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For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – November 6, 2024 – Today, Zacks Equity Research discusses Mr. Cooper Group Inc. COOP and Enova International, Inc. ENVA.
Industry: Consumer Loans
Link: https://www.zacks.com/commentary/2364048/buy-these-2-consumer-loan-stocks-despite-industry-challenges
The Zacks Consumer Loans industry continues to witness weakening asset quality. The industry also bears the brunt of inflation, relatively higher rates and a challenging macroeconomic backdrop.
Though the Federal Reserve plans to cut rates as soon as September, consumers understand that high interest rates are here to stay for some time, and demand for the loans is likely to witness modest improvement. Yet, easing lending standards, stabilizing consumer sentiments and digitizing operations will support consumer loan providers. So, industry players like Mr. Cooper Group Inc. and Enova International, Inc. are worth considering right now.
About the Industry
The Zacks Consumer Loans industry comprises companies that provide mortgages, refinancing, home equity lines of credit, credit card loans, automobile loans, education/student loans and personal loans, among others. These help the industry players generate net interest income (NII), which forms the most important part of total revenues. Prospects of the companies in this industry are highly sensitive to the nation's overall economic condition and consumer sentiments.
In addition to offering the above-mentioned products and services, many consumer loan providers are involved in businesses like commercial lending, insurance, loan servicing and asset recovery. These support the companies in generating fee revenues. Furthermore, this helps the firms diversify revenue sources and be less dependent on the vagaries of the economy.
3 Themes Influencing the Consumer Loan Industry
Asset Quality: For most of 2020, consumer loan providers built additional provisions to tide over unexpected defaults and payment delays due to the economic downturn resulting from the COVID-19 mayhem. This considerably hurt their financials. However, with solid economic growth and support from government stimulus packages, industry players began to release these reserves back into the income statement.
Of late, high inflation and cost of living, and weakening employment picture have taken a toll on consumers' ability to repay loans. Thus, consumer loan providers are building additional reserves to counter any fallout from unexpected defaults and payment delays. This is leading to a deterioration in industry players' asset quality, and several credit quality metrics have crept up above pre-pandemic levels.
Interest Rate Cuts & Loan Demand: Though the Federal Reserve lowered the interest rates by 50 basis points and is likely to follow this up with more cuts this year and in 2025, interest rates remain relatively high. Hence, demand for consumer loans is less likely to significantly improve. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index rose in October (recording the strongest monthly gain since March 2021).
However, Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board, noted, "still did not break free of the narrow range that has prevailed over the past two years." Also, the share of consumers anticipating higher interest rates over the next 12 months increased in October after declining for four consecutive months.
Hence, with consumers already facing the adverse impact of prolonged high inflation, demand for loans will likely be modest in the near term. Thus, industry players are expected to record marginal growth in net interest margin (NIM) and NII.
Lending Standards: With the nation's big credit reporting agencies removing all tax liens from consumer credit reports since 2018, several consumers' credit scores have improved. This has raised the number of consumers for the industry participants. Further, easing credit lending standards is helping consumer loan providers meet loan demand.
Zacks Industry Rank Reflects Grim Picture
The Zacks Consumer Loans industry is a 16-stock group within the broader Zacks Finance sector. The industry currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank #154, which places it in the bottom 38% of more than 250 Zacks industries.
The group's Zacks Industry Rank, which is the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates underperformance in the near term. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. Looking at the aggregate earnings estimate revisions, it appears that analysts are losing confidence in this group's earnings growth potential. In the past year, the industry's earnings estimates for the current year have been revised 2.7% lower.
Before we present a couple of stocks that you may want to bet on despite a tough industry backdrop, take a look at the industry's recent stock market performance and valuation picture.
Industry vs. Broader Market
The Zacks Consumer Loans industry has outperformed the Zacks S&P 500 composite and its sector over the past year.
The stocks in this industry have collectively soared 52.5% over this period, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite and the Zacks Finance sector have jumped 31.5% and 29.9%, respectively.
Industry Valuation
One might get a good sense of the industry's relative valuation by looking at its price-to-tangible book ratio (P/TBV), commonly used for valuing consumer loan stocks because of significant variations in their earnings results from one quarter to the next.
The industry currently has a trailing 12-month P/TBV of 1.30X, above the median level of 1.15X over the past five years. This compares with the highest level of 1.58X and the lowest level of 0.48X over this period. The industry is trading at a considerable discount when compared with the market at large, as the trailing 12-month P/TBV ratio for the S&P 500 is 14.60X and the median level is 13.88X.
As finance stocks typically have a lower P/TBV, comparing consumer loan providers with the S&P 500 may not make sense to many investors. However, comparing the group's P/ TBV ratio with that of its broader sector ensures that the group is trading at a decent discount. The Zacks Finance sector's trailing 12-month P/TBV of 5.03X for the same period is way above the Zacks Consumer Loan industry's ratio.
2 Consumer Loan Stocks Worth Investing
Cooper Group: Headquartered in Coppell, TX, the company is engaged in non-banking services for mortgage loans. The company operates through its primary brands — Mr. Cooper and Xome.
Though the demand for mortgages has marginally improved as rates declined, solid growth is less likely to occur anytime soon. Nonetheless, COOP is well-placed to leverage its scale (it is one of the largest non-bank mortgage servicers in the United States) and bolster its top-line growth. Further, the strategic acquisitions of Flagstar Bank N.A.'s mortgage operations earlier this month, and Home Point Capital Inc. and Roosevelt Management Company, LLC in 2023 will boost the company's servicing business.
As the demand for loans gradually rises and funding costs stabilize, this Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) company's NII and NIM are expected to witness improvement. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
COOP has a market cap of $5.64 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company's earnings for 2024 and 2025 has moved 3.1% and 5.8% upward, respectively, over the past 30 days. Also, its shares have gained 11.5% over the past six months.
Enova International: Based in Chicago, IL, Enova is a leading financial technology company focused on providing online financial services. The company currently provides services in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia and Brazil. ENVA caters to small businesses and capitalizes on its proprietary technology, analytics and customer service capabilities to underwrite and fund loans.
Being an early entrant into online lending, the company has completed almost 64 million customer transactions and collected nearly 65 terabytes of consumer behavior data since its launch in 2004. This has enabled Enova to better analyze its specific customer base.
Moreover, the company has been diversifying its operations. Some of ENVA's financing products and services are installment loans, line of credit accounts and receivables purchase agreements. Also, the company has undertaken acquisitions to bolster market share.
This Zacks Rank #1 company's proprietary underwriting systems leverage advanced risk analytics, including machine learning and artificial intelligence. ENVA has provided more than 11.1 million customers with more than $58 billion in loans to enhance their financial health.
Shares of ENVA have surged 42.4% over the past six months. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company's earnings for 2024 and 2025 has moved 3.7% and 6.2% north, respectively, over the past 30 days. The company has a market cap of $2.34 billion.
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
Zacks Investment Research
The bank subsidiary of Flagstar Financial, Inc. FLG, Flagstar Bank, N.A., closed the previously announced sale of its residential mortgage servicing, mortgage servicing rights and the third-party origination platform to Mr. Cooper Group Inc. COOP for $1.3 billion in cash.
The transaction is projected to increase the company's CET1 capital ratio by nearly 60 basis points on a pro-forma basis as of Sept. 30, 2024.
In October 2024, New York Community Bancorp, Inc., the holding company of Flagstar Bank, announced that its board of directors approved changing the company's name to Flagstar Financial, Inc.
Flagstar Financial Management Remarks
Chairman, president and chief executive officer Joseph M. Otting said, "We are very pleased to announce the successful sale of our mortgage serving business and third-party origination platform to Mr. Cooper. The completion of this sale reflects another significant milestone toward our strategy to simplify our business model and transform Flagstar into a regional bank focused on the core business of Retail Banking, Commercial and Private Banking, and Commercial Real Estate lending. The Bank will continue to provide residential mortgage products through our retail origination channels and the Private Bank, with particular focus on serving our branch and private banking customers."
Rationale Behind FLG’s Sale of Mortgage Servicing Unit
Flagstar Financial’s spinoff of residential mortgage servicing reflects Flagstar Bank’s ongoing efforts to simplify its business and diversify its loan portfolio.
In line with this, in July 2024, Flagstar Financial completed the sale of $5.9 billion in mortgage warehouse loans to JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., the Subsidiary of JPMorgan JPM. Flagstar Financial expects to close mortgage warehouse loans of an additional $200 million in the upcoming period once necessary customer approvals are received. The transaction adds approximately 70 basis points to its CET1 ratio.
During the third quarter 2024 earnings, FLG's management stated that it continued to de-risk the loan portfolio. The CRE exposure continues to decline through a combination of par pay-offs and proactively managing problem loans. Total CRE loans have dropped 3% from the previous quarter and 6% year to date.
Flagstar Financial's Zacks Rank & Price Performance
Flagstar Financial currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Over the past three months, shares of FLG have gained 9.6% compared with the industry’s 7.4% rise.
Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consumer Loans industry continues to witness weakening asset quality. The industry also bears the brunt of inflation, relatively higher rates and a challenging macroeconomic backdrop.
Though the Federal Reserve plans to cut rates as soon as September, consumers understand that high interest rates are here to stay for some time, and demand for the loans is likely to witness modest improvement. Yet, easing lending standards, stabilizing consumer sentiments and digitizing operations will support consumer loan providers. So, industry players like Mr. Cooper Group Inc. COOP and Enova International, Inc. ENVA are worth considering right now.
About the Industry
The Zacks Consumer Loans industry comprises companies that provide mortgages, refinancing, home equity lines of credit, credit card loans, automobile loans, education/student loans and personal loans, among others. These help the industry players generate net interest income (NII), which forms the most important part of total revenues. Prospects of the companies in this industry are highly sensitive to the nation’s overall economic condition and consumer sentiments. In addition to offering the above-mentioned products and services, many consumer loan providers are involved in businesses like commercial lending, insurance, loan servicing and asset recovery. These support the companies in generating fee revenues. Furthermore, this helps the firms diversify revenue sources and be less dependent on the vagaries of the economy.
3 Themes Influencing the Consumer Loan Industry
Asset Quality: For most of 2020, consumer loan providers built additional provisions to tide over unexpected defaults and payment delays due to the economic downturn resulting from the COVID-19 mayhem. This considerably hurt their financials. However, with solid economic growth and support from government stimulus packages, industry players began to release these reserves back into the income statement.
Of late, high inflation and cost of living, and weakening employment picture have taken a toll on consumers’ ability to repay loans. Thus, consumer loan providers are building additional reserves to counter any fallout from unexpected defaults and payment delays. This is leading to a deterioration in industry players’ asset quality, and several credit quality metrics have crept up above pre-pandemic levels.
Interest Rate Cuts & Loan Demand: Though the Federal Reserve lowered the interest rates by 50 basis points and is likely to follow this up with more cuts this year and in 2025, interest rates remain relatively high. Hence, demand for consumer loans is less likely to significantly improve. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index rose in October (recording the strongest monthly gain since March 2021). However, Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board, noted, “still did not break free of the narrow range that has prevailed over the past two years.” Also, the share of consumers anticipating higher interest rates over the next 12 months increased in October after declining for four consecutive months.
Hence, with consumers already facing the adverse impact of prolonged high inflation, demand for loans will likely be modest in the near term. Thus, industry players are expected to record marginal growth in net interest margin (NIM) and NII.
Lending Standards: With the nation’s big credit reporting agencies removing all tax liens from consumer credit reports since 2018, several consumers' credit scores have improved. This has raised the number of consumers for the industry participants. Further, easing credit lending standards is helping consumer loan providers meet loan demand.
Zacks Industry Rank Reflects Grim Picture
The Zacks Consumer Loans industry is a 16-stock group within the broader Zacks Finance sector. The industry currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank #154, which places it in the bottom 38% of more than 250 Zacks industries.
The group’s Zacks Industry Rank, which is the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates underperformance in the near term. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. Looking at the aggregate earnings estimate revisions, it appears that analysts are losing confidence in this group’s earnings growth potential. In the past year, the industry’s earnings estimates for the current year have been revised 2.7% lower.
Before we present a couple of stocks that you may want to bet on despite a tough industry backdrop, take a look at the industry’s recent stock market performance and valuation picture.
Industry vs. Broader Market
The Zacks Consumer Loans industry has outperformed the Zacks S&P 500 composite and its sector over the past year.
The stocks in this industry have collectively soared 52.5% over this period, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite and the Zacks Finance sector have jumped 31.5% and 29.9%, respectively.
One-Year Price Performance
Industry Valuation
One might get a good sense of the industry’s relative valuation by looking at its price-to-tangible book ratio (P/TBV), commonly used for valuing consumer loan stocks because of significant variations in their earnings results from one quarter to the next.
The industry currently has a trailing 12-month P/TBV of 1.30X, above the median level of 1.15X over the past five years. This compares with the highest level of 1.58X and the lowest level of 0.48X over this period. The industry is trading at a considerable discount when compared with the market at large, as the trailing 12-month P/TBV ratio for the S&P 500 is 14.60X and the median level is 13.88X.
Price-to-Tangible Book Ratio
As finance stocks typically have a lower P/TBV, comparing consumer loan providers with the S&P 500 may not make sense to many investors. However, comparing the group’s P/ TBV ratio with that of its broader sector ensures that the group is trading at a decent discount. The Zacks Finance sector’s trailing 12-month P/TBV of 5.03X for the same period is way above the Zacks Consumer Loan industry’s ratio, as the chart below shows.
Price-to-Tangible Book Ratio (TTM)
2 Consumer Loan Stocks Worth Investing
Cooper Group: Headquartered in Coppell, TX, the company is engaged in non-banking services for mortgage loans. The company operates through its primary brands — Mr. Cooper and Xome.
Though the demand for mortgages has marginally improved as rates declined, solid growth is less likely to occur anytime soon. Nonetheless, COOP is well-placed to leverage its scale (it is one of the largest non-bank mortgage servicers in the United States) and bolster its top-line growth. Further, the strategic acquisitions of Flagstar Bank N.A.’s mortgage operations earlier this month, and Home Point Capital Inc. and Roosevelt Management Company, LLC in 2023 will boost the company’s servicing business.
As the demand for loans gradually rises and funding costs stabilize, this Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) company’s NII and NIM are expected to witness improvement. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
COOP has a market cap of $5.64 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company’s earnings for 2024 and 2025 has moved 3.1% and 5.8% upward, respectively, over the past 30 days. Also, its shares have gained 11.5% over the past six months.
Price and Consensus: COOP
Enova International: Based in Chicago, IL, Enova is a leading financial technology company focused on providing online financial services. The company currently provides services in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia and Brazil. ENVA caters to small businesses and capitalizes on its proprietary technology, analytics and customer service capabilities to underwrite and fund loans.
Being an early entrant into online lending, the company has completed almost 64 million customer transactions and collected nearly 65 terabytes of consumer behavior data since its launch in 2004. This has enabled Enova to better analyze its specific customer base.
Moreover, the company has been diversifying its operations. Some of ENVA’s financing products and services are installment loans, line of credit accounts and receivables purchase agreements. Also, the company has undertaken acquisitions to bolster market share.
This Zacks Rank #1 company’s proprietary underwriting systems leverage advanced risk analytics, including machine learning and artificial intelligence. ENVA has provided more than 11.1 million customers with more than $58 billion in loans to enhance their financial health.
Shares of ENVA have surged 42.4% over the past six months. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company’s earnings for 2024 and 2025 has moved 3.7% and 6.2% north, respectively, over the past 30 days. The company has a market cap of $2.34 billion.
Price and Consensus: ENVA
Zacks Investment Research
For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – October 30, 2024 – Stocks in this week’s article are Suzano S.A. SUZ, Mr. Cooper Group Inc. COOP, IAMGOLD Corp IAG and Valaris Ltd. VAL.
4 High Earnings Yield Stocks to Supercharge Your Portfolio Value
Last month, the Federal Reserve made a notable 50-basis point rate cut, marking its first reduction since March 2020. Investors remain optimistic that the Fed might enact two additional cuts this year, but concerns over a slowing economy have raised doubts about the pace of these reductions. With the U.S. presidential election just weeks away, market volatility is expected to rise. In this climate, value investing could be a sound strategy, allowing investors to buy undervalued stocks and potentially realize substantial returns as prices align with the stocks’ fundamental values.
A commonly used metric to identify undervalued stocks with strong upside potential is the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. However, another valuable metric for spotting attractively priced stocks is earnings yield. High earnings yield stocks, such as — Suzano S.A., Mr. Cooper Group Inc., IAMGOLD Corp and Valaris Ltd. — offer the potential for substantial long-term gains.
Understanding Earnings Yield Strength
Earnings yield is a critical measure for investors focusing on return rates. Expressed as a percentage, it is calculated by dividing annual earnings per share (EPS) by the market price of the stock. This metric reveals the expected return from earnings for each dollar invested in a stock. When comparing stocks with similar characteristics, those with higher earnings yields are typically viewed as undervalued, while those with lower yields are seen as overpriced.
Although earnings yield is the inverse of the P/E ratio, it offers additional insight, particularly when comparing stocks with fixed-income securities. Investors often compare a stock’s earnings yield to current interest rates, like the 10-year Treasury yield, to assess its return relative to risk-free alternatives. If a stock’s yield is lower than the 10-year Treasury yield, it may be considered overvalued relative to bonds. Conversely, a higher yield suggests undervaluation, making the stock market a more appealing option for value investors.
Our Choices
Below, we have highlighted four of the 30 stocks that made it through the screen:
Suzano produces and sells eucalyptus pulp and paper products. Suzano recently acquired two U.S. paperboard plants, adding 420,000 metric tons to annual capacity and gaining strategic wood, energy and logistical advantages. It also purchased a 15% stake in Lenzing to expand in premium cellulosic fibers. Additionally, Suzano’s $2.8-billion Cerrado project, now operational, boosted eucalyptus pulp capacity by 2.55 million tons, strengthening its pulp market position.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2024 and 2025 EPS implies year-over-year growth of 61% and 110%, respectively. The consensus mark for 2024 and 2025 EPS has been revised upward by $2.08 and $5.98, respectively, over the past 30 days. SUZ currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 and a Value Score of A.
Cooper Group is engaged in non-banking services for mortgage loans. The strategic acquisitions of Home Point Capital Inc. and Roosevelt Management Company, LLC in 2023 will boost the company’s servicing business. COOP is well-placed to leverage its scale (it is one of the largest non-bank mortgage servicers in the United States) and bolster its top-line growth, especially as the Federal Reserve resorts to rate cuts.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2024 and 2025 sales implies year-over-year growth of 19% and 27%, respectively. In the past seven days, the consensus mark for 2024 and 2025 EPS has been revised upward by 19 cents and 2 cents to $10.17 and $13.59, respectively. COOP currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 and has a Value Score of B.
IAMGOLD is an international gold exploration and mining company.The company remains focused on maximizing production, extending the life of its current mines, and advancing development and exploration projects. Key operational projects over the coming years include ramping up Westwood for safe access to mining areas impacted by 2020 seismic activity, as well as mill and plant upgrades, fleet enhancements, optimized water management and pit expansions at Essakane. These initiatives aim to control costs and boost efficiency.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2024 and 2025 sales implies year-over-year growth of 69% and 32%, respectively. In the past seven days, the consensus mark for 2024 and 2025 EPS has been revised upward by 2 cents and 3 cents to 53 cents and 77 cents, respectively. IAG currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 and has a Value Score of A.
Valaris provides offshore drilling services and possesses a varied fleet of rigs, including ultra-deepwater drillships, versatile semisubmersibles, and modern shallow-water jackups. With the industry's largest and highest specification fleet covering both floaters and jackups, Valaris maintains a significant presence in key offshore basins, fostering deep customer relationships. The company's robust balance sheet ensures flexibility in capital allocation.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2024 and 2025 sales implies year-over-year growth of 29% and 25%, respectively. The consensus mark for 2024 and 2025 EPS implies a year-over-year jump of 290% and 156%, respectively. VAL currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 and has a Value Score of B.
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For the rest of this Screen of the Week article please visit Zacks.com at: https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2359314/4-high-earnings-yield-picks-to-supercharge-your-portfolio-value
Zacks Investment Research is under common control with affiliated entities (including a broker-dealer and an investment adviser), which may engage in transactions involving the foregoing securities for the clients of such affiliates.
Contact: Jim Giaquinto
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Email: pr@zacks.com
Visit: https://www.zacks.com/
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.
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Affiliate Program
The risk of loss in trading financial instruments such as stocks, FX, commodities, futures, bonds, ETFs and crypto can be substantial. You may sustain a total loss of the funds that you deposit with your broker. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.
No decision to invest should be made without thoroughly conducting due diligence by yourself or consulting with your financial advisors. Our web content might not suit you since we don't know your financial conditions and investment needs. Our financial information might have latency or contain inaccuracy, so you should be fully responsible for any of your trading and investment decisions. The company will not be responsible for your capital loss.
Without getting permission from the website, you are not allowed to copy the website's graphics, texts, or trademarks. Intellectual property rights in the content or data incorporated into this website belong to its providers and exchange merchants.