and consumer discretionary stocks with a history of long-term growth and solid dividends.
Articles by Gabriel Osorio-Mazilli
If you’re feeling a little FOMO right now, you’re not alone. However, it’s important to understand which stocks have real potential. This week, Gabriel Osorio-Mazilli highlighted three technology stocks on which options traders are making big bets. Osorio-Mazilli explained what those traders may see to help you understand the opportunity.
Many analysts have predicted that small-cap stocks would lead a new bull market. The performance of the Russell 2000 since the election proves them right. With that in mind, Osorio-Mazilli highlighted three Russell 2000 stocks that traders may want to target.
And if you’re still not sure about stocks, Osorio-Mazilli explained why there’s still time to get involved with gold. The precious yellow metal is already at all-time highs, and Osorio-Mazilli explained why $3,000 an ounce – and maybe higher – is still in play.
Articles by Leo Miller
Many investors may wish they could invest in Elon Musk’s SpaceX as the company deploys an increasing number of its Starlink satellites. However, SpaceX isn’t publicly traded. But imitation is the sincerest form of flattery, and competition is bringing this space into being. This week, Leo Miller analyzed two of the largest companies in two of the world’s largest countries, which are making moves to take market share from SpaceX.
Miller also wrote about the recent price action in SoundHound AI , which is focused on developing AI speech recognition. SOUN stock is up more than 220% in 2024 as NVIDIA Corp. is on board as a partner. And with earnings coming up on November 12, investors may want to know if there’s still room to get involved.
The GLP-1 trade is getting crowded. This week, Miller wrote about why Altimmune Inc. is on investors' radars. The company’s lead GLP-1 candidate is in clinical trials and is showing an ability to combat the muscle loss that is a side effect of current GLP-1 treatments. The drug will be in trials for some time, but this may be an opportunity for patient, long-term investors who have capital to put in the market.
Articles by Nathan Reiff
The holiday season will soon be upon us. For investors, that means looking at retail stocks that may outperform their competitors. Nathan Reiff tackled that topic this week, highlighting three retail stocks that have held up well this year and explaining why one may stand above the crowd.
Renewable energy stocks are under pressure, and there are expectations that they will be out of favor in a second Trump administration. However, Reiff explained why there still may be an opportunity with First Solar Inc. . The stock tumbled after a weak earnings report in October. But the solar industry is growing, and despite regulatory pressure, there may be an opportunity for nimble traders.
What does the future hold for hydrogen stocks? It’s a question that’s been asked for years and one that Reiff took on this week. While others are looking at nuclear stocks, hydrogen also offers a path to clean energy. With an uncertain payoff, investors would be well served to focus on the best-in-class names like the three hydrogen stocks that analysts continue to back.
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