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Investors interested in stocks from the Leisure and Recreation Services sector have probably already heard of Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) and Vail Resorts (MTN). But which of these two stocks is more attractive to value investors? We'll need to take a closer look to find out.
There are plenty of strategies for discovering value stocks, but we have found that pairing a strong Zacks Rank with an impressive grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system produces the best returns. The proven Zacks Rank emphasizes companies with positive estimate revision trends, and our Style Scores highlight stocks with specific traits.
Right now, Marriott Vacations Worldwide is sporting a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), while Vail Resorts has a Zacks Rank of #5 (Strong Sell). The Zacks Rank favors stocks that have recently seen positive revisions to their earnings estimates, so investors should rest assured that VAC has an improving earnings outlook. However, value investors will care about much more than just this.
Value investors also tend to look at a number of traditional, tried-and-true figures to help them find stocks that they believe are undervalued at their current share price levels.
Our Value category highlights undervalued companies by looking at a variety of key metrics, including the popular P/E ratio, as well as the P/S ratio, earnings yield, cash flow per share, and a variety of other fundamentals that have been used by value investors for years.
VAC currently has a forward P/E ratio of 15.19, while MTN has a forward P/E of 25.09. We also note that VAC has a PEG ratio of 0.86. This metric is used similarly to the famous P/E ratio, but the PEG ratio also takes into account the stock's expected earnings growth rate. MTN currently has a PEG ratio of 1.75.
Another notable valuation metric for VAC is its P/B ratio of 1.36. The P/B ratio is used to compare a stock's market value with its book value, which is defined as total assets minus total liabilities. For comparison, MTN has a P/B of 6.58.
These are just a few of the metrics contributing to VAC's Value grade of A and MTN's Value grade of D.
VAC has seen stronger estimate revision activity and sports more attractive valuation metrics than MTN, so it seems like value investors will conclude that VAC is the superior option right now.
Zacks Investment Research
Planet Fitness, Inc. PLNT reported stellar third-quarter 2024 results, with adjusted earnings and revenues beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate and increasing year over year.
The quarter’s performance was driven by contributions from new club openings and higher royalty revenues. The strength in the contributions from these factors was reflected in the year-over-year increase in system-wide same-club sales.
Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.
PLNT’s Earnings & Revenue Discussion
The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 64 cents, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 58 cents by 10.3%. In the prior-year quarter, the company reported adjusted EPS of 59 cents.
Quarterly revenues of $292.2 million topped the consensus mark of $284 million by 3%. The top line also improved 5.3% year over year, driven by system-wide same-club sales growth of 4.3% year over year.
Adjusted EBITDA was $123.1 million, up from $111.9 million reported in the year-ago quarter.
Planet Fitness, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Planet Fitness, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Planet Fitness, Inc. Quote
PLNT’s Segmental Performance
Franchise: Revenues of $102.2 million rose 4.3% on a year-over-year basis. Our model predicted the metric to increase 6.7% from the prior-year level. This upside was driven by a rise of $6 million, stemming from an uptick in royalty revenues, $1.6 million from new clubs opened since July 1, 2023, and $1.2 million from higher royalties on annual fees.
The segment’s EBITDA was $72.8 million, up 7.7% year over year.
Corporate-owned Clubs: Revenues of this segment amounted to $128.1 million, up 13.1% year over year. Our anticipated value was $121.1 million. This uptick can be attributed to an increase of $9.6 million from corporate-owned clubs and $5.3 million from new clubs opened and acquired since July 1, 2023.
Segment EBITDA totaled $50.1 million, up 13.2% year over year.
Equipment: Segmental revenues totaled $61.7 million, down 6.7% year over year. We expected the metric to decline 8% year over year. This downside was due to lower revenues from equipment sales to new franchisee-owned clubs.
This segment’s EBITDA was $18.5 million, up 12.5% year over year.
Other Financial Details of PLNT
As of Sept. 30, 2024, Planet Fitness had cash and cash equivalents of $298.8 million compared with $275.8 million as of Dec. 31, 2023. Long-term debt (net of current maturities) was $2.15 billion, up from $1.96 billion as of Dec. 31, 2023.
2024 Outlook of Planet Fitness
Planet Fitness still expects revenues to increase in the 8-9% range from the level of 2023, up from the prior estimate of 4-6% growth. System-wide same-club sales are predicted in the band of 4-5% compared with the prior estimate of a 3-5% gain. The company continues to anticipate new equipment placements to be between approximately 120 and 130 in franchisee-owned locations.
Adjusted EBITDA is estimated to increase in the range of 8-9% compared with the prior estimate of 7-9%.
Adjusted net income is now envisioned to increase in the band of 8-9% from the level of 2023, up from the prior expected range of 4-6%.
Management forecasts adjusted EPS to increase in the range of 11-12% from 2023 levels, up from the earlier estimate of a 7-9% increase. It continues to anticipate adjusted shares outstanding to be approximately 86.5 million.
PLNT currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
Recent Consumer Discretionary Releases
Carnival Corporation & plc CCL reported impressive third-quarter fiscal 2024 results, with earnings and revenues beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Both top and bottom lines increased on a year-over-year basis. This upside was backed by sustained demand strength and increased booking volumes. In the quarter, the company reported strong booking momentum for 2025, with volumes remaining robust at higher prices compared with the prior year.
The company raised its 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance due to strong demand and cost-saving opportunities. Management expects net yields at constant currency to increase around 10.4% compared with 2023 levels, exceeding the prior guidance provided in June.
Vail Resorts, Inc. MTN reported mixed fourth-quarter fiscal 2024 results, with earnings missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate and revenues beating the same. Revenues declined on a year-over-year basis and the adjusted loss widened from the prior-year quarter’s levels.
In the quarter, its EBITDA declined year over year due to the underperformance of the winter business in Australia. Snowfall at Australia’s resorts fell 28% from the prior year’s levels and was 44% below the 10-year average, leading to an 18% drop in skier visitation. Although North America’s summer mountain business did not meet expectations, it achieved 15% revenue growth with fewer weather and construction-related disruptions.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. HLT reported third-quarter 2024 results, with earnings and revenues beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Both the metrics increased on a year-over-year basis.
The company's performance was backed by notable improvements in revenue per available room, attributed to higher occupancy rates and average daily rates. Furthermore, in the quarter, Hilton opened 531 new hotels. It achieved net room growth of 33,600. As of Sept. 30, 2024, Hilton's development pipeline comprised nearly 3,525 hotels, with almost 492,400 rooms across 120 countries and territories, including 28 countries and regions with no running hotels. For 2024, the company expects net unit growth in the range of 7-7.5%.
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