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The US dollar moved back higher after a few days of declines. The dollar index (DXY) rose 0.46%
The economic calendar was void of any economic releases today. However, there was two Fed Governors who spoke. FIrst Feds Lisa Cook spoke and was ambidextrous in her economic and policy views. She said:
Later Fed's Michelle Bowman also spoke, but her comments were more hawkish:
The US treasury auctioned $16 billion of 20 year bonds and the usual 1 PM, and investors did not show up. The auction high yield came in 3.0 basis points above the WI level at the time of the auction. The Bid to cover was below the six-month average and the dealers were saddled with a whooping 22.6% of the auction versus the six-month average of 11.2%. UGLY.
Yields moved higher today help by a comments mostly from Bowman along with the poor auction results. A snapshot of the market shows:
In Europe, ECB's Stournaras stated that the ECB's monetary policy has successfully tamed inflation and expects it to converge to the 2% target by early 2025. He emphasized the need for the ECB to avoid an inflation undershoot as conditions evolve. Stournaras noted that interest rates are likely to remain restrictive for an extended period, but sees given persistent downside risks to Eurozone growth (so why keep rates restrictive?).
Technically speaking:
EURUSD: The EURUSD started the day with a modest extension higher that took the price to the high of a swing area target at 1.06097. The price also got closer to its falling 200-hour moving average. That moving average currently comes in 1.05958. The subsequent fall to the price below its 100 hour moving average at 1.05617. A correction after the break tried to extend back above that moving average level, but quickly reversed. That push the pair back down toward the low from last Friday's trade at 1.04956. The low price reach 1.0506 which was good enough for a new low for the day and week, but momentum cannot be sustained in the price bounced back higher into the close. The current price is trading at 1.0534. That is below the 100-hour moving average of 1.05617, but above the low price from last Friday and lowest level for the year (going back to October 2023).
USDJPY: The USDJPY higher in the Asian session and in the process extended above its 100 hour moving average currently at 155.00. The high price extended to 155.88 before rotating back to the downside and to the 100 hour moving average. Support buyers leaned against that level and pushed the price modestly off of the key moving average level at 155.40 currently. Going in the new day, the 100 hour moving average will be a key barometer. Stay above that level (at 155.00) and the buyers are in control. Move below and then below the 200 hour moving average of 154.697, and the sellers take more control in the short term.
GBPUSD: The GBPUSD moved higher earlier in the day and tested the high price from last Friday's trade near 1.2719. The high price today reached 1.2714 and found one sellers. The subsequent fall took the price below its 100 hour moving average of 1.2657 where the price has remained into the close. That moving average will be the short-term bias defining level for both the buyers and sellers. Stay below is more bearish. Move above is more bullish at least in the short term. On the downside, the low price yesterday stalled near 1.2612. The low price from last Friday reached 1.2596. Move below those levels opens the door for further selling.
AUDUSD The AUDUSD moved higher in the early Asian session and in the process extended above its falling 200 hour moving average:. However, momentum could not be sustained the price spent the US session moving down to a new wall at and technical target at its 100 hour moving average. Support buyers leaned against the level and bounced modestly into the end of day. The 100 hour moving average comes in at 0.6488. Moving below that level and staying below that level in the new trading day would be more bearish. Conversely, staying above and extending above the falling 200 hour moving average (currently at 0.65124) would give the buyers some added confidence.
Good fortune with your trading.
Odoo, a Belgium-based enterprise software company, has reached a valuation of €5 billion following a secondary share round.
Led by Alphabet’s CapitalG and Sequoia Capital, the €500 million round allowed early investors and employees to cash out some of their shares.
Odoo has disrupted the enterprise resource planning (ERP) space with its open-source platform, offering over 80 applications for functions such as accounting, customer relationship management (CRM), human resources, e-commerce, and more.
Although the company is IPO-ready, Odoo has chosen to stay private, focusing on flexibility and sustained long-term growth.
How Odoo is transforming ERP software for SMEs
Odoo has become a key player in the fragmented ERP software market by addressing the complexities faced by small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).
Its open-source software caters to businesses seeking tools for inventory, e-commerce, and point-of-sale without the high costs or complexity of traditional solutions like SAP.
Currently, 80% of Odoo’s revenue comes from its open-source offerings, while the remaining 20% is derived from paid licenses.
By allowing users to modify its software for free, Odoo has created a global community of users while retaining a profitable business model.
Last year, Odoo reported billings of €370 million and aims to exceed €650 million by 2025, setting sights on €1 billion by 2027.
CapitalG and Sequoia see growth in Odoo
The €500 million investment underscores CapitalG and Sequoia’s confidence in Odoo’s scalability.
Both firms acquired shares from existing investors, including Summit Partners and Noshaq, during the latest secondary round.
Summit Partners, which remains Odoo’s largest institutional shareholder, expressed ongoing support for the company’s direction.
Andrew Reed, a partner at Sequoia, highlighted the challenges of simplifying ERP systems for SMEs across different countries.
He noted that Odoo’s success lies in balancing accessibility with comprehensive features—a feat most competitors have struggled to achieve.
Founded 22 years ago by Fabien Pinckaers, Odoo’s journey is far from the typical Silicon Valley narrative.
The company started in a modest farm office in Belgium and grew organically through bootstrapping.
Today, its global operations span multiple offices, with research and development headquartered in Belgium.
Pinckaers, who has relocated to India with his family, is now focused on expanding the company’s footprint in South Asia.
Odoo employs a dual revenue model that blends open-source flexibility with licensed software sales.
This strategy has positioned it as a disruptor in the ERP market, enabling the company to compete with larger players while maintaining cost efficiency.
Staying private to prioritise long-term goals
Despite being at an IPO-ready scale, Odoo has chosen to remain private.
CEO Fabien Pinckaers views this as a strategic advantage, allowing the company to focus on innovation without the pressures of quarterly earnings reports.
Odoo’s private investors, including Alphabet’s CapitalG, share this vision and are not pushing for an immediate public listing.
Pinckaers has also never sold his shares, emphasizing his commitment to Odoo’s mission and long-term growth.
The company’s most recent primary funding round was in 2014 when it raised $10 million.
Since then, it has relied on secondary sales to provide liquidity for early investors and employees.
Odoo’s trajectory reflects its commitment to sustainable growth and innovation.
The company is rapidly expanding its partner network and investing in marketing to capture a larger share of the ERP market.
With projections to achieve €1 billion in billings by 2027, Odoo aims to solidify its status as a global leader in enterprise software.
The British pound reversed early gains to trade below $1.27, approaching again a six-month low touched last week, amid mounting tensions between Russia and Ukraine.
Reports emerged that Ukraine had fired UK cruise missiles into Russia for the first time.
Early, the pound touched $1.271 after a hotter-than-expected inflation print reinforced the Bank of England's cautious stance on future interest rate cuts.
Annual inflation rate in the UK went up to 2.3% in October, the highest in six months, compared to 1.7% in September, exceeding both the BoE's target and market expectations of 2.2%.
Services inflation, which the central bank view as a key measure of domestically generated price pressure, edged up to 5% from 4.9%.
Markets now see just a 14% chance of a further quarter point trim this year and only two cuts in 2025.
The Euro fell to $1.052, the lowest level since mid-October 2023, pressured by a general dollar strength, mounting tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and growing concerns about downside risks to the Eurozone economy.
Reports emerged that Ukraine had fired UK cruise missiles into Russia for the first time.
Meanwhile in its annual Financial Stability Review, the ECB highlighted that heightened geopolitical tensions and policy uncertainties are amplifying sovereign vulnerabilities, while rising global trade tensions are increasing the likelihood of adverse economic shocks.
On the other hand, negotiated wages in the Euro Area rose 5.4% yoy in Q3, the most since the euro was introduced, complicating the ECB’s plans for interest rate cuts.
The central bank is still expected to deliver its fourth 25 bps rate cut in December.
The global pandemic revolutionized the way we work, with remote arrangements becoming the norm for millions.
Now, as businesses implement return-to-office (RTO) mandates, the tides are shifting.
A 2024 survey by BetterUp reveals that fully remote roles have halved, and one in four organizations cite improved connection and culture as reasons for this shift.
Yet, while leaders aim to foster collaboration and engagement, employees face challenges that could undermine these goals.
From increased financial burdens to diminished flexibility, the move back to in-person work is reshaping the professional landscape—and not always for the better.
Why RTO policies are dividing employers and employees
BetterUp’s research highlights a critical gap between employer intentions and employee outcomes.
While leaders believe that returning to the office will boost collaboration and company culture, the data tells a different story.
Employees transitioning to office-based work report heightened stress, burnout, and reduced productivity.
Trust in leadership also declines during poorly executed RTO policies, leading to an increase in turnover intentions.
Adding to the complexity, employees face new financial strains. On average, returning workers spend $561 monthly on commuting, childcare, pet care, and domestic help.
For many, this expense rivals essential household costs like groceries.
Combined with the loss of flexibility and the return of lengthy commutes—often exceeding 30 to 45 minutes—RTO mandates are eroding the well-being that remote work once supported.
The hidden costs of commuting and lost flexibility
Commuting has long been a source of frustration, and its resurgence is no exception.
Studies show that even short commutes raise stress levels and negatively impact mood, while extended travel times are linked to worse health outcomes.
For many workers, the time spent commuting now feels like a setback compared to the convenience of remote setups.
Another significant challenge is the loss of flexibility that remote work provides.
Employees who worked remotely previously balanced work with personal responsibilities, such as accepting deliveries or handling household chores during breaks. This multitasking not only saved time but also contributed to a sense of autonomy.
With RTO policies, this flexibility is often replaced with rigid schedules, amplifying frustrations for those juggling professional and personal demands.
Striking a balance
In-person work undeniably fosters stronger interpersonal connections, a benefit confirmed by research from the University of California, Riverside.
Employees who engage face-to-face report increased life satisfaction and improved social connectedness.
However, these advantages can be overshadowed by poorly implemented RTO directives.
Mandates that disregard employee input or fail to address concerns risk breeding resentment.
Disengaged workers are less likely to collaborate effectively, undermining the very culture RTO policies aim to build.
For organizations, this underscores the need for a balanced approach, prioritizing both performance and well-being.
Turning disruption into opportunity
Despite the challenges, RTO mandates offer potential opportunities for personal and professional growth.
Employees can use in-person work to deepen relationships, build stronger networks, and embrace healthier routines.
For example, those returning to full-time office roles may benefit from clearer boundaries between work and home life, leading to a more balanced lifestyle.
Hybrid models offer another advantage, allowing employees to maintain some level of flexibility.
These arrangements can help mitigate the financial and logistical burdens of commuting while still enabling face-to-face collaboration on key projects.
Navigating the transition
Adjusting to an RTO mandate requires proactive strategies.
Employees should focus on maximizing the benefits of in-person work while advocating for the support they need.
This might involve negotiating commuter benefits, requesting flexible start times, or accessing coaching resources to smooth the transition.
By engaging in open dialogue with managers, workers can address their unique challenges and establish systems that enhance their experience.
Ultimately, RTO policies represent a significant shift in workplace dynamics.
Organizations must handle these transitions with empathy, ensuring employees feel valued and supported.
When executed thoughtfully, RTO policies can strike a balance between organizational goals and individual well-being.
The post-pandemic workplace has become a pressure cooker, with employees increasingly feeling overburdened and undervalued.
PwC’s Global Workforce Hopes & Fears Survey, which surveyed over 56,000 participants globally, reveals a concerning trend: 28% of workers are planning to resign, a significant increase from the 19% recorded during the Great Resignation of 2022.
This shift is driven by heavier workloads, evolving career aspirations, and the rapid integration of new technology.
Millennials lead the workplace exodus
The report highlights that millennials, followed by Gen X and Gen Z, are at the forefront of this wave of discontent.
Nearly half of the respondents reported a “significant” increase in their workloads over the past year.
In addition to the pressure of heavier workloads, 43% expressed a desire to seek higher pay, while 62% admitted they struggle to keep up with the rapid pace of workplace transformation driven by new technology.
These combined stressors are prompting employees to reevaluate their career paths, with many seeking roles that offer professional growth and a better work-life balance.
Emerging technologies, particularly generative AI, have further intensified workplace changes.
While the adoption of technology presents opportunities to boost efficiency, it also brings new challenges.
According to the survey, although most workers rarely use AI-powered tools, optimism about its potential remains high.
Among those who seldom use AI, 72% believe it will improve their work quality, and 50% anticipate it will lead to higher salaries.
However, the gap between leadership’s enthusiasm for AI and employees’ limited adoption highlights the need for organizations to bridge this divide effectively.
Resignation rates surge across Europe
Although the Great Resignation initially centered in the US, its impact has spread to Europe.
Countries like France and Germany are now experiencing similar dissatisfaction, with workers facing challenges related to pay, benefits, and job security.
In the UK, resignation rates have surged since the pandemic, fueled by high living costs and stagnant wages.
The phenomenon of quiet quitting—where employees disengage without formally resigning—has also gained traction, further straining workplace productivity.
The PwC report emphasizes the need to prioritize employee well-being and skill development to address these trends. Overworked employees are more likely to underperform, making it crucial for leaders to create a supportive environment.
“Organizations must actively create a culture of learning, ensuring workers have the guidance and mentorship needed to adapt to evolving workplace demands,” the report advises.
Regret rates among job switchers rise
Despite the allure of new opportunities, many workers who quit their jobs express regret about their decisions.
The disconnect between expectations and the reality of new roles underscores the importance of thoughtful decision-making when changing jobs.
While this trend may discourage some from resigning, the broader dissatisfaction driving the workforce exodus is unlikely to subside without significant organizational changes.
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