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Joshua Robinson, co-founder of Darwin Financial Company, announced a $55-million financing deal with INYOAG LLC. The funds will help develop a solar-powered mine in Inyo County, California where there are proven reserves of silver, lead, zinc, tungsten, and copper. Here’s our conversation with Robinson:
BZ: What is the deal structure between Darwin Financial and base metals miner INYOAG?
Robinson: The deal structure is a $55M project financing package split into three components: $17.5 million and $12.5 million in six-year notes tied to sulfide and oxide production respectively, plus a $20-million conditional equity commitment that only triggers if the mine hits $10 million in monthly revenue. We get 17% of gross revenues from both production tracks, structured through secure lockbox arrangements. It’s not a straight equity investment, we specifically designed it this way to provide further upside exposure.
Are you looking for additional investors/joint venture partners?
Yes, we’ve deliberately structured this to create multiple layers of upside potential, which is pretty unique in the mining space. We’ve created a hybrid model that offers both near-term cash flow from production and significant expansion potential. We’re already seeing interest from established mining players, but we’re particularly excited about bringing new investors into the space who understand the strategic value of critical minerals.
What are the downsides to depending on foreign sources of critical minerals?
China’s recent actions really highlight the urgency here. They’ve already implemented export controls on germanium and gallium, and just added antimony to that list. This isn’t theoretical anymore, it’s actively happening. We need to build regional resilience in our supply chains, particularly for these minerals that are crucial for defense and technology. The Darwin Mine gives us a unique opportunity to establish a domestic source for multiple critical minerals in a single asset, which is rare to find.
Will the mine be powered by solar?
The 100MW facility wouldn’t just power the mine. It would generate significant excess clean energy that we can sell back to the grid. What’s particularly interesting is that we can develop utility-scale energy storage systems using minerals we’re already producing. It creates a virtuous cycle where our mining operations directly support clean energy deployment
What are your 2025 goals?
For 2025, our key goals are reaching 300 tons per day on sulfide production within six months and 200 tons per day on oxide within nine months of funding. That puts us at $ 10 million in monthly revenue, which then triggers the deeper mine development program.
For last week’s Deal Dispatch, click here.
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Image: Benzinga
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
Shares of Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. ACHC have dropped 24.3% over the past month to close at $39.10 on Wednesday. The steep decline has pushed the stock’s price closer to the lower end of its 52-week range of $36.50-$87.77. It underperformed its peers like Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC and Universal Health Services, Inc. UHS, the overall industry, and the S&P 500 Index.
The company’s current share price might seem like an excellent opportunity to build a position in a renowned behavioral healthcare servicescompany. After all, wouldn’t you prefer to buy near the lows rather than the highs?
One-Month Price Performance
ACHC is trading below its 50 and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish outlook. Buying closer to the low can be attractive, but context matters - let’s explore further.
ACHC’s Recent Hiccups & Valuation
Negative headlines about patient care have weighed on the stock’s performance, sparking concerns over billing practices and length of stay. This sentiment could hinder short-term volume growth, potentially impacting profitability.
The company is currently trading at 10.63X forward 12-month earnings, below its five-year median of 20.55X and the industry average of 13.18X. This suggests the stock is undervalued, potentially reflecting cautious investor sentiment or market concerns about its near-term performance.
ACHC’s Earnings Estimates Moving Down
Reflecting the negative sentiment around Acadia Healthcare, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share has seen downward revisions. The consensus estimate for 2024 adjusted earnings for ACHC is currently pegged at $3.42 per share, indicating a 0.6% year-over-year decline.
More Headwinds
The company has lowered its 2024 financial outlook. Revenue projections were reduced to $3.15–$3.165 billion from the earlier range of $3.18–$3.225 billion. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also cut to $725–$735 million, down from $735–$765 million.
Acadia Healthcare’s return on invested capital of 8.55X is lower than the industry average of 12.89X, suggesting that the company is less efficient at generating returns from its investments relative to its peers. Apart from competitive disadvantages, the stock is also facing increasing expenses.
Total expenses increased by 7% year over year in 2021, 9.7% in 2022 and 32.1% in 2023, primarily due to higher salaries, wages and benefits. We expect salaries, wages and benefits to jump 7% year over year in 2024 to more than $1.68 billion. Our estimates for professional fees and supplies suggest 9.2% and 5.6% year-over-year growth in 2024, respectively. With growing utilization, the company’s related costs will increase in the days ahead.
ACHC's free cash flow declined 69.3% year over year in 2021, 31.3% in 2022, and 26.1% in 2023. Over the trailing 12 months, its free cash flow has turned negative. This downward trend, despite rising demand for its services, raises concerns about the company’s operations.
Final Words: Steer Clear of ACHC Stock Now
Acadia Healthcare is facing significant challenges, including lower returns, rising costs and declining free cash flow. The stock is trading below key moving averages, signaling a bearish trend. With analysts downgrading earnings estimates, investors should approach ACHC stock with caution as it shows serious downside potential. It currently carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
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