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Intuit (INTU) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.
Shares of this maker of TurboTax, QuickBooks and other accounting software have returned +15.9% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.1% change. The Zacks Computer - Software industry, to which Intuit belongs, has gained 4.9% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?
While media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company's business prospects usually make its stock 'trending' and lead to an immediate price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate the buy-and-hold decision-making.
Earnings Estimate Revisions
Rather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.
Our analysis is essentially based on how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to take the latest business trends into account. When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.
For the current quarter, Intuit is expected to post earnings of $2.36 per share, indicating a change of -4.5% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +0.1% over the last 30 days.
The consensus earnings estimate of $19.30 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of +13.9%. This estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days.
For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $22.04 indicates a change of +14.2% from what Intuit is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has remained unchanged.
Having a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, offers a more conclusive picture of a stock's price direction in the near term, since it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. Due to the size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, Intuit is rated Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:
12 Month EPS
Projected Revenue Growth
While earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.
For Intuit, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $3.14 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +5.4%. For the current and next fiscal years, $18.25 billion and $20.45 billion estimates indicate +12% and +12.1% changes, respectively.
Last Reported Results and Surprise History
Intuit reported revenues of $3.18 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +17.4%. EPS of $1.99 for the same period compares with $1.65 a year ago.
Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.08 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of +3.23%. The EPS surprise was +6.99%.
The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates each time over this period.
Valuation
No investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation. Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential determinant of its future price performance.
Comparing the current value of a company's valuation multiples, such as its price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), to its own historical values helps ascertain whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, whereas comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of how reasonable its stock price is.
The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an An is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.
Intuit is graded F on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.
Bottom Line
The facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Intuit. However, its Zacks Rank #4 does suggest that it may underperform the broader market in the near term.
Zacks Investment Research
Smith Micro Software, Inc. (SMSI) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.30 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.31. This compares to earnings of $0.08 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 3.23%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post a loss of $0.35 per share when it actually produced a loss of $0.38, delivering a surprise of -8.57%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once.
Smith Micro Software, which belongs to the Zacks Computer - Software industry, posted revenues of $4.65 million for the quarter ended September 2024, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.17%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $11 million. The company has not been able to beat consensus revenue estimates over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
Smith Micro Software shares have lost about 86.4% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 25.5%.
What's Next for Smith Micro Software?
While Smith Micro Software has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Smith Micro Software: mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is -$0.14 on $5.6 million in revenues for the coming quarter and -$1.28 on $21.3 million in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Computer - Software is currently in the top 19% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
One other stock from the same industry, Intuit (INTU), is yet to report results for the quarter ended October 2024. The results are expected to be released on November 21.
This maker of TurboTax, QuickBooks and other accounting software is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.36 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -4.5%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.1% higher over the last 30 days to the current level.
Intuit's revenues are expected to be $3.14 billion, up 5.4% from the year-ago quarter.
Zacks Investment Research
Intuit (INTU) ended the recent trading session at $697.35, demonstrating a +1.92% swing from the preceding day's closing price. The stock exceeded the S&P 500, which registered a gain of 0.1% for the day. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a rise of 0.69%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw an increase of 0.06%.
The maker of TurboTax, QuickBooks and other accounting software's stock has climbed by 10.95% in the past month, exceeding the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 4.92% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.37%.
Investors will be eagerly watching for the performance of Intuit in its upcoming earnings disclosure. The company's earnings report is set to be unveiled on November 21, 2024. The company is forecasted to report an EPS of $2.36, showcasing a 4.45% downward movement from the corresponding quarter of the prior year. Alongside, our most recent consensus estimate is anticipating revenue of $3.14 billion, indicating a 5.4% upward movement from the same quarter last year.
In terms of the entire fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $19.30 per share and a revenue of $18.25 billion, indicating changes of +13.93% and +12.04%, respectively, from the former year.
Investors should also note any recent changes to analyst estimates for Intuit. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. As a result, upbeat changes in estimates indicate analysts' favorable outlook on the company's business health and profitability.
Research indicates that these estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum. To utilize this, we have created the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model that integrates these estimate changes and provides a functional rating system.
The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has witnessed an unchanged state. Right now, Intuit possesses a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell).
Looking at valuation, Intuit is presently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 35.46. This indicates a premium in contrast to its industry's Forward P/E of 31.24.
One should further note that INTU currently holds a PEG ratio of 2.43. The PEG ratio bears resemblance to the frequently used P/E ratio, but this parameter also includes the company's expected earnings growth trajectory. By the end of yesterday's trading, the Computer - Software industry had an average PEG ratio of 2.61.
The Computer - Software industry is part of the Computer and Technology sector. This industry, currently bearing a Zacks Industry Rank of 46, finds itself in the top 19% echelons of all 250+ industries.
The strength of our individual industry groups is measured by the Zacks Industry Rank, which is calculated based on the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within these groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Zacks Investment Research
Turtle Beach (HEAR) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.18 per share. This compares to loss of $0.21 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -11.11%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this audio technology company would post a loss of $0.27 per share when it actually produced a loss of $0.30, delivering a surprise of -11.11%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once.
Turtle Beach, which belongs to the Zacks Computer - Peripheral Equipment industry, posted revenues of $94.36 million for the quarter ended September 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.48%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $59.16 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
Turtle Beach shares have added about 44.8% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 24.3%.
What's Next for Turtle Beach?
While Turtle Beach has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Turtle Beach: mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $1.26 on $161.75 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $1.15 on $380.15 million in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Computer - Peripheral Equipment is currently in the top 29% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
One other stock from the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, Intuit (INTU), is yet to report results for the quarter ended October 2024. The results are expected to be released on November 21.
This maker of TurboTax, QuickBooks and other accounting software is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.36 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -4.5%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.1% higher over the last 30 days to the current level.
Intuit's revenues are expected to be $3.14 billion, up 5.4% from the year-ago quarter.
Zacks Investment Research
OptimizeRx Corp. OPRX shares rallied 19.8% in the last trading session to close at $6.12. This move can be attributable to notable volume with a higher number of shares being traded than in a typical session. This compares to the stock's 27.4% loss over the past four weeks.
OptimizeRx is seeing strong growth with its Dynamic Audience Activation Platform — a solution offering predictive, secure marketing across a network that links patients, healthcare providers and the life sciences sector.
This company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.06 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -33.3%. Revenues are expected to be $24.94 million, up 52.7% from the year-ago quarter.
While earnings and revenue growth expectations are important in evaluating the potential strength in a stock, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
For OptimizeRx, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. And a stock's price usually doesn't keep moving higher in the absence of any trend in earnings estimate revisions. So, make sure to keep an eye on OPRX going forward to see if this recent jump can turn into more strength down the road.
The stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
OptimizeRx is part of the Zacks Computer - Software industry. Intuit INTU, another stock in the same industry, closed the last trading session 4.8% higher at $648.39. INTU has returned 0.9% in the past month.
Intuit's consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming report has changed +0.1% over the past month to $2.36. Compared to the company's year-ago EPS, this represents a change of -4.5%. Intuit currently boasts a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell).
Zacks Investment Research
PTC Inc. (PTC) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.54 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.43 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.20 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 7.69%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this product development software maker would post earnings of $0.98 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.98, delivering no surprise.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times.
PTC Inc., which belongs to the Zacks Computer - Software industry, posted revenues of $626.55 million for the quarter ended September 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.98%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $546.62 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
PTC Inc. Shares have added about 8.6% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 21.2%.
What's Next for PTC Inc.
While PTC Inc. Has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for PTC Inc. Unfavorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to underperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $1.43 on $620.37 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $5.94 on $2.56 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Computer - Software is currently in the top 31% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
Intuit (INTU), another stock in the same industry, has yet to report results for the quarter ended October 2024. The results are expected to be released on November 21.
This maker of TurboTax, QuickBooks and other accounting software is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.36 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -4.5%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.1% higher over the last 30 days to the current level.
Intuit's revenues are expected to be $3.14 billion, up 5.4% from the year-ago quarter.
Zacks Investment Research
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