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Moody’s Ratings cut Alaska Air Group Inc.’s credit grade to junk status after the company said it plans to issue secured debt to refinance borrowings from its acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings Inc., according to a statement on Tuesday.
The credit grader lowered the airline’s issuer rating to Ba1, the highest junk level, from Baa3, the lowest investment-grade score, and changed its outlook to negative from stable, signaling more downgrades could be coming in the medium term.
At the same time, Moody’s gave Alaska Air’s planned secured debt obligations a rating of Baa2, the second lowest investment-grade score. The airline said on Monday that it plans to borrow $1.5 billion, secured by the company’s loyalty program, to help refinance Hawaiian Airlines debt.
Late last year, Alaska Air agreed to buy rival Hawaiian Holdings for $1.9 billion, snatching up a company that had been hit by rising competition from Southwest Airlines Co., among other factors. Alaska Air closed its acquisition on Sept. 18. Based on financials at that time, and accounting for Hawaiian’s loyalty notes getting repaid, about 90% of Alaska Air’s debt will be secured, Moody’s estimated.
“Alaska Air is establishing a capital structure which will be made up primarily of secured debt, which is credit negative as it reduces the company’s financial flexibility,” Moody’s analyst Peter Trombetta wrote in the bond grader’s statement. “The secured debt will have a higher priority of claim than any unsecured debt, resulting in the downgrade of the company’s issuer rating.”
The ratings firm expects planned capital expenditure for the combined company to burn more than $500 million of cash in 2025, according to the statement. Alaska Air’s standalone cash was about $2.5 billion as of the end of June, according to Moody’s. The company also has access to an $850 million revolving credit facility that expires in September 2029, the ratings firm said.
Inflation in Dubai rose by 0.6 per cent month-on-month in August, according to the latest data from the Dubai Statistics Centre.
The August figures represented a small pick-up from the modest monthly deflation recorded in July. On an annual basis, CPI inflation rose by 3.38 per cent, up marginally from 3.32 per cent a month earlier. Inflation has been running at 3.6 per cent year-on-year on average in the year to August, a modest acceleration from the 3.3 per cent year-on-year recorded for 2023 as a whole, Emirates NBD analysis shows.
Inflation drivers have been consistent in Dubai in 2024, data showed. Housing has risen by more than six per cent year-on-year each month in 2024 with the August housing and utilities component of the basket rising by 6.9 per cent year-on-year, according to Emirates NBD Reasearch. “The rise in housing inflation reflects the underling increase in property purchase and rental costs over the last several years. Given its large weight in the overall CPI basket at more than 40 per cent, housing costs exert a strong influence on inflation overall,” Edward Bell, head of market economics at Emirates NBD Research, said in a note.
Elsewhere in the August data, transport costs were up by 0.3 per cent month-on-month, though lower on an annual basis. The food and beverage subcomponent also increased month-on-month, up by 0.6 per cent and was up by 2.8 per cent year-on-year. “Transport costs, which account for more than 9 per cent of the basket, tend to show more volatility on a monthly basis as they are influenced by market costs for oil and refined products,” Bell wrote.
There was also a monthly jump in recreation prices, up 4.6 per cent month-on-month and reversing the annual deflation print for July. Other key contributors to inflation in Dubai this year have been financial services (up 5.9 per cent year-on-year in August) and education fees which have been stable at 3.1 per cent year-on-year for the last five months.
Emirates NBD expects Dubai CPI inflation at 3.5 per cent year-on-year on average in 2024, an acceleration from 3.3 per cent recorded last year. “Cooling oil prices and energy costs will act as a drag on prices in the final months of the year. Brent oil futures have averaged $73 per barrel since the start of September 2024 compared with $92 per barrel for the same period in 2023. Housing price inflation will, however, act as a floor to CPI as the index increasingly reflects higher housing prices,” Bell wrote.
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