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It has been about a month since the last earnings report for SEI Investments (SEIC). Shares have added about 7.7% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is SEI due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.
SEI Investments’ Q3 Earnings Beat as Revenues & AUM Rise
SEI Investments’ third-quarter 2024 earnings per share of $1.19 surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.07. The bottom line reflected a rise of 36.8% from the prior-year quarter. Results in the reported quarter included a one-time gain of 5 cents per share related to the sale of property located in New York and a large one-time performance fee from LSV of 3 cents per share.
Results benefited from higher revenues and an increase in the assets under management (AUM) balance. Higher expenses acted as a headwind.
Net income was $154.9 million, up 33.9% from the year-ago quarter's level. Our estimate for the metric was $136.5 million.
Revenues & AUM Improve, Expenses Rise
Total revenues were $537.4 million, up 12.7% year over year. The rise was driven by higher asset management, administration, and distribution fees as well as information processing and software servicing fees. Moreover, the top line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $533.2 million.
Total expenses were $393.6 million, up 6.9% year over year. The increase was driven by all the components except consulting, outsourcing and professional fees, and depreciation. Our estimate for the metric was $393.7 million.
Operating income increased 32.6% year over year to $143.8 million. Our estimate for the metric was $132.3 million.
As of Sept. 30, 2024, AUM was $493.3 billion, reflecting a rise of 21.4% from the prior-year quarter's reported actuals. Client assets under administration (AUA) were $1.05 trillion, up 17.4% year over year. Client AUA did not include $8.5 billion related to Funds of Funds assets reported as of Sept. 30, 2024.
Share Repurchase Update
In the reported quarter, SEI Investments bought back 1.3 million shares for $85.8 million.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
It turns out, fresh estimates have trended upward during the past month.
The consensus estimate has shifted 5.87% due to these changes.
VGM Scores
At this time, SEI has an average Growth Score of C, a grade with the same score on the momentum front. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of D on the value side, putting it in the bottom 40% for this investment strategy.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of C. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
Outlook
Estimates have been trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. It comes with little surprise SEI has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). We expect an above average return from the stock in the next few months.
Performance of an Industry Player
SEI is part of the Zacks Financial - Investment Management industry. Over the past month, BlackRock Finance (BLK), a stock from the same industry, has gained 4.5%. The company reported its results for the quarter ended September 2024 more than a month ago.
BlackRock Finance reported revenues of $5.2 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +14.9%. EPS of $11.46 for the same period compares with $10.91 a year ago.
BlackRock Finance is expected to post earnings of $11.55 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +19.6%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed +0.3%.
The overall direction and magnitude of estimate revisions translate into a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) for BlackRock Finance. Also, the stock has a VGM Score of F.
Zacks Investment Research
Most of the stock market’s attention has been directed to cryptocurrency, the hottest and most popular niche of the technology sector today. The idea behind most decisions is that, as the price of Bitcoin keeps rallying near an all-time high of $100,000 per coin, most—if not all—of the names related to cryptocurrencies will rally along with Bitcoin. That’s the one flaw most investors are coming to realize today.
For better or for worse, there is a major divide in the cryptocurrency stock universe today, even after signs from the gold market gave way to a buy signal for Bitcoin and its verticals. Shares of MicroStrategy Inc. have plummeted by as much as 18.2% in a single day, shedding more than 25% of the company’s market capitalization in the process.
Beyond the MicroStrategy dip, there is one major discrepancy to give investors another way into a potential cryptocurrency-related rebound, this time in the middleman between Bitcoin supply and those looking to get a piece of the popularity and action. This is where shares of Coinbase Global Inc. come into play, as the stock declined by over 7.6% when Bitcoin traded at new all-time highs in the same day.
Why MicroStrategy Stock Is Falling: Challenges Behind Its Decline from Glory
There is justifiable merit behind the parabolic price action in MicroStrategy stock, as its CEO, Michael Saylor, made some smart moves with the company’s capital. Reinvesting any and all free cash flow, mostly into Bitcoin holdings, enriched the balance sheet when and if the price of Bitcoin took off, as it does today.
However, markets are worried that Saylor might become blinded to his hot hand, thinking that whatever happened in the past could continue in the future. The fear arises from the fact that MicroStrategy is continuing to dilute shareholders, this time by raising up to $3 billion to buy more Bitcoin.
This is where investors need to weigh the pros and cons of being diluted in exchange for gaining leverage into having more Bitcoin on the balance sheet. So far, this exchange has proven profitable, judging by the 705% rally the stock delivered over the past 12 months, even after this week’s sharp selloff.
One problem, however, might be that Saylor is raising all of this money to buy Bitcoin at its all-time highs, sort of like buying back stock when it trades at massive valuations; at some point, the returns just won’t make sense. And they don’t make sense for Wall Street analysts, as the consensus price target has fallen behind at $331.1 a share.
From where it trades today, MicroStrategy stock faces a potential downfall of 14.6%, considering the current targets, which might be too much risk for investors to bear.
Coinbase Operates in a League of Its Own: Wall Street’s Take on Its Unique Vertical
Unlike MicroStrategy, which bets on Bitcoin through its balance sheet, Coinbase's advantage is that it will do well no matter where the price of Bitcoin goes—or at least that may be the thinking behind Wall Street's price targets.
Whether Bitcoin is at an all-time high sand on the rise or coming into headwinds and potential selloffs, traders will be there to take advantage of this volatility. The trading activity will be a fee source for Coinbase moving forward. Leaning on this belief, those at Needham & Company decided to reiterate their "Buy" rating on Coinbase.
The surprise came from their price targets, though. Although they were previously at $290 a share, renewed market activity and attention around Bitcoin call for a valuation closer to $375 a share. Coinbase would need to rally by as much as 28% from where it trades today, not to mention a new 52-week high, to prove these new views right.
However, another tailwind is adding to Coinbase stock's potential upside, and this one is coming from a new potential role in the United States economy. News broke out stating that Coinbase's CEO Brian Armstrong is a potential candidate to oversee all things cryptocurrency in the United States for the new administration.
This appointment would give Coinbase access to the information and prowess it needs to become a power player in global financial markets if accepted and formalized. Investors can liken this situation to when the government calls on a big investment bank like Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to oversee and advise.
More than that, BlakcRock Inc. has already shown interest in Bitcoin by adding it to its asset management program and opening a new exchange-traded fund (ETF). This means that, as Bitcoin becomes more widely accepted by Wall Street, regulations and oversight would have to follow, and that's where Coinbase comes into play.
This is a completely different picture than the risks and volatility coming out of MicroStrategy stock right now, and that investors can take advantage of that distinction before the rest of the market realizes that it's there for the taking.
Key Takeaways
The cryptocurrency market has been on a rally, with Bitcoin (BTC) setting multiple new records since Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election. On Wednesday, Bitcoin surpassed $97,000 for the first time, touching a high of $97,628.
Market experts had predicted Bitcoin would surpass $80,000 by the end of November after the cryptocurrency retreated in the second and third quarters of 2024 from its previous all-time high of $73,770 attained in March. However, Bitcoin has surpassed expectations in the past few weeks and is now on track to hit $100,000 anytime, fueled by hopes of a friendlier regulatory approach under Trump’s regime.
Given the positive outlook, investing in Bitcoin-centric stocks like NVIDIA Corporation NVDA, BlackRock, Inc. BLK, CME Group Inc. CME and Accenture plc ACN, which have strong growth potential for the near term, would be a prudent choice. Each of these stocks has seen positive earnings estimate revision in the past 60 days and carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Bitcoin on Track to Hit $100,000
The Bitcoin rally, which started after the Federal Reserve announced a 50-basis point rate cut in September, its first since March 2020, was fueled by Trump’s landslide victory in the U.S. Presidential election.
Bitcoin’s price has more than doubled in 2024, and in the past two weeks since Trump’s win, the cryptocurrency has rallied more than 40%. Over $4 billion has since flown into U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs.
During his campaign, Trump vowed to make the United States the “crypto capital of the planet,” including the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve and appointing regulators who support digital assets. This optimistic outlook is currently driving Bitcoin's rise.
Also, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points a day after Trump won the election week, marking its second consecutive rate cut in three months, which is being seen as a positive sign for the crypto market.
4 Bitcoin-Focused Stocks Likely to Gain
NVIDIA Corporation
NVIDIA Corporation is a major player in the semiconductor industry and has been one of the standout success stories of 2023. As a leading designer of graphic processing units (GPUs), the value of the NVDA stock tends to surge in a thriving crypto market. This is primarily due to the crucial role that GPUs play in data centers, artificial intelligence, and the mining or production of cryptocurrencies.
NVIDIA’s expected earnings growth rate for the current year is more than 100%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 1.4% over the last 60 days. Currently, NVIDIA sports a Zacks Rank #1.
BlackRock
BlackRock is one of the world’s largest investment managers and is publicly owned. BLK was among the first companies from the traditional market to join the Bitcoin ETF race back in June 2023.
BlackRock’s expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 14.3%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 4.4% over the past 60 days. BLK currently sports a Zacks Rank #1.
CME Group
CME Group Inc.’s options give the buyer of the call/put the right to buy/sell cryptocurrency futures contracts at a specific price at some future date. CME offers Bitcoin and ether options based on the exchange's cash-settled standard and micro-Bitcoin and Ethereum futures contracts.
CME Group’s expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 9.4%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 3.1% over the last 60 days. CME presently has a Zacks Rank #2.
Accenture plc
Accenture plc is a worldwide system integrator that offers consulting, technology and various other services. The company promotes Ethereum-based blockchain solutions to businesses, aiming to simplify payment processing.
Accenture’s expected earnings growth rate for the current year is 6.9%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 3.2% over the last 60 days. ACN currently carries a Zacks Rank #2.
Zacks Investment Research
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