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Algorithms helped foreign funds and proprietary trading desks pocket 588.4 billion rupees (RM29.36 billion) in gross profits from trading Indian equity derivatives, a study by the nation’s market regulator showed.
The bulk of the gains came at the expense of individual traders and others, who lost a combined 610 billion rupees dabbling in futures and options in the financial year ended March, according to the study published Monday.
The findings align with the Securities & Exchange Board of India’s efforts to slow the rapid growth of the equity derivatives segment, where the turnover hit US$6 trillion (RM25.04 trillion) in early February — greater than the entire output of the nation’s economy. The regulator has repeatedly warned small investors that they are taking a big risk in trying to bet against better-funded and more experienced financial market players.
“There is little scope for individual traders to beat a mathematically-written model,” said Karthick Jonagadla, CEO of Mumbai-based Quantace Research and Capital Pvt. “Trading equity options is altogether a different beast and chances of having a reward-to-risk ratio in your favour are minuscule.”
India’s derivatives market grabbed global attention in April after US-based Jane Street Group revealed that a strategy used in the country generated US$1 billion in profits. The revelation also shed light on how smaller investors are often at the wrong end of the trade.
Nine out of every 10 retail derivatives traders lost money during the three-year period ended March, with the average loss per trader at about 200,000 rupees, SEBI’s latest study showed. Only 1% of traders made profits of over 100,000 rupees. More than 75% of the 10 million individual traders in India declared annual income of less than 500,000 rupees.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said it is looking forward to working with Sri Lanka’s newly elected leftist president, including on the latest review of the country’s US$3 billion (RM12.59 billion) bailout package.
“We will discuss the timing of the third review of the IMF-supported programme with the new administration as soon as practicable,” the organisation said in a statement after President Anura Kumara Dissanayake was sworn into office on Monday.
“We look forward to working together with President Dissanayake and his team towards building on the hard-won gains that have helped put Sri Lanka on a path to economic recovery since entering one of its worst economic crises in 2022,” the IMF added.
Dissanayake had campaigned on a promise to reopen negotiations with the IMF on the country’s big loan programme. It came with deeply unpopular tax hikes and spending cuts that made the cost-of-living crisis a top issue for voters.
Reviewing the debt plan, though, risks delaying additional loans from the international organisation. Sri Lanka needs to meet certain fiscal criteria before the next round of funding is released.
The country’s former president, Ranil Wickremesinghe, brokered the deal with the IMF, and said upending it would be a costly mistake for the economy. Prior to the cash injection, the country faced an unprecedented economic crisis where spiralling inflation wiped out household savings and ignited protests.
Investors hope that Dissanayake will stick with the loan plan. Rizvie Salih, an executive committee member of the president’s coalition party, said on Saturday that the country will remain with the programme but seek modifications.
In its statement, the IMF said the recent agreement with bondholders “represents significant progress in Sri Lanka’s debt restructuring process”, adding that it’s still “subject to confirmation on comparability of treatment by Sri Lanka’s Official Creditors Committee”.
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