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In the world of mankind, there will not be a statement without any position, nor a remark without any purpose.
Inflation, exchange rates, and the economy shape the policy decisions of central banks; the attitudes and words of central bank officials also influence the actions of market traders.
Money makes the world go round and currency is a permanent commodity. The forex market is full of surprises and expectations.
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Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.
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Trading costs in the Hong Kong stock market include transaction fees, stamp duty, settlement charges, and currency conversion fees for foreign investors. Additionally, taxes may apply based on local regulations.
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The Hong Kong stock market encompasses non-essential consumption sectors like automotive, education, tourism, catering, and apparel. Of the 643 listed companies, 35% are mainland Chinese, making up 65% of the total market capitalization. Thus, it's heavily influenced by the Chinese economy.
HK Real Estate Industry
In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.
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Moody’s MCO has announced the acquisition of Numerated Growth Technologies, a cutting-edge loan origination platform for financial institutions. This strategic move enhances Moody’s Lending Suite, delivering a robust end-to-end loan origination and monitoring solution for banking clients.
Numerated’s technology, powered by artificial intelligence and data analytics, streamlines the loan application, decision-making and closing processes. Its platform has facilitated more than $65 billion in lending for over 500,000 businesses, backed by financial institutions managing a combined $3 trillion in assets.
The transaction terms remain undisclosed, but Moody’s confirmed no material impact on its 2024 financial performance.
Moody’s Deepening Partnership Foundations
This acquisition builds on a partnership initiated in January 2024, in which Numerated’s technologies were integrated with Moody’s expertise in credit assessment and underwriting. The collaboration offered clients a unified platform for front office, decisioning and loan operation tasks, a functionality now set to expand further.
“As banks drive digital transformation to enhance user experiences and automate processes, they require comprehensive solutions,” said Rob Fauber, Moody’s president and CEO. “The addition of Numerated will enable us to accelerate innovation and deliver our unparalleled risk data and analytical solutions to customers across asset classes.”
Moody’s Alliances & Acquisitions
Integrating Numerated into Moody’s Lending Suite complements the company’s existing strengths in credit lifecycle management. This acquisition aligns with the company’s strategy to deliver advanced risk management tools and insights, reinforcing its leadership in financial analytics.
Moody’s has been expanding through acquisitions and partnerships. The company acquired Praedicat in September to enhance its insurance solutions and risk assessment. In July, it formed an alliance with MSCI to improve its environmental, social and governance (ESG) offerings.
The company is increasing its focus on the banking and insurance sectors while diversifying into professional services and enterprise risk solutions (ERS). The rising analytics business, which isn’t impacted by interest rate fluctuations, adds stability to Moody’s revenue growth.
Moody’s shares have rallied 22.4% so far this year, outperforming the industry’s growth of 16.7%.
Currently, MCO carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Inorganic Expansion Moves by Other Financial Firms
Robinhood Markets HOOD has announced a $300 million acquisition of TradePMR, a custodial and portfolio management platform specializing in services for Registered Investment Advisors.
With this stock and cash deal expected to close in the first half of 2025, HOOD is signaling a significant shift from a retail trading platform to a diversified financial services provider.
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation BK has acquired Archer Holdco, LLC (“Archer”), a leading technology-enabled service provider of managed account solutions to the asset and wealth management industry. The financial terms of the deal, announced on Sept. 5, were kept under wraps.
This move aligns with BK’s inorganic growth strategy to boost its services. Archer provides comprehensive middle and back-office solutions to asset and wealth managers, enabling them to address the managed account needs of institutional, private wealth and retail investors.
Zacks Investment Research
U.S. stocks could open on a negative note on Friday after futures showed tentativeness on Friday. Investors turned their focus to cyclical stocks and themes, moving on from their focus on the Trump trade after the election results.
Futures of the three major indices were mixed, with the Nasdaq heading lower after AI giant Nvidia Corp. posted its highly-anticipated third-quarter results.
Futures | Change (+/-) |
Nasdaq 100 | -0.51% |
S&P 500 | -0.40% |
Dow Jones | -0.29% |
R2K | -0.08% |
In premarket trading on Friday, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust edged lower by 0.34% to $591.68 and the Invesco QQQ ETF declined 0.39% to $503.03, according to Benzinga Pro data.
Cues From Last Session:
U.S. stocks ended Thursday in the green, with the Dow Jones surging by over 450 points, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq registered marginal gains.
Crude oil futures continued on their upward trajectory amid rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine.
Treasury yields eased marginally on mixed data and the declining probability of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cutting interest rates in December.
On the economic data front, U.S. existing home sales gained 3.5% from the previous month to an annualized rate of 3.96 million in October. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index fell to -5.5 in November from 10.3 in the previous month, and compared to market estimates of 8.
Initial jobless claims declined by 6,000 from the previous week to 213,000 in the week ending Nov. 16.
Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed on a positive note, with utilities, financials, and consumer staples stocks recording the biggest gains on Thursday.
However, consumer discretionary and communication services stocks bucked the overall market trend, closing the session lower.
Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
Nasdaq Composite | 0.03% | 18,972.42 |
S&P 500 | 0.53% | 5,948.71 |
Dow Jones | 1.06% | 43,870.35 |
Russell 2000 | 1.65% | 2,364.02 |
Insights From Analysts:
Powell's relatively hawkish tone has investors cautious in the markets. With the Trump trade losing steam, the focus is now on the President-elect's Treasury pick.
"In focus currently is President-elect Trump's pick for the influential post of US Treasury Secretary. Given the large US budget deficit, investors will probably want to see a safe pair of hands being chosen," ING analysts said in a note.
With the next rate cut now a coin toss, the U.S. dollar could see a correction. According to ING analyst Francesco Pesole, the dollar is "testing the limit" of its longs and traders should exercise caution for the time being.
"Powell seemed to put greater emphasis on the strength of the economy and how that allows the central bank to approach the upcoming policy decisions ‘carefully'."
CME Group's FedWatch tool reflected the fall in sentiment for another rate cut next month, with its probability declining to 59.6% from 72.2%.
“The case for a Fed pause in December is getting stronger and Fed officials are communicating that they are open to it going into the next meeting,” Kathy Jones, chief fixed income strategist at Schwab, said in a recent note.
“It will come down to employment and inflation data.”
See Also: How To Trade Futures
Upcoming Economic Data
Friday's major economic updates include:
Stocks In Focus:
Commodities, Bonds And Global Equity Markets:
Crude oil futures rose in the early New York session, surging by 0.61% to hover around $70.54 per barrel.
The 10-year Treasury note yield eased to 4.396%.
Most of the major Asian markets ended in the green on Friday, but European markets were mixed in early trading.
Read Next:
Photo courtesy: Wikimedia
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