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WASHINGTON (Jan 16): President-elect Donald Trump's pick for Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, said on Thursday that the dollar
WASHINGTON (Jan 16): President-elect Donald Trump's pick for Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, said on Thursday that the dollar should remain the world's reserve currency, the Federal Reserve should stay independent, and that he is ready to impose tougher sanctions on Russia's oil sector.
Bessent, testifying at a Senate Finance Committee confirmation hearing, underscored an urgent need to extend Trump's 2017 individual tax cuts, saying that allowing them to expire at the end of this year would unleash a US$4 trillion (RM18 trillion) tax hike that could crush the US economy.
"If we do not renew and extend, then we will be facing an economic calamity," Bessent said. "We will see a gigantic middle class tax increase."
Bessent, a hedge fund manager and founder of Key Square Capital Management, voiced support for Trump's plans to impose steep tariffs, saying they would combat unfair trade practices, raise revenues, and increase US negotiating leverage, including on non-trade issues.
In prepared remarks, he said pro-growth tax, investment, trade and energy policies would usher in a "a new economic golden age" of prosperity.
Bessent said that US sanctions against Russia's oil sector have been too weak, partly because the Biden administration was too concerned about increasing prices at the same time it was constraining US oil output. Increased US oil production would allow for tougher sanctions on Russian oil majors, he said.
"I think if any officials in the Russian Federation are watching this confirmation hearing, they should know that if I'm confirmed, and if President Trump requests as part of his strategy to end the Ukraine war, that I will be 100% on board with taking sanctions up — especially on the Russian oil majors — to levels that would bring the Russian Federation to the table," Bessent said.
He also had harsh words for China, calling it "the most imbalanced, unbalanced economy in the history of the world," one that was trying to export its way out of a "severe recession/depression", and that the US could not allow China to flood US or world markets with cheap goods.
If confirmed by the Senate, Bessent would be the first openly gay Treasury secretary and confirmed cabinet member of a Republican administration. The South Carolina native's husband, former New York City prosecutor John Freeman, and their two children, Cole and Caroline, sat behind him.
In a hearing marked by few testy exchanges, Bessent coolly fielded questions ranging from child tax credits to tariff impacts on farmers, and did not stray from answers consistent with previous Republican Treasury nominees, but without contradicting Trump's policy plans.
He said that US spending on President Joe Biden's clean energy tax credit was "wildly out of control", and that high deficits in recent years were due to a "spending problem". Asked if a 100% tax credit for business research and development needed to be restored, he said his "inclination" would be to support that.
Democrats chided Bessent for taking advantage of a tax loophole, the legality of which has been disputed by the Internal Revenue Service, to reduce the Medicare taxes paid by his hedge fund by US$910,000 over three years.
"This is exactly the kind of abusive scheme that leaves Americans feeling disgusted with our tax system," said Senator Ron Wyden, the panel's top Democrat.
Bessent said that he would set aside funds to pay any taxes owing, once the case is decided. He has pledged to shutter Key Square to avoid conflicts of interest if his nomination is confirmed.
Markets were expected to scrutinise Bessent's comments on keeping the Federal Reserve independent for clues as to whether Trump would try to exert control over the US central bank, given the president-elect's frequent complaints over Fed interest rate decisions.
But Bessent came down firmly on the side of Fed monetary policy independence, adding that Trump would still make his views known.
"I think on monetary policy decisions, the FOMC should be independent," he said, referring to the Fed's rate-setting panel, the Federal Open Market Committee.
Although some economists have said that Trump's plans to impose tariffs, cut taxes and curb immigration would be inflationary, Bessent disagreed, saying Trump's plans, including increased energy production, would lower inflation to the Fed's 2% target, while increasing wages.
Despite Trump's longstanding complaints about a strong dollar hurting US exports, Bessent said: "Critically — critically — we must ensure that the dollar remains the world's reserve currency".
Bessent also rejected the idea of a central bank digital currency for the Fed, saying that the dollar's wide use and security made this unnecessary. He said he was open to the idea of creating a US sovereign wealth fund, but said the US needed to get control over short-term deficit growth first.
Bessent vowed that there would be no debt default on US Treasury debt under his watch. Asked whether Congress should abandon the federal debt ceiling, Bessent said that if Trump requested that, he would work with Congress to make it happen.
The high debt level means that there is less capacity to borrow heavily to combat a crisis, Bessent said, citing examples of the 1930s Great Depression, World War Two, and the recent Covid-19 pandemic.
"Treasury — along with the whole of government and Congress —has used its borrowing capacity to save the union, save the world, and save the American people," Bessent said. "What we currently have now, we would be hard pressed to do the same."



US President-elect Donald Trump, who takes office Monday, has proposed a 10% tariff on global imports, a 25% punitive duty on imports from Canada and Mexico until they clamp down on drugs and migrants crossing borders into the US, and a 60% tariff on Chinese goods. Some countries including Canada have already vowed to retaliate.
The World Bank said simulations using a global macroeconomic model showed a 10-percentage-point increase in US tariffs on all trading partners in 2025 would reduce global growth by 0.2 percentage point for the year, and proportional retaliation by other countries could worsen the hit to growth.
It said those estimates were consistent with outside studies which showed a 10-point increase in US tariffs could "reduce the level of US GDP by 0.4%, while retaliation from trading partners would increase the total negative impact to 0.9%."
But it noted that US growth could also increase by 0.4 percentage point in 2026 if US tax cuts were extended, it said, with only small global spillovers.
The Bank for International Settlements on Thursday also chimed in, warning of increased "frictions and fragmentation" in global trade and calling a broad-based trade war between Washington and other countries "a tangible risk scenario."
The World Bank's latest Global Economic Prospect report, issued twice yearly, forecast flat global economic growth of 2.7% in 2025 and 2026, the same as in 2024, and warned that developing economies now faced their weakest long-term growth outlook since 2000.
The multilateral development bank said foreign direct investment into developing economies was now about half the level seen in the early 2000s and global trade restrictions were five times higher than the 2010-2019 average.
It said growth in developing countries is expected to reach 4% in 2025 and 2026, well below pre-pandemic estimates due to high debt burdens, weak investment and sluggish productivity growth, along with rising costs of climate change.
Overall output in emerging markets and development economies was expected to remain more than 5% below its pre-pandemic trend by 2026, due to the pandemic and subsequent shocks, it said.
"The next 25 years will be a tougher slog for developing economies than the last 25," World Bank chief economist Indermit Gil said in a statement, urging countries to adopt domestic reforms to encourage investment and deepen trade relations.
Economic growth in developing countries dropped from nearly 6% in the 2000s to 5.1% in the 2010s and was averaging about 3.5% in the 2020s, the bank said.
It said the gap between rich and poor countries was also widening, with average per capita growth rates in developing countries, excluding China and India, averaging half a percentage point below those in wealth economies since 2014.
The sombre outlook echoed comments made last week by the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, Kristalina Georgieva, ahead of the global lender's own new forecast, to be released on Friday.
"Over the next two years, developing economies could face serious headwinds," the World Bank report said.
"High global policy uncertainty could undercut investor confidence and constrain financing flows. Rising trade tensions could reduce global growth. Persistent inflation could delay expected cuts in interest rates."
The World Bank said it saw more downside risks for the global economy, citing a surge in trade-distorting measures implemented mainly by advanced economies and uncertainty about future policies that was dampening investment and growth.
Global trade in goods and services, which expanded by 2.7% in 2024, is expected to reach an average of about 3.1% in 2025-2026, but to remain below pre-pandemic averages.
Oil headed for a fourth weekly gain ahead of President-elect Donald Trump’s second term, with traders seeking clarity on far-reaching sanctions and trade policies.
West Texas Intermediate traded below $79 a barrel, up more than 2% this week, while Brent closed above $81. Trump’s advisers are crafting a wide-ranging sanctions strategy to try to facilitate a Russia-Ukraine diplomatic accord, while also squeezing Iran and Venezuela, according to people familiar with the matter. Fresh trade tariffs may also disrupt global flows.
A week ago, the Biden administration released its harshest ever curbs on Russian oil. The impact of the move is still reverberating through the global crude market, with freight costs rocketing and traditional buyers of Russian oil including China and India looking elsewhere for supplies.
Prices:
WTI for February delivery rose 0.1% to $78.78 a barrel at 7:26 a.m. in Singapore.
Brent for March settlement closed 0.9% lower at $81.29 a barrel on Thursday.





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