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Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. MIRM incurred a loss of 30 cents per share in third-quarter 2024, much narrower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 45 cents. The company had reported a loss of 57 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.
Revenues in the third quarter totaled $90.3 million, up 89% year over year. The figure also beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $82 million. The top line comprised Livmarli (maralixibat) sales, newly acquired Cholbam and Chenodal sales, and minimal license and other revenues.
Mirum acquired Travere Therapeutics’ bile acid products in August 2023, which added the latter’s Cholbam capsules and Chenodal tablets to its portfolio of commercialized drugs.
Shares of Mirum were up in pre-market trading on Nov. 12 owing to better-than-expected results and increased guidance for 2024. The stock has rallied 40.9% so far this year against the industry’s decline of 1.2%.
Stay up-to-date with all quarterly releases: See Zacks Earnings Calendar.
More on MIRM's Q3 Results
Livmarli’s net product sales were $59.1 million in the third quarter, reflecting an increase of almost 52.7% year over year.
Net product sales of newly acquired Cholbam and Chenodal were $31.2 million.
License and other revenues were $0.07 million in the reported quarter. The company did not record any such revenues in the year-ago quarter.
Research and development expenses increased 21.5% year over year to $31.7 million.
Selling, general and administrative expenses totaled $50.5 million, up almost 38.3% from the year-ago quarter’s level.
As of Sept. 30, 2024, Mirum had cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities worth $293.8 million compared with $295.4 million as of June 30, 2024.
2024 Guidance
Mirum increased its financial guidance for 2024. The company now expects revenues in the range of $330-$335 million compared with the earlier projection of $310-$320 million.
MIRM's Recent Updates
Along with the earnings release, the company announced that it has initiated the phase III EXPAND study, which is a label expansion opportunity for Livmarli in additional settings of cholestatic pruritus.
The European Commission approved Livmarli oral solution for the treatment of progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis (PFIC) in patients aged three months and above in July 2024. PFIC is a rare genetic disorder that causes liver failure.
The FDA approved a label expansion for Livmarli oral solution to include the treatment of cholestatic pruritus in patients aged five years and older with PFIC in March. Livmarli is also approved for treating cholestatic pruritus in PFIC patients aged 12 months and above in the United States.
In June 2024, the new drug application for chenodiol for treating cerebrotendinous xanthomatosis patients was filed in the United States. The FDA has set a target action date of Dec. 28, 2024.
Mirum’s pipeline candidate, volixibat, is currently being evaluated in two phase IIb studies for treating patients with primary biliary cholangitis (the VANTAGE study) and primary sclerosing cholangitis (the VISTAS study).
Last month, the FDA granted a Breakthrough Therapy designation to volixibat as a potential treatment for cholestatic pruritus in patients with primary biliary cholangitis.
Along with the earnings release, Mirum announced that it has in-licensed a PDE4D inhibitor, MRM-3379, for treating Fragile X syndrome, a rare neurocognitive disorder. A phase II study on the same is expected to begin in 2025.
Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Quote
MIRM's Zacks Rank & Key Picks
Mirum currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
Some better-ranked stocks from the biotech sector are Immunocore Holdings plc IMCR, ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ANIP and Castle Biosciences, Inc. CSTL, each carrying a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
In the past 60 days, estimates for Immunocore’s 2024 loss per share have narrowed from $1.67 to 96 cents. Loss per share estimates for 2025 have narrowed from $2.35 to $1.70 during the same time. Year to date, shares of IMCR have declined 49.3%.
IMCR’s earnings beat estimates in two of the trailing four quarters while missing the same on the remaining two occasions, the average surprise being 25.57%.
In the past 60 days, estimates for ANI Pharmaceuticals’ 2024 earnings per share have moved up from $4.59 to $4.71. Earnings per share estimates for 2025 have improved from $4.82 to $5.65 during the same time. Year to date, shares of ANIP have increased 11.9%.
ANIP’s earnings beat estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 20.27%.
In the past 60 days, estimates for Castle Biosciences’ 2024 loss per share have narrowed from 58 cents to 8 cents. Loss per share estimates for 2025 have narrowed from $2.13 to $1.88 during the same time. Year to date, shares of CSTL have surged 56.5%.
CSTL’s earnings beat estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 172.72%.
Zacks Investment Research
Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MIRM) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.30 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.45. This compares to loss of $0.57 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.
This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 33.33%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post a loss of $0.48 per share when it actually produced a loss of $0.52, delivering a surprise of -8.33%.
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once.
Mirum Pharmaceuticals, which belongs to the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, posted revenues of $90.38 million for the quarter ended September 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.77%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $47.73 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters.
The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.
Mirum Pharmaceuticals shares have added about 41% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 25.8%.
What's Next for Mirum Pharmaceuticals?
While Mirum Pharmaceuticals has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?
There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.
Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.
Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Mirum Pharmaceuticals: unfavorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to underperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is -$0.39 on $87.93 million in revenues for the coming quarter and -$1.84 on $316.71 million in revenues for the current fiscal year.
Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Medical - Biomedical and Genetics is currently in the top 29% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.
Curis (CRIS), another stock in the same industry, has yet to report results for the quarter ended September 2024. The results are expected to be released on November 14.
This drug developer is expected to post quarterly loss of $1.88 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +11.7%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days.
Curis' revenues are expected to be $2.84 million, up 0.4% from the year-ago quarter.
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