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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6827.42
6827.42
6827.42
6899.86
6801.80
-73.58
-1.07%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48458.04
48458.04
48458.04
48886.86
48334.10
-245.98
-0.51%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23195.16
23195.16
23195.16
23554.89
23094.51
-398.69
-1.69%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
97.950
98.030
97.950
98.500
97.950
-0.370
-0.38%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.17394
1.17409
1.17394
1.17496
1.17192
+0.00011
+ 0.01%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33707
1.33732
1.33707
1.33997
1.33419
-0.00148
-0.11%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4299.39
4299.39
4299.39
4353.41
4257.10
+20.10
+ 0.47%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
57.233
57.485
57.233
58.011
56.969
-0.408
-0.71%
--

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Australia Intelligence Official: National Terrorism Threat Level Remains At Probable

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Australia Intelligence Official: We Are Looking At The Identities Of The Attackers

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Australia Prime Minister: Tells Jews We Will Dedicate Every Resource Required To Making Sure You Are Safe And Protected

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Australia Prime Minister: Police And Security Agencies Are Working To Determine Anyone Associated With This Outrage

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Australia Police: Police Bomb Disposal Unit Currently Working On Several Suspected Improvised Explosive Devices

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Syria's Oil Ministry Forecasts Country's Gas Production To Increase To 15 Million Cubic Meters By End Of 2026

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His Office: Ukraine's President Zelenskiy Landed In Germany

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Australia Police: This Is Not A Time For Retribution. This Is A Time To Allow The Police To Do Their Duty

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Australia Police: We Know That We Have Two Definite Offenders, But We Want To Make Sure The Community Is Safe

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Australia Police: Our Counter-Terrorism Command Will Lead This Investigation With Investigators From The State Crime Command. No Stone Will Be Left Unturned

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Australia Police: This Is A Terrorist Incident

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: Ukraine-Russia Ceasefire Along The Current Frontlines Would Be A Fair Option

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New South Wales Premier Chris Minns: This Is A Massive, Complex And Just Beginning Investigation

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New South Wales Premier Chris Minns: 12 Killed In Bondi Shooting

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: Security Guarantees Should Be Legally Binding

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: US, European Security Guarantees Instead Of NATO Membership Is Compromise From Ukraine's Side

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: There Won't Be A Peace Plan That Everyone Will Like, There Will Be Compromises

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: He Has Had No US Reaction Yet To Revised Peace Proposals

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          Oversold Indicators May Trigger a Market Rebound

          Eva Chen

          Forex

          Economic

          Summary:

          The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) extended its decline on Tuesday, touching approximately 98.15, a level not seen since March 2022. The dollar's broad-based weakness was fueled by escalating market concerns regarding U.S. trade policies and the Federal Reserve's independence.

          BUY USDX
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          98.540

          Entry Price

          102.000

          TP

          97.300

          SL

          97.950 -0.370 -0.38%

          65.0

          Pips

          Profit

          97.300

          SL

          99.190

          Exit Price

          98.540

          Entry Price

          102.000

          TP

          Fundamentals

          The USDX has experienced a significant decline since the escalation of global trade tensions stemming from President Trump's tariff war. The USDX has exhibited a clear bearish sequence since peaking on September 26, 2022.
          The primary driver behind the dollar's weakness is the persistent public criticism of the Federal Reserve by former President Trump, which has eroded perceptions of the Fed's independence and undermined investor confidence in U.S. policy credibility.
          Overnight, the USDX breached a critical support level, suggesting a potential acceleration of the downtrend. This sell-off reflects an intensification of investor selling pressure on U.S. assets as market sentiment continues to deteriorate.
          Furthermore, the weaponization of the dollar, including its use to coerce other nations to abandon dollar-denominated settlements and its interference in trade through the leveraging of its dominant position, is compelling other countries to gradually move away from using the dollar for international transactions, opting for alternative currencies.
          As the U.S.'s share in the global economy diminishes over time, the dollar's status as the world's primary reserve currency is increasingly under threat, a trend that appears irreversible.
          Oversold Indicators May Trigger a Market Rebound_1

          Technical Analysis

          Technically, the quote at 99.57 (2023 low) confirms the resumption of the downtrend from 114.77 (2022 high). The short-term outlook remains bearish as long as the 101.91 resistance level holds. The next target is the 100% Fibonacci retracement of 99.57 - 114.77 at 94.97.
          For the USDX, the support range near the 95.00 psychological level is particularly important, as it coincides with the long-term ascending channel support dating back to 2011.
          A decisive break below the 95.00 level in the future could initially trigger a further acceleration of the medium-term decline to around 94.42. (This level may see an equivalent rebound after the end of the AB=CD pattern). More importantly, this could also signal the end of the broader uptrend that began from the 2008 low of 70.69.
          Such a structural collapse would lead to sustained weakness, with a medium-term downside target in the 89.20-90.00 range, and the risk of entering a new long-term downtrend in the coming years.

          Trading Recommendations

          Trading Direction: Buy
          Entry Price: 98.30
          Target Price: 102.00
          Stop Loss: 97.30
          Valid Until: May 7, 2025 23:55:00
          Support: 98.00, 97.95, 97.69
          Resistance: 99.21, 100.30, 101.27
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Pullback Is Expected as Short-term Indicators Are Overbought

          Eva Chen

          Cryptocurrency

          Summary:

          he appeal of Bitcoin as a hedge against volatility in traditional markets is increasing.

          SELL BTC-USDT
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          88678.4

          Entry Price

          84705.0

          TP

          91000.0

          SL

          89408.2 -692.5 -0.77%

          2321.6

          Pips

          Loss

          84705.0

          TP

          91027.9

          Exit Price

          88678.4

          Entry Price

          91000.0

          SL

          Fundamentals

          Following President Trump's renewed calls for immediate Federal Reserve rate cuts, investors sought alternatives to the U.S. dollar, leading to an increase in Bitcoin's price. Trump's statements have demonstrably impacted Bitcoin's price dynamics.
          Recent weak U.S. economic data has also amplified concerns about a potential economic slowdown, bolstering Bitcoin's appeal as a hedge against volatility in traditional markets.
          The rise in Bitcoin's price underscores its sensitivity to macroeconomic indicators and political rhetoric. Market sentiment is also improving, with relevant indices rising to 47, matching the high of March 27. This signifies a shift from the fear zone to a neutral range, suggesting a promising outlook. Such a transition typically precedes sustained market strength following a correction.
          Over the past seven days, the cryptocurrency market has risen by approximately 2%, largely consolidating. The cryptocurrency market capitalization has reached US$2.76 trillion, hitting the upper bound of the April range. Currently, it's noteworthy that the market has found support at the critical US$2.45 trillion level - a resistance level last year that later served as the launchpad for the rally that began in November.
          This Tuesday, Bitcoin's price continued its ascent within the consolidation range of the previous week, around US$85,000. Currently, its price is on the verge of breaking through the prior high of US$88,878. However, before breaching this level, market quotes are being resisted by the 200-day SMA. A short-term pullback is expected.
          Pullback Is Expected as Short-term Indicators Are Overbought_1

          Technical Analysis

          Technically, Bitcoin is currently trading within an ascending channel in the 1H timeframe, although the market is exhibiting overbought conditions. Consequently, bears will likely attempt to seize control, potentially driving a downward trend or a retracement to the US$86,410 level, or even lower, towards the US$84,765 range.
          In the 1D timeframe, which represents a broader timeframe, Bitcoin's price action remains within an ascending channel. Therefore, bulls are targeting the recent sell-off's origin at US$95,223 or higher, with a long-term target of US$96,464.
          Conversely, bears will aim to profit from a pullback towards the US$78,761 range or potentially lower, around US$72,595. However, given the current market sentiment, a significant bearish move appears unlikely. The market seems to be favoring only a minor correction.

          Trading Recommendations

          Trading Direction: Sell
          Entry Price: 89000
          Target Price: 84705
          Stop Loss: 91000
          Valid Until: May 7, 2025 23:55:00
          Support: 87603, 86476, 85349
          Resistance: 89052, 90018, 91092
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          NZD/USD Pushes Higher as U.S. Dollar Buckles Under Political Strain

          Warren Takunda

          Economic

          Summary:

          The Kiwi rallies near 0.6000 but faces looming policy headwinds from RBNZ rate cut expectations.

          BUY NZDUSD
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          0.60002

          Entry Price

          0.62000

          TP

          0.58700

          SL

          0.58040 -0.00044 -0.08%

          34.8

          Pips

          Loss

          0.58700

          SL

          0.59654

          Exit Price

          0.60002

          Entry Price

          0.62000

          TP

          The New Zealand dollar continued its upward march against the US dollar on Tuesday, extending gains that began earlier this month, as mounting economic and political instability in the United States kept the greenback under pressure. The NZD/USD pair hovered near the key psychological level of 0.6000 during the early European trading session, bolstered by a combination of broad-based dollar weakness, strong domestic trade data, and technical bullish momentum. However, the rally may face near-term resistance as markets brace for a likely interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) in May.
          The current weakness in the US dollar is being driven primarily by intensifying concerns over Washington’s economic and political trajectory. A slew of recent developments has undermined investor confidence in the world’s largest economy. Chief among them is President Donald Trump’s renewed antagonism toward Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, which has once again raised alarms over the central bank’s independence.
          Trump’s latest barrage of criticism, delivered through his Truth Social platform, included warnings that unless the Fed slashes rates soon, the US economy could be headed for a sharp downturn. These remarks have stoked fears among market participants that the Fed could be forced into a politically motivated easing cycle, rather than one based on data-driven economic assessment.
          White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett further stirred the pot by revealing that the administration is exploring legal avenues to potentially remove Powell—a move that would represent an unprecedented breach of the Fed’s autonomy and could severely damage US financial credibility.
          Adding to the uncertainty are escalating trade frictions. The White House recently imposed tariffs on Chinese cargo ships docking at American ports—a decision that could disrupt global supply chains and worsen trade flows. Beijing, a major trading partner for both the US and New Zealand, has refused to back down, maintaining a hardline stance in response to Washington’s pressure tactics.
          Moreover, Trump's proposal for an investigation into imports of critical minerals has sparked fears of additional tariffs, further rattling already fragile global trade dynamics. The standoff with China, especially over high-value mineral trade, has only exacerbated concerns of a protracted slowdown in global growth.
          Against this backdrop of geopolitical tension, the New Zealand dollar has found some support in its robust macroeconomic fundamentals. Data released last week revealed a sharp improvement in the country’s external sector. In March, New Zealand posted a trade surplus of NZD 970 million its highest since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Exports rose an impressive 19% year-on-year, while imports increased by 12%, reflecting strong domestic and international demand.
          Yet, this economic strength may not be enough to keep the Kiwi buoyed for long. The RBNZ is widely expected to cut its Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points at its next policy meeting in May. Markets have already priced in a move from 3.5% to 3.25%, with further reductions anticipated later in the year, potentially bringing the rate to 2.75% by December. The dovish tilt in RBNZ policy guidance is largely in response to cooling inflation pressures and a softening housing market.
          The divergence between RBNZ's easing bias and the Federal Reserve’s more hawkish posture even under political pressure could eventually weigh on the NZD, despite its current momentum.

          Technical AnalysisNZD/USD Pushes Higher as U.S. Dollar Buckles Under Political Strain_1

          From a technical standpoint, NZD/USD remains in an intraday bullish phase, supported by sustained trading above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA50). The pair has shown resilience since April 9, consistently posting higher lows, and managed to alleviate overbought pressures on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) without breaking trend structure.
          The Kiwi recently touched a pullback support level around 0.5971, a key area that could provide another leg higher if sustained. A break below this support, however, may trigger a retracement toward the overlap support near 0.5875 a level also aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the recent bullish leg.
          Upside targets remain intact, with the next major resistance seen at 0.6082, which coincides with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension marking a potential take-profit zone for short-term bulls.
          TRADE RECOMMENDATION
          BUY NZDUSD
          ENTRY PRICE: 0.6000
          STOP LOSS: 0.5870
          TAKE PROFIT:0.6200
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          EUR/USD Holds Ground Near 1.1500 as US Dollar Falters Under Trump’s Political Pressure on the Fed

          Warren Takunda

          Economic

          Summary:

          EUR/USD is holding steady near 1.1500 as political drama in the US undermines the Dollar’s credibility.

          BUY EURUSD
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          1.14900

          Entry Price

          1.18000

          TP

          1.13000

          SL

          1.17394 +0.00011 +0.01%

          190.0

          Pips

          Loss

          1.13000

          SL

          1.13000

          Exit Price

          1.14900

          Entry Price

          1.18000

          TP

          The EUR/USD pair remains firm around the 1.1500 mark during European trading on Tuesday, as a weakening US Dollar continues to reel from political shocks stemming from President Donald Trump’s renewed attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The tension between the White House and the Fed has deepened, leading to investor concern over the credibility and independence of one of the world’s most influential central banks.
          This isn’t just another routine clash between fiscal and monetary policy. Trump’s aggressive rhetoric, amplified via his TruthSocial platform, is shaking investor confidence in the institutional integrity of the Fed. On Monday, he labeled Powell as “Mr. Too Late,” accusing him of endangering the US economy by refusing to cut interest rates amid what Trump called “trending downward costs.” Trump warned of an impending economic slowdown unless immediate rate cuts are enacted, igniting concerns over political interference in monetary policy—a line traditionally respected in democratic systems.
          "With these costs trending so nicely downward, just what I predicted they would do, there can almost be no inflation, but there can be a SLOWING of the economy unless Mr. Too Late, a major loser, lowers interest rates, NOW," Trump wrote.
          Powell, however, has remained steadfast. The Fed Chair continues to argue for a cautious approach, advocating to maintain interest rates in the current 4.25%-4.50% range until inflationary pressures are better understood in the wake of recent fiscal shifts. His resistance to political pressure has now placed the Fed at the center of a contentious power struggle that could have sweeping consequences for the US economy and the Dollar's status as the global reserve currency.
          The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback against a basket of major currencies, recently dipped to a fresh three-year low near the 98.00 handle, and market participants are finding few reasons to expect a quick recovery. Investors fear that undermining the Fed’s autonomy could deteriorate the US’s financial credibility on the global stage.
          Adding fuel to the fire, Trump has reportedly explored the possibility of removing Powell before the end of his term a legally murky area that, if pursued, could trigger a constitutional crisis and further destabilize financial markets. While legal experts argue that Trump’s ability to oust Powell is limited, the mere threat is enough to rattle sentiment and drive capital away from US assets.
          Across the Atlantic, the Euro is trading with cautious optimism. The European Central Bank (ECB) is widely expected to cut interest rates in June, with dovish sentiment increasing due to persistent downside risks to inflation and a deteriorating economic outlook. Analysts at Citi, for example, forecast Eurozone inflation at 1.6% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027 both below the ECB’s 2% target.
          In a recent press conference following the ECB’s seventh rate cut in the current easing cycle, President Christine Lagarde acknowledged that the Eurozone’s economic trajectory is “clouded by uncertainty,” citing weakening business investment and ongoing global trade disruptions.
          The ECB is walking a delicate line aiming to provide monetary stimulus while avoiding further Euro weakness that could stoke imported inflation. But with global trade turmoil threatening to weigh on Europe’s export-heavy economy, more cuts are likely on the horizon.
          Back in the US, Trump’s volatile trade policy isn’t helping the Dollar’s case. The former president recently announced a 90-day suspension on executing reciprocal tariffs, a move interpreted by markets as a tactical pause in an ongoing trade war rather than a meaningful de-escalation. The US-China conflict continues to cast a long shadow, with American importers bearing the brunt of higher tariffs—a cost that will ultimately be passed onto consumers, eroding household purchasing power and potentially stalling domestic demand.
          The US Dollar’s traditional role as a safe-haven asset is now under threat. Political meddling, erratic trade policy, and looming inflationary risks are tarnishing the appeal of the Greenback, driving investors toward alternative stores of value, including the Euro.
          Technical AnalysisEUR/USD Holds Ground Near 1.1500 as US Dollar Falters Under Trump’s Political Pressure on the Fed_1
          From a technical standpoint, EUR/USD continues to trade within a clearly defined ascending channel, forming a pattern of higher highs and higher lows—an indicator that bullish momentum remains intact. After breaking out above the key 1.1480–1.1500 resistance zone, the pair is now consolidating just above the trendline, as if coiling for another upward thrust.
          Immediate resistance is seen at 1.1566, followed by 1.1701 if the bullish breakout materializes. Both the 34-period and 89-period exponential moving averages (EMAs) are trending upward, confirming a structurally sound medium-term uptrend.
          On the hourly chart, the pair has entered a sideways consolidation phase, but with price action holding firmly above the EMA50 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) flashing oversold signals, a bounce from current levels looks increasingly likely. The formation of bullish overlapping signals strengthens the case for a continuation of the rally.
          TRADE RECOMMENDATION
          BUY EURUSD
          ENTRY PRICE: 1.1490
          STOP LOSS: 1.1300
          TAKE PROFIT: 1.1800
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Gold Rally Explodes in April, Fueled by Fed Tensions and Risk-Off Mood

          Warren Takunda

          Commodity

          Summary:

          Gold prices surged to an all-time high of $3,500 as escalating political pressure on the Federal Reserve and a weakening U.S. dollar fueled safe-haven demand.

          BUY XAUUSD
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          3460.00

          Entry Price

          3640.00

          TP

          3330.00

          SL

          4299.39 +20.10 +0.47%

          1300.0

          Pips

          Loss

          3330.00

          SL

          3318.40

          Exit Price

          3460.00

          Entry Price

          3640.00

          TP

          Gold (XAU/USD) surged to a fresh record high of $3,500 in early Asian trading on Tuesday, notching more than 10% in gains for the month of April. While prices have since cooled to around $3,467 on profit-taking at the psychological barrier, the yellow metal remains firmly in bullish territory, reflecting deepening investor anxiety over the direction of U.S. monetary policy and political interference in the central bank.
          After a relatively muted start to the week amid lingering Easter holiday effects, markets roared back to life Tuesday, with gold emerging as the undisputed safe-haven champion. Reduced liquidity during Good Friday and Easter Monday led to subdued activity, but as full trading resumed, traders quickly repositioned in favor of the precious metal.
          The recent rally is not merely technical—it is fundamentally rooted in escalating political drama in Washington, D.C., and mounting skepticism about the Federal Reserve’s autonomy. U.S. President Donald Trump’s latest salvo against Fed Chair Jerome Powell has added a combustible mix of politics and policy confusion to an already jittery market environment.
          In one of his most provocative critiques yet, President Trump publicly labeled Fed Chair Jerome Powell a “loser” and signaled his intent to replace him if re-elected. Trump accused Powell of deliberately lowering interest rates under President Biden, only to resist doing the same now. Reports indicate that Trump is actively seeking avenues to oust Powell and install a more dovish figure at the helm of the central bank—one who would rapidly cut rates.
          This has spooked markets. The notion of political interference in the Fed’s decision-making process—a cornerstone of U.S. monetary stability—has prompted a rapid reassessment of risk across asset classes. Treasury yields have risen, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has slumped to its lowest level since 2022, and investors are now increasingly wary of the long-term credibility of U.S. assets.
          According to Jefferies, gold may now be “the only true safe-haven asset left,” as faith in U.S. Treasuries erodes under the weight of political uncertainty, trade tensions with China, and the worsening fiscal situation in Washington.
          “With the recent selloff in U.S. Treasuries, and a view that Treasuries are inextricably tied to tariffs, a trade war with China, and the U.S. fiscal situation, we believe gold is the only true safe-haven asset left,” Jefferies analysts said in a Tuesday note.

          Technical AnalysisGold Rally Explodes in April, Fueled by Fed Tensions and Risk-Off Mood_1

          From a technical standpoint, gold remains deeply bullish. Tuesday’s rally to $3,500 came amid strong buying momentum, though some cooling is now visible. Prices have retraced to around $3,440–$3,467 in early European trading as buyers pause to reassess. However, the pullback is modest, and there is little indication of a deeper correction at least for now.
          The broader uptrend remains intact, driven by a collapsing dollar, declining faith in U.S. Treasuries, and heightened geopolitical and economic risks. The recent price action is also consistent with a classic bullish continuation setup. Gold has been forming higher highs and higher lows, maintaining structure within an ascending channel. Only a break below the channel’s lower boundary would shift the short-term outlook toward caution.
          Key support is seen near $3,420 and $3,390, with resistance now sitting firmly at the psychological $3,500 level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in overbought territory, but momentum indicators have not yet signaled a full reversal.
          TRADE RECOMMENDATION
          BUY GOLD
          ENTRY PRICE: 3460
          STOP LOSS: 3330
          TAKE PROFIT: 3640
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Short-Term Trend Likely to Lean Downward

          Alan

          Forex

          Summary:

          GBPJPY is poised to face downward pressure amid divergent monetary policy expectations. Heightened expectations of an interest rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) contrast with rising prospects for a rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), potentially weakening the pound against the yen.

          SELL GBPJPY
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          187.704

          Entry Price

          181.100

          TP

          190.200

          SL

          208.323 +0.079 +0.04%

          249.6

          Pips

          Loss

          181.100

          TP

          190.207

          Exit Price

          187.704

          Entry Price

          190.200

          SL

          Fundamentals

          United Kingdom:
          The UK's March Consumer Price Index (CPI) registered a YoY increase of 2.6%, marking the second consecutive month of deceleration and falling short of the market consensus of 2.7%. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 3.4% YoY, in line with expectations but still indicative of elevated underlying inflationary pressures. This data has further solidified market expectations for a BoE rate cut in 2024, with interest rate futures now pricing in a 68% probability of a 25 basis point reduction in May.
          Wage growth in the UK also showed signs of moderation. Average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, increased by 5.6% YoY in February, below the anticipated 5.7%. Retail sales data for March revealed a YoY increase of only 0.9%, highlighting a lack of momentum in domestic consumer demand and exacerbating downward pressure on the pound.
          Japan:
          Japan's core CPI, which excludes fresh food prices, climbed to 3.2% YoY in March, surpassing the Bank of Japan's 2% inflation target for the third consecutive year. The persistent overshooting of the inflation target has intensified market speculation that the BoJ may tighten monetary policy sooner rather than later.
          Additionally, geopolitical tensions and the escalation of the US-China trade dispute have heightened global supply chain concerns, prompting a surge in safe-haven flows into the yen. As a traditional safe-haven currency, the yen's appeal has significantly strengthened amid deteriorating risk sentiment, further bolstering its value.
          Overall, the increasing likelihood of a BoE rate cut in May is expected to weigh on the pound, while the rising probability of a BoJ rate hike is anticipated to provide a tailwind for the yen, potentially widening the spread between the two currencies.

          Technical Analysis

          Short-Term Trend Likely to Lean Downward_1
          From a technical perspective, the GBPJPY exchange rate remains entrenched within a well-defined descending channel on the daily chart, with the prevailing trend firmly skewed to the downside.
          After initially finding support at the lower boundary of the channel, the price staged a rebound but was subsequently capped by resistance at the psychological level of 190.00. The sustained inability to breach this resistance level has led to a gradual erosion of bullish momentum, suggesting that the market may be poised for another leg lower.
          On the downside, the initial target for further depreciation is likely to be the previous low at 184.37. Should this level be convincingly breached, the downside trajectory could extend further, with the potential for the exchange rate to probe towards the 180.00 mark.

          Trading Recommendations

          Trading Direction: Sell
          Entry Price: 187.80
          Target Price: 181.10
          Stop Loss: 190.20
          Valid Until: May 06, 2025, 23:00:00
          Support: 184.37/180.00
          Resistance: 188.76/190.00
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Price Action Suggests EURCHF Could Extend Its Recovery Rally

          Manuel

          Central Bank

          Economic

          Summary:

          The price appears to be gaining traction and could extend its upward move toward the 0.9430 area, provided it avoids a downside break below the recent lows.

          BUY EURCHF
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          0.93197

          Entry Price

          0.94300

          TP

          0.92200

          SL

          0.93442 +0.00093 +0.10%

          31.5

          Pips

          Profit

          0.92200

          SL

          0.93512

          Exit Price

          0.93197

          Entry Price

          0.94300

          TP

          The European Union (EU) is reportedly weighing adjustments to its methane regulations for U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) as part of an effort to smooth trade relations, according to Reuters. The European Commission is said to be refining its proposal ahead of trade negotiations with the United States, seeking to defuse tensions and potentially stave off a new round of tariffs proposed by former President Donald Trump. Both parties have hinted that energy cooperation could serve as a cornerstone of a broader trade agreement.
          In parallel, the European Central Bank (ECB) has now delivered six consecutive interest rate cuts, marking the seventh reduction since its easing cycle began in June 2024. With inflation in the eurozone continuing to edge closer to the ECB’s 2% target, investors are increasingly pricing in the potential for additional policy accommodation. Broader concerns about external shocks and a weakening global growth backdrop have further solidified the rationale for maintaining an accommodative monetary stance.
          In its latest statement, the ECB reaffirmed that disinflation remains on track, but carefully avoided committing to a specific rate path. Instead, the central bank emphasized its data-dependent approach, pledging to reassess conditions meeting by meeting in light of what it described as a climate of “exceptional uncertainty.” Much of that uncertainty, officials noted, stems from the unpredictable nature of Trump’s evolving trade agenda, which continues to cast a shadow over Europe’s export-driven economy.
          During her press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde expressed concern that escalating global trade tensions could undermine eurozone growth, primarily by eroding export demand. Exports remain a critical pillar of the euro area economy, and any sustained drag could delay the region’s recovery.
          Additional commentary from Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau suggested that inflationary risks related to global trade conflicts appear muted—possibly even skewing to the downside. Meanwhile, ECB policymaker Madis Müller explained that the latest 25-basis-point cut was largely a response to declining energy prices and increased tariff-related pressure. He also noted that interest rates have ceased being a restrictive factor for the economy, as underlying indicators continue to show gradual, if uneven, improvement. However, Müller warned that ongoing global fragmentation could eventually exert upward pressure on prices, especially if supply chains become more localized.
          While Swiss markets remained closed for Easter Monday, the Swiss franc (CHF) gained strength in early trading. Mounting U.S.-China trade tensions have reignited fears of a global slowdown, prompting investors to seek refuge in safe-haven assets such as the franc. Interestingly, President Trump has temporarily exempted certain key tech products, many of which are manufactured in China, from the latest round of proposed reciprocal tariffs—a move seen by some as an attempt to ease market nerves.
          Meanwhile, Switzerland’s trade surplus widened significantly to CHF 6.35 billion in March, up from CHF 4.8 billion in February—marking the largest monthly surplus since October 2024. The expansion was fueled by a 12.6% surge in exports, outpacing a 10.4% rise in imports, and further underscoring the strength of external demand.Price Action Suggests EURCHF Could Extend Its Recovery Rally_1

          Technical Analysis

          The EURCHF currency pair is currently showing signs of a bullish rebound after respecting a long-term ascending trendline. On April 11, the pair recorded a recent low near 0.9220, but since then, bears have failed to push the price to fresh lows. This inability to break down suggests a potential shift in momentum, with bulls slowly regaining control.
          The price appears to be gaining traction and could extend its upward move toward the 0.9430 area, provided it avoids a downside break below the recent lows. Notably, this upside level aligns with a zone of previous price congestion and lies just below the 100-period and 200-period moving averages, currently positioned at 0.9373 and 0.9470, respectively.
          Furthermore, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the previous downtrend intersects around the 0.9425 mark, adding to the confluence of resistance in that area. This enhances the likelihood that any ongoing pullback may continue climbing toward that cluster of key technical levels.
          The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering around 56, indicating a neutral stance. While not yet in overbought territory, the indicator suggests there’s still room for the rally to stretch further, especially in the absence of strong bearish catalysts. As long as price remains supported above its recent lows and continues to hold the ascending trendline, the pair could remain tilted to the upside in the near term.
          Trading Recommendations
          Trading direction: Buy
          Entry price: 0.9321
          Target price: 0.9430
          Stop loss: 0.9220
          Validity: Apr 30, 2025 15:00:00
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share
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