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With Republicans taking control of Congress, Wall Street is buzzing about a potential boom in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) under the upcoming Trump administration.
Bank of America analysts see brighter days ahead for deal-making, anticipating that Trump could remove Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan, whose aggressive antitrust stance has been a major roadblock for M&A activity across sectors.
Combined with favorable macro factors and investor demand for capex and M&A over debt paydown, there are plenty of reasons to believe that 2025 and beyond could see significant deal activity.
Banks And Biotech: Two Key Sectors To Watch
Analysts at Bank of America's U.S. banks team are particularly bullish about the M&A prospects for financials, which have historically enjoyed more than 50% higher deal activity under Republican administrations than Democratic ones. With regulatory scrutiny expected to loosen, the landscape is ripe for a surge in bank deals.
Deal activity in biotech has already started picking up, especially in smaller acquisitions. Big Pharma faces mounting pressure to offset patent expirations, so it’s hunting for acquisition targets to replenish its drug pipelines. Lower rates and potential deregulation could further fuel biotech M&A as we head into 2025.
"The election results could lead to a less restrictive regulatory environment, which may open the door for more bank mergers and acquisitions,” Jill Carey Hall, CFA, a Bank of America analyst, said.
Macro Factors: Green And Yellow Lights for M&A
Several macroeconomic factors support a cyclical pick-up in M&A activity.
Strong equity market returns, cheap small-cap valuations relative to large caps and tight credit spreads all suggest a favorable environment for deal-making.
Not all signals are flashing green. Slowing GDP growth, rate uncertainty and high volatility could throw some caution flags. Long-term growth expectations for small caps, though improved, still remain below average.
Bank of America's credit strategists predict that 2025 could be a better year for M&A activity as rate cuts begin to materialize and volatility subsides.
"Sponsors are sitting on a pile of uncalled capital, and there's a real incentive to deploy it in a friendlier economic environment," Hall said.
Who Stands To Gain: Small-Cap Targets, Large-Cap Acquirers
With large deals on the decline, smaller targets have become the prime candidates for takeovers.
Aggregate deal value has been falling in recent years as mega-cap deals have dried up and smaller, more manageable transactions have become the norm.
This trend has paid off for both sides: small-cap targets have outperformed post-announcement and large-cap acquirers have seen record one-day gains in 2023 despite paying higher deal premiums.
This pattern suggests that investors are rewarding companies that buy growth, especially in today's uncertain economic landscape.
10 Potential M&A Candidates Among Large Caps
Bank of America's latest screening of potential M&A candidates includes high-growth, undervalued names, each with distinct value propositions that may appeal to suitors looking for long-term growth.
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© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
F5 FFIV shares have gained 41% in the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Internet - Software Industry, Zacks Computer and Technology Sector and the S&P 500 index’s return of 14.3%, 11.7 and 12.7%, respectively. FFIV’s outperformance reflects investors’ confidence in the company’s growth on the back of its innovative AI portfolio.
FFIV recently provided access to its AI Gateway. F5’s AI Gateway is a containerized solution designed to streamline and secure connections between applications, APIs and large language models to support enterprise AI installation.
FFIV’s AI Gateway solution reduces costs, counters threats and ensures compliance. The solution further integrates with F5’s NGINX and BIG-IP platforms, enabling deployment across any cloud or data center.
Earlier, F5 announced the availability of BIG-IP Next for Kubernetes. The BIG-IP Next for Kubernetes is an AI application delivery and security solution that enables service providers and large enterprises to centrally control, secure and streamline data traffic in their large-scale AI infrastructures. This year, F5 also partnered with Intel INTC and Portkey.ai to extend its AI expertise.
FFIV combined its NGINX with Intel’s OpenVINO toolkit and Infrastructure Processing Units to improve AI applications. F5 also provided its customers with better tools by combining its Distributed Cloud Services with Portkey.ai’s AI gateway and observability suite.
F5 6 Month Performance
F5 Faces Macroeconomic and Competitive Pressure
Although F5 has a competitive edge in the application delivery, security and performance optimization space with products like ARX, BIG-IP and VIPRION, it faces significant challenges from Cisco CSCO Systems, given the dominance of the CSCO in the overall networking market.
While F5 is a specialist in application delivery, load balancing and application security, Cisco is a broader player in network infrastructure, security and cloud solutions. They overlap in areas, such as load balancing, network security and cloud services. Cisco has tremendous engineering and marketing resources at its disposal. FFIV also faces competition from Cloudflare NET, Microsoft’s Azure Application Gateway and Fortinet.
F5’s BIG-IP and NGINX products face direct competition from Cloudflare's Web Application Firewall solution and DDoS mitigation services. Like F5, Azure Application Gateway offers WAF capabilities, whereas Fortinet’s FortiGate offers load balancing and traffic management capabilities like F5’s BIG-IP.
Alongside competitive pressure, F5’s near-term prospects also face challenges from softening IT spending. Still-high interest rates and protracted inflationary conditions have impacted consumer spending. On the other hand, enterprises are postponing their large IT spending plans due to a weakening global economy amid ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical issues. This does not bode well for F5’s prospects in the near term.
These factors have pressured FFIV's revenues, leading the company to set modest fiscal 2025 sales growth expectations of only 4-5%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $2.94 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of 4.57%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at $14.20, suggesting a year-over-year growth of 6.2%.
What Should Investors Do?
Although FFIV faces multiple headwinds from both its competition and macroeconomic conditions, it is navigating the application delivery, security and performance optimization space with innovative AI products.
Considering all these factors, we suggest investors to retain this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
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