Despite having risen nearly 63% over the last six months, Xpeng Motors stock is in the red in 2024 and has lost around 8% of its market value in the year to date. This was largely due to volatility for Chinese stocks across the board. Many popular names plummeted in the first half of the year, and then there was a rally in late-September after China announced a flurry of stimulus measures. XPEV stock was caught up in this, but its second-half rebound was unable to account for its drop earlier in the year.
In this article, we’ll examine Xpeng Motors’ 2025 forecast and see how analysts rate this Chinese electric vehicle (EV) stock.
The Environment for Xpeng Motors Is Mixed
The macroeconomic environment in China is quite supportive of new energy vehicles (NEVs) - a segment that includes battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs). The country’s NEV penetration rates have already surpassed 50%, and Xpeng Motors expects them to rise to 85% over the next three years.
China is also taking steps to spur its domestic economy and previously announced stimulus measures bode well for its automotive industry. The global macro situation however remains tricky for Chinese EV companies as the E.U. – which has been a key export market – has imposed tariffs on imports from China.
Donald Trump’s return to the White House is another risk that Chinese companies face as the president-elect has vowed to impose further tariffs on China. While the U.S. market is practically closed for EV imports from China, thanks to the 100% tariff that President Joe Biden imposed, an escalation in U.S.-China trade tensions would negatively impact market sentiments toward Chinese stocks.
Xpeng Motors Should Deliver Strong Growth in 2025
Xpeng Motors has shown impressive growth in deliveries and shipped over 30,000 cars in November, a fresh record for the company. The growth was led by Mona M03, its first car under the Mona sub-brand, whose shipments topped 10,000 for three consecutive months.
Xpeng Motors is set to launch at least four new models in 2025 which would help it target more buyers. The company is also coming up with extended-range electric vehicles (EREV). These cars have a fossil-fuel-backed generator, which can extend the range of the battery and help XPEV compete with the likes of Li Auto and BYD .
In terms of profitability, Xpeng Motors’ margins have improved over the last few quarters and it is confident of reaching breakeven by the end of 2025. While that target might sound a bit stretched considering the company’s current financials, it is nonetheless a goal it strives for. Moreover, Xpeng Motors expects to generate positive free cash flows in the second half of 2024 and said that its cash flows should improve further next year. Generating positive free cash flow is no small achievement for XPEV as the startup EV space is infamous for its massive cash burn.
XPEV Offers Advanced Autonomous Driving Software
Xpeng is believed to have among the best – if not the best – autonomous driving capabilities among Chinese EV companies and has gradually expanded its reach. In the first half of 2025, Xpeng Motors is looking to mass produce its Mona M03 Max model which would offer advanced intelligent driving capabilities for less than $20,000. Through that model, Xpeng Motors would be able to lower the pricing threshold for vehicles that come with advanced self-driving features.
No wonder, Tesla CEO Elon Musk described Chinese EV companies as the “most competitive globally" - something every auto executive should attest to.
Musk has been in awe of Chinese EV companies, and during Tesla’s Q4 2023 earnings call earlier this year, the world's richest person observed: “Frankly, I think if there are no trade barriers established, [Chinese automakers] will pretty much demolish most other companies in the world.”
Xpeng Motors’ Long-Term Forecast
A partnership with Volkswagen (VWAGY) could be a key long-term driver for Xpeng and they are working to jointly develop two cars for the Chinese market by 2026. Xpeng Motors is also an artificial intelligence (AI) play, and at its AI Day last month, it unveiled the advanced humanoid AI Robot Iron which is powered by its Turing AI chip. XPEV also has a flying car subsidiary named Xpeng AeroHT and expects to start its mass production in 2025.
How High Can XPEV Stock Go in 2025?
Xpeng Motors has a Street-high target price of $18.70 which is 44% higher than the Dec. 24 closing price, while its mean target price of $14.03 is just about 8.7% higher. Of the 12 analysts covering Xpeng Motors stock, 6 rate it as a “Strong Buy” while 1 has a “Moderate Buy” rating. Three analysts rate it as a “Hold” while 2 rate it as a “Strong Sell.”
While Xpeng Motors stock disappointed in 2024, I continue to believe in its story and see it as a potential multi-bagger stock that could become the “Tesla of China.”
On the date of publication, Mohit Oberoi had a position in: XPEV , TSLA , LI . All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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MicroStrategy, Li Auto lead Thursday's market cap stock movers
Thursday's market has seen notable fluctuations among stocks across different market capitalization categories. Mega-cap stocks like FBTC (FBTC) have experienced declines, while certain large-cap stocks like Li Auto Inc (NASDAQ:LI) and Xpeng Inc (NYSE:XPEV) have surged, reflecting a diverse day on Wall Street. Here are some of the key stock movers from mega to small caps.
China Yuchai International Ltd (NYSE:CYD): +14.81%
AMCI Acquisition II (LNZA): +15.0%
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Social Buzz: Wallstreetbets Stocks Mostly Higher Pre-Bell Thursday; Tesla, KULR Technology to Advance
The most-talked-about stocks in the Reddit subforum Wallstreetbets were mostly higher in the early hours before Thursday's opening bell.
Tesla stock advanced 0.2% before the markets open, adding to gains from Tuesday's 7.4% closing increase.
MicroStrategy stock retreated 3.4 partially reversing gains from the 7.8% rise in the prior session.
Nvidia retreated 1% in early premarket hours, from a 0.4% increase at Tuesday's close.
DTE Energy shares were up 0.4% premarket, extending the 0.4% gains from the previous session.
KULR Technology Group shares were up nearly 5% premarket, still advancing after closing Tuesday with a more than 21% increase.
Intuitive Machines stock advanced nearly 1% premarket, adding to Tesday's gain of 14.2% at close.
Advanced Micro Devices shares retreated 0.6% in early premarket activity, partially reversing the 1.4% gain from the market close on Tuesday.
Archer Aviation stock advanced 2.6% ahead of the opening bell, extending the 15% increase from the prior session.
Palantir's shares were up 1.1% in pre-bell activity, after closing Tuesday with an increase of 2.1%.
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Stocks Slip Before the Open as Bond Yields March Higher, U.S. Jobless Claims Data in Focus
March S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESH25) are down -0.45%, andMarch Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQH25) are down -0.52% this morning as Treasury yields climbed after cash trading resumed following the Christmas holiday, with investors turning their attention to U.S. jobless claims numbers due later today.
In Tuesday’s trading session, Wall Street’s three main equity benchmarks closed in the green. All the Magnificent 7 megacap technology stocks advanced, with Tesla climbing over +7% to lead gainers in the S&P 500. Also, chip stocks extended gains after the Biden administration launched a probe into Chinese chips, with Broadcom rising more than +3% and Advanced Micro Devices gaining over +1%. In addition, NeueHealth soared more than +74% after the company announced that it had agreed to be taken private by New Enterprise Associates in a $1.3 billion deal.
Economic data released on Tuesday showed that the U.S. Richmond Fed manufacturing index came in at -10 in December, in line with expectations.
“Santa Claus rally could still be alive, with strong seasonality into the end of the year,” said London Stockton at Ned Davis Research.
A Santa Claus rally refers to the consistent gains observed in the stock market over the final five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has delivered average and median returns of 1.3% during this period, significantly exceeding the market’s average seven-day gain of 0.3%, according to Adam Turnquist at LPL Financial.
Meanwhile, U.S. rate futures have priced in a 91.4% chance of no rate change and an 8.6% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the next central bank meeting in January.
Today, investors will focus on U.S. Initial Jobless Claims data, which is set to be released in a couple of hours. Economists estimate this figure will come in at 223K, compared to last week’s 220K.
In the bond market, the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is at 4.621%, up +0.72%.
Most major markets in Europe remain closed today.
Asian stock markets today settled in the green. China’s Shanghai Composite Index (SHCOMP) closed up +0.14%, and Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Index (NIK) closed up +1.12%.
China’s Shanghai Composite Index ended slightly higher today after swinging between modest gains and losses amid thin trading volumes typical of the year-end period. Technology stocks gained ground on Thursday. Shares of computing-equipment makers also rose after the nation announced plans to include the sector in the investment scope of local government special bonds. At the same time, energy stocks retreated. Meanwhile, the People’s Bank of China issued 300 billion yuan in one-year medium-term lending facility loans to financial institutions at an unchanged rate of 2% on Wednesday, prompting analysts to suggest it is holding off on deploying its policy instruments until later to deal with the economic impact of the Trump administration. Investors are waiting for the details of China’s supportive measures after policymakers reiterated their pledges this week to boost consumption and stabilize the property market. Analysts and investors anticipate the details to be disclosed in March next year during China’s annual parliamentary meeting, where Beijing will announce its growth target and determine measures to boost the economy. In corporate news, Weihai Guangwei Composites surged over +10% after securing a 3.66 billion yuan deal through its subsidiary to supply carbon fiber fabrics to an undisclosed customer.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Index closed sharply higher today. Automobile stocks led the gains on Thursday amid a weaker yen. Retail stocks also advanced after the country agreed with China to implement additional measures aimed at boosting tourist visits. Data from the Cabinet Office released on Thursday showed that Japan’s leading economic indicators index, which gauges the economic outlook for a few months ahead based on data such as job offers and consumer sentiment, was revised upward in October, reaching its highest level since July. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda on Wednesday refrained from clearly indicating a potential interest rate hike next month by emphasizing the need to continue monitoring economic risks. “The timing and pace of adjusting the degree of monetary accommodation will depend on developments in economic activity and prices as well as financial conditions going forward,” Ueda said. In other news, Japan’s government is poised to compile a record $735 billion budget for the fiscal year starting April due to increased social security and debt-servicing costs, according to a draft of the plan Bloomberg obtained on Wednesday. Tokyo also plans to reduce new bond issuance to under 30 trillion yen for the first time in 17 years. In corporate news, Toyota Motor climbed about +6% following a Nikkei newspaper report stating the company aims to double its ROE target to 20% by around 2030. The Nikkei Volatility, which takes into account the implied volatility of Nikkei 225 options, closed down -1.85% to 20.65.
The Japanese October Leading Index stood at 109.1, stronger than expectations of 108.6.
Pre-Market U.S. Stock Movers
Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks are moving lower in pre-market trading, with the price of Bitcoin down more than -3%. MicroStrategy is down more than -5%. Also, MARA Holdings is down over -3%, and Bit Digital is down more than -2%.
Today’s U.S. Earnings Spotlight: Thursday - December 26th
None.
On the date of publication, Oleksandr Pylypenko did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policyhere.
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Xiaomi joins NIO, XPeng, and Li Auto EV charging networks in China
Investing.com -- Chinese consumer electronics company Xiaomi (OTC:XIACF) has announced it will join the electric vehicle (EV) charging networks of rivals NIO, XPeng (NYSE:XPEV), and Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI). The partnership will give Xiaomi's auto business customers access to over 29,000 charging stations across China.
The announcement was made in a Weibo (NASDAQ:WB) post on Wednesday, where Xiaomi revealed that its cars could now be utilized at more than 14,000 charging stations developed by NIO, 9,000 by XPeng, and 6,000 by Li Auto. The company did not provide additional details about the agreements.
CCB International analyst Qu Ke has described these partnerships as a strategic move by Xiaomi to utilize available resources to the fullest.
Xiaomi, a company primarily recognized for its smartphones and home appliances, is a relatively new entrant to the global largest EV market. Despite the competition, Xiaomi's EV business, which launched its first car in March, has reported strong sales performance.
The company generated 9.7 billion yuan ($1.33 billion) in revenue in the third quarter alone, an increase from the second quarter. The gross profit margin of the business also improved, rising to 17.1% from 15.4%.
In November, Xiaomi achieved its 2024 delivery goal of 100,000 units sooner than expected, leading the company to increase its annual target to 130,000 units.
Xiaomi's shares, which closed at 32.75 Hong Kong dollars before the Christmas holiday break, have more than doubled this year. The surge is attributed to strong earnings and a better-than-expected performance of its EV business.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.
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Xiaomi Gains Access to EV Chargers of NIO, XPeng, Li Auto
Chinese consumer-electronics specialist Xiaomi will join the electric-vehicle charging networks of rivals NIO, XPeng and Li Auto, giving customers of its emerging auto business access to tens of thousands of charging stations in China.
Xiaomi said in a Weibo post Wednesday that its cars can now be used at more than 14,000 charging stations developed by NIO, 9,000 by XPeng and 6,000 by Li Auto. It didn't provide further details of the deals.
CCB International analyst Qu Ke described the tie-ups as "a natural move for Xiaomi to make the most of available resources."
Xiaomi, known mainly for its smartphones and home appliances, is a late entrant to the world's biggest market for EVs, but it has seen robust sales performance in the crowded and competitive space. Its EV business launched its first car in March, with the segment going on to generate 9.7 billion yuan in revenue, equivalent to $1.33 billion, in the third quarter. The business's gross profit margin improved to 17.1% from 15.4% in the second quarter.
Xiaomi reached its 2024 delivery goal of 100,000 units in November, earlier than expected, prompting it to raise its annual target to 130,000 units.
Shares of the company, which closed at 32.75 Hong Kong dollars before the Christmas holiday break, have more than doubled this year, thanks to strong earnings and a better-than-expected EV business.
Write to Jiahui Huang at jiahui.huang@wsj.com
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Tesla, MicroStrategy lead market cap stock movers on Wednesday
Wednesday's market has seen significant movements across various stocks, particularly within the mega-cap and large-cap categories. Stocks such as Tesla Motors (NASDAQ:TSLA) and MicroStrategy Inc (NASDAQ:MSTR) have shown notable rallies, while others have also made impressive gains. This article will provide an overview of today's stock movers, from the largest mega-caps to the more volatile small-caps.
Mega-Cap Movers:
Tesla Motors (TSLA): +7.36%; YTD Price Total (EPA:TTEF) Return: 86.04%
Avago Technologies (NASDAQ:AVGO): +3.15%; YTD Price Total Return: 117.61%
Wal-mart Stores (NYSE:WMT): +2.58%; YTD Price Total Return: 78.47%
Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX): +2.27%; YTD Price Total Return: 91.45%
Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS): +2.1%; YTD Price Total Return: 41.22%
Large-Cap Stock Movers:
MicroStrategy Inc (MSTR): +7.81%; YTD Price Total Return: 467.08%
FBTC NYSE (FBTC): +6.48%; YTD Price Total Return: 111.4%
IBIT NASDAQ (IBIT): +6.36%; YTD Price Total Return: 111.15%
Super Micro Compu (NASDAQ:SMCI): +5.96%; YTD Price Total Return: 20.77%
Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD): +5.55%; YTD Price Total Return: 210.68%
Reddit (RDDT): +5.22%; YTD Price Total Return: 251.72%
Astera Labs (ALAB): +4.45%; YTD Price Total Return: 128.28%
Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN): +4.28%; YTD Price Total Return: 60.78%
Talen Energy Corp (TLN): +4.08%; YTD Price Total Return: 223.2%
Archer Aviation (ACHR): +15.14%; YTD Price Total Return: 75.9%
Blue Safari Group Acquisition Corp (BTDR): +14.81%; YTD Price Total Return: 138.95%
TSLL (TSLL): +14.35%; YTD Price Total Return: 164.1%
BITX (BITX): +13.3%; YTD Price Total Return: 138.45%
Hut 8 Mining PK (HUT): +12.15%; YTD Price Total Return: 82.01%
Pony Ai Inc (PONY): -9.52%; YTD Price Total Return: 8.5%
Joby Aviation (NYSE:JOBY): +8.4%; YTD Price Total Return: 24.21%
Venaxis (NASDAQ:RIOT): +8.06%; YTD Price Total Return: -24.56%
dMY Technology Group III (IONQ): +7.89%; YTD Price Total Return: 259.81%
Ikonics Corp (WULF): +7.23%; YTD Price Total Return: 159.58%
Small-Cap Stock Movers:
Exodus Movement (EXOD): +23.25%; YTD Price Total Return: 755.45%
Kulr Technology Group OTC (KULR): +20.85%; YTD Price Total Return: 1748.65%
AMCI Acquisition II (LNZA): +17.65%; YTD Price Total Return: -68.19%
M I Acquisitions Inc Unit (PRTH): +17.46%; YTD Price Total Return: 204.21%
GigCapital4 (BBAI): +16.93%; YTD Price Total Return: 74.3%
Alussa Energy Acquisition (NYSE:FREY): +16.41%; YTD Price Total Return: 59.36%
Semler Scientifc (NASDAQ:SMLR): +15.6%; YTD Price Total Return: 60.94%
PrimeEnergy Corp (PNRG): +15.3%; YTD Price Total Return: 89.19%
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This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.
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