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Consumers’ wallets should get some relief if the Federal Reserve lowers rates this week, but it won’t be a huge help, according to Benjamin Ayers, senior economist with Nationwide Insurance (NASDAQ:NWFAX).
“It should put some downward pressure on auto rates, mortgage rates, loan rates, but on the other side of the coin, it should put upward pressure on CD rates and saving rates that you get out there,” Ayers told Benzinga.
Lowering the Fed interest rate by only 25 or 50 basis points will not mean much for consumers in the short term, he adds.
“It’s nice but if you can’t afford a mortgage at the current level, that’s not going to change if it goes down by 25 basis points. It’s more kind of the start of a process,” he said.
“Six months, a year, 18 months from now, you’re going to see much lower rates, and that’ll really help to juice things, but in the near term, it’s going to have a pretty negligible impact for most people,” Ayers says.
A rate cut of 25 or 50 basis points doesn’t mean rates that affect consumers’ wallets will drop expectedly, said Matt Schulz, LendingTree, Inc.‘s chief credit analyst.
“While lower rates are certainly a good thing for those struggling with debt, the truth is that this one rate cut isn't really going to make much of a difference for most people,” he said.
“It doesn't change the fact that the best thing people can do to lower interest rates is to take matters into their own hands.”
He said the average rate on a new credit card offer should stay at a record high of 24.92% for some time if the Fed lowers rates.
“While they'll almost certainly fall from record highs in coming months, no one should expect dramatically reduced credit card bills anytime soon,” he said.
“Barring the Fed unexpectedly stomping on the gas pedal when it comes to lowering rates, credit card APRs are still going to be high for the foreseeable future.”
A $5,000 credit card balance would take 27 months and $1,528 in interest to pay off at 24.92% if monthly payments of $250 were made. If the interest rate went down by 0.25% because of a 0.25% Fed rate cut, the interest paid over 27 months would fall by $22, resulting in savings of less than a dollar a month, Schulz noted.
Schulz said auto loan rates will get lower, too, if the Fed reduces rates, but consumers should still shop around for financing from other places besides dealerships because their rates are typically much higher.
Saving rates have already started falling and may keep doing so, but consumers don’t need to panic, he said.
“Yields aren't going to fall off a cliff immediately after the Fed cuts rates,” he said.
Price Action: Mortgage lenders and credit card companies trended upward into Monday’s late-afternoon trading.
Read Now:
Image: Shutterstock
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
Sept 16 (Reuters) - Bank of America Corp BAC.N:
BANK OF AMERICA ANNOUNCES REDEMPTION OF $1,750,000,000 3.093% FIXED/FLOATING RATE SENIOR NOTES, DUE OCTOBER 2025
Source text for Eikon: (Full Story)
Further company coverage: BAC.N
Monday, September 16, 2024
The Zacks Research Daily presents the best research output of our analyst team. Today's Research Daily features new research reports on 16 major stocks, including Bank of America Corp. (BAC), Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) and Linde plc (LIN), as well as two micro-cap stocks Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. (CHCI) and Kingsway Financial Services Inc. (KFS). The Zacks microcap research is unique as our research content on these small and under-the-radar companies is the only research of its type in the country.
These research reports have been hand-picked from the roughly 70 reports published by our analyst team today.
You can see all of today’s research reports here >>>
Bank of America’s shares have outperformed the Zacks Banks - Major Regional industry over the past six months (+8.7% vs. +7.5%). The company’s net interest income (NII) will be positively impacted by the current high-rate regime and also rate cuts, however high funding costs are a concern.
The Zacks analyst projects NII to witness a CAGR of 1.9% by 2026. Its plans to open financial centers in new and existing markets and improve digital capabilities. These will support the top line. We project total revenues to grow 2.9% in 2024.
While the capital markets activity is showing signs of revival, the challenging macroeconomic environment might weigh on the investment banking (IB) business. Thus, fee income growth will likely be muted. We project fee income to rise in 2024 and decline in 2025. Due to continued investments in franchise, operating costs will remain high. We expect expenses to rise 1% in 2024.
(You can read the full research report on Bank of America here >>>)
Shares of AMD have gained +3.3% over the year-to-date period against the Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry’s gain of +26.4%. The company is benefiting from portfolio strength and an expanding partner base. It expects third-quarter 2024 revenues to grow 15% sequentially and 16% year over year driven by strong growth in the data center and the client segment.
Exiting second-quarter 2024, AMD had more than 900 public cloud instances available, with Netflix and Uber selecting fourth-gen EPYC public cloud instances. In the data center AI business, MI300 quarterly revenues exceeded $1 billion for the first time.
The momentum is expected to continue in the rest of 2024. Enterprise and Cloud AI customer pipeline remains robust. AMD and its partners, including Microsoft, Oracle, DELL, HPE, Lenovo, and Supermicro, have instinct platforms in production. However, weakness in the embedded and gaming business is a headwind.
(You can read the full research report on AMD here >>>)
Linde’s shares have outperformed the Zacks Chemical - Specialty industry over the year-to-date period (+15.2% vs. -16.4%). The company is a global leader in industrial gas manufacturing, supplying a wide range of essential gases to industries such as energy, steel, healthcare, manufacturing and electronics.
The firm secures long-term contracts with key on-site clients featuring minimum purchase agreements, helping to stabilize earnings during economic downturns. With a track record of raising dividends for 31 consecutive years, Linde remains committed to rewarding shareholders, supported by its robust business model.
However, increasing competition for new projects poses challenges to the company's return on investment. Additionally, the volatility of energy prices, particularly for natural gas and diesel fuel, presents a significant concern for profitability. Increasing regulatory burden may negatively impact the industrial gas producer’s overall financial health.
(You can read the full research report on Linde here >>>)
Shares of Comstock have outperformed the Zacks Building Products - Home Builders industry over the year-to-date period (+87.5% vs. +28.7%). This microcap company with market capitalization of $81.95 million recorded strong revenue growth of 11% year over year, reaching $21.4 million in the first half of 2024. This growth is driven by high demand for its premium, transit-oriented properties like The Hartford and Reston Metro Plaza, with fully leased spaces attracting high-profile tenants such as Google, Rolls-Royce, and GuidePoint Security.
The company’s focus on urban, commuter-friendly developments positions it well to capture long-term growth in the Washington D.C. market. Comstock's asset-light, debt-free model, combined with access to a $10 million credit facility, provides ample financial flexibility for future developments. Its diversified tenant base and strong occupancy rates reduce vacancy risk.
However, the company faces concentration risk with heavy reliance on key developments. A structural shift toward remote work also poses challenges to its office leasing performance.
(You can read the full research report on Comstock here >>>)
Kingsway Financial Services’ shares have underperformed the Zacks Insurance - Property and Casualty industry over the year-to-date period (-7.4% vs. +26.3%). This microcap company with market capitalization of $216.37 million recently bought Systems Products International, Inc. ("SPI") and Digital Diagnostics Imaging, Inc. ("DDI") which boosted adjusted EBITDA to a run-rate of $16 million-$17 million.
Kingsway Financial Services targets two to three acquisitions annually, each expected to add $1 million-$3 million in EBITDA. The Extended Warranty segment (66% of revenue) provides high-margin, recurring income and has expanded beyond auto warranties to include heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC) and plumbing. Its $626 million in net operating loss carryforwards (NOLs) provide tax advantages and enhance cash flow for reinvestment.
However, debt levels rose to $37.7 million, posing risks. Limited cash flow, sluggish revenue growth and execution challenges in acquisitions add pressure.
(You can read the full research report on Kingsway Financial Services here >>>)
Other noteworthy reports we are featuring today include IBM Corp. (IBM), Eaton Corp. plc (ETN) and Deere & Co. (DE).
Mark Vickery
Senior Editor
Note: Sheraz Mian heads the Zacks Equity Research department and is a well-regarded expert of aggregate earnings. He is frequently quoted in the print and electronic media and publishes the weekly Earnings Trends and Earnings Preview reports. If you want an email notification each time Sheraz publishes a new article, please click here>>>
Today's Must Read
Branch Openings, Rates Support BofA (BAC), Fee Income Ails
Strong Product Portfolio & Partner Base Aid AMD's Prospects
Linde's (LIN) Long-Term Contracts With Minimum Volume Aid
Featured Reports
Solid Growth in Software Segment, Strategic Buyouts Aid IBM
Per the Zacks Analyst, higher demand in the Software and Infrastructure segments is boosting IBM's top line. Strategic buyouts further aid the company.
Wide Market Reach, New Product Development Aid Eaton (ETN)
Per the Zacks analyst Eaton's operations in 175 countries across the world and development of new products through ongoing R&D investments will continue to drive demand and boost profitability.
Deere (DE) Gains from Pricing Efforts Amid Low Demand
Per the Zacks analyst, low commodity prices and farm income will hurt demand for Deere's agricultural equipment. However, this will be offset by its pricing actions and cost-reduction efforts.
Rosy Air-Travel Demand Aids Delta (DAL) Amid High Costs
The Zacks analyst is pleased with the upbeat passenger volumes due to the buoyant air-travel demand scenario. High fuel and labor costs represent a headwind.
Insulet (PODD) Thrives on Omnipod 5, Macro Challenges Worry
The Zacks analyst is upbeat about Insulet's Omnipod 5 nearing $0.5 billion in annual international revenue with only 2 full country launches and two more starting. Yet, economic woes can ail growth.
Strong Demand for Key Drugs Drive BioMarin's (BMRN) Topline
While BioMarin's key drugs like Vimzim and Naglazyme continue to drive sales, the Zacks Analyst is encouraged by rapid uptake for new drug Voxzogo which has opened up a new sales opportunity.
Flowers Foods (FLO) Driven by Focus on Branded Retail Sales
Per the Zacks analyst, focus on branded retail products has been driving Flowers Foods. In second quarter, branded retail sales formed 64.4% of total sales, fueled by core brands like DKB and Canyon.
New Upgrades
Diamondback (FANG) to Benefit from Low Breakeven Costs
The Zacks analyst likes Diamondback Energy's extremely low oil price breakeven costs, wherein the company needs the commodity to be at just $40 a barrel to be profitable.
Strategic Plans & Improving Housing Trends Aid Mohawk (MHK)
Per the Zacks analyst, Mohawk is benefiting from its focus on restructuring and productive initiatives, improving new residential construction trends, and low input costs.
Expanding User Base, Content Portfolio Aids SiriusXM (SIRI)
Per the Zacks analyst, SiriusMX is benefiting from strength in subscriber base backed by a solid content portfolio and expanded podcast efforts.
New Downgrades
Soft Pet Segment Likely to Hurt Central Garden (CENT) Sales
Per the Zacks analyst, a challenging operating environment and softness in Pet segment have made things tough for Central Garden & Pet Company. Organic net sales for the Pet segment fell 2.2% in Q3.
Exposure to Cat Loss, High Cost Ail Selective Insurance (SIGI)
Per the Zacks analyst, Selective Insurance's exposure to cat loss poses an inherent risk to the P&C insurance business inducing volatility to results. Rising expenses weigh on margin expansion.
F5 (FFIV) Gains From Growth in its Software Business
Per the Zacks analyst, F5 is riding on strong growth in software, driven by security offerings, such as web application firewall, bot defense and mitigation products.
Zacks Investment Research
Sept 16 (Reuters) - Bank of America BAC.N named co-leaders for the initiative on increased connectivity between its investment bank and wealth management units, according to an internal memo seen by Reuters on Monday.
Jim Rourke and Michael Liu are set to lead the initiative named Private Client Partnership Development, according to the memo.
The co-heads will be responsible for maximizing opportunities between the Global Corporate & Investment Banking, Merrill Wealth Management and Private Bank units.
Investment banking revenues have seen an uptick recently benefiting from renewed activity in the M&A market.
Rourke and Liu have been with Bank of America in the U.S. since 2008 and 2012, respectively.
Rourke, in his most recent role, was in the mergers and acquisitions group, while Liu has been a part of the emerging growth and regional coverage unit.
(Reporting by Saeed Azhar in New York and Pritam Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta)
(( Pritam.Biswas@thomsonreuters.com ))
Keywords: BANK OF AMERICA-MOVES/
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