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Momentum investing is essentially an exception to the idea of "buying low and selling high." Investors following this style of investing are usually not interested in betting on cheap stocks and waiting long for them to recover. Instead, they believe that "buying high and selling higher" is the way to make far more money in lesser time.
Everyone likes betting on fast-moving trending stocks, but it isn't easy to determine the right entry point. These stocks often lose momentum when their future growth potential fails to justify their swelled-up valuation. In that phase, investors find themselves invested in shares that have limited to no upside or even a downside. So, betting on a stock just by looking at the traditional momentum parameters could be risky at times.
A safer approach could be investing in bargain stocks with recent price momentum. While the Zacks Momentum Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system) helps identify great momentum stocks by paying close attention to trends in a stock's price or earnings, our 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen comes handy in spotting fast-moving stocks that are still attractively priced.
Outbrain Inc. (OB) is one of the several great candidates that made it through the screen. While there are numerous reasons why this stock is a great choice, here are the most vital ones:
A dash of recent price momentum reflects growing interest of investors in a stock. With a four-week price change of 17.5%, the stock of this company is certainly well-positioned in this regard.
While any stock can see a spike in price for a short period, it takes a real momentum player to deliver positive returns for a longer time frame. OB meets this criterion too, as the stock gained 1% over the past 12 weeks.
Moreover, the momentum for OB is fast paced, as the stock currently has a beta of 1.46. This indicates that the stock moves 46% higher than the market in either direction.
Given this price performance, it is no surprise that OB has a Momentum Score of A, which indicates that this is the right time to enter the stock to take advantage of the momentum with the highest probability of success.
In addition to a favorable Momentum Score, an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions has helped OB earn a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). Our research shows that the momentum-effect is quite strong among Zacks Rank #1 and #2 stocks. That's because as covering analysts raise their earnings estimates for a stock, more and more investors take an interest in it, helping its price race to keep up. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here
Most importantly, despite possessing fast-paced momentum features, OB is trading at a reasonable valuation. In terms of Price-to-Sales ratio, which is considered as one of the best valuation metrics, the stock looks quite cheap now. OB is currently trading at 0.28 times its sales. In other words, investors need to pay only 28 cents for each dollar of sales.
So, OB appears to have plenty of room to run, and that too at a fast pace.
In addition to OB, there are several other stocks that currently pass through our 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen. You may consider investing in them and start looking for the newest stocks that fit these criteria.
This is not the only screen that could help you find your next winning stock pick. Based on your personal investing style, you may choose from over 45 Zacks Premium Screens that are strategically created to beat the market.
However, keep in mind that the key to a successful stock-picking strategy is to ensure that it produced profitable results in the past. You could easily do that with the help of the Zacks Research Wizard. In addition to allowing you to backtest the effectiveness of your strategy, the program comes loaded with some of our most successful stock-picking strategies.
Click here to sign up for a free trial to the Research Wizard today.
Zacks Investment Research
Have you been paying attention to shares of CoreCard Corporation (CCRD)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 43% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $17.82 in the previous session. CoreCard Corporation has gained 28.3% since the start of the year compared to the 27% move for the Zacks Business Services sector and the 53.8% return for the Zacks Technology Services industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on October 31, 2024, CoreCard reported EPS of $0.3 versus consensus estimate of $0.17 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 17.19%.
For the current fiscal year, CoreCard is expected to post earnings of $0.61 per share on $55.98 million in revenues. This represents a 17.31% change in EPS on a -0.04% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $0.92 per share on $62.8 million in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 50.82% and 12.18%, respectively.
Valuation Metrics
CoreCard may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
CoreCard has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are C and F, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 29.1X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is a premium to the peer industry average of 26.3X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 14.1X versus its peer group's average of 12.9X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
Zacks Rank
We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, CoreCard currently has a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if CoreCard meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though CoreCard shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.
How Does CCRD Stack Up to the Competition?
Shares of CCRD have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is Outbrain Inc. (OB). OB has a Zacks Rank of # 1 (Strong Buy) and a Value Score of A, a Growth Score of B, and a Momentum Score of C.
Earnings were strong last quarter. Outbrain Inc. beat our consensus estimate by 450%, and for the current fiscal year, OB is expected to post earnings of $0.30 per share on revenue of $237.8 million.
Shares of Outbrain Inc. have gained 6% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 41.33X and a P/CF of 18.8X.
The Technology Services industry is in the top 26% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for CCRD and OB, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.
Zacks Investment Research
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