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Smith Micro Software Inc SMSI reported a third-quarter 2024 non-GAAP loss of 30 cents per share against earnings of 8 cents in the prior-year quarter. The bottom line was narrower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 31 cents.
Stay up-to-date with all quarterly releases: See Zacks Earnings Calendar.
Revenues in the quarter totaled $4.6 million, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.2%. Despite innovative product launch strategy and cost-cutting initiatives, revenues plunged 58% year over year due to continued downtrends across various revenue segments.
Smith Micro Software, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Smith Micro Software, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Smith Micro Software, Inc. Quote
In the reported quarter, the Family Safety segment’s revenues declined nearly $5.2 million or 57% to $3.9 million from the prior-year level. This downside resulted from the conclusion of the Verizon Family Safety contract in the fourth quarter of 2023, due to which no revenues were generated from this segment. Also, persistent weakness in Sprint Safe & Found revenues had an adverse impact.
CommSuite segment’s revenues decreased roughly 14.3% year over year to $0.6 million. On a sequential basis, CommSuite sales increased $0.1 million, driven by healthy subscriber engagement on the Boost CommSuite premium visual voicemail platform. This is likely to benefit the fourth quarter as well, added SMSI.
Revenues from the ViewSpot segment fell $1 million year over year to $0.1 million, mainly due to the termination announcement of the ViewSpot deals.
Following the announcement, shares are down 12.2% in the premarket trading session today. In the past year, shares have lost 86.3% against the subindustry’s growth of 21.7%.
SMSI’s Margin Details
Gross margin for the September quarter fell to 71.6% from 77% of the prior-year quarter, owing to top-line contraction year over year.
Non-GAAP operating expenses for the third quarter were $6.8 million, down nearly 12% year over year.
Total operating expenses were $9.8 million, down 8% year over year.
Balance Sheet of SMSI
As of Sept. 30, 2024, SMSI had total cash and cash equivalents of $1.5 million compared with $5.6 million as of June 30, 2024.
For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2024, SMSI used $9.4 billion of cash from operating activities compared with $6 billion in the previous-year period.
SMSI’s Q4 Outlook
SMSI estimates revenues in the band of $5-$5.2 million.
Gross margin is expected in the range of 72-75%.
Management now expects to achieve cost savings of at least $2.4 million to $2.8 million by the fourth quarter of 2024. For the fourth quarter, non-GAAP operating expenses are forecasted to decrease 7% to 12% compared with the third quarter of 2024.
SMSI’s Zacks Rank
SMSI currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Performance of Other Companies in the Broader Tech Space
Seagate Technology Holdings plc STX reported first-quarter fiscal 2025 non-GAAP earnings of $1.58 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.8%. The company reported a non-GAAP loss of 22 cents per share in the year-ago quarter. This improvement in the bottom line was driven by a favorable mix shift to mass-capacity products and a better pricing environment. Non-GAAP revenues of $2.168 billion beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.4%. The figure increased 49% on a year-over-year basis and 15% sequentially. Shares of STX have gained 31.7% in the past year.
Badger Meter, Inc BMI reported EPS of $1.08 for the third quarter of 2024, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.9%. Quarterly net sales were $208.4 million, up 12% from $186.2 million in the year-ago quarter. This uptick resulted from continued strong yet normalizing demand for its tailorable water management solutions. Shares of BMI have gained 50.9% in the past year.
Iridium Communications IRDM reported EPS of 21 cents for the third quarter of 2024, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5%. The company incurred a loss of a cent per share in the prior-year quarter. Quarterly revenues were $212.8 million, up 8% from the year-ago level, driven by strength across all three segments. The Zacks Consensus Estimate was pegged at $205.7 million. Shares of IRDM have lost 23% in the past year.
Zacks Investment Research
Smith Micro Software, Inc. (SMSI) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.30 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.31. This compares to earnings of $0.08 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 3.23%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post a loss of $0.35 per share when it actually produced a loss of $0.38, delivering a surprise of -8.57%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once.
Smith Micro Software, which belongs to the Zacks Computer - Software industry, posted revenues of $4.65 million for the quarter ended September 2024, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.17%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $11 million. The company has not been able to beat consensus revenue estimates over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
Smith Micro Software shares have lost about 86.4% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 25.5%.
What's Next for Smith Micro Software?
While Smith Micro Software has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Smith Micro Software: mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is -$0.14 on $5.6 million in revenues for the coming quarter and -$1.28 on $21.3 million in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Computer - Software is currently in the top 19% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
One other stock from the same industry, Intuit (INTU), is yet to report results for the quarter ended October 2024. The results are expected to be released on November 21.
This maker of TurboTax, QuickBooks and other accounting software is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.36 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -4.5%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.1% higher over the last 30 days to the current level.
Intuit's revenues are expected to be $3.14 billion, up 5.4% from the year-ago quarter.
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