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TriMas Corporation’s TRS shares gained 10% since it reported its third-quarter 2024 earnings on Nov. 4. TriMas reported third-quarter 2024 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 43 cents (including non-cash compensation expenses), which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 57 cents. The bottom line declined 31.7% from the prior-year quarter due to weak demand in the Specialty Products segment and delayed shipments due to a 10-week work stoppage at an aerospace location.
Despite weaker-than-expected earnings, TRS shares were buoyed by some positive developments. While sales declined in the Specialty Products segment, it achieved a sequential 660 basis point margin improvement attributed to the cost reduction actions implemented in the second quarter of 2024. TriMas noted increased quoting and bookings for the segment, indicating a recovery in its top line in 2025, which, combined with the cost containment, will likely result in improved margins for the segment next year. Also, in the packaging segment, the food and beverage end markets posted positive year-over-year growth for the first time in 2024. The recovery in these key markets bodes well for the segment.
TriMas Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
TriMas Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | TriMas Corporation Quote
TriMas also inked a deal to acquire Germany-based GMT Aerospace, a manufacturer of tie rods used in a range of structural aerospace applications. The acquisition, expected to close in the first quarter of 2025, will add the first manufacturing location in Europe for the aerospace segment. GMT Aerospace’ annualized sales are approximately EUR20 million.
Including the impacts of one-time items, the company reported an EPS of 6 cents compared with the year-ago quarter's 40 cents.
The company's revenues decreased 2.5% year over year to $229 million. Organic sales growth in packaging and aerospace product lines was offset by lower market demand in the Specialty Products segment. Overall, organic sales fell 2.3% in the quarter. The top line missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $241 million.
Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.
TriMas’ Q3 Costs & Margins
The cost of sales fell 1% year over year to $178 million in the reported quarter. Gross profit declined 7.6% year over year to $51.7 million. The gross margin was 22.5% compared with 23.8% in the prior-year quarter.
Selling, general and administrative expenses rose 37.7% year over year to $44.5 million. Adjusted operating profit declined 18.7% year over year to $23 million. The adjusted operating margin contracted to 9.9% from the prior-year quarter’s 11.8%.
TRS Q3 Segment Performances
Packaging: Net sales came in at $130 million compared with the year-ago quarter’s $117 million. The upside was driven by organic growth within the beauty & personal care, food & beverage, industrial and home care end markets.
The figure was higher than our estimate of $126 million. Organic sales rose 12.3% year over year. Adjusted operating profit fell 2.5% year over year to $19 million in the reported quarter. We had projected the segment’s adjusted operating profit at $19 million.
Aerospace: Net sales increased 4.8% year over year to $71 million, attributed to stronger demand. The figure missed our estimate of $73 million. Organic sales rose 4.8%. The segment’s results in the quarter were impacted by delayed shipments from a 10-week work stoppage at one of its facilities, which has since been resolved.
The segment reported an adjusted operating profit of $9 million, up 4.6% year over year. We had projected the segment’s adjusted operating profit at $9 million.
Specialty Products: The segment's revenues decreased 44.8% year over year to $28 million due to lower demand. Revenues were lower than our estimate of $44 million. Operating profit fell 77.6% year over year to $2.4 million. We had projected the segment’s adjusted operating profit at $6.4 million.
TriMas’ Q3 Cash Flow & Balance Sheet Updates
In the first nine months of 2024, TriMas repurchased approximately 771,067 of its outstanding common stock for $19.3 million. The company generated $22 million of adjusted cash flow from operations in the quarter under review compared with $31 million in the prior-year quarter.
TRS ended the quarter with $26.9 million of cash on hand compared with $34.8 million reported at the end of 2023. The company had $210.2 million of cash and available borrowing capacity under its revolving credit facility. As of Sept. 30, 2024, the total debt was $410 million compared with $396 million as of Dec. 31, 2023.
TRS’ 2024 Guidance
TriMas continues to expect an adjusted EPS of $1.70-$1.90 for 2024.
TriMas’ Price Performance
TRS shares have gained 16.8% in the past year compared with the industry’s 84.5% growth.
TRS’ Zacks Rank
TriMas carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) at present.
You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
TriMas’ Peer Performances
Kaiser Aluminum KALU reported third-quarter adjusted EPS of 51 cents, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 67 cents. The bottom-line figure increased 11% from the year-ago quarter.
Net sales of KALU rose 0.5% year over year to $748 million but missed the consensus estimate of $773 million.
Northwest Pipe Co. NWPX came out with third-quarter earnings of $1.02 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 85 cents per share. This compares with earnings of 58 cents per share a year ago.
Northwest Pipe posted revenues of $130 million for the quarter ended September 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $127 million. The top line increased 9.2% year over year.
ESAB Corporation ESAB came out with third-quarter earnings of $1.25 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $ 1.12 per share. This compares with earnings of $1.08 per share a year ago.
ESAB posted revenues of $636 million for the quarter ended September 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $629 million. The top line fell 6.6% year over year.
Zacks Investment Research
For those looking to find strong Industrial Products stocks, it is prudent to search for companies in the group that are outperforming their peers. Has Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. (MHVYF) been one of those stocks this year? By taking a look at the stock's year-to-date performance in comparison to its Industrial Products peers, we might be able to answer that question.
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. is a member of our Industrial Products group, which includes 213 different companies and currently sits at #14 in the Zacks Sector Rank. The Zacks Sector Rank includes 16 different groups and is listed in order from best to worst in terms of the average Zacks Rank of the individual companies within each of these sectors.
The Zacks Rank emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find stocks with improving earnings outlooks. This system has a long record of success, and these stocks tend to be on track to beat the market over the next one to three months. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. is currently sporting a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy).
Over the past 90 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for MHVYF's full-year earnings has moved 1.7% higher. This is a sign of improving analyst sentiment and a positive earnings outlook trend.
Our latest available data shows that MHVYF has returned about 157% since the start of the calendar year. At the same time, Industrial Products stocks have gained an average of 17.7%. As we can see, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. is performing better than its sector in the calendar year.
Northwest Pipe Co. (NWPX) is another Industrial Products stock that has outperformed the sector so far this year. Since the beginning of the year, the stock has returned 77%.
The consensus estimate for Northwest Pipe Co.'s current year EPS has increased 12.1% over the past three months. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
Looking more specifically, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. belongs to the Manufacturing - General Industrial industry, a group that includes 42 individual stocks and currently sits at #143 in the Zacks Industry Rank. Stocks in this group have gained about 19.9% so far this year, so MHVYF is performing better this group in terms of year-to-date returns.
On the other hand, Northwest Pipe Co. belongs to the Metal Products - Procurement and Fabrication industry. This 11-stock industry is currently ranked #151. The industry has moved +54.7% year to date.
Going forward, investors interested in Industrial Products stocks should continue to pay close attention to Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. and Northwest Pipe Co. as they could maintain their solid performance.
Zacks Investment Research
Investors might want to bet on Northwest Pipe Co. (NWPX), as earnings estimates for this company have been showing solid improvement lately. The stock has already gained solid short-term price momentum, and this trend might continue with its still improving earnings outlook.
The rising trend in estimate revisions, which is a result of growing analyst optimism on the earnings prospects of this steel pipe maker, should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. Our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is principally built on this insight.
The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.
Consensus earnings estimates for the next quarter and full year have moved considerably higher for Northwest Pipe Co. As there has been strong agreement among the covering analysts in raising estimates.
Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions
The company is expected to earn $0.88 per share for the current quarter, which represents a year-over-year change of +62.96%.
Over the last 30 days, two estimates have moved higher for Northwest Pipe Co. compared to no negative revisions. As a result, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased 25.71%.
Current-Year Estimate Revisions
For the full year, the earnings estimate of $3.17 per share represents a change of +51.67% from the year-ago number.
The revisions trend for the current year also appears quite promising for Northwest Pipe Co. with two estimates moving higher over the past month compared to no negative revisions. The consensus estimate has also received a boost over this time frame, increasing 7.1%.
Favorable Zacks Rank
The promising estimate revisions have helped Northwest Pipe Co. earn a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.
Bottom Line
Investors have been betting on Northwest Pipe Co. because of its solid estimate revisions, as evident from the stock's 7.8% gain over the past four weeks. As its earnings growth prospects might push the stock higher, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away.
Zacks Investment Research
As Election Week 2024 is upon us, Wall Street is geared up for sector-specific shakeups, with JPMorgan's Bill Peterson spotlighting a decisive split in potential stock moves.
With a Democratic win likely to power up the clean energy sector and a Donald Trump victory poised to boost steel, the stakes are high for investors in metals, mining and clean tech.
A Harris Win: Green Light For Clean Tech Rally?
Should Vice-President Kamala Harris take the White House, expect a boost across clean tech stocks, especially those linked to electric vehicles (EV) and hydrogen.
Peterson points to EVgo Inc , ChargePoint Holdings Inc and lithium players like Lithium Americas Corp and Piedmont Lithium Inc as likely to benefit from sustained clean energy initiatives.
Stocks like Plug Power Inc could also rally, riding on investor confidence that government spending won't dry up for sectors heavily backed by the Inflation Reduction Act and the Department of Energy's Loan Programs Office.
Read Also: Donald Trump’s Return To White House Could Propel These ETFs To New Highs
Trump's Win: Steel's Comeback With A Dose Of Protectionism
A Trump victory could be a bullish setup for the steel sector, especially for domestic players like Nucor Corp , Steel Dynamics Inc , and Cleveland-Cliffs Inc , which would benefit from protectionist policies supporting U.S. steel pricing.
Peterson highlights that Trump's stance against the proposed acquisition of U.S. Steel by Nippon Steel Corp could keep the spotlight on domestic operators, while Trade Expansion Act Section 232 tariffs could make U.S. steel prices attractive.
Kaiser Aluminum Corp stands to gain over Constellium SE if more tariffs come into play, thanks to Kaiser’s U.S. footprint.
Rare Earths & Base Metals: Supply Security Takes The Stage
Regardless of the outcome, Western supply chain security remains a hot-button issue, favorably positioning rare earth and graphite players like MP Materials Corp and GrafTech International Ltd .
For base metals, names like Alcoa Corp and Freeport-McMoRan Inc may see an impact from intensified China tariffs, with pricing ripple effects dependent on global stimulus responses.
With the election outcome set to shape market dynamics, these sectors have distinct paths forward. For now, it's a wait-and-see game for investors in metals, mining, and clean tech.
Read Next:
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