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With Republicans taking control of Congress, Wall Street is buzzing about a potential boom in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) under the upcoming Trump administration.
Bank of America analysts see brighter days ahead for deal-making, anticipating that Trump could remove Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan, whose aggressive antitrust stance has been a major roadblock for M&A activity across sectors.
Combined with favorable macro factors and investor demand for capex and M&A over debt paydown, there are plenty of reasons to believe that 2025 and beyond could see significant deal activity.
Banks And Biotech: Two Key Sectors To Watch
Analysts at Bank of America's U.S. banks team are particularly bullish about the M&A prospects for financials, which have historically enjoyed more than 50% higher deal activity under Republican administrations than Democratic ones. With regulatory scrutiny expected to loosen, the landscape is ripe for a surge in bank deals.
Deal activity in biotech has already started picking up, especially in smaller acquisitions. Big Pharma faces mounting pressure to offset patent expirations, so it’s hunting for acquisition targets to replenish its drug pipelines. Lower rates and potential deregulation could further fuel biotech M&A as we head into 2025.
"The election results could lead to a less restrictive regulatory environment, which may open the door for more bank mergers and acquisitions,” Jill Carey Hall, CFA, a Bank of America analyst, said.
Macro Factors: Green And Yellow Lights for M&A
Several macroeconomic factors support a cyclical pick-up in M&A activity.
Strong equity market returns, cheap small-cap valuations relative to large caps and tight credit spreads all suggest a favorable environment for deal-making.
Not all signals are flashing green. Slowing GDP growth, rate uncertainty and high volatility could throw some caution flags. Long-term growth expectations for small caps, though improved, still remain below average.
Bank of America's credit strategists predict that 2025 could be a better year for M&A activity as rate cuts begin to materialize and volatility subsides.
"Sponsors are sitting on a pile of uncalled capital, and there's a real incentive to deploy it in a friendlier economic environment," Hall said.
Who Stands To Gain: Small-Cap Targets, Large-Cap Acquirers
With large deals on the decline, smaller targets have become the prime candidates for takeovers.
Aggregate deal value has been falling in recent years as mega-cap deals have dried up and smaller, more manageable transactions have become the norm.
This trend has paid off for both sides: small-cap targets have outperformed post-announcement and large-cap acquirers have seen record one-day gains in 2023 despite paying higher deal premiums.
This pattern suggests that investors are rewarding companies that buy growth, especially in today's uncertain economic landscape.
10 Potential M&A Candidates Among Large Caps
Bank of America's latest screening of potential M&A candidates includes high-growth, undervalued names, each with distinct value propositions that may appeal to suitors looking for long-term growth.
Read Next:
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© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
F5 FFIV shares have gained 41% in the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Internet - Software Industry, Zacks Computer and Technology Sector and the S&P 500 index’s return of 14.3%, 11.7 and 12.7%, respectively. FFIV’s outperformance reflects investors’ confidence in the company’s growth on the back of its innovative AI portfolio.
FFIV recently provided access to its AI Gateway. F5’s AI Gateway is a containerized solution designed to streamline and secure connections between applications, APIs and large language models to support enterprise AI installation.
FFIV’s AI Gateway solution reduces costs, counters threats and ensures compliance. The solution further integrates with F5’s NGINX and BIG-IP platforms, enabling deployment across any cloud or data center.
Earlier, F5 announced the availability of BIG-IP Next for Kubernetes. The BIG-IP Next for Kubernetes is an AI application delivery and security solution that enables service providers and large enterprises to centrally control, secure and streamline data traffic in their large-scale AI infrastructures. This year, F5 also partnered with Intel INTC and Portkey.ai to extend its AI expertise.
FFIV combined its NGINX with Intel’s OpenVINO toolkit and Infrastructure Processing Units to improve AI applications. F5 also provided its customers with better tools by combining its Distributed Cloud Services with Portkey.ai’s AI gateway and observability suite.
F5 6 Month Performance
F5 Faces Macroeconomic and Competitive Pressure
Although F5 has a competitive edge in the application delivery, security and performance optimization space with products like ARX, BIG-IP and VIPRION, it faces significant challenges from Cisco CSCO Systems, given the dominance of the CSCO in the overall networking market.
While F5 is a specialist in application delivery, load balancing and application security, Cisco is a broader player in network infrastructure, security and cloud solutions. They overlap in areas, such as load balancing, network security and cloud services. Cisco has tremendous engineering and marketing resources at its disposal. FFIV also faces competition from Cloudflare NET, Microsoft’s Azure Application Gateway and Fortinet.
F5’s BIG-IP and NGINX products face direct competition from Cloudflare's Web Application Firewall solution and DDoS mitigation services. Like F5, Azure Application Gateway offers WAF capabilities, whereas Fortinet’s FortiGate offers load balancing and traffic management capabilities like F5’s BIG-IP.
Alongside competitive pressure, F5’s near-term prospects also face challenges from softening IT spending. Still-high interest rates and protracted inflationary conditions have impacted consumer spending. On the other hand, enterprises are postponing their large IT spending plans due to a weakening global economy amid ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical issues. This does not bode well for F5’s prospects in the near term.
These factors have pressured FFIV's revenues, leading the company to set modest fiscal 2025 sales growth expectations of only 4-5%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $2.94 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of 4.57%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at $14.20, suggesting a year-over-year growth of 6.2%.
What Should Investors Do?
Although FFIV faces multiple headwinds from both its competition and macroeconomic conditions, it is navigating the application delivery, security and performance optimization space with innovative AI products.
Considering all these factors, we suggest investors to retain this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Zacks Investment Research
Shares of Snap-On Incorporated SNA hit a new 52-week high of $365.35 on Nov. 13, 2024, before dropping to close trading at $361.26. SNA has seen its shares rise steadily in the past three months, driven by progress on its growth initiatives.
In the past three months, Snap-On shares have rallied as much as 30.8% compared with the broader industry’s 16.4% rise and the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector’s 14.4% growth. The stock also outpaced the S&P 500’s rally of 8.3% in the same period.
SNA's 3-Month Stock Performance
The company’s growth is driven by efforts to strengthen the franchise network, build better relationships with repair shop owners and managers, and expand into key industries in emerging markets. Management’s focus on the Rapid Continuous Improvement (RCI) process remains on course.
The Snap-On stock is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling strong upward momentum and price stability. This technical strength indicates positive market sentiment and confidence in the global professional tools, equipment, and related solutions provider’s financial health and prospects.
Now, what should your next move be? Should you accumulate shares, hold positions or book profits? Before arriving at any decision, let us explore the company's underlying fundamentals.
Breaking Down SNA’s Formula for Market Success
Snap-on’s robust business model enhances value creation by improving safety, service quality, customer satisfaction and innovation. The company is dedicated to various principles and processes aimed at creating value in areas like RCI. The RCI process is designed to enhance organizational effectiveness and minimize costs while boosting SNA’s sales and margins, and generating savings.
Savings from the RCI initiative reflect productivity gains from ongoing process improvement. Management is committed to enhancing customer service, and manufacturing and supply-chain capabilities through RCI initiatives and further investments. Snap-On’s focus on innovation is also promising, with continuous investments in new products and increasing global brand awareness.
Positive trends among vehicle OEMs, dealerships and independent repair shops are driving investments in tools and equipment, likely expanding capabilities to support new models and the complexity of repairs. Snap-on’s Repair Systems & Information Group has strengthened its reach into OEM dealership programs and independent garages, highlighting solid growth potential and opportunities with repair shop owners and managers.
The economic outlook for vehicle repair remains positive, supporting Snap-on’s growth. The company continues to invest in tools and equipment to enhance its ability to support new models and manage complex repairs. SNA’s RS&I Group has extended its reach in OEM dealership programs and strengthened its presence in independent garages, positioning it well to attract repair shop owners and managers.
The Tools Group segment is prioritizing product development, manufacturing improvements and sales efforts for the near term. Critical industries remain robust, presenting various opportunities, while torque tools are gaining importance among critical industry clients. The industrial division is performing strongly, with rising profitability and growing demand for customized solutions, which will likely drive sales and profits.
Management expects SNA’s markets and operations to remain resilient despite uncertainties in the broader operating environment. For the remainder of 2024, Snap-On anticipates steady progress on its growth pathways, leveraging strengths in automotive repair and expanding its customer base across key industries and regions.
SNA’s Estimates Indicate Uptrend
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Snap-On’s 2024 and 2025 EPS moved up 0.5% and 0.9%, respectively, in the last 30 days. The upward revision in earnings estimates indicates a bullish outlook for the stock.
For 2024, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for SNA’s EPS implies 3% year-over-year growth. The consensus mark for 2025 sales and earnings indicates 3.2% and 3.6% year-over-year growth, respectively.
Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.
Could Challenges Be Ahead for Snap-On’s Growth?
Although Snap-On sees favorable trends across most markets, it could succumb to tough macroeconomic conditions. These include inflationary pressures and other headwinds. Delayed financial recovery in China is acting as a deterrent.
Rising cost inflation, stemming from higher raw material expenses and other costs, is another headwind hurting SNA’s performance.
What Does SNA’s Valuation Imply?
With the stock steadily ticking up, Snap-On is trading at a forward 12-month P/E multiple of 18.17X, slightly exceeding the industry average of 18.16X but below the S&P 500’s 22.63X multiple. At current levels, Snap-On’s stock valuation looks slightly more expensive than its peers.
The premium valuation suggests that investors have strong expectations for Snap-On’s future performance and prospects. While success in its initiatives could further strengthen its market leadership, failure could pose serious challenges for the company.
How to Play SNA Stock?
Snap-On shows strong long-term growth potential, driven by ongoing initiatives. Management expects steady progress by leveraging strengths in automotive repair, expanding its customer base across regions and targeting critical industries. The company remains confident in its resilience to market uncertainties and anticipates progress along its defined growth pathways.
Although trading at a slight premium to its peers, the stock’s valuation marks an attractive entry point. For existing shareholders, holding onto the stock could yield strong long-term returns. SNA currently sports a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Other Consumer Discretionary Picks
We have highlighted three other top-ranked stocks, namely Ralph Lauren RL, Under Armour UAA and Gildan Activewear GIL.
Ralph Lauren is a major designer, marketer and distributor of premium lifestyle products in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It carries a Zacks Rank #2 at present.
Ralph Lauren has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 9.1%, on average. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RL’s current fiscal-year sales and earnings indicates growth of 3.5% and 13.6%, respectively, from the year-ago reported figures.
Under Armour is one of the leading designers, marketers and distributors of authentic athletic footwear, apparel and accessories for a wide variety of sports and fitness activities in the United States and internationally. It currently has a Zacks Rank #2.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UAA’s current fiscal-year sales and EPS implies declines of 10.6% and 50%, respectively, from the prior-year actuals. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 75.1%, on average.
Gildan Activewear is a manufacturer and marketer of premium quality branded basic activewear for sale principally in the wholesale imprinted activewear segment of the North America apparel market. GIL carries a Zacks Rank of 2 at present.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GIL’s 2024 sales and EPS indicates an increase of 1.5% and 15.6%, respectively, from the year-ago reported levels. GIL has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 5.4%, on average.
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