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Motor fuel retailer Murphy USA Inc. MUSA announced third-quarter 2024 earnings per share of $7.20, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.64. The outperformance primarily reflects higher fuel margins.
However, the company’s bottom line fell from the year-ago adjusted profit of $7.69 due to tepid petroleum product sales.
Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.
Murphy USA’s operating revenues of $5.2 billion fell 9.6% year over year and missed the consensus mark by $362 million.
Revenues from petroleum product sales came in at $4.1 billion, well below our estimate of $4.5 billion and down 11.5% from the third quarter of 2023. On the other hand, merchandise sales, at $1.1 billion, rose 2.5% year over year but were $34.7 million below our estimate.
Murphy USA Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Murphy USA Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Murphy USA Inc. Quote
Key Takeaways
MUSA’s total fuel contribution fell 3.5% year over year to $404.2 million, as lower RIN contribution offset margin expansion. Moreover, total fuel contribution (including retail fuel margin plus product supply and wholesale results) came in at 32.6 cents per gallon, 5.5% lower than the third quarter of 2023.
Retail fuel contribution increased 13.5% year over year to $395.7 million as margins widened to 31.9 cents per gallon from 28.7 cents in the corresponding period of 2023. Retail gallons edged up 2% from the year-ago period to 1,239.3 million in the quarter under review and beat our estimate of 1,213.8 million. Volumes on an SSS basis (or fuel gallons per store) improved 1.4% from the third quarter of 2023 to 245.2 thousand.
Contribution from Merchandise increased 2.4% to $216.8 million on higher sales, which offset a marginal fall in unit margins from 20.1% a year ago to 20% in the third quarter of 2024. On an SSS basis, total merchandise contribution was up 1.2% year over year, primarily on the back of 6.1% higher nicotine margins. Meanwhile, merchandise sales increased 1.6% on an SSS basis, again due to an increase in nicotine sales.
The Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company’s monthly fuel gallons rose 1.1% from the prior-year period, while merchandise sales decreased 2% on an average per store monthly basis.
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Balance Sheet
As of Sept. 30, Murphy USA — which opened four new retail locations in the quarter to take its store count to 1,740 — had cash and cash equivalents of $52.5 million and long-term debt (including lease obligations) of $1.8 billion, with a debt-to-capitalization of 68.7%.
During the quarter, MUSA bought back shares worth $126.4 million.
Some Key Refining Earnings
While we have discussed MUSA’s third-quarter results in detail, let’s see how some other refining companies have fared this earnings season.
Valero Energy VLO reported third-quarter 2024 adjusted earnings of $1.14 per share, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.29 due to the significant decline in refining throughput volumes. Adjusted operating income in the Refining segment totaled $565 million, down from $3.4 billion in the year-ago quarter. The figure also missed our estimate of $1.8 billion.
Valero’s total cost of sales decreased to $32.1 billion from the year-ago figure of $34.6 billion. The figure is also below our estimate of $33 billion, primarily due to lower cost of materials and operating expenses. The third-quarter capital investment totaled $429 million, of which $338 million was allotted for sustaining the business.
Another refining giant Phillips 66 PSX reported third-quarter 2024 adjusted earnings of $2.04 per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.63. However, the bottom line was lower than the year-ago quarter’s level of $4.63. The better-than-expected quarterly results can be primarily attributed to cost reduction and the achievement of Midstream synergy targets. However, this was partially offset by reduced contributions from PSX’s Refining segment due to a decline in realized margins.
Phillips 66 generated $1.13 billion of net cash from operations for the reported quarter, significantly lower than $2.69 billion a year ago. The company’s capital expenditure and investments totaled $358 million. It paid out dividends of $477 million in the third quarter. As of Sept. 30, 2024, cash and cash equivalents were $1.6 billion. Total debt was $19.9 billion, reflecting a debt-to-capitalization of 39.6%.
Finally, we have Marathon Petroleum’s MPC third-quarter third-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $1.87, which comfortably beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 97 cents. The outperformance primarily reflects the stronger-than-expected performance of its Refining & Marketing segment. Operating income of the segment totaled $298 billion, surpassing the consensus mark, calling for a loss of $64 million on the back of strong product sales and throughput.
Marathon Petroleum’s total refined product sales volumes were 3,685 thousand barrels per day (mbpd), up from 3,596 mbpd in the year-ago quarter. Throughput rose marginally from 2,959 mbpd in the year-ago quarter to 2,991 mbpd and outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 2,852 mbpd. MPC’s operating costs per barrel increased from $5.14 in the year-ago quarter to $5.30.
Zacks Investment Research
Launched on 12/13/2016, the Nuveen ESG Small-Cap ETF (NUSC) is a smart beta exchange traded fund offering broad exposure to the Style Box - Small Cap Growth category of the market.
What Are Smart Beta ETFs?
Products that are based on market cap weighted indexes, which are strategies designed to reflect a specific market segment or the market as a whole, have traditionally dominated the ETF industry.
Market cap weighted indexes offer a low-cost, convenient, and transparent way of replicating market returns, and are a good option for investors who believe in market efficiency.
But, there are some investors who would rather invest in smart beta funds; these funds track non-cap weighted strategies, and are a strong option for those who prefer choosing great stocks in order to beat the market.
These indexes attempt to select stocks that have better chances of risk-return performance, based on certain fundamental characteristics or a combination of such characteristics.
Methodologies like equal-weighting, one of the simplest options out there, fundamental weighting, and volatility/momentum based weighting are all choices offered to investors in this space, but not all of them can deliver superior returns.
Fund Sponsor & Index
Managed by Nuveen, NUSC has amassed assets over $1.21 billion, making it one of the larger ETFs in the Style Box - Small Cap Growth. This particular fund, before fees and expenses, seeks to match the performance of the TIAA ESG Small-Cap Index.
The Nuveen ESG USA Small-Cap Index composed of equity securities issued by small-capitalization companies listed on U.S. exchanges.
Cost & Other Expenses
Expense ratios are an important factor in the return of an ETF and in the long-term, cheaper funds can significantly outperform their more expensive cousins, other things remaining the same.
Operating expenses on an annual basis are 0.31% for NUSC, making it on par with most peer products in the space.
It's 12-month trailing dividend yield comes in at 1.03%.
Sector Exposure and Top Holdings
It is important to delve into an ETF's holdings before investing despite the many upsides to these kinds of funds like diversified exposure, which minimizes single stock risk. And, most ETFs are very transparent products that disclose their holdings on a daily basis.
Representing 17.80% of the portfolio, the fund has heaviest allocation to the Industrials sector; Financials and Consumer Discretionary round out the top three.
Taking into account individual holdings, Service Corp Internationa (SCI) accounts for about 0.99% of the fund's total assets, followed by Murphy Usd Inc (MUSA) and H & R Block Inc. (HRB).
Its top 10 holdings account for approximately 8.18% of NUSC's total assets under management.
Performance and Risk
Year-to-date, the Nuveen ESG Small-Cap ETF has gained about 7.98% so far, and is up about 31.65% over the last 12 months (as of 11/01/2024). NUSC has traded between $33.13 and $43.58 in this past 52-week period.
The fund has a beta of 1.13 and standard deviation of 21.70% for the trailing three-year period. With about 513 holdings, it effectively diversifies company-specific risk.
Alternatives
Nuveen ESG Small-Cap ETF is a reasonable option for investors seeking to outperform the Style Box - Small Cap Growth segment of the market. However, there are other ETFs in the space which investors could consider.
IShares ESG Aware MSCI USA ETF (ESGU) tracks MSCI USA ESG Focus Index and the JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPQ) tracks ----------------------------------------. IShares ESG Aware MSCI USA ETF has $13.31 billion in assets, JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF has $17.58 billion. ESGU has an expense ratio of 0.15% and JEPQ charges 0.35%.
Investors looking for cheaper and lower-risk options should consider traditional market cap weighted ETFs that aim to match the returns of the Style Box - Small Cap Growth.
Bottom Line
To learn more about this product and other ETFs, screen for products that match your investment objectives and read articles on latest developments in the ETF investing universe, please visit Zacks ETF Center.
Zacks Investment Research
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