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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6827.42
6827.42
6827.42
6899.86
6801.80
-73.58
-1.07%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48458.04
48458.04
48458.04
48886.86
48334.10
-245.98
-0.51%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23195.16
23195.16
23195.16
23554.89
23094.51
-398.69
-1.69%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
97.850
97.930
97.850
98.070
97.810
-0.100
-0.10%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.17552
1.17559
1.17552
1.17596
1.17262
+0.00158
+ 0.13%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33914
1.33921
1.33914
1.33961
1.33546
+0.00207
+ 0.15%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4341.40
4341.81
4341.40
4350.16
4294.68
+42.01
+ 0.98%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
56.917
56.947
56.917
57.601
56.878
-0.316
-0.55%
--

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Peru Energy And Mines Ministry: Copper Production Up 4.8% Year-On-Year In October To 248192 Metric Tons

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Security Source: Ukrainian Drones Hits Russian Oil Infrastructure In Caspian Sea For Third Time

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Spot Palladium Extends Gains, Last Up 5% To $1562.7/Oz

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Mexico's Economy Ministry Announces Start Of Anti-Dumping Investigation And Anti-Subsidy Investigations Into USA Pork Imports

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Canada Nov CPI Common +2.8%, CPI Median +2.8%, CPI Trim +2.8% On Year

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NY Fed's Empire State Prices Paid Index +37.6 In December Versus+49.0 In November

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Canada Nov Consumer Prices +0.1% On Month, +2.2% On Year

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Canada Nov CPI Core -0.1% On Month, +2.9% On Year

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Canada Nov Core CPI, Seasonally Adjusted +0.2% On Month, Oct +0.3% (Unrevised)

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UK Health Minister Streeting On Doctors' Strike: Vote To Go Ahead Reveals The Bma's Shocking Disregard For Patient Safety

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Venezuelan State Oil Company Pdvsa Says Was Subject To Cyber Attack But Operations Unaffected

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Russia Central Bank Says January-October Current Account Surplus At $37.1 Billion

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Polish Current Account Balance At +1924 Million Euros In October Versus+130 Million Euros Seen In Reuters Poll

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Statement: Germany, Ukraine Propose 10-Point Plan To Strengthen Armament Cooperation

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London Metal Exchange Three Month Copper Falls More Than 3% To $11541.50 A Metric Ton

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[Market Update] Spot Silver Surged $2.00 During The Day, Returning To $64/ounce, A Gain Of 3.23%

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European Central Bank: Italy's Recurrent Ad Hoc Tax Provisions Cause Uncertainty, Damage Investor Confidence, And May Affect Banks' Funding Costs

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Stats Office: Nigeria Consumer Inflation At 14.45% Year-On-Year In November

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European Central Bank: Italy's Budget Measures Weighing On Domestic Banks Could Have "Negative Implications" On Their Credit Liquidity

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Azerbaijan's January-November Oil Exports Via Btc Pipeline Down 7.1% Year-On-Year Data Shows

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          Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 16 September 2024

          S&P Global Inc.

          Economic

          Summary:

          The following is an extract from S&P Global Market Intelligence's latest Week Ahead Economic Preview. 

          FOMC, BoE, BoJ meetings, UK and Japan inflation in focus

          The focus is on monetary policy in the fresh week with central bank meetings in the US, UK and Japan as well as Brazil, South Africa, Turkey, Indonesia and Taiwan. Key inflation updates will meanwhile be watched in the UK and Japan, while US data watchers await retail sales, industrial production and housing market releases.
          The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is expected to be when the US Fed will start lowering rates, though uncertainty persists over how much the Fed will lower rates this year. While the latest S&P Global Investment Manager Index survey outlined increased conviction of monetary policy being a supportive driver for equity returns, investors remained mixed with equal proportions of US equity investors seeing the likelihood for just 50 or 75 basis points worth of cuts in 2024. The earliest S&P Global Flash US PMI data showed that prices may well ease to a level consistent with the FOMC's 2% target, and is therefore supportive of the Fed's endeavour to lower rates, though how the Fed guide expectations at the September meeting will be paramount. Meanwhile, higher-than-expected core CPI has pushed the odds of the September meeting closer to just 25 basis points of cuts.
          Over in the UK, monetary policy will also be in the spotlight as the Bank of England (BoE) meets. The BoE is in a group of central banks that has already started lowering rates, but will be proceeding cautiously amid still-elevated service sector inflation. While the BoE may resume cutting rates later in the year, they are widely expected to stand pat in September. Reactions towards inflation data, with the latest August numbers in the UK to be updated just ahead of the monetary policy meeting and expected to show easing inflationary pressures in line with PMI price trends, will be important clues for the monetary policy outlook.
          Finally, the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which holds a hawkish bias, will also convene with no imminent changes to interest rates expected. Interest rate differentials have nevertheless been a strong engine behind the USD/JPY decline of late and the BoJ's stance will be key here. This is especially as easing inflationary pressures in August, alluded to by the au Jibun Bank Japan PMI prices data, add to uncertainty regarding the urgency of a BoJ hike.

          US inflation descent to continue

          The annual rate of US inflation dropped from 2.9% in July to 2.5% in August, its lowest since February 2021, with a further cooling ahead signalled by the S&P Global PMI.
          The softer rate of inflation signalled by the headline consumer price index has followed the trend depicted by the PMI's average selling price index, the latter covering prices charged for both goods and services. This PMI index tends to lead changes in CPI inflation by around four months, and has fallen in August to its second-lowest since June 2020, down to a level historically consistent with inflation running at the Fed's target rate of 2.0%.
          Some of the shine was taken off the good news from the August headline CPI print, as core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.3% on the month, indicating a firming of underlying price pressures and holding the annual rate at 3.2%. However, the services PMI data - which align closely with core price pressures - hint that this core CPI measure should fall back again in the coming months to around 0.2%.

          Key diary events

          Monday 16 Sep
          China (Mainland), Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea, Mexico Market Holiday
          Italy Inflation (Aug, final);Eurozone Balance of Trade (Jul);Italy Balance of Trade (Jul);United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep)
          Tuesday 17 Sep
          China (Mainland), South Korea, Taiwan Market Holiday
          Singapore Non-oil Exports (Aug);Indonesia Trade (Aug);Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Sep);Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Sep);Canada Inflation (Aug);Canada Housing Starts (Aug);United States Retail Sales (Aug);United States Industrial Production (Aug);United States Business Inventories (Jul);United States NAHB Housing Market Index (Sep).
          Wednesday 18 Sep
          Hong Kong SAR, South Korea Market Holiday
          Japan Trade (Aug);Japan Machinery Orders (Jul);United Kingdom Inflation (Aug);Indonesia BI Interest Rate Decision;South Africa Inflation (Aug);Eurozone Inflation (Aug, final);United States Building Permits (Aug, prelim);United States Housing Starts (Aug, prelim);United States FOMC Interest Rate Decision;Brazil BCB Interest Rate Decision.
          Thursday 19 Sep
          New Zealand GDP (Q2);Australia Employment Change (Aug);Malaysia Trade (Aug);Norway Norges Bank Interest Rate Decision;Taiwan CBC Interest Rate Decision;Turkey TCMB Interest Rate Decision;United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision;United States Current Account (Q2);United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Sep);South Africa SARB Interest Rate Decision;United States Existing Home Sales (Aug).
          Friday 20 Sep
          Japan CPI (Aug);China (Mainland) ;Loan Prime Rate (Sep);Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision;United Kingdom Retail Sales (Aug);Hong Kong SAR Inflation (Aug);Canada Retail Sales (Jul);Canada New Housing Price Index (Aug);Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Sep, flash).

          What to watch in the coming week

          Americas: FOMC and BCB meetings; US retail sales, industrial production, building permits, housing starts data; Canada inflation.
          Central bank meetings in the US and Brazil unfold in the fresh week, with the focus on the highly anticipated FOMC meeting in the US. Uncertainty over whether the Fed may lower rates by 25 or 50 basis points (bps) has been widespread, though a higher-than-anticipated core CPI print for August has tilted the dial towards 25 bps. There is some added uncertainty however due to the next Fed meeting coming only after the November 5th Presidential Election. Overall, US equity investors are also mixed regarding whether the Fed will lower rates by 50 or 75 basis points by year-end 2024 according to the latest S&P Global Investment Manager Index survey, and therefore clarity will be sought with the upcoming Fed meeting.
          On the data front, we will also see the release of key US activity indicators such as retail sales and industrial production, in addition to building permits and housing starts. Canada releases inflation numbers on Tuesday with early S&P Global Canada PMI data having shown output price inflation intensified in August.
          EMEA: BoE, TCMB, SARB meetings; UK, Eurozone inflation data; Germany ZEW index,
          The BoE convenes on Thursday with the consensus indicating that the UK central bank may hold off cutting rates further in September before resuming later in the year. This is as service sector inflation remains elevated, though most recent S&P Global UK PMI prices data showed that inflation further lowered in August which we will seek to confirm with official August UK inflation data, released on Wednesday. UK retail sales data will also be published.
          Over in the eurozone, final August inflation figures will be released, while the ZEW economic sentiment index for the eurozone and Germany will also be updated.
          APAC: BoJ, BI, CBC meetings, China Loan Prime Rate, Japan inflation, trade, New Zealand GDP, Australia employment data
          In APAC, central bank meetings take place in Japan, Indonesia and Taiwan, while mainland China's loan prime rates will also be published on Friday. While the BoJ is still mulling a rate hike, Bank Indonesia (BI) is expected to lower rates post the Fed meeting, though neither are likely to shift rates in their September meetings. Inflation data will meanwhile be due from Japan for August. Other key updates include New Zealand Q2 GDP and Australia's August employment report.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 16 September 2024

          S&P Global Inc.

          Economic

          FOMC, BoE, BoJ meetings, UK and Japan inflation in focus

          The focus is on monetary policy in the fresh week with central bank meetings in the US, UK and Japan as well as Brazil, South Africa, Turkey, Indonesia and Taiwan. Key inflation updates will meanwhile be watched in the UK and Japan, while US data watchers await retail sales, industrial production and housing market releases.
          The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is expected to be when the US Fed will start lowering rates, though uncertainty persists over how much the Fed will lower rates this year. While the latest S&P Global Investment Manager Index survey outlined increased conviction of monetary policy being a supportive driver for equity returns, investors remained mixed with equal proportions of US equity investors seeing the likelihood for just 50 or 75 basis points worth of cuts in 2024. The earliest S&P Global Flash US PMI data showed that prices may well ease to a level consistent with the FOMC's 2% target, and is therefore supportive of the Fed's endeavour to lower rates, though how the Fed guide expectations at the September meeting will be paramount. Meanwhile, higher-than-expected core CPI has pushed the odds of the September meeting closer to just 25 basis points of cuts.
          Over in the UK, monetary policy will also be in the spotlight as the Bank of England (BoE) meets. The BoE is in a group of central banks that has already started lowering rates, but will be proceeding cautiously amid still-elevated service sector inflation. While the BoE may resume cutting rates later in the year, they are widely expected to stand pat in September. Reactions towards inflation data, with the latest August numbers in the UK to be updated just ahead of the monetary policy meeting and expected to show easing inflationary pressures in line with PMI price trends, will be important clues for the monetary policy outlook.
          Finally, the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which holds a hawkish bias, will also convene with no imminent changes to interest rates expected. Interest rate differentials have nevertheless been a strong engine behind the USD/JPY decline of late and the BoJ's stance will be key here. This is especially as easing inflationary pressures in August, alluded to by the au Jibun Bank Japan PMI prices data, add to uncertainty regarding the urgency of a BoJ hike.

          US inflation descent to continue

          The annual rate of US inflation dropped from 2.9% in July to 2.5% in August, its lowest since February 2021, with a further cooling ahead signalled by the S&P Global PMI.
          The softer rate of inflation signalled by the headline consumer price index has followed the trend depicted by the PMI's average selling price index, the latter covering prices charged for both goods and services. This PMI index tends to lead changes in CPI inflation by around four months, and has fallen in August to its second-lowest since June 2020, down to a level historically consistent with inflation running at the Fed's target rate of 2.0%.
          Some of the shine was taken off the good news from the August headline CPI print, as core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.3% on the month, indicating a firming of underlying price pressures and holding the annual rate at 3.2%. However, the services PMI data - which align closely with core price pressures - hint that this core CPI measure should fall back again in the coming months to around 0.2%.

          Key diary events

          Monday 16 Sep
          China (Mainland), Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea, Mexico Market Holiday
          Italy Inflation (Aug, final);Eurozone Balance of Trade (Jul);Italy Balance of Trade (Jul);United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep)
          Tuesday 17 Sep
          China (Mainland), South Korea, Taiwan Market Holiday
          Singapore Non-oil Exports (Aug);Indonesia Trade (Aug);Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Sep);Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Sep);Canada Inflation (Aug);Canada Housing Starts (Aug);United States Retail Sales (Aug);United States Industrial Production (Aug);United States Business Inventories (Jul);United States NAHB Housing Market Index (Sep).
          Wednesday 18 Sep
          Hong Kong SAR, South Korea Market Holiday
          Japan Trade (Aug);Japan Machinery Orders (Jul);United Kingdom Inflation (Aug);Indonesia BI Interest Rate Decision;South Africa Inflation (Aug);Eurozone Inflation (Aug, final);United States Building Permits (Aug, prelim);United States Housing Starts (Aug, prelim);United States FOMC Interest Rate Decision;Brazil BCB Interest Rate Decision.
          Thursday 19 Sep
          New Zealand GDP (Q2);Australia Employment Change (Aug);Malaysia Trade (Aug);Norway Norges Bank Interest Rate Decision;Taiwan CBC Interest Rate Decision;Turkey TCMB Interest Rate Decision;United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision;United States Current Account (Q2);United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Sep);South Africa SARB Interest Rate Decision;United States Existing Home Sales (Aug).
          Friday 20 Sep
          Japan CPI (Aug);China (Mainland) ;Loan Prime Rate (Sep);Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision;United Kingdom Retail Sales (Aug);Hong Kong SAR Inflation (Aug);Canada Retail Sales (Jul);Canada New Housing Price Index (Aug);Eurozone Consumer Confidence (Sep, flash).

          What to watch in the coming week

          Americas: FOMC and BCB meetings; US retail sales, industrial production, building permits, housing starts data; Canada inflation.
          Central bank meetings in the US and Brazil unfold in the fresh week, with the focus on the highly anticipated FOMC meeting in the US. Uncertainty over whether the Fed may lower rates by 25 or 50 basis points (bps) has been widespread, though a higher-than-anticipated core CPI print for August has tilted the dial towards 25 bps. There is some added uncertainty however due to the next Fed meeting coming only after the November 5th Presidential Election. Overall, US equity investors are also mixed regarding whether the Fed will lower rates by 50 or 75 basis points by year-end 2024 according to the latest S&P Global Investment Manager Index survey, and therefore clarity will be sought with the upcoming Fed meeting.
          On the data front, we will also see the release of key US activity indicators such as retail sales and industrial production, in addition to building permits and housing starts. Canada releases inflation numbers on Tuesday with early S&P Global Canada PMI data having shown output price inflation intensified in August.
          EMEA: BoE, TCMB, SARB meetings; UK, Eurozone inflation data; Germany ZEW index,
          The BoE convenes on Thursday with the consensus indicating that the UK central bank may hold off cutting rates further in September before resuming later in the year. This is as service sector inflation remains elevated, though most recent S&P Global UK PMI prices data showed that inflation further lowered in August which we will seek to confirm with official August UK inflation data, released on Wednesday. UK retail sales data will also be published.
          Over in the eurozone, final August inflation figures will be released, while the ZEW economic sentiment index for the eurozone and Germany will also be updated.
          APAC: BoJ, BI, CBC meetings, China Loan Prime Rate, Japan inflation, trade, New Zealand GDP, Australia employment data
          In APAC, central bank meetings take place in Japan, Indonesia and Taiwan, while mainland China's loan prime rates will also be published on Friday. While the BoJ is still mulling a rate hike, Bank Indonesia (BI) is expected to lower rates post the Fed meeting, though neither are likely to shift rates in their September meetings. Inflation data will meanwhile be due from Japan for August. Other key updates include New Zealand Q2 GDP and Australia's August employment report.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          China in Focus: China’s Green Transition Plan

          HSBC

          Economic

          Energy

          China data review

          Fixed asset investment slowed to 1.9% y-o-y in July, down from 3.6% in June. The fall of property-related investment was a contributing factor, falling deeper by 10.8% y-o-y, after some improvement in June. Other monthly data showed ongoing pressure in the property sector: primary residential sales volumes fell 14.5% y-o-y, while floor space starts dropped 24.4% y-o-y.
          Infrastructure investment growth slowed to 5.6% y-o-y in July, down from 9.4% in June. Extreme weather may have weighed on infrastructure activity while the pace of government bond issuance has been relatively slower this year compared to past years. Government bond issuance started to pick up in May, though it may also take time for this to filter through to investment.
          Manufacturing investment was relatively more buoyant, rising 8.3% y-o-y. Relatedly, industrial production also held up at 5.1% y-o-y, despite softer-thanexpected exports. The industrial sector has likely benefited from expanded equipment upgrading programs, with higher-tech industrial production (10% y-o-y) and higher-end manufacturing investment (9.7%) outpacing overall levels.
          Retail sales saw some recovery, rising 2.7% y-o-y in July, from 2% in June, on the back of holiday demand and a low base. Services-related retail sales continued to climb at double the pace of overall retail sales (7.2% year-to-date y-o-y and 3.5%, respectively), though saw some pull back from June (7.5% in the first half). Meanwhile, catering sales growth slowed 3.0% y-o-y in July.
          Exports slowed to 7.0% y-o-y in July, from 8.6% in June, as a decline in manufacturing PMIs in the US, eurozone and Japan reflected weaker final demand. The implementation of some additional tariffs also may have affected sentiment.
          Imports, however, rose by 7.2%, from -2.3% in June, on frontloading of electronics imports as well as improved domestic demand from fiscal policy.
          CPI inflation rose 0.5% y-o-y in July on the back of higher food prices, particularly pork (up 20.4% y-o-y) and travel demand during summer holidays. However, core CPI edged down to 0.4% on a higher base.
          PPI saw its pace of deflation stayed at 0.8% as prices of both ferrous and non-ferrous metals underperformed in both sequential and annual terms.

          China’s green transition plan

          On 11 August, China announced a 33-point plan aimed at achieving a comprehensive green transition across the nation's economy and society over the next decade. This is the first time that the central government has systematically deployed policies to move toward green and low-carbon goals. This is also in line with the recent decision of the Third Plenum to support the promotion of a green, low-carbon and circular economy.
          China in Focus: China’s Green Transition Plan_1
          China's green transition still faces many difficult challenges, such as the coal-dominated energy structure, the heavy industrial structure and rising protectionism worldwide. The guideline reiterated the existing goal of increasing the share of non-fossil energy consumption to 25% by 2030 and gradually reducing coal consumption over the next five years. From 2013 to 2023, China’s share of coal consumption dropped to 55.3% from 67.4%, while the share of non-fossil energy consumption increased to 17.9% from 10.2%. Assuming a similar pace of progress to 2030, this would only put the non-fossil energy share at c23%, which means a policy acceleration would be needed to reach these transition goals.
          China in Focus: China’s Green Transition Plan_2
          The guideline particularly emphasised expanding green development in the industrial sector as well as lifting green consumption. For industry, this includes developing low-carbon industries, upgrading traditional industries, incorporating green development into urban construction, and curbing high-emission projects. The guideline set a new goal that, by 2030, the scale of the energy-saving and environmental protection industry will reach about RMB15trn. The National Energy Administration said that more than 10% of China's production capacity in the steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemical, chemical, and building materials industries are still below the benchmark level for energy efficiency.
          China in Focus: China’s Green Transition Plan_3
          To promote green consumption, the guideline emphasised expanding the scope and scale of green products in government procurement, increasing the supply of green commercial products and supporting measures such as issuing consumer coupons and trade-ins. In terms of transportation, the green guideline proposed promoting new energy vehicles (NEVs) and electrifying urban public service vehicles. By 2035, the goal will be to have NEVs become the driver of new vehicle sales, although this may already have been achieved. According to the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), new energy vehicles as a share of total new vehicle purchases reached 51.1% in July, exceeding 50% for the first time, up 15ppt from last July.
          China in Focus: China’s Green Transition Plan_4
          A variety of policy tools will also be used to support the green transition both from fiscal and tax incentives as well as credit support. The implementation period for carbon emission reduction credit support tools will be extended to the end of 2027 and financial tools such as green equity financing, green leasing, and green trusts will be developed. In terms of investment mechanisms, direct fiscal support from the central government budget will also be used to support key green projects. The government will also further guide and regulate social capital to participate in green and low-carbon projects and promote the development of the national carbon market and voluntary emission reduction trading market.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
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          The Prime Minister of Malaysia Acknowledges Malaysian Chinese Community’s Role in Country’s Socioeconomic Developments

          Cohen

          The government has always recognised the contribution of the Malaysian Chinese community in the country’s socioeconomic developments, as well as in economic, cultural, educational and industrial sectors, said Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim.

          Anwar said he acknowledged and saluted the role of Chinese entrepreneurs in Malaysia and globally for assuming the task of propelling the local and international economy.

          “In a world marked by complexities and fraught with increasing instability, uncertainties and unpredictability, Chinese entrepreneurs globally can assume a bigger role in safeguarding regional economic cooperation, ensuring the security of crucial supply chains and promoting our global socio-economic development agenda.

          “From Southeast Asia to East Asia, the United States, Canada, Europe and Africa, Chinese entrepreneurs have collaborated closely with others and have laid the foundations for forging deeper and stronger business and economic links across national borders.”

          Anwar said this in his keynote address at the 17th World Chinese Entrepreneurs Convention (WCEC) here on Tuesday.

          The prime minister said that under the Madani Economy framework, the government will continue to prioritise the enhancement of the economic landscape, fostering an environment conducive to investment and innovation.

          At the same time, he said the government is also open to suggestions on what else needs to be done to foster such an environment.

          “We are not here to suggest that it (the Madani Economy framework) is a perfect system and policy; we are here to govern and to learn and make a necessary adjustment because the fundamentals remain economic advancement,” he said.

          Anwar said that only through economic success can the government ensure better housing, healthcare and infrastructure for the people, including inclusivity.

          Meanwhile, he said Malaysia and China have enjoyed a longstanding bilateral relationship, underpinned by robust trade and investment ties, which will not only benefit Malaysia but also help the region continue to advance this policy.

          The prime minister added that the relationship extends beyond traditional investment policies and practices, and that it has evolved into a more competitive new economic framework that encompasses not only investment but also other sectors, including tourism.

          Some 4,000 local business leaders and overseas delegates from Asia, Europe, the Middle East, as well as North and South America, are attending the three-day convention organised by the Associated Chinese Chambers of Commerce and Industry of Malaysia (ACCCIM) at the Kuala Lumpur Convention Centre.

          Source: Theedgemarkets

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
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          What’s Going on in Alternative Markets?

          JPMorgan

          Bond

          Economic

          This year’s rally in both stocks and bonds has changed the opportunity set for long-term investors. With the S&P 500 touting a price-to-earnings ratio over 21x and the U.S Agg. yielding 4.4%, the 60/40 is expensive relative to history. Current valuations are trading almost one standard deviation above average, warning future long-term returns may be muted. Against this backdrop, active managers can uncover attractive opportunities veiled by rich index-level valuations, while alternatives, like private equity, private credit and real assets, can improve investors’ long-term return potential while reducing volatility along the way.

          Alternatives are an effective portfolio stabilizer:

          Along with elevated valuations, the upcoming U.S. election and mixed signals from macroeconomic data could all contribute to higher market volatility. Allocating to alternatives can reduce portfolio volatility while enhancing total returns . Moreover, real estate and infrastructure both have strong track records of generating steady income through various stages of the economic cycle.

          There is more than meets the eye in real estate:

          After a sharp repricing across the sector, green shoots are starting to emerge in commercial real estate. While delinquencies are trending higher in office, they have stabilized in industrial, multifamily, hotel and retail. Moreover, while office vacancies and net operating income growth continue to weaken, fundamentals in other sectors remain intact.

          There are secular growth opportunities in infrastructure:

          Over the next decade, the energy, AI and re-shoring transitions will all require significant investment in infrastructure. The need for more electrical capacity is particularly strong as hotter summers, data centers and electric vehicles drive new demand. Electricity demand from data centers alone is expected to increase 30% by 2026.

          Private equity exit activity, despite improving on the margin, remains sluggish: 

          U.S. private equity exit volume remained below pre-pandemic levels in 1H24. While IPO activity has improved in recent quarters, exits will likely remain subdued until interest rates move lower. Against this backdrop, secondaries are an attractive avenue for investors to gain exposure to seasoned assets at discounted valuations.
          Elevated public market valuations, historically low bond yields and positive stock-bond correlation are all challenges facing the traditional 60/40 portfolio. Moving forward, investors may need to rely on alternative asset allocations to enhance return, income, and diversification in their portfolios. Indeed, investors are already planning on allocating more to a broad range of alternative assets. What’s Going on in Alternative Markets?_1
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Monthly PMI Bulletin: September 2024

          S&P Global Inc.

          Economic

          The global economic expansion picked up pace in August but the upturn became entirely services-driven as manufacturing output edged into decline. Meanwhile price pressures eased on the back of falling cost inflation, boding well for the lowering of global interest rates in the coming months.
          The J.P.Morgan Global PMI Composite Output Index - produced by S&P Global - registered 52.8 in September, up from 52.5 in August. The latest reading marked a first acceleration in growth rate in three months and is broadly indicative of the global economy growing at an annualized rate of 2.9% in August. This compares with an average growth rate of 3.1% in the decade prior to the pandemic.
          The latest global economic expansion was uneven, however, with services activity growth accelerating to a three-month high while manufacturing output fell fractionally. Softening demand, underpinned by deteriorating trade conditions and renewed destocking among goods producers, affected manufacturing production midway through the third quarter of 2024. Worryingly, manufacturing downturns have historically tended to lead a worsening performance in the broader services economy. However, improvements in the banking sector - which we have observed in August - also bring hope of a turnaround for the goods producing sector as financial conditions continue to improve.
          Crucially, we are widely viewed to be at an inflection point with the Fed set to lower rates from their September meeting and global central banks have generally lowered, or plan to lower interest rates in the months ahead. Further easing of financial conditions is expected to shore up better confidence for businesses in the months ahead, though uncertainty regarding the magnitude of cuts by the Fed and other major central banks remain. August PMI prices data affirmed the easing inflationary pressure picture, and we will continue monitoring this aspect for clues on the path forward.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Why Do Prices of Everything Still Seem So High?

          Owen Li

          Economic

          The government says the South Korea's headline inflation is trending down toward the central bank's target of 2 percent.

          And yet, the prices of everything, especially food, remain just as high.

          This is because the prices of frequently purchased daily staples have remained elevated since in the pandemic years, according to economists, Tuesday.

          “A large number of consumers feel that prices are still high, despite government efforts to reassure them otherwise,” Joo Won, director of the Hyundai Research Institute, said.

          According to Statistics Korea, Korea experienced a 2-percent increase in headline inflation last month compared to a year ago. This marks the lowest level since a 1.9 percent increase in March 2021.

          Still, the cost of living remains high.

          The fresh food index rose 3.2 percent in August compared to the previous year. The index for agricultural produce, livestock, and seafood increased 2.4 percent.

          Prices of pears and apples rose 120 percent and 17 percent, respectively. Additionally, the prices of cabbages and radish, key ingredients for kimchi, jumped 94.6 percent and 58.6 percent.

          The Bank of Korea (BOK) noted that the prices of necessities such as clothing, food, and housing are higher in Korea compared to other countries — about 55 percent above the average for OECD member countries.

          The high prices, which result from structural issues such as closed markets, especially burden vulnerable groups like low-income households and senior citizens,who spend a larger portion of their income on daily necessities, the central bank explained.

          Also straining household finances are high debt service costs resulting from rapid monetary tightening after the pandemic, Joo points out.

          “Years of high borrowing costs have left households strapped for spending. An easing by the central bank should help stimulate the subdued growth in consumption," he said.

          In an economic outlook report released,last Sunday, Joo said the recent strong rebound in exports will not be sufficient to offset the weak domestic demand.

          “The strong export performance driven by the semiconductor industry and stagnant domestic consumption will tell two different stories, depending on who you ask. The impressive results of a few leading IT exporters may not necessarily reflect a stronger purchasing power for the average consumer,” the report read.

          The report also showed the monthly increase in debt service costs per household averaged 121,000 won ($90) in the first three months of this year. This represents a more than 40 percent rise from the April-June period of 2022.

          “It marked the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit increases since the third quarter of 2022,” he said.

          Korea’s household surplus has been decreasing for the past eight quarters. The surplus represents the amount of money remaining after accounting for disposable income and consumption.

          Disposable income refers to the amount remaining after deducting non-consumption expenditures, such as interest payments and social security premiums.

          As of the second quarter, Korean households reported a monthly surplus of approximately 1 million won, down 18,000 won, or 1.7 percent, from the previous year.

          Over the past two years, real household income has decreased by as much as 3.9 percent.

          Market watchers say that stagnant private consumption is unlikely to see a breakthrough unless the BOK lowers key rate to end years of sustained high borrowing costs.

          Source: Koreatimes

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          The risk of loss in trading financial instruments such as stocks, FX, commodities, futures, bonds, ETFs and crypto can be substantial. You may sustain a total loss of the funds that you deposit with your broker. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

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