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Remarks of Officials
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Inflation, exchange rates, and the economy shape the policy decisions of central banks; the attitudes and words of central bank officials also influence the actions of market traders.
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Risk Warning on Trading HK Stocks
Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.
HK Stock Trading Fees and Taxation
Trading costs in the Hong Kong stock market include transaction fees, stamp duty, settlement charges, and currency conversion fees for foreign investors. Additionally, taxes may apply based on local regulations.
HK Non-Essential Consumer Goods Industry
The Hong Kong stock market encompasses non-essential consumption sectors like automotive, education, tourism, catering, and apparel. Of the 643 listed companies, 35% are mainland Chinese, making up 65% of the total market capitalization. Thus, it's heavily influenced by the Chinese economy.
HK Real Estate Industry
In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.
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【Barclays: It Is Expected That The Federal Reserve Will Pause Interest Rate Cuts After June Next Year, Until The Middle Of 2026.】Barclays Stated That One Of The Factors That May Keep Interest Rates High In The USA Is Its (Inflation) Policy. During The December Meeting, Some FOMC Participants Apparently Began To Reflect Expectations For Tariffs In Their Inflation Forecasts. Furthermore, Even Among Those Who Did Not Adjust Their Official Forecasts, Many Now Believe That The Balance Of Inflation Risks Tends To Lean Upward. Although Powell Did Not Clearly Answer To What Extent The Federal Reserve Is Inclined To View The Price Level Increases Related To Tariffs, It Is Believed That Continuing To Lower Interest Rates Will Be A Challenge, Especially In The Context Of Rising Inflation Rates In Recent Years, Given The Expectation That Tariffs Will Lead To Intensified Inflation In The Second Half Of 2025. It Is Expected That The Federal Reserve Will Pause Rate Cuts After June Next Year And Will Resume Them Around Mid-2026 After The Inflation Pressures Caused By Tariffs Dissipate. In Our Baseline, We Expect Two 25 Basis Point Cuts In 2026, With The Terminal Rate Being 3.25-3.50%
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