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Wall Street is speculating on the effects of possible Donald Trump policy changes when he takes office in January 2025. JPMorgan analyst Virgina Martin Heriz weighs in on the potential impacts of a second Trump presidency on sustainable investing.
Onshoring: Heriz sees a second Trump administration modifying the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), but doing so with a "scalpel, not a sledgehammer."
The JPMorgan analyst sees the domestic content portions of the IRA as the "most safe incentives" due to bi-partisan support of supply chain onshoring. Heriz points to First Solar, Inc. , SunRun, Inc. and Sunnova Energy International Inc. as clean tech companies particularly positioned to benefit from supply chain onshoring.
Read More: Trump’s Potential ‘Health Czar’ Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Rattles Vaccine Stocks: ‘Shoot First Reaction’
Hydrogen: Heriz also sees the 45V tax credit for clean hydrogen producers as likely to stay due to strong backing from traditional energy companies and Republican-leaning areas. Clean hydrogen companies including FuelCell Energy, Inc. and Plug Power Inc. are likely safe from policy changes under a second Trump administration, according to Heriz.
EV Incentives: The analyst does expect subsidies for electric vehicles to be downsized or repealed, including the 30D clean vehicle tax credit of up to $7,500 on the purchase of a qualifying EV. Additionally, Heriz anticipates tightening EV charging incentives like the 30C tax credit that covers up to 30% of the cost of each charger. Some companies that could be negatively impacted by the repeal of EV and related charging incentives include EVgo Inc. , ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. and Blink Charging Co. .
Oil & Gas: Domestic oil and gas production is more influenced by market prices and global supply and demand rather than government policies, Heriz said. For this reason, the analyst expects a potentially reduced regulatory burden to be "helpful to the industry, but not life-changing in the short-term."
The Take-Away: While Heriz does expect policy changes to affect sustainable investing under the second Trump administration, she said that outflows in sustainable investing are mainly motivated by underperformance.
"Fund performance matters far more than politics," the JPMorgan analyst said.
Read Next:
Photo: Earth phakphum via Shutterstock
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
For the quarter ended September 2024, Plug Power (PLUG) reported revenue of $173.73 million, down 12.6% over the same period last year. EPS came in at -$0.25, compared to -$0.47 in the year-ago quarter.
The reported revenue represents a surprise of -16.38% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $207.75 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being -$0.24, the EPS surprise was -4.17%.
While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health.
Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.
Here is how Plug Power performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
View all Key Company Metrics for Plug Power here>>>
Shares of Plug Power have returned -4.3% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.3% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
Zacks Investment Research
Eni S.p.A E, a global integrated energy company, is set to receive a new chunk of investment for its renewable energy business, Plenitude. The Swiss asset management firm Energy Infrastructure Partners (“EIP”) will increase its stake in Plenitude from 7.6% to 10%. The deal values Eni’s renewable energy and retail business unit, Plenitude,at more than 10 billion euros, including debt.
Eni has stated that EIP will purchase new shares issued by the company for approximately 209 million euros. E has adopted a new “satellite” strategy, wherein it will set up separate business units that are capable of drawing investor attention. The new investments will be utilized to grow the businesses further. The deal with EIP aligns with Eni’s satellite strategy.
E believes that this strategy is an ideal path toward energy transition. Eni plans to build low and zero-carbon businesses that can capture the attention of leading investors and grow organically to become sustainable on their own. Eni has also implemented this strategy on a previous deal involving KKR, a U.S.-based investment firm, that purchased a 25% stake in Enilive, its biofuel business unit. Furthermore, Eni is reportedly talking to several potential investors and seeking partners for its carbon capture and storage business.
EIP mentioned that increasing its stake in Plenitude underscores its confidence in the business.
E’s Zacks Rank and Key Picks
Currently, E carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
Some better-ranked stocks in the energy sector are Archrock Inc. AROC, Smart Sand, Inc. SND and FuelCell Energy FCEL. Archrock and Smart Sand presently sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) each, while FuelCell Energy carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Archrock is an energy infrastructure company based in the United States, with a focus on midstream natural gas compression. It provides natural gas contract compression services and generates stable fee-based revenues.
Smart Sand, Inc. is a low-cost producer of high-quality Northern White frac sand, an ideal proppant for hydraulic fracturing and various industrial applications. The company provides proppant and other logistics services for several companies in the oil and gas industry. With sustained demand in the oil and gas market, the company is expected to see growing demand for its services, supporting a positive outlook.
FuelCell Energy is a clean energy company offering low-carbon energy solutions. It produces power using flexible fuel sources such as biogas, natural gas and hydrogen. The company designs fuel cells that generate electricity through an electrochemical process that combines fuel with air, reducing carbon emissions and minimizing the environmental impact of power generation. As such, FCEL is anticipated to play a crucial role in the energy transition by enabling industries and communities to shift from traditional fossil fuels to low-carbon alternatives.
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